MLB Grind Down: Monday, July 27th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2015-07-29 17:45:27

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.

Note: For more info on DFS MLB scoring systems on the two largest sites, check out our DraftKings review and FanDuel review.

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Atlanta at Baltimore – 7:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Atlanta					Baltimore
			Alex Wood					Kevin Gausman
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BAL (-177)					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.256	0.642	0.286	23.1%	SP vs. Left	0.260	0.731	0.323	18.00%
SP vs. Right	0.258	0.709	0.314	21.0%	SP vs. Right	0.241	0.655	0.289	20.10%
Batter Splits	ATL BvP		ATL vs R		Batter Splits	BAL BvP		BAL vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Alex Wood : FD: $7,900 — DK: $7,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 283.2 — SIERA: 3.54 — ERA: 3.17 — K%: 21.5% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 4.08 — ERA: 4.91 — K%: 18.6% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 1.1

Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.282 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)

Analysis: Try as he might, Wood has not been able to recover his 2014 form this season. He has struggled over the last month of play, posting a 4.08 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.6%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Orioles in Camden Yards. While the Orioles may not have the best offensive numbers against southpaws, but they have a lot of power in their lineup and they are a good hitting team at home. Even though starting pitching is a joke tonight, Wood is still an easy one to avoid in all league formats.

Pitcher Rating:61.1

Kevin Gausman : FD: $6,000 — DK: $4,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 146.1 — SIERA: 4.06 — ERA: 3.94 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 16.0 — SIERA: 3.77 — ERA: 6.19 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.7

Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.259 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 18)

Analysis: Gausman is a very interesting value pitcher tonight. There aren’t any clear choices at the position, which leaves us with a number of different routes that we can take. His ERA may suggest another story, but Gausman has pitched well recently with a 3.77 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 21.1%. He is one of the biggest favorites on the board tonight, as he faces a Braves’ offense that is ranked 22nd in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. At his price, he could be an extremely cheap source to pick up a win.

Pitcher Rating:71.0

Batter Grind Down

Atlanta

Freddie Freeman is back in the Braves’ lineup, which should help bolster their offense immediately. While Atlanta fans have to be happy about that, he’s really the only threat in their lineup right now. He deserves a look tonight against Kevin Gausman, who has given up a .323 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The rest of the Braves’ offense can be avoided.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Freddie Freeman : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 708 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.206 — wRC+: 151
Last 14 Days: PA: 1 — wOBA: 0.000 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -100

Baltimore

The Orioles draw a favorable matchup tonight against Alex Wood, who has not been the same pitcher that he was last season. Wood has given up a .349 wOBA to right-handed hitters this season.

Elite Plays:

Adam Jones : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 241 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.258 — wRC+: 175
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.289 — wRC+: 171

Secondary Plays:

Manny Machado : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 191 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 108
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.258 — wRC+: 162

J.J. Hardy : FD: $2,700 — DK: $2,900

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 215 — wOBA: 0.251 — ISO: 0.088 — wRC+: 54
Last 14 Days: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 118

Detroit at Tampa Bay – 7:10 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Detroit					Tampa Bay
			Anibal Sanchez					Nate Karns
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TBR (-119)					7.0
SP vs. Left	0.214	0.608	0.270	22.2%	SP vs. Left	0.238	0.654	0.295	26.90%
SP vs. Right	0.254	0.000	0.323	18.3%	SP vs. Right	0.212	0.695	0.302	18.10%
Batter Splits	DET BvP		DET vs R		Batter Splits	TBR BvP		TB vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Anibal Sanchez : FD: $8,700 — DK: $10,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 257.1 — SIERA: 3.76 — ERA: 4.02 — K%: 20.5% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.1 — SIERA: 4.42 — ERA: 4.59 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 1.6

Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.289 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.265 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 22.7% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)

Analysis: Sanchez has not been sharp recently, posting a 4.42 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.8% and a walk rate of 9.7%. He has the right matchup to get back on track tonight though, as the Rays are ranked 29th in team wOBA and 26th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The biggest issue here is his salary. He is over $10,000 on DraftKings, which is too expensive for a pitcher that has been struggling to find his form. There are better and safer pitching options tonight.

Pitcher Rating:66.0

Nate Karns : FD: $7,600 — DK: $8,700

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 121.0 — SIERA: 3.73 — ERA: 3.57 — K%: 22.9% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.0 — SIERA: 3.19 — ERA: 4.13 — K%: 25.5% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.8

Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.330 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 18)
Pitchers per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 11)

Analysis: Karns has pitched well over the last two seasons with a 3.73 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 22.9%. The good news is that he doesn’t have to face Miguel Cabrera tonight. The bad news is that he has to face the rest of the Tigers’ offense. On the season, Detroit is ranked third in team wOBA and 12th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The price point is more appealing than that of his pitching counterpart, but I’m not sure that I will have any exposure to Karns tonight.

Pitcher Rating:73.1

Batter Grind Down

Detroit

The Tigers are one of the best hitting teams against right-handed pitching this season, but they draw a mediocre matchup against Nate Karns in the pitcher-friendly Tropicana Field. Since the start of the 2014 season, Karns has held left and right-handed hitters under a .305 wOBA. The Tigers should be considered secondary fantasy options tonight.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

J.D. Martinez : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 663 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 148
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 118

Victor Martinez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 690 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 127
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.276 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 71

Tampa Bay

The Rays are small favorites tonight at home, but the total for the game is set at only 7.0 runs. They draw a decent matchup against Anibal Sanchez, who has really struggled over the last month of play. John Jaso may not have the splits in his favor against Sanchez, but at his price point, I still like him as an elite play tonight. Evan Longoria and Logan Forsythe are both secondary options at their respective positions.

Elite Plays:

John Jaso : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 364 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.178 — wRC+: 133
Last 14 Days: PA: 30 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.107 — wRC+: 109

Secondary Plays:

Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 456 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.077 — wRC+: 95
Last 14 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.416 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 177

Evan Longoria : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 831 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 98
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.165 — ISO: 0.111 — wRC+: 1

Chicago White Sox at Boston – 7:10 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Chicago White Sox					Boston
			John Danks					Joe Kelly
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BOS (-126)					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.232	0.664	0.297	12.2%	SP vs. Left	0.241	0.695	0.312	17.50%
SP vs. Right	0.283	0.835	0.363	16.4%	SP vs. Right	0.268	0.000	0.339	16.60%
Batter Splits	CHW BvP		CWS vs R		Batter Splits	BOS BvP		BOS vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

John Danks : FD: $6,400 — DK: $6,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 298.0 — SIERA: 4.56 — ERA: 4.71 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.0 — SIERA: 4.40 — ERA: 2.25 — K%: 18.4% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 0.0

Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.247 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)

Analysis: Danks has thrown shutouts in three of his last four starts. They weren’t complete game shutouts, but that’s still impressive coming from one of our favorite pitchers to stack against. Even though he has been better recently, his indicators suggest that he has basically been the same pitcher, as he has a 4.40 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 18.4% over the last month of play. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Red Sox, who strikeout at a low rate and take a lot of pitches. Give the edge to Boston in this matchup.

Pitcher Rating:41.1

Joe Kelly : FD: $6,300 — DK: $5,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 176.1 — SIERA: 4.26 — ERA: 4.90 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 9.6% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.1 — SIERA: 3.48 — ERA: 6.75 — K%: 26.1% — BB%: 4.4% — HR/9: 5.1

Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 24.2% (Rank: 26)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 21)

Analysis: Kelly has been an average pitcher over the last two seasons, posting a 4.26 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.1%. While he does draw a favorable matchup against the White Sox, he is not on my radar tonight. He doesn’t provide the type of strikeout potential that I’m looking for and he has to pitch in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park. I’d rather take my chances with Kevin Gausman at this price point.

Pitcher Rating:62.4

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox see a favorable ballpark shift tonight, as they square off against Joe Kelly in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park. Kelly is a reverse-splits pitcher, but he has also given up a .312 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Jose Abreu is the top target here, but don’t count out the left-handed bats of Melky Cabrera and Adam LaRoche.

Elite Plays:

Jose Abreu : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 769 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 143
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.266 — ISO: 0.083 — wRC+: 63

Secondary Plays:

Melky Cabrera : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 761 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.268 — wRC+: 151

Adam LaRoche : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 704 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 130
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.142 — ISO: 0.025 — wRC+: -24

Boston

The Red Sox have one of the best matchups on the board tonight. As I mentioned above, we shouldn’t buy into John Danks recent hot stretch, as the indicators suggest that he has been the same pitcher that we have seen all season. All of the right-handed hitters in the Red Sox lineup are in play tonight, as Danks has given up a .363 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate over the last two seasons.

Elite Plays:

Hanley Ramirez : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 213 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 142
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.226 — ISO: 0.027 — wRC+: 34

Xander Bogaerts : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 264 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 125
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.049 — wRC+: 110

Secondary Plays:

David Ortiz : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 297 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 95
Last 14 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.267 — wRC+: 131

Mookie Betts : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 155 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 96
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.181 — ISO: 0.054 — wRC+: 3

Mike Napoli : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 234 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 147
Last 14 Days: PA: 28 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 169

Kansas City at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Kansas City					Cleveland
			Edinson Volquez					Cody Anderson
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE (-109)					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.224	0.676	0.299	18.6%	SP vs. Left	0.208	0.645	0.280	9.10%
SP vs. Right	0.239	0.662	0.298	16.7%	SP vs. Right	0.232	0.504	0.222	10.00%
Batter Splits			KC vs R		Batter Splits	CLE BvP		CLE vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Edinson Volquez : FD: $8,600 — DK: $8,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 312.2 — SIERA: 4.18 — ERA: 3.08 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 8.6% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.1 — SIERA: 3.75 — ERA: 2.72 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 0.7

Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.288 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.92 (Rank: 3)

Analysis: Volquez is coming off of a terrific outing against the Pirates, where he struck out eight batters over seven and two-third innings. He has a more difficult matchup tonight though, as the Indians strikeout at a low rate and take a lot of pitches. After his recent start, Volquez is a little overpriced for a pitcher with a strikeout rate of 17.6% over the last two seasons. He’s not the worst pitching option on the board, but there are better plays for both cash games and tournaments.

Pitcher Rating:59.0

Cody Anderson : FD: $6,200 — DK: $8,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 33.0 — SIERA: 4.53 — ERA: 1.91 — K%: 9.6% — BB%: 2.4% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.1 — SIERA: 4.77 — ERA: 2.49 — K%: 8.3% — BB%: 2.1% — HR/9: 1.1

Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 15.9% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.334 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 14.3% (Rank: 1)
Pitchers per PA: 3.66 (Rank: 30)

Analysis: I like to compare Anderson to Chi Chi Gonzalez. Both players had terrific starts in their first few outings, but both pitcher’s indicators didn’t exactly bode well for their future. On the season, Anderson’s SIERA is a full two and a half runs higher than his ERA. He also has one of the lowest strikeout rates of any starting pitcher at only 9.6%. Regression is going to hit hard soon and I don’t want to be on the Anderson bandwagon when it happens. He can safely be avoided tonight against the Royals.

Pitcher Rating:41.9

Batter Grind Down

Kansas City

The Royals are the toughest team to strikeout in baseball and tonight they face a pitcher that has a strikeout rate below 10%. They should be able to make great contact against Cody Anderson, who will likely be experiencing some regression here shortly. Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas, and Alcides Escobar are all in play tonight in Cleveland.

Elite Plays:

Eric Hosmer : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 626 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 121
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.466 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 206

Secondary Plays:

Mike Moustakas : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 625 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.415 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 170

Alcides Escobar : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 739 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.078 — wRC+: 87
Last 14 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.273 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 71

Cleveland

The Indians draw a mediocre matchup against Edinson Volquez, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Indians are not that dominant offense that they were earlier in the season, but they still have a few targetable hitters in their lineup. Michael Brantley is a borderline elite play tonight at home, while Jason Kipnis and Francisco Lindor are secondary options at their respective positions.

Elite Plays:

Michael Brantley : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,800

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 666 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 155
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.488 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 225

Secondary Plays:

Jason Kipnis : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 644 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 137
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.061 — wRC+: 103

Francisco Lindor : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.283 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 81
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 151

Colorado at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Colorado					Chicago Cubs
			Jorge De La Rosa					Kyle Hendricks
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CHC (-169)					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.226	0.640	0.284	25.4%	SP vs. Left	0.248	0.673	0.297	16.80%
SP vs. Right	0.237	0.750	0.330	17.9%	SP vs. Right	0.241	0.631	0.279	19.40%
Batter Splits	COL BvP		COL vs R		Batter Splits	CHC BvP		CHC vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jorge De La Rosa : FD: $6,700 — DK: $7,700

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 272.0 — SIERA: 4.03 — ERA: 4.27 — K%: 19.6% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.0 — SIERA: 3.71 — ERA: 3.60 — K%: 24.4% — BB%: 10.6% — HR/9: 1.8

Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.280 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 25.4% (Rank: 28)
Pitchers per PA: 3.99 (Rank: 1)

Analysis: De La Rosa has pitched well recently with a 3.71 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 24.4% over the last month of play. He draws a plus-matchup tonight against the Cubs, who have the seventh-highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. De La Rosa is probably a bit underpriced thanks to the fact that half of his starts are in Coors Field, but it’s hard to justify targeting a pitcher that is such a large underdog. It won’t hurt to fade De La Rosa tonight, but he may be worth a look as a deep tournament play.

Pitcher Rating:59.7

Kyle Hendricks : FD: $7,300 — DK: $8,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 191.0 — SIERA: 3.63 — ERA: 3.16 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 2.90 — ERA: 1.69 — K%: 24.2% — BB%: 4.0% — HR/9: 0.3

Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.338 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 10)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 22)

Analysis: Hendricks has been absolutely terrific in his recent outings, posting a 2.90 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.2% over the last month of play. The best part is that his price has not caught up to his recent level of production. He is one of the best values on the board tonight. He does draw a difficult matchup against the Rockies, but they are a different team offensively away from Coors. I see Hendricks as more of an SP2 tonight, but I wouldn’t completely rule him out on single-pitcher sites either.

Pitcher Rating:80.5

Batter Grind Down

Colorado

The Rockies go from the best hitters park in baseball to Wrigley Field, where the wind is blowing in from center field. This is expected to be a low-scoring game and their matchup against Kyle Hendricks is a difficult one. Since the start of the 2014 season, Hendricks has held left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 794 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.100 — wRC+: 137

Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 458 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.249 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 29 — wOBA: 0.460 — ISO: 0.370 — wRC+: 183

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs draw a decent matchup tonight against Jorge De La Rosa, who has given up a .330 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. De La Rosa has been effective against hitters from the left side of the plate though, so make sure to only target the right-handed bats in the Cubs’ lineup tonight.

Elite Plays:

Kris Bryant : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 76 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 138
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.264 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 62

Secondary Plays:

Dexter Fowler : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 212 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 144
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.029 — wRC+: 145