MLB Grind Down: Friday, June 26th

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.

Note: For more info on DFS MLB scoring systems on the two largest sites, check out our DraftKings review and FanDuel review.

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Cleveland at Baltimore – 7:05 PM EST

Cleveland Baltimore
clevelandmlb Corey Kluber baltimoremlb Wei-Yin Chen
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CLE (-114) 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.255 0.714 0.315 26.9% SP vs. Left 0.250 0.650 0.288 17.80%
SP vs. Right 0.217 0.558 0.246 29.6% SP vs. Right 0.257 0.745 0.324 19.10%
Batter Splits CLE BvP CLE vs L Batter Splits BAL BvP BAL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Corey Kluber : FD: $11,000 — DK: $10,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 339.1 — SIERA: 2.67 — K%: 28.2% — BB%: 5.3% — FB Rate: 30.9% — HR/FB: 8.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 3.44 — K%: 24.6% — BB%: 7.3% — FB Rate: 37.1% — HR/FB: 12.1%

Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 22.5% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.375 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 12)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 15)

Analysis: Kluber has had a couple of bad outings recently, but his numbers still resemble that of an ace. Over the last month, he has a 3.44 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.6%. Kluber has great strikeout potential against the Orioles (ranked 27th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching), but the matchup is less than ideal. Baltimore is the hottest offense in baseball right now and Kluber has to face them in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. You can never completely rule out Kluber, but there are safer options for cash games tonight.

Pitcher Rating:88.7


Wei-Yin Chen : FD: $7,800 — DK: $8,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 266.2 — SIERA: 3.80 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 4.9% — FB Rate: 38.8% — HR/FB: 10.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.1 — SIERA: 2.90 — K%: 26.6% — BB%: 4.0% — FB Rate: 36.1% — HR/FB: 13.3%

Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 16.8% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.280 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 19)
Pitchers per PA: 3.93 (Rank: 3)

Analysis: Chen has pitched very well in his recent starts, posting a 2.90 SIERA with an impressive strikeout rate of 26.6%. He has always been an above-average pitcher, he just hasn’t had that elite strikeout rate. On paper, you would think that a left-handed pitcher would have the platoon advantage over a left-handed heavy Indians’ lineup, but that hasn’t been the case this season. The Indians are ranked eighth in wOBA (.318) with the second-lowest strikeout rate of any team against left-handed pitching this season.

Pitcher Rating:56.4

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

As I mentioned above, the Indians’ lineup is full of left-handed hitters. However, with the addition of Francisco Lindor, they actually have a few decent right-handed batters to throw at Wei-Yin Chen. The hitters from the right side of the plate do have the advantage in this matchup, as Chen has given up a .324 wOBA to righties in the past two seasons.

Elite Plays

Carlos Santana : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 321 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 126
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 78

Secondary Plays

Francisco Lindor : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 15 — wOBA: 0.126 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -28
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.264 — ISO: 0.081 — wRC+: 67

Yan Gomes : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 192 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 128
Last 14 Days: PA: 29 — wOBA: 0.135 — ISO: 0.037 — wRC+: -22

Ryan Raburn : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 241 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 104
Last 14 Days: PA: 18 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 118


Baltimore

Corey Kluber hasn’t been as sharp in his last few starts, but even on his off days, he is still better than most pitchers in the major leagues. The Orioles’ offense has been on fire over the past few weeks, but this is a case where the best decision may be to avoid both the pitcher and the team that he is facing. There are better matchups on the schedule tonight.

Elite Plays

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Chris Parmelee : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 211 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 97
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.470 — ISO: 0.438 — wRC+: 206


Washington at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM EST

Washington Philadelphia
washingtonmlb Max Scherzer philadelphiamlb Aaron Harang
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
WAS (-205) 6.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.232 0.648 0.288 25.7% SP vs. Left 0.271 0.735 0.326 15.50%
SP vs. Right 0.200 0.560 0.249 33.0% SP vs. Right 0.241 0.683 0.301 20.30%
Batter Splits WAS BvP WAS vs R Batter Splits PHI BvP PHI vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Max Scherzer : FD: $12,500 — DK: $14,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 322.2 — SIERA: 2.81 — K%: 28.9% — BB%: 5.9% — FB Rate: 43.3% — HR/FB: 6.7%
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.2 — SIERA: 2.03 — K%: 36.2% — BB%: 3.6% — FB Rate: 49.4% — HR/FB: 7.3%

Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.279 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 17.7% (Rank: 9)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)

Analysis: Scherzer is coming off of a historical two-game stretch, where he struck out 26 batters in back-to-back complete game shutouts. The odds are against him, but he certainly has the matchup to make it three complete game shutouts in a row. The Phillies are ranked dead last in wOBA (.279) against right-handed pitching and they average the fifth-fewest pitches per plate appearance. Scherzer is obviously the top rated pitcher on the board tonight, but can you justify paying that expensive price tag? Targeting Scherzer leaves you with an average remaining salary per player of $2,813 on FanDuel and $4,000 on DraftKings.

Pitcher Rating:99.3


Aaron Harang : FD: $6,900 — DK: $6,400

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 299.1 — SIERA: 4.22 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 7.6% — FB Rate: 40.6% — HR/FB: 6.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.2 — SIERA: 4.62 — K%: 16.3% — BB%: 7.8% — FB Rate: 48.4% — HR/FB: 18.2%

Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.344 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 25)

Analysis: Harang has not pitched well in his recent starts, posting a 4.62 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 16.3%. He is a streaky pitcher that is currently in less than stellar form. While the Nationals’ offense is ranked right around the major league average in wOBA (.320) against right-handed pitching, they should be able to get to Harang tonight. Add in the fact that he will see little to no run support tonight, and Harang is an easy pitcher to avoid in all league formats.

Pitcher Rating:49.2

Batter Grind Down

Washington

Since the start of last season, Aaron Harang has allowed a .326 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Even though this game has one of the lowest run totals on the board, the Nationals have the 17th highest team total, which isn’t terrible. Bryce Harper deserves consideration as an elite play, while Denard Span and Anthony Rendon are also in play as secondary options.

Elite Plays

Editor’s Note: Harper is not in the lineup tonight.

Bryce Harper : FD: — DK: $5,700

Position Eligibility: FD: — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 486 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.252 — wRC+: 161
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.532 — ISO: 0.378 — wRC+: 246

Secondary Plays:

Anthony Rendon : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 568 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 127
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 151

Denard Span : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 641 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 132
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.021 — wRC+: 110


Philadelphia

Max Scherzer has had one of the best two-game stretches in the history of baseball. He is going for his third straight complete game shutout tonight. The Phillies’ offense has been a thorn in the side of us DFS players recently, but they are still the worst hitting team against right-handed pitching. It’s hard to see Philadelphia putting up much of a fight tonight against Scherzer.

Elite Plays

NONE

Secondary Plays:

NONE


Atlanta at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM EST

Atlanta Pittsburgh
atlantamlb Williams Perez pittsburghmlb Francisco Liriano
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT (-189) 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.276 0.793 0.348 16.5% SP vs. Left 0.257 0.701 0.314 28.40%
SP vs. Right 0.220 0.589 0.280 20.6% SP vs. Right 0.191 0.589 0.268 26.60%
Batter Splits ATL BvP ATL vs L Batter Splits PIT vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Williams Perez : FD: $5,800 — DK: $4,900

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 45.1 — SIERA: 4.35 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 10.9% — FB Rate: 27.7% — HR/FB: 11.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 38.0 — SIERA: 4.53 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 10.1% — FB Rate: 30.9% — HR/FB: 8.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 16)

Analysis: Perez is a young pitcher that has struggled with his command in his first season as a major leaguer. On the season, he has a 4.35 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.8% and a walk rate of 10.9%. We like to see consistency from our starting pitching and that’s just not something that Perez provides. He should be avoided tonight against a Pirates’ offense that is very talented, but underperforming this season.

Pitcher Rating:45.6


Francisco Liriano : FD: $9,900 — DK: $10,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 250.2 — SIERA: 3.31 — K%: 26.9% — BB%: 10.5% — FB Rate: 26.6% — HR/FB: 12.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.2 — SIERA: 1.84 — K%: 32.0% — BB%: 3.9% — FB Rate: 24.4% — HR/FB: 10.0%

Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.282 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 17.9% (Rank: 10)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 17)

Analysis: Liriano has been terrific in his recent starts, posting a 1.84 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 32.0% over the last month. The most impressive statistic during that stretch may be his walk rate of 3.9%. Liriano with an improved command is a scary proposition for his opponents. Liriano draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Braves, who are ranked 29th in wOBA (.282) and 23rd in strikeout rate (23.3%) against left-handed pitching this season. Liriano also gets to face the Braves at home in the pitcher-friendly confines of PNC Park.

Pitcher Rating:91.3

Batter Grind Down

Atlanta

The Braves’ offense was average at best with Freddie Freeman in the lineup. Without Freeman, they have one of the least potent offenses in all of baseball. Francisco Liriano pitches well at PNC Park and he has been very efficient against right-handed hitters over the last two seasons, holding them to a .268 wOBA. The Braves should be avoided tonight in Pittsburgh.

Elite Plays

NONE

Secondary Plays:

NONE


Pittsburgh

The Pirates come into tonight’s game with the ninth-highest team total on the board. They draw a favorable matchup against Williams Perez, who has a bad habit of giving his opponents free base passes. The left-handed hitters have the splits in their favor tonight, but the right-handed bats are in play as well. The Pirates’ offense has let us down a lot this season, but they are in a great spot tonight at home.

Elite Plays

Neil Walker : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 667 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 126
Last 14 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.245 — ISO: 0.040 — wRC+: 54

Gregory Polanco : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 444 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.126 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.190 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 16

Secondary Plays:

Andrew McCutchen : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 767 — wOBA: 0.401 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 160
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 134

Pedro Alvarez : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 563 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.229 — ISO: 0.037 — wRC+: 43


Texas at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST

Texas Toronto
texasmlb Nick Martinez torontomlb Mark Buehrle
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR (-163) 9.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.253 0.761 0.336 12.5% SP vs. Left 0.269 0.758 0.332 13.50%
SP vs. Right 0.278 0.783 0.343 13.5% SP vs. Right 0.282 0.740 0.323 13.10%
Batter Splits TEX BvP TEX vs L Batter Splits TOR BvP TOR vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Nick Martinez : FD: $6,400 — DK: $5,500

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 224.2 — SIERA: 5.04 — K%: 13.0% — BB%: 8.6% — FB Rate: 42.2% — HR/FB: 7.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 4.77 — K%: 14.8% — BB%: 8.9% — FB Rate: 30.9% — HR/FB: 10.0%

Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.360 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 13)

Analysis: Martinez has one of the lowest strikeout rates of any qualified starter. Since the start of last season, he has only struck out 13.0% of the batters that he has faced. If there was ever a spot for the Blue Jays to score 100 runs, this would be it. Toronto is ranked fourth in wOBA (.331) against right-handed pitching and fourth in wOBA (.360) over the last 14 days. Martinez just edged out Justin Nicolino for the worst pitcher rating on the board tonight.

Pitcher Rating:30.4


Mark Buehrle : FD: $7,600 — DK: $6,500

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 294.1 — SIERA: 4.39 — K%: 13.2% — BB%: 5.2% — FB Rate: 33.4% — HR/FB: 7.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 38.0 — SIERA: 4.03 — K%: 12.4% — BB%: 2.8% — FB Rate: 30.8% — HR/FB: 5.4%

Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 23.9% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.282 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 27)
Pitchers per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 12)

Analysis: We go from one low-strikeout pitcher in Nick Martinez, to another one in Mark Buehrle. Since the start of 2014, Buehrle has only struck out 13.2% of the batters that he has faced. Buehrle has a much lower SIERA than Martinez, but his strikeout potential is nearly identical. The Rangers have not hit left-handed pitching well this season, but there is no reason to target Buehrle tonight in one of the best hitter’s parks in all of baseball.

Pitcher Rating:47.9

Batter Grind Down

Texas

Even though the Rangers have one of the lowest team wOBAs against left-handed pitching this season, this is a matchup that should fit their eye. Since the start of 2014, Mark Buehrle has given up a .323+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. The right-handed hitters in this lineup are the preferred targets, but the left-handed bats are also in play tonight.

Elite Plays

Adrian Beltre : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 228 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 149
Last 14 Days: PA: 13 — wOBA: 0.136 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -30

Secondary Plays:

Prince Fielder : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 183 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 150

Ryan Rua : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 20 — wOBA: 0.212 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 23

Adam Rosales : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 134 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 14 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 129


Toronto

The Blue Jays have the highest team total on the board tonight. They get to face a low-strikeout pitcher in one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in all of baseball. The Blue Jays mash right-handed pitching as a team and should be in for a big offensive outing tonight. Load up on Blue Jays tonight in both cash games and tournaments.

Elite Plays

Jose Bautista : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,800

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 764 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.244 — wRC+: 149
Last 14 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.304 — wRC+: 156

Jose Reyes : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 624 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 105
Last 14 Days: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.253 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 54

Secondary Plays:

Josh Donaldson : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 777 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.264 — ISO: 0.061 — wRC+: 62

Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 662 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.275 — wRC+: 139
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.152 — wRC+: 124

Russell Martin : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 561 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 140
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 114

Chris Colabello : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 285 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 154


Chicago White Sox at Detroit – 7:08 PM EST

Chicago White Sox Detroit
whitesoxmlb Jose Quintana detroitmlb Anibal Sanchez
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
DET (-168) 8.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.240 0.652 0.287 22.8% SP vs. Left 0.214 0.600 0.266 22.70%
SP vs. Right 0.265 0.701 0.310 20.2% SP vs. Right 0.251 0.712 0.311 18.30%
Batter Splits CHW BvP CWS vs R Batter Splits DET BvP DET vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jose Quintana : FD: $7,700 — DK: $7,400

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 287.2 — SIERA: 3.61 — K%: 20.9% — BB%: 6.5% — FB Rate: 32.9% — HR/FB: 6.4%
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.1 — SIERA: 4.23 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 7.8% — FB Rate: 33.7% — HR/FB: 11.4%

Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 23.7% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 21.0% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 9)

Analysis: Quintana has been very up and down this season. He started the season off slowly, finally regained his form, and now he is struggling again. Over the last month, he has a mediocre 4.23 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.6%. Tonight he runs into the buzzsaw that is the Tigers’ offense. Detroit is ranked second in wOBA (.337) against left-handed pitching and seventh in wOBA (.334) at home this season. Quintana should be avoided in all league formats.

Pitcher Rating:60.8


Anibal Sanchez : FD: $8,700 — DK: $8,700

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 224.0 — SIERA: 3.68 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 6.2% — FB Rate: 36.5% — HR/FB: 8.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.2 — SIERA: 3.81 — K%: 20.1% — BB%: 6.9% — FB Rate: 33.7% — HR/FB: 11.4%

Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.280 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 18)
Pitchers per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 22)

Analysis: Sanchez has an ERA that is a full run higher than his SIERA. When that happens to a pitcher, his price on DFS sites is typically lower than it should be, as the earned runs count against him. Sanchez is an affordable pitching option tonight at home against the White Sox, who are ranked 23rd in wOBA (.296) and 27th in wOBA (.280) over the last 14 days. Sanchez is a large favorite with decent strikeout potential. He deserves consideration in both cash games and tournaments tonight.

Pitcher Rating:73.1

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

As crazy as it sounds, the White Sox have the third-fewest home runs of any team in the majors this season. They don’t hit left or right-handed pitching particularly well and they draw a difficult matchup tonight against Anibal Sanchez. Jose Abreu and Adam Eaton have both been hitting the ball well recently, but both are secondary options tonight on the road.

Elite Plays

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Jose Abreu : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 686 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.236 — wRC+: 148
Last 14 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.107 — wRC+: 118

Adam Eaton : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 600 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.401 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 157


Detroit

The Tigers get to face Jose Quintana at the right time. He comes into tonight’s game in less than stellar form. The Tigers are one of the best offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching and they should find some success tonight at home, as their lineup may exclusively feature right-handed bats.

Elite Plays

Rajai Davis : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 219 — wOBA: 0.407 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 163
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 136

Secondary Plays:

Miguel Cabrera : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 234 — wOBA: 0.402 — ISO: 0.249 — wRC+: 160
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.530 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 248

Victor Martinez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 191 — wOBA: 0.473 — ISO: 0.298 — wRC+: 209
Last 14 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 153

Ian Kinsler : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 244 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.127 — wRC+: 96
Last 14 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.217 — ISO: 0.075 — wRC+: 30


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious