MLB Grind Down: Thursday, August 6th - Page Two

Boston at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

Boston NY Yankees
bostonmlb Eduardo Rodriguez nyyankeesmlb CC Sabathia
LEFT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYY (-144) 9
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.245 0.767 0.328 0.231 SP vs. Left 0.186 0.535 0.236 0.294
SP vs. Right 0.23 0.656 0.294 0.194 SP vs. Right 0.323 0 0.397 0.18
Batter Splits BOS BvP BOS vs L Batter Splits NYY BvP NYY vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Eduardo Rodriguez : FD: $7,700 — DK: $9,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 66.1 — SIERA: 4.11 — ERA: 4.34 — K%: 20.1% — BB%: 8.6% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 20.0 — SIERA: 5.15 — ERA: 5.85 — K%: 13.8% — BB%: 10.3% — HR/9: 2.3

New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.339 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.393 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)

Analysis: Steven Wright dominated the Yankees’ lineup last night, but it’s going to be tough to shut their offense down two nights in a row. Rodriguez has been in awful form recently, posting a 5.15 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 13.8% over the last month of play. He is a sizable underdog tonight in a game that features a total of 9.0 runs. Rodriguez can safely be avoided in all league formats.

Pitcher Rating:42.0


CC Sabathia : FD: $7,200 — DK: $7,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 163.0 — SIERA: 3.54 — ERA: 5.47 — K%: 20.1% — BB%: 4.9% — HR/9: 1.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.0 — SIERA: 4.33 — ERA: 5.32 — K%: 14.0% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 2.1

Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)

Analysis: Given his sample size over the last two seasons, it’s hard to believe that Sabathia’s ERA is nearly two full runs higher than his SIERA. We typically see these two numbers meet in the middle. His biggest issue is that when he gets hit, he gets hit hard. He has been awful against right-handed hitters and he has given up 1.9 home runs per nine innings during that stretch. He’s a sizable favorite tonight at home, but there is more risk than potential reward against the Red Sox.

Pitcher Rating:62.7

Batter Grind Down

Boston

As mentioned above, CC Sabathia has really had problems with right-handed hitters over the last two seasons, allowing a .397 wOBA. He is effective against left-handed bats though, so we only want to target the Red Sox hitters that can hit from the right side of the plate.

Elite Plays:

Hanley Ramirez : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 227 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 130
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.267 — ISO: 0.042 — wRC+: 62

Xander Bogaerts : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: — DK:
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 728 — wOBA: 0.287 — ISO: 0.097 — wRC+: 77
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.018 — wRC+: 91

Secondary Plays:

Mike Napoli : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 249 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 150
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.430 — ISO: 0.341 — wRC+: 176


NY Yankees

The Yankees draw a favorable against Eduardo Rodriguez, who has really struggled in his last few starts. The Yankees are one of the best offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching and they should be able to bounce back, after only scoring a single run in last night’s loss at home.

Elite Plays:

Mark Teixeira : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 281 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.535 — ISO: 0.457 — wRC+: 252

Chris Young : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 212 — wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.240 — wRC+: 146
Last 14 Days: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.490 — ISO: 0.370 — wRC+: 221

Secondary Plays:

Alex Rodriguez : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 129 — wOBA: 0.449 — ISO: 0.356 — wRC+: 192
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.495 — ISO: 0.409 — wRC+: 224

Brett Gardner : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 320 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 105
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.278 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 73

Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 300 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 112
Last 14 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.282 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 76


Minnesota at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST

Minnesota Toronto
minnesotamlb Kyle Gibson torontomlb Mark Buehrle
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR (-178) 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.251 0.686 0.306 0.12 SP vs. Left 0.265 0.735 0.322 0.13
SP vs. Right 0.253 0.687 0.303 0.189 SP vs. Right 0.277 0.729 0.317 0.133
Batter Splits MIN BvP MIN vs L Batter Splits TOR BvP TOR vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Kyle Gibson : FD: $6,700 — DK: $8,400

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 310.1 — SIERA: 4.10 — ERA: 4.00 — K%: 15.3% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 3.38 — ERA: 4.45 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 5.5% — HR/9: 0.9

Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.329 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 15.7% (Rank: 3)
Pitchers per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 14)

Analysis: Gibson has pitched well recently, posting a 3.38 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.3%. His good form doesn’t trump his matchup, though, as he has to face the Blue Jays in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre. On the season, Toronto is ranked third in team wOBA and sixth in team strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. There is more risk than potential reward with Gibson tonight.

Pitcher Rating:47.0


Mark Buehrle : FD: $7,700 — DK: $8,900

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 343.0 — SIERA: 4.33 — ERA: 3.36 — K%: 13.2% — BB%: 4.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.2 — SIERA: 4.32 — ERA: 2.34 — K%: 9.3% — BB%: 0.7% — HR/9: 0.5

Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.288 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 16)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 15)

Analysis: Buehrle may have a 2.34 ERA over the last month of play, but he is not a recommended fantasy option. He has one of the lowest strikeout rates of any qualified starter and his high SIERA suggests that regression is coming his way. Buehrle could pick up the win here, but he will likely give up a few runs in the process. His lack of strikeout potential takes him out of consideration tonight against the Twins.

Pitcher Rating:57.8

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

The Twins draw a favorable matchup against Mark Buehrle and they get to face him in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre. The Twins hit left-handed pitching well as a team and with Buehrle’s splits, hitters from both sides of the plate are in play here.

Elite Plays:

Brian Dozier : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 351 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 94

Aaron Hicks : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 152 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 156
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 124

Secondary Plays:

Trevor Plouffe : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 301 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 104

Miguel Sano : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.240 — ISO: 0.032 — wRC+: 47
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 129


Toronto

The Blue Jays have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Kyle Gibson at home. Gibson has held left and right-handed hitters in check, but it’s hard seeing him have a good outing tonight. The usual suspects from the Blue Jays are in play tonight.

Elite Plays:

Josh Donaldson : FD: $5,200 — DK: $6,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 890 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 122
Last 14 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.479 — ISO: 0.451 — wRC+: 213

Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $4,500 — DK: $5,000

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 575 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 124
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 90

Secondary Plays:

Jose Bautista : FD: $4,700 — DK: $5,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 876 — wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.249 — wRC+: 145
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.271 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 67

Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 767 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.265 — wRC+: 140
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.075 — wRC+: 150


Miami at Atlanta – 7:10 PM EST

Miami Atlanta
miamimlb Jose Urena atlantamlb Matt Wisler
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
ATL (-109) 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.244 0.737 0.325 0.083 SP vs. Left 0.282 0.887 0.379 0.085
SP vs. Right 0.316 0 0.348 0.126 SP vs. Right 0.275 0.744 0.318 0.196
Batter Splits MIA BvP MIA vs R Batter Splits ATL BvP ATL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jose Urena : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 47.1 — SIERA: 5.06 — ERA: 4.37 — K%: 10.5% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 5.24 — ERA: 7.20 — K%: 8.7% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 0.0

Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 17.2% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.267 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 15.6% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 20)

Analysis: Urena has electric stuff, but he has never been able to turn that into an elite strikeout rate at any level. So far in his rookie season, he has a 5.06 SIERA with a very low strikeout rate of 10.5%. While the Braves may not be the most potent offense in baseball, they have the third-lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Urena is an easy pitcher to avoid tonight.

Pitcher Rating:34.0


Matthew Wisler : FD: $6,300 — DK: $7,400

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 46.2 — SIERA: 4.73 — ERA: 4.44 — K%: 14.4% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 4.54 — ERA: 5.52 — K%: 16.3% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 1.5

Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.285 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.246 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 12)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 27)

Analysis: Wisler has been a serviceable pitcher for the Braves this season, posting a 4.73 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 14.4%. While I do like the matchup against the Marlins, I’d prefer him to be in the $5,000 – $6,000 range. He’s a little too expensive for what he brings to the table. There are better pitching options for both cash games and tournaments.

Pitcher Rating:55.1

Batter Grind Down

Miami

The Marlins have one of the least potent offenses in baseball, but they do draw a nice matchup tonight against Matt Wisler, who has given up a .379 wOBA to left-handed hitters this season. Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich, and Derek Dietrich are all viable secondary plays.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Dee Gordon : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 807 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.086 — wRC+: 100
Last 14 Days: PA: 29 — wOBA: 0.215 — ISO: 0.077 — wRC+: 30

Christian Yelich : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 768 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 111
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 98

Derek Dietrich : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 266 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.302 — ISO: 0.214 — wRC+: 90


Atlanta

This game has a low run total, but both of these offenses are in favorable matchups. Jose Urena has given up a .325+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters this season. None of the Braves’ hitters stand out as elite plays, but there is some good value in this lineup.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

A.J. Pierzynski : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 504 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 105
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.434 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 182

Nick Markakis : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 843 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.075 — wRC+: 97

Eury Perez : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.264 — ISO: 0.040 — wRC+: 65
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.290 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 83


San Francisco at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM EST

San Francisco Chicago Cubs
sanfranciscomlb Chris Heston cubsmlb Jason Hammel
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CHC (-118) 7
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.266 0.746 0.328 0.141 SP vs. Left 0.234 0.681 0.299 0.204
SP vs. Right 0.226 0.589 0.263 0.232 SP vs. Right 0.223 0.659 0.288 0.251
Batter Splits SFG BvP SF vs R Batter Splits CHC BvP CHC vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Chris Heston : FD: $7,900 — DK: $9,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 136.0 — SIERA: 3.62 — ERA: 3.31 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 0.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.0 — SIERA: 4.13 — ERA: 1.64 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 8.9% — HR/9: 0.0

Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 24.4% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.98 (Rank: 1)

Analysis: Heston has a 1.64 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators tell another story. During that same stretch, he has a 4.13 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.9%. He draws an intriguing matchup tonight against the Cubs, who have the highest strikeout rate of any team against right-handed pitching this season. The Cubs do take a lot of pitches, but the strikeout potential is still there for Heston. The main concern here is the potential lack of run support with Jason Hammel pitching opposite him.

Pitcher Rating:65.5


Jason Hammel : FD: $8,500 — DK: $10,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 294.1 — SIERA: 3.40 — ERA: 3.33 — K%: 23.0% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 15.1 — SIERA: 4.49 — ERA: 4.70 — K%: 17.4% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 1.2

San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.329 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.340 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 16.1% (Rank: 4)
Pitchers per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 25)

Analysis: Hammel has been very solid over the past two seasons, posting a 3.40 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.0%. The issue tonight is that he has been in bad form recently and he draws a difficult matchup against the Giants, who are ranked third in team wOBA and fourth in team strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The good news is that there is a helping wind blowing in from center field. Given the lack of pitching options tonight, Hammel is in play.

Pitcher Rating:74.3

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

The Giants are one of the best hitting teams in baseball against right-handed pitching. They draw a tough matchup tonight against Jason Hammel, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA over the last two seasons. With the wind blowing in from center, there aren’t really any Giants’ hitters on my radar tonight.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

NONE


Chicago Cubs

The Cubs draw a decent matchup tonight against Chris Heston, who has not fared well against left-handed hitters. On the season, he has given up a .328 wOBA to hitters from the left side of the plate.

Elite Plays:

Anthony Rizzo : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 783 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.254 — wRC+: 150
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.434 — ISO: 0.327 — wRC+: 182

Secondary Plays:

Kyle Schwarber : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 65 — wOBA: 0.477 — ISO: 0.281 — wRC+: 212
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 120

Dexter Fowler : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 732 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 104
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 149


Houston at Oakland – 10:05 PM EST

Houston Oakland
houstonmlb Scott Feldman oaklandmlb Aaron Brooks
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
HOU (-113) 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.271 0.716 0.312 0.13 SP vs. Left 0.324 0.878 0.383 0.216
SP vs. Right 0.267 0.755 0.331 0.147 SP vs. Right 0.4 0 0.499 0.063
Batter Splits HOU BvP HOU vs R Batter Splits OAK BvP OAK vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Scott Feldman : FD: $6,800 — DK: $7,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 259.0 — SIERA: 4.28 — ERA: 4.00 — K%: 13.8% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 18.2 — SIERA: 4.56 — ERA: 3.86 — K%: 8.9% — BB%: 3.8% — HR/9: 1.0

Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.251 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 17.9% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 7)

Analysis: Feldman is one of the easiest pitchers to avoid in daily fantasy baseball. He has an average SIERA with a below-average strikeout rate. The good news is that he gets to face an ice-cold A’s offense, the bad news is that they are one of the toughest teams to strikeout this season. There are better pitching options on the board tonight.

Pitcher Rating:48.5


Aaron Brooks : FD: $5,800 — DK: $5,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 14.1 — SIERA: 4.24 — ERA: 10.67 — K%: 14.5% — BB%: 4.4% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 7.1 — SIERA: 3.49 — ERA: 1.23 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 1.2

Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 24.3% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.356 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 9)
Pitchers per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 8)

Analysis: Brooks is making his third career start tonight. In 17 Triple-A starts this season, he posted a 3.61 FIP with a strikeout rate of 20.7%. He draws a decent matchup against the Astros, who have the second-highest strikeout against right-handed pitching this season. He could obviously get shelled against this potent lineup, but on a night with only five games on the schedule, he could make a nice tournament play.

Pitcher Rating:47.3

Batter Grind Down

Houston

The Astros are small favorites tonight in a game that features a total of only 7.5 runs. They are facing Aaron Brooks, who is only making his third career major league start. Red-hot Carlos Correa is the elite play here, while the rest of the Astros are better secondary options.

Elite Plays:

Carlos Correa : FD: $4,500 — DK: $5,300

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 138 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 138
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.436 — ISO: 0.362 — wRC+: 184

Secondary Plays:

Jose Altuve : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 848 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.102 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.088 — wRC+: 102

Carlos Gomez : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 767 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 126
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.294 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 83

Evan Gattis : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 591 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 112
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 111


Oakland

The A’s offense has been struggling to score runs recently, but they have a good opportunity to get it going tonight against Scott Feldman, who has given up a .312+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Billy Burns : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 248 — wOBA: 0.302 — ISO: 0.082 — wRC+: 94
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.269 — ISO: 0.024 — wRC+: 71

Stephen Vogt : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 524 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.183 — wRC+: 127
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.139 — ISO: 0.049 — wRC+: -19

Ike Davis : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 593 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.217 — ISO: 0.094 — wRC+: 35


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious