DraftKings MLB Expert Survey: Saturday, August 3rd
Want to know who Notorious is definitely paying up for in MLB DFS today? Wondering which value play STLCardinals84 is eyeing most? You’re in luck. Our daily fantasy baseball analysts will answer a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup building decisions for tonight’s contests. NOTE: Surveys for early slates will be posted when there are four or more early games.
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Saturday, August 3rd
Who is your favorite hitter for cash games?
STLCardinals84: Trevor Story
Fathalpert: Brandon Belt
BigT44: Jean Segura
Who is your favorite hitter for tournaments?
STLCardinals84: Cavan Biggio
Fathalpert: Rhys Hoskins
BigT44: Scott Kingery
Who is your favorite pitcher for cash games?
STLCardinals84: Aaron Nola
Fathalpert: Aaron Nola
BigT44: Aaron Nola
Who is your favorite pitcher for tournaments?
STLCardinals84: Walker Buehler
Fathalpert: Walker Buehler
BigT44: Walker Buehler
Who is your favorite cheap pitcher for cash games?
STLCardinals84: Kyle Gibson
Fathalpert: Adrian Sampson
BigT44: Aaron Sanchez
Who is your favorite cheap pitcher for tournaments?
STLCardinals84: Adrian Sampson
Fathalpert: Adrian Sampson
BigT44: Adrian Sampson
Who is your favorite salary saver on the board?
STLCardinals84: Scooter Gennett
Fathalpert: Scooter Gennett
BigT44: Roman Quinn
Who is your top contrarian play on the board?
STLCardinals84: Joc Pederson
Fathalpert: Madison Bumgarner
BigT44: Sean Rodriguez
Which player are you most afraid of having little to no exposure to?
STLCardinals84: George Springer
Fathalpert: Ronald Acuna
BigT44: Charlie Blackmon
Which high-priced pitcher will you have little to no exposure to in tournaments?
STLCardinals84: Trevor Bauer
Fathalpert: Marcus Stroman
BigT44: Marcus Stroman
Which high-priced hitter will you have little to no exposure to in tournaments?
STLCardinals84: Max Kepler
Fathalpert: Charlie Blackmon
BigT44: Ronald Acuna
What’s your sneaky home run call of the day?
STLCardinals84: Trey Mancini
Fathalpert: Justin Upton
BigT44: Sean Rodriguez
What’s your favorite overall team stack?
STLCardinals84: MIN
Fathalpert: PHI
BigT44: PHI
What’s your favorite sneaky team stack?
STLCardinals84: LAA
Fathalpert: LAA
BigT44: OAK
Which useful trend or statistic stuck out most during your research?
STLCardinals84: Cavan Biggio is hitting just .205 against RHP so far in his major league career, but he has been victimized by a well below average .237 BABIP. Given his 17% walk rate, 57% fly ball rate, and 49% hard contact rate, the results should improve. A great matchup awaits against a HR-prone pitcher in Dylan Bundy.
Fathalpert: Cal Quantrill continues to struggle against lefties, allowing a .356 wOBA to lefties but a .204 wOBA to righties. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 2nd in team wRC+ and 2nd in team ISO against righties, featuring five powerful left-handed batters they can throw at Quantrill (Pederson, Muncy, Bellinger, Seager, Verdugo). I like a lefty Dodgers stack as a late-night hammer.
BigT44: Ross Detwiler is one of the worst pitchers I have ever seen and gets an equally bad bullpen behind him. Luckily we have a Coors game on the slate to steal some ownership because Philly is going to be the winner
What is your hot take of the day?
STLCardinals84: Cavan Biggio smacks a pair of home runs.
Fathalpert: Adrian Sampson tosses 6 shutout innings
BigT44: Phillies hit 7 bombs
Who is your top overall pitcher (when considering price, matchup, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?
STLCardinals84: Aaron Nola – There are a lot of solid arms on tonight’s slate, with Nola and Buehler grading out as my favorite options. It is very difficult to side between the two, but I am giving a slight edge in safety to Nola. He has a 2.52 ERA over six July starts, with some tough matchups mixed in there, as he has faced Atlanta twice and the Dodgers once in those six outings. Tonight’s matchup is a favorable one against a White Sox team that ranks 28th in the league with a .293 team wOBA against RHP this year (ahead of only DET and MIA). They also have the second highest team strikeout rate against RHP. The Phillies need innings from Nola after playing a 15 inning game on Friday, as well. The stars are aligned for a solid game.
Fathalpert: Aaron Nola – The top tier is loaded with good pitchers, so my plan is to rotate my exposure and grab shares of many of them as I don’t love the mid-tier. Nola is my favorite at the high end when factoring in price and matchup. He’s facing a White Sox team that has the 2nd highest K% against right-handed pitching, and the Phillies have been giving Nola a long leash to work with. I was tempted to write Walker Buehler in this section since he faces the Padres, who rank 3rd in K%, but the Padres have more power than the White Sox so I’m giving Nola the edge.
BigT44: The White Sox are going to be a team I stream pitchers against for the rest of the season and even more so when they face stud arms like Nola. The Phillies are my favorite offense and also have the best pitcher on the slate in the best matchup so everything is aligned for a nice tasty evening in Philly. Nola is clearly the top guy on the slate for me.
Who is your top overall hitter (when considering price, matchup, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?
STLCardinals84: Trevor Story – Yes, the Rockies are facing Madison Bumgarner this evening. That’s of little concern to me with Story and Arenado. Bumgarner is allowing a .320 wOBA to RHBs this year to go along with a 46% hard contact rate and a massive fly ball lean. That plays right into the skill sets of the two Colorado sluggers. There’s little to differentiate Story and Arenado, both of whom have elite home splits against left-handed pitching. I’m siding with Story as my top play because of the way the positions lay out on this slate, and I prefer to utilize him as a shortstop. Still, you can’t go wrong either way.
Fathalpert: Brandon Belt – Belt continues to lead off for the Giants and while he’s been scuffling lately, Coors can cure any slump. While I don’t love trying to pick on Jon Gray, Belt is on the right side of the platoon and remains affordable for a matchup in high altitude. Gray has struggled more against lefties this season, allowing a .329 wOBA compared to a .317 wOBA to righties. I love other 1st basemen on this slate (Hoskins, Goldschmidt), but Belt has a lot more factors working in his favor.
BigT44: Kingery and Segura are always my guys at the top of the charts against left handed pitching and even more so against a bad guy like Detwiler. However I always like to be a little more creative with my teams so I will be here as well and say my favorite play of the night is Sean Rod assuming he cracks the lineup. Definitely love Kingery and Segura if he isn’t but Sean Rod is lock city if he makes the cut.
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