MLB Grind Down: Saturday, August 1 - Page Two

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2015-08-01 18:47:14

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM EST

Pittsburgh					Cincinnati
			Gerrit Cole					Raisel Iglesias
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			PIT (-149)					8
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.237	0.658	0.295	0.243	SP vs. Left	0.359	0.885	0.388	0.153
SP vs. Right	0.24	0.652	0.289	0.245	SP vs. Right	0.2	0.698	0.307	0.301
Batter Splits			PIT vs R		Batter Splits	CIN BvP		CIN vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Gerrit Cole

Cincinnati Reds vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 15)
Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 7)

Cole has been a very solid starter for the Pirates this year. He comes into this game with a SIERA of 2.93 and has just as much upside as any other pitcher on the slate due to his 24.6% strikeout rate. Cole does face a Reds team that he has struggled against so far this year as he has given up 11 earned runs in three starts (14.2 innings). With that said, he is up there with the likes of Keuchel, DeGrom and Lynn for being a top option on this slate for all formats. Rating = 8

Salaries: $10,800 FD, $10,600 DK

Raisel Iglesias

Pitssburgh Pirates vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 19)
Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 22)

Raisel Iglesias has not been the most trustable of fantasy starters. He comes into this game with a 5.53 ERA, but his advanced statistics do suggest that he has been pitching better than his ERA shows (3.63 SIERA). Iglesias does have some strikeout potential as well with a 22.7% strikeout rate, and does have an average matchup against the Reds. Run support may be tough, but Iglesias could be used as an SP2 or a tournament play at his salary. Rating = 6

Salaries: $6,300 FD, $5,000 DK

Batter Grind Down

Pittsburgh

Iglesias has allowed a wOBA of .300+ to batters from both sides of the plate. This Pirates squad is swinging a hot set of bats, as they have put up 28 runs over the last four starts. They may be a decent option who should be owned at a low percentage.

Elite Plays:

Andrew McCutchen
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.210— OBP: 0.389

Gregory Polanco
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.133 — OBP: 0.326

Secondary Plays:

Jung-Ho Kang
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.124 — OBP: 0.364

Starling Marte
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.141 — OBP: 0.336

Cincinnati

Cole has been solid all year long and has held batters from both sides of the plate to a wOBA of less than .284. Votto could be used as a tournament play tonight, but your salary money is best spent somewhere else.

Elite Plays:

None

Secondary Plays:

Joey Votto
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.421 — ISO: 0.251 — OBP: 0.427

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee – 7:10 PM EST

Chicago Cubs					Milwaukee
			Kyle Hendricks					Matt Garza
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CHC (-125)					8
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.248	0.673	0.297	0.168	SP vs. Left	0.259	0.735	0.325	0.168
SP vs. Right	0.241	0.631	0.279	0.194	SP vs. Right	0.253	0.706	0.309	0.177
Batter Splits	CHC BvP		CHC vs R		Batter Splits	MIL BvP		MIL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Kyle Hendricks

Milwaukee Brewers vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 20)
Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 20)

Hendricks has had two poor starts in a row, but his peripheral stats over the last six games are very solid as he sports a 3.15 SIERA and a 23% strikeout rate. He has a decent matchup today against a Brewers squad that is in the bottom third of the league in both wOBA and strikeout rate against righties. Facing this Brewers squad without Gomez is a nice boost to Hendricks, which makes him a decent SP2 this afternoon. Rating = 6.5

Salaries: $7,100 FD, $7,100 DK

Matt Garza

Chicago Cubs vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 25)
Strikeout Rate: 24.3% (Rank: 29)

Since coming off the DL, Garza has had two decent starts in a row allowing three total earned runs, and nine strikeouts in 11.2 innings. Prior to going on the DL, Garza’s main problem was his 1.38 HR/9 rate (17 home runs in 18 innings). This could be the start of an improved Garza, yet more needs to be seen before he is trustable at all. He is a small underdog tonight with a total of eight. Avoid him until he can string together a few more quality starts. Rating = 4.5

Salaries: $6,200 FD, $5,300 DK

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

Garza was a home run allowing machine earlier in the season, which could bode well for this free-swinging offense of the Cubs. They are great tournament plays tonight and could be used in all formats.

Elite Plays:

Anthony Rizzo
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.255 — OBP: 0.374

Kris Bryant
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.184 — OBP: 0.353

Kyle Schwarber
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.487 — ISO: 0.277 — OBP: 0.472

Secondary Plays:

Dexter Fowler
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.158 — OBP: 0.320

Chris Coghlan
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.192 — OBP: 0.347

Milwaukee

Hendricks has been solid over the course of the season, yet has allowed a .330 wOBA to left-handed bats. Lind is in a good spot tonight, while Braun is a tournament play.

Elite Plays:

Adam Lind
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.239 — OBP: 0.378

Secondary Plays:

Ryan Braun
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.204 — OBP: 0.320

NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox – 7:10 PM EST

NY Yankees					Chicago White Sox
			Bryan Mitchell					John Danks
								LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CHW (0)					0
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.214	0.67	0.302	0.219	SP vs. Left	0.232	0.664	0.297	0.122
SP vs. Right	0.255	0.654	0.294	0.177	SP vs. Right	0.283	0.835	0.363	0.164
Batter Splits	NYY BvP		NYY vs L		Batter Splits	CHW BvP
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Bryan Mitchell

Chicago White Sox vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 23)
Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 19)

Mitchell will be getting the start tonight for the Yankees. Coming out of the bullpen to make his second career start, Mitchell will have extremely limited upside due to most likely giving the Yankees 4-5 innings tops. Avoid him in all formats. Rating = 3

Salaries: $4,600 FD, $4,900 DK

John Danks

New York Yankees vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.334 (Rank: 3)
Strikeout Rate: 18.3% (Rank: 4)

We didn’t really think Danks could possibly pitch well for three consecutive starts right? Well, his two-game scoreless streak came to a quick end with a six earned run performance to the Red Sox in his last start. Even with the recent solid starts, Danks has posted a 4.44 SIERA over the last month and is always one of the top options to stack against regardless of matchup. He has a tough one today against the Yankees and should be avoided. Rating = 3

Salaries: $6,200 FD, $5,400 DK

Batter Grind Down

NY Yankees

Any time Danks takes the mound, we can look at the offense he is facing as one of the top options of the day. Tonight is no different as the Yankees are red-hot right now and the righties should be attacked as Danks has allowed a wOBA of .380 to right-handed bats on the year and are the top stack of the night slate.

Elite Plays:

Chris Young
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.477 — ISO: 0.340 — OBP: 0.426

Alex Rodriguez
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.440 — ISO: 0.362 — OBP: 0.415

Mark Teixeira
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.190 — OBP: 0.381

Secondary Plays:

Brett Gardner
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.157 — OBP: 0.366

Jacoby Ellsbury
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.063 — OBP: 0.333

Chicago White Sox

This White Sox offense has been on the ball recently, which has led to their overall great performance over the last two weeks. Tonight, they will go up against a make shift amount of relievers and the offense should be able to put up a few runs.

Elite Plays:

Jose Abreu
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.212 — OBP: 0.357

Adam Eaton
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.185 — OBP: 0.369

Melky Cabrera
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.107 — OBP: 0.335

Secondary Plays:

Tyler Saladino
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.083 — OBP: 0.317

Washington at NY Mets – 7:10 PM EST

Washington					NY Mets
			Joe Ross					Jacob Degrom
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			NYM (-145)					6.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.292	0.771	0.337	0.196	SP vs. Left	0.218	0.598	0.269	0.244
SP vs. Right	0.184	0.395	0.179	0.308	SP vs. Right	0.201	0.537	0.238	0.27
Batter Splits	WAS BvP		WAS vs R		Batter Splits			NYM vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Joe Ross

New York Mets vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 26)
Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 16)

Ross has been decent in his first five major league starts for the Nationals. He has a very solid 2.50 SIERA to begin his career, while posting an extremely solid 26.4% strikeout rate. The strikeouts are not something I think we can expect to continue as he only posted a 16.1% rate in Triple AAA before coming into the majors. He gets one of the best matchups on the board against the inept Mets offense and should be viewed as a good cheap option on this slate. Rating = 6.5

Salaries: $6,200 FD, $7,500 DK

Jacob Degrom

Washington Nationals vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 14)
Strikeout Rate: 21.0% (Rank: 23)

deGrom has been stellar this year for the Mets. He brings his sub 3.00 SIERA into this matchup with the Nationals and has been pitching very well recently as well. He has not allowed more than three earned runs in his last 13 starts, while continuing to strike guys out at an elite rate during that span (29.3%). deGrom has a decent matchup against the Nationals who are middle of the road against right-handed pitching and strikeout at a 21% clip. He is a top pitching option for the night slate and has a great price at DK. Rating = 9

Salaries: $11,300 FD, $11,800 DK

Batter Grind Down

Washington

deGrom should be able to shut down this Nationals offense tonight as they have the lowest team total of the slate at 2.89. They are an easy offense to avoid.

Elite Plays:

None

Secondary Plays:

None

NY Mets

This Mets offense is not exactly world-beaters, but they do have a few lefties that could get to the young right-handed pitcher tonight. They are tournament plays only where they are cheap and there are much better options on the night slate.

Elite Plays:

None

Secondary Plays:

Curtis Granderson
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.216 — OBP: 0.390

Lucas Duda
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.208 — OBP: 0.337

Arizona at Houston – 7:10 PM EST

Arizona					Houston
			Jeremy Hellickson					Dallas Keuchel
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			HOU (-194)					7.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.253	0.712	0.311	0.187	SP vs. Left	0.197	0.505	0.227	0.259
SP vs. Right	0.276	0.801	0.347	0.204	SP vs. Right	0.243	0.641	0.286	0.182
Batter Splits	ARI BvP		ARI vs L		Batter Splits	HOU BvP		HOU vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jeremy Hellickson

Houston Astros vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 8)
Strikeout Rate: 24.6% (Rank: 30)

Hellickson has been pitching pretty well over the last month. In July, Hellboy has a SIERA of 3.13 (1.88 ERA) as he has only allowed five earned runs in 24 innings pitched. All four of these starts have come in very hitter-friendly environments as well, which makes it even more impressive. It is still hard to trust Hellickson at the moment, but he is trending in the right way and could be used as a cheap tournament play today, but with a good amount of risk attached. Rating = 4

Salaries: $7,000 FD, $6,300 DK

Dallas Keuchel

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 7)
Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 13)

Keuchel has been a bit hit or miss over the last two months. He has had some really amazing shut down starts during this span, as well as has given up five earned runs in a few starts. Every time he takes the mound though, he has a very solid upside as he sports a SIERA of 2.63 and a strikeout rate of 22.5%. He has a decent matchup against the Diamondbacks if he can get around Goldschmidt and Pollock and is one of the safer options on the night slate. Rating = 8.5

Salaries: $10,500 FD, $11,200 DK

Batter Grind Down

Arizona

The only guys we can somewhat trust tonight are Goldschmidt and Pollock, yet they are priced way to high in this matchup to give them a chance except for a deep tournament play.

Elite Plays:

None

Secondary Plays:

Paul Goldschmidt
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.487 — ISO: 0.325 — OBP: 0.462

A.J. Pollock
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.184 — OBP: 0.355

Houston

This Houston offense can put up runs in a hurry and have the third-highest team rating of the night slate behind the Yankees and Baltimore. They should be a good source of run production against Hellickson who has allowed a wOBA of .300+ from both sides of the plate.

Elite Plays:

Preston Tucker
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.286 — OBP: 0.361

Jose Altuve
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.113 — OBP: 0.311

Carlos Correa
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.347— ISO: 0.186 — OBP: 0.331

Secondary Plays:

Luis Valbuena
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318— ISO: 0.232 — OBP: 0.289

Carlos Gomez

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