MLB Grind Down: Friday, September 4th - Page Three
Pittsburgh at St. Louis – 8:15 PM EST
| Pittsburgh | St. Louis | ||||||||
 | J.A. Happ |  | Carlos Martinez | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (-140) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.28 | 0.814 | 0.353 | 0.238 | SP vs. Left | 0.274 | 0.814 | 0.35 | 0.176 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.261 | 0.741 | 0.324 | 0.177 | SP vs. Right | 0.228 | 0.6 | 0.269 | 0.281 |
| Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
J.A. Happ : FD: $6,900 — DK: $6,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 294.0 — SIERA: 4.03 — ERA: 4.16 — K%: 19.1% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.1 — SIERA: 3.68 — ERA: 1.98 — K%: 21.2% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 0.3
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 22.4% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 15)
Pitches per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 16)
Analysis: Happ is one of the many pitchers that is far off of my radar tonight. He has pitched well recently, but the Cardinals are a formidable opponent, even though their numbers against southpaws this season aren’t great. Happ is cheap, but he is a sizable underdog tonight on the road. He is a tournament play at best tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 58.0
Carlos Martinez : FD: $9,900 — DK: $10,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 244.0 — SIERA: 3.42 — ERA: 3.32 — K%: 23.2% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 3.20 — ERA: 4.15 — K%: 22.0% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 0.3
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 17)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Martinez has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.20 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.0%. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Pirates, who are ranked 16th in team wOBA and 20th in strikeout rate. If he can pitch around the left-handed bats of Gregory Polanco and Neil Walker, he should be in for another quality outing tonight. Martinez doesn’t have the highest upside on the board, but he is certainly playable at home.
Pitcher Rating: 85.3
Batter Grind Down
Pittsburgh
The Pirates have one of the lowest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Carlos Martinez in Busch Stadium. Martinez has struggled with left-handed hitters in his career, but Gregory Polanco and Neil Walker are secondary options at best tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Gregory Polanco : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 641 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.131 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 129
Neil Walker : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 861 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 100
St. Louis
The Cardinals draw a favorable matchup tonight against J.A. Happ, who has given up a .324+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Yadier Molina and Jhonny Peralta are both great value plays at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
Yadier Molina : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 239 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 92
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.296 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 86
Jhonny Peralta : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 292 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.225 — wRC+: 133
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.030 — wRC+: 76
Secondary Plays:
Matt Carpenter : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 390 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 106
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.264 — wRC+: 139
Stephen Piscotty : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 156
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 143
San Francisco at Colorado – 8:40 PM EST
| San Francisco | Colorado | ||||||||
 | Chris Heston |  | Jorge De La Rosa | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-114) | 10.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.271 | 0.802 | 0.350 | 0.138 | SP vs. Left | 0.22 | 0.616 | 0.274 | 0.248 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.23 | 0.605 | 0.27 | 0.217 | SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.755 | 0.331 | 0.177 |
| Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs L | Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Heston : FD: $6,800 — DK: $5,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 154.2 — SIERA: 3.99 — ERA: 3.61 — K%: 18.0% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 23.1 — SIERA: 5.83 — ERA: 5.79 — K%: 11.0% — BB%: 11.9% — HR/9: 1.9
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.334 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 13)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Heston takes his turn in the rotation tonight in Coors Field. He has been in bad form and he’s pitching in the best hitter’s park in baseball. Thank you, but no thank you.
Pitcher Rating: 51.2
Jorge De La Rosa : FD: $6,300 — DK: $6,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 313.1 — SIERA: 4.10 — ERA: 4.22 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.2 — SIERA: 4.13 — ERA: 2.87 — K%: 17.8% — BB%: 9.6% — HR/9: 0.7
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 18.3% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.287 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 16)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: De La Rosa has decent splits at home throughout his career, but there is no reason to target him tonight. In addition to this game being in Coors Field, the Giants are ranked 11th in team wOBA and fourth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 52.1
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
The Giants have the highest team total on the board tonight, as they square off against Jorge De La Rosa in Coors Field. All of the right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play. Additionally, Brandon Belt is worth a look in tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Buster Posey : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 294 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 140
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.050 — wRC+: 104
Marlon Byrd : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 276 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 124
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.271 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 71
Matt Duffy : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 148 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 125 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 111
Secondary Plays:
Brandon Belt : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 192 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 137
Kelby Tomlinson : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 23 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.217 — wRC+: 156
Last 30 Days: PA: 76 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 128
Angel Pagan : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 268 — wOBA: 0.287 — ISO: 0.067 — wRC+: 87
Last 30 Days: PA: 24 — wOBA: 0.147 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -10
Colorado
The Rockies had a big offensive outing last night and they have a great chance to put on an encore tonight. Chris Heston has been awful in his recent starts and the Rockies get to face him at home. The left-handed bats have the edge in this matchup, but don’t count out the right-handed bats of Nolan Arenado and DJ LeMahieu.
Elite Plays:
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $5,200 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 559 — wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.394 — wRC+: 120
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 910 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 86
Jose Reyes : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 785 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.112 — wRC+: 99
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 100
Secondary Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 755 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.257 — wRC+: 115
DJ LeMahieu : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 801 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.099 — wRC+: 81
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 93
Ben Paulsen : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 327 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 111
Last 30 Days: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 77
Texas at LA Angels – 10:05 PM EST
| Texas | LA Angels | ||||||||
 | Martin Perez |  | Garrett Richards | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAA (-140) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.212 | 0.562 | 0.253 | 0.278 | SP vs. Left | 0.209 | 0.565 | 0.253 | 0.233 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.302 | 0.802 | 0.349 | 0.114 | SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.64 | 0.286 | 0.201 |
| Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Martin Perez : FD: $5,700 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 95.0 — SIERA: 4.02 — ERA: 4.74 — K%: 15.2% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 0.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.2 — SIERA: 3.25 — ERA: 3.13 — K%: 15.8% — BB%: 3.9% — HR/9: 0.3
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.285 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Perez has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.25 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.8%. The problem is that he doesn’t strikeout enough hitters to warrant fantasy consideration. He can safely be avoided tonight against the Angels, who have the fifth-lowest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 53.9
Garrett Richards : FD: $8,600 — DK: $8,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 329.2 — SIERA: 3.52 — ERA: 3.19 — K%: 21.8% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 38.1 — SIERA: 2.96 — ERA: 5.17 — K%: 23.5% — BB%: 5.4% — HR/9: 0.9
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 17.3% (Rank: 6)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Richards may have a 5.17 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators look great. During that same stretch, he has a 2.96 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.5%. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Rangers, but at least he gets to face them at home. While I won’t be targeting Richards in cash games, he is an appealing tournament play because he can have those huge outings and his price is more than reasonable on both FanDuel and DraftKings.
Pitcher Rating: 79.3
Batter Grind Down
Texas
The Rangers are a team that is easy to avoid on the road, especially when they are playing in pitcher-friendly ballparks. Add in a matchup against Garrett Richards, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .290 wOBA over the last two seasons, and the Rangers become an easy team to fade tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
LA Angels
The Angels draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Martin Perez at home. While Perez has been pitching well recently, he has given up a .349 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Mike Trout remains an elite play at his depressed price point.
Elite Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 312 — wOBA: 0.402 — ISO: 0.258 — wRC+: 166
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 124
Secondary Plays:
Albert Pujols : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 300 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.284 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 83
C.J. Cron : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 194 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 90 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 137
Seattle at Oakland – 10:05 PM EST
| Seattle | Oakland | ||||||||
 | Edgar Olmos |  | Aaron Brooks | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| OAK (-115) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.200 | 0.733 | 0.327 | 0.000 | SP vs. Left | 0.281 | 0.739 | 0.321 | 0.23 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.216 | 0.576 | 0.258 | 0.093 | SP vs. Right | 0.388 | 1.106 | 0.47 | 0.123 |
| Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Edgar Olmos : FD: $5,400 — DK: $4,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 12.2 — SIERA: 5.94 — ERA: 2.13 — K%: 7.3% — BB%: 12.7% — HR/9: 0.0
Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 16.9% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.330 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 9)
Analysis: Olmos is making his second career major league start tonight. He has not fared all that well in the majors thus far, although the sample size of 12 innings is too small to make any viable assessment. At this point, we should take a wait and see approach on the young left-hander.
Pitcher Rating: 28.1
Aaron Brooks : FD: $5,900 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 4.10 — ERA: 9.00 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 5.2% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.0 — SIERA: 3.79 — ERA: 5.32 — K%: 19.6% — BB%: 4.4% — HR/9: 1.2
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.343 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 24.5% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Brooks has been in decent form recently, posting a 3.79 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.6% over the last month of play. He draws a mediocre matchup against the Mariners, who are ranked 19th in team wOBA and 26th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The price on Brooks is enticing, but I would limit him to tournaments tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 58.9
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
The Mariners draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Aaron Brooks in Oakland. This is a game that provides little fantasy appeal as a whole. There are better pitching options and better matchups to target hitters in. The Mariners should be considered secondary options tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Franklin Gutierrez : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.357 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 76 — wOBA: 0.501 — ISO: 0.420 — wRC+: 233
Kyle Seager : FD: $3,700 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 787 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 99
Oakland
The A’s draw a favorable matchup tonight against Edgar Olmos, but they have a low team total, which limits their fantasy appeal. The right-handed bats of Danny Valencia and Brett Lawrie are in play, but they are both secondary options at third base.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Brett Lawrie : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 203 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.278 — wRC+: 135
Danny Valencia : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 241 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.244 — wRC+: 142
LA Dodgers at San Diego – 10:10 PM EST
| LA Dodgers | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Mike Bolsinger |  | James Shields | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-114) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.299 | 0.784 | 0.343 | 0.175 | SP vs. Left | 0.264 | 0.765 | 0.334 | 0.199 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.665 | 0.292 | 0.237 | SP vs. Right | 0.238 | 0.699 | 0.306 | 0.240 |
| Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs R | Batter Splits | SD vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Mike Bolsinger : FD: $6,300 — DK: $8,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 141.1 — SIERA: 3.63 — ERA: 3.82 — K%: 20.9% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 0.6
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Bolsinger will be making his first start in over a month, as he was optioned to Triple-A. The Dodgers have called him up to start tonight’s game against the Padres, who have been much better offensively over the last few weeks. While Bolsinger does see a favorable ballpark boost in Petco Park, he isn’t really on my radar tonight. I would only consider him an SP2 and he’s a little too expensive on DraftKings.
Pitcher Rating: 60.2
James Shields : FD: $8,800 — DK: $8,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 398.1 — SIERA: 3.54 — ERA: 3.46 — K%: 21.9% — BB%: 6.3% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.2 — SIERA: 3.92 — ERA: 3.82 — K%: 22.4% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 1.2
Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.260 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 23.5% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Shields has been in good form recently, posting a 3.92 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.4% over the last month of play. While he does offer good upside at the price, I’m not sold on his matchup against the Dodgers. On the season, Los Angeles is ranked third in team wOBA against right-handed pitching.
Pitcher Rating: 72.6
Batter Grind Down
LA Dodgers
The Dodgers draw a mediocre matchup tonight against James Shields. While I don’t like any of their bats as elite plays, Adrian Gonzalez is worth a look at his depressed price point. Shields has given up a .334 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Adrian Gonzalez : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 885 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 146
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 93
San Diego
The Padres’ offense has been better recently, but they are still the Padres. They draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Mike Bolsinger, who has given up a .343 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Cory Spangenberg is the only option on my radar in this one.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Cory Spangenberg : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 257 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 100
Last 30 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 144
Brett Wallace : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.499 — ISO: 0.297 — wRC+: 228
Last 30 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.551 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 263