Super Bowl 2021 Odds, NFL Futures for All 32 Teams
The Kansas City Chiefs beat the San Francisco 49ers 31-20 in Super Bowl 54. What teams will meet up for Super Bowl 55 in Tampa, Florida? Here’s a look at betting odds and NFL picks for Super Bowl 2021 at online sportsbooks.
The NFL season is officially over and the Kansas City Chiefs are Super Bowl champions for only the second time in franchise history. It wasn’t exactly a surprise as the Chiefs started the season +600 to win Super Bowl 54. Their odds fell as low as +1200 to win the Super Bowl after losing to the Tennessee Titans in Week 10.
Though the 49ers couldn’t pull off the win, they certainly provided a sweat for those who bet on San Francisco to win the Super Bowl at as high as +4500 odds before the season.
We have a long six months until the NFL preseason, but with the 2020 NFL Draft around the corner and Super Bowl 2021 odds already out for all 32 teams at online sports betting sites, we don’t have to wait six months for more NFL betting.
2021 NFL Super Bowl Betting Odds
All odds referenced herein are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of February 5th, 2020 unless otherwise stated.
Kansas City Chiefs +600 – To no one’s surprise, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are favorites to win the Super Bowl next season. It’ll be interesting to see what pieces they retain after giving Mahomes what will inevitably be a record contract. In the past, we’ve seen Super Bowl teams such as the Packers, Falcons and Seahawks fall off after giving their quarterbacks record money. Is Mahomes so good that the Chiefs will defend their Super Bowl title while simultaneously taking up the largest portion of the Chiefs’ payroll? Only time will tell. Luckily offensive weapons like Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill still have some time left on their contracts, but they could lose skilled defenders like Kendall Fuller. I was able to grab the Chiefs +1200 in the middle of the 2019-20 season, so I’ll sit patiently in hopes of watching them lose a couple of early games and “buying low” again.
Baltimore Ravens +800 – The Ravens will be the biggest obstacle standing in the Chiefs’ way of another AFC Championship and Super Bowl appearance. Unfortunately, we didn’t get to see Lamar Jackson and Mahomes face off in the playoffs this time, but I expect we’ll see a Jackson-Mahomes playoff showdown sooner than later. Look for the Ravens to give Jackson another receiving option in offseason. We saw how difficult it was for the Ravens to play from behind in their divisional round loss against the Titans.
San Francisco 49ers +1000 – The 49ers are hands down the top team in the NFC heading into the offseason. They were just a quarter away from winning the Super Bowl, after all. It’s fair to point out that the 49ers had a relatively easy road through the playoffs thanks to an early exit for Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints. Regardless, the NFC isn’t as stout as the AFC. With one of the best young defenses in the league, I think the 49ers will have a chance to avenge their fourth-quarter Super Bowl meltdown. Re-signing Arik Armstead would go a long way to achieving that goal.
New England Patriots +1400 – These are the lowest futures odds we’ve seen of the New England Patriots heading into an offseason in quite some time. There’s still a major question of where Tom Brady will end up, but as we found out via a Hulu commercial, Brady will be throwing the football again. I’ll be shocked if it’s not in a New England Patriots uniform on a one-year contract. While the Patriots will have to overcome the superb play of young quarterbacks like Jackson and Mahomes, Belichick will make some big offseason moves that will make the Patriots an early Super Bowl contender. I don’t mind grabbing Patriots +1400 right now.
Philadelphia Eagles +1700 – The Eagles were riddled with injuries in 2019, yet somehow still made the playoffs by winning the NFC East. Their division won’t be as easy this year, but they will be a lot healthier. +1700 is a little too short for my liking, though.
Green Bay Packers +1800 – The Packers were one of the more overachieving teams in 2020. It showed in their NFC Championship matchup with the San Francisco 49ers. The Packers will likely regress in 2021 unless they fill some holes on both defense and offense. Mainly, the Packers need to get a worthy no. 2 option for an already-declining Aaron Rodgers. Adam Lazard doesn’t cut it, and it’s clear that Jimmy Graham time has passed. Luckily, the 2021 draft class includes a wealth of talented receivers. Also watch for the Packers to target a free agent like Hunter Henry or Austin Hooper, who LaFleur has familiarity with from his time in Atlanta. If the Packers do that and adequately replace Blake Martinez on defense, then I like these odds. Otherwise I’m staying away.
Dallas Cowboys +2000 – While the Packers were one of the more overachieving teams in the NFL, the Cowboys were the most underachieving, especially relative to their point differential. Jerry Jones was ready to make changes after missing the playoffs, turning to former Packers head coach Mike McCarthy. McCarthy has said all of the right things, but he still has a lot to prove. Still, the Cowboys are one of the most talented rosters in the league, and certainly the most talented roster you can find with these odds.
Minnesota Vikings +2000 – The Vikings had a rough start in 2020. Kirk Cousins eventually put together an impressive season, leading the Vikings to an upset over the Saints before losing to the 49ers in the divisional round. As long as Mike Zimmer is in charge, it looks like the Vikings will continue to run the ball at an alarming rate, which is enough reason for me to stay away from Vikings’ futures.
Seattle Seahawks +2000 – Speaking of running the ball at an alarming rate, no team may be more guilty than the Seattle Seahawks. Pete Carrol remains stubborn despite having arguably the NFC’s best quarterback. With Wilson behind center, the Seahawks will always have a chance, but it’ll be an uphill battle with Carrol on the sideline and the 49ers in their division.
Los Angeles Rams +2200 – A year after making the Super Bowl, the Rams were at home through the entirety of the 2019-20 playoffs. Is Sean McVay a fake sharp, as some suggest? He’ll look to bounce back, but the Rams are handicapped by paying both Jared Goff and Todd Gurley. I’m bearish on the Rams going forward for that reason.
Pittsburgh Steelers +2200 – The Steelers couldn’t catch a break during 2019. It all began with the Week 1 loss of Ben Roethlisberger. Somehow, the Steelers still found their way in the playoff discussion in December. They ultimately fell short, but you can’t say Mike Tomlin wasn’t impressive given the cards he was dealt. Big Ben returns in 2020, giving the Steelers a chance to compete with the Baltimore Ravens for an AFC North title. We already know Ben has plenty of chemistry with JuJu Smith-Schuster, but it’ll be interesting to see how he meshes with other young receivers like James Washington. I’m much more intrigued by betting Smith-Schuster receiving futures than I am Steelers’ 2021 Super Bowl odds.
Tennessee Titans +2200 – The Titans were the Cinderella story of the 2019 playoffs before giving up an early lead to the eventual Super Bowl champs in the AFC title game. There’s been speculation that the Titans may try to make a move for someone like Tom Brady, but don’t hold your breath. The most likely scenario is that the Titans bring back Ryan Tannehill to keep the offense intact with Derrick Henry. Henry was a workhorse last year, and I’m not convinced he can put up numbers like that in consecutive seasons. For that reason, I’m out on Titans futures…for now.
Atlanta Falcons +3300 – The Atlanta Falcons have fallen off since making it to the Super Bowl in 2017. Julio Jones is still amazing, continuing to build a resume that will put him up there with the all-time greats. But Jones is only getting older, and despite being paid like a top five quarterback, Matt Ryan is really just in the middle of the pack. The Falcons have some promising young talent, but they’re likely to lose their starting tight end, Austin Hooper.
Cleveland Browns +3300 – Hype surrounded the Cleveland Browns last offseason. The Browns — yes, the BROWNS — were the most popular team to bet on to win Super Bowl 54 following their acquisition of “(player-popup #odell-beckham)Odell Beckham Jr .Things didn’t exactly go as planned for a variety of reasons. For one, Freddie Kitchens was terrible. Aside from being handicapped by their head coach, Baker Mayfield struggled to replicate his impressive rookie season. In his second year, the former Heisman Trophy winner threw 21 interceptions compared to his 22 touchdowns. Throwing behind a porous offensive line and to an injured OBJ certainly didn’t help Mayfield’s cause. The Browns have a new head coach in former Vikings OC Kevin Stefanski, and Beckham Jr. ought to be 100 percent by next season. I like these odds, as I think the Browns have a ton of upside on both sides of the ball, and the public is relatively bearish on them following an underwhelming year.
Houston Texans +3300 – With Deshaun Watson, Deandre Hopkins and J.J. Watt, the Texans have a few of the biggest names in the NFL on their roster. Jumping out to a 24-0 lead, the Texans looked on their way to knock out the Kansas City Chiefs in the playoffs. We all know how that game ended. However, if they had closed it out, they would have been in a great spot to make the Super Bowl. Head coach/GM Bill O’Brien has a history of questionable decision making. As head coach, it cost the Texans a trip to the AFC Championship. His decisions as general manager will haunt the Texans in the future. As electric as Watson is, this isn’t a team I want to buy stake in.
Buffalo Bills +3500 – The Bills were one of the more surprising teams in 2019. Josh Allen made huge strides, and the Bills defense was near the top in the league. They may be on the cusp of ending the Patriots’ AFC East title streak, but I still think Bills Mafia is a while away from making a Super Bowl appearance.
Chicago Bears +3500 – Some people thought Mitchell Trubisky was a potential MVP candidate, but 2019 made it clear that the Bears made a massive mistake drafting Trubisky before Watson and Mahomes. Trubisky regressed, and so too did the Bears defense. The Bears defense is still solid, and while I prefer to find NFC longshots over AFC longshots considering the makeup of each conference, I’ll need longer odds than this to back the Bears.
Indianapolis Colts +4000 – The Colts season seemed over before it started thanks to the early retirement of Andrew Luck. Jacob Brissett adequately stepped in, leading the Colts to a 5-2 record, with wins in Kansas City and against the Texans, to start the season. Unfortunately, it was all downhill from there, which may have spelled trouble for Colts fans as Indiana sports betting kicked off in October. Question marks remain at quarterback for the Colts, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them try to trade up for Tua Tagavolia in the 2020 NFL Draft. If they’re successful, their odds are likely to shorten with Tagovailoa on pace to make a full recovery. If you’re an Indiana sports bettor eagerly waiting for the draft, one way to pass some time is by filling out this Indiana sports betting survey.
2021 NFL Super Bowl Betting Odds — Longshots
Denver Broncos +5000 – It appears Drew Lock will be the quarterback going forward for the Broncos. Luckily, Locke has one of the league’s rising stars to throw to in wide receiver Courtland Sutton. Unluckily, Lock is in the same division as the defending Super Bowl champions.
Las Vegas Raiders +5000 – The Raiders officially move to Las Vegas, also the home of the 2020 NFL Draft. The Raiders are interested in Tom Brady, but I just don’t see that happening. Also, similar to the Los Angeles Chargers, I expect the Raiders to have one of the worst home-field advantages as fans of opposing teams make the trip to Las Vegas to watch their team in enemy territory.
Los Angeles Chargers +5000 – Speaking of the Los Angeles Chargers, the Bolts may part ways with 38-year-old Philip Rivers. It’s unclear who his successor will be. Like the Broncos and the Raiders, the Chargers face an uphill battle for years to come in the AFC West.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5000 – The Buccaneers are one of my favorite longshot bets. They have a plethora of offensive weapons, an improving defense, and they don’t have to face the Chiefs to get to the Super Bowl. But can Jameis Winston stop throwing interceptions?
Arizona Cardinals +6600 – Larry Fitzgerald is returning and the Cardinals will undergo their second year of the Kingsbury-Murray experiment. I was impressed by the job Kingsbury did in his first year as an NFL head coach, but the roster still has a lot of work. I won’t even be betting on the Cardinals to make the playoffs.
Carolina Panthers +6600 – The Panthers bring in Matt Rhule from Baylor. Rhule has had some concerning comments regarding analytics, but he can’t be as bad as Ron Rivera. The Panthers will also have to find someone to fill in for Luke Kuechly, who unexpectedly retired at the age of 28 following a series of concussions during his short time in the NFL. On top of all the new pieces, the Panthers are expected to trade Cam Newton. I’m not interested in a Panthers futures ticket, but I will keep my eyes on where Newton ends up. A healthy Newton can make another team like the Chicago Bears a good longshot bet.
Detroit Lions +6600 – It’s tough to gauge where the Lions stand since they were without Matt Stafford for the latter part of 2019. They could potentially trade their No. 3 pick to a Tagovailoa suitor, but there are no foreseeable moves that will create value on this futures price.
New York Giants +6600 – Eli Manning is retiring, and it’s up to Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley to lead the Giants to the playoffs. They bring in Jason Garrett to call the offense, but the Cowboys and Eagles should both be much improved. I think another long year is in store for Giants fans.
New York Jets +7000 – Let’s make this short and simple. I’m not betting on any team that Adam Gase is in charge of.
Jacksonville Jaguars +8000 – The Jaguars hoped Nick Foles could do with them what he did with Eagles. A Week 1 injury quickly soured those plans. Foles returned later in the season, but couldn’t hold onto the starting job. With a lot of money allocated to Foles, the Jaguars are in a tough spot going forward.
Cincinnati Bengals +10000 – It’s presumed that 2019 Heisman Trophy winner and National Champion Joe Burrow will make his way back home to Ohio as the Bengals have the overall No. 1 pick. Burrow had one of the best college seasons of all-time, leading LSU to a national title. Set to give Joe Mixon a big contract, the Bengals will hand Burrow formidable weapons in Cincinnati as they begin to rebuild. I don’t think the Bengals are as bad as these odds suggest. Their offensive line was depleted with injuries, and they were without A.J. Green for the entirety of the season. Unfortunately, Green will hit free agency this offseason.
Miami Dolphins +10000 – After 59-10 thrashing in Week 1 to the Ravens followed by a 43-0 beatdown to the Patriots, odds on the Dolphins finishing winless began circulating at legal US. sportsbooks. The Dolphins put those discussions to rest in the first weekend of November with a 26-18 win against the Jets. Remarkably, the Dolphins ended the season with five wins, including 27-24 upset of the New England Patriots. Look for the Dolphins to win the Tagavolia sweepstakes. If he’s ready to start the NFL season, I think the Dolphins will be closer to +8000 in September.
Washington Redskins +10000 – Owner Dan Snyder brings in Ron Rivera to help change the Redskins culture. Rivera will help the morale in the locker room, but if history tells us anything, he won’t t be making +EV decisions as head coach. Redskins will improve, but Dwayne Haskins has a lot of learning to do if the Redskins want to sniff the playoffs.
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