MLB Grind Down: Friday, September 4th - Page Two
NY Mets at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| NY Mets | Miami | ||||||||
 | Jacob Degrom |  | Tom Koehler | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-175) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.226 | 0.637 | 0.283 | 0.253 | SP vs. Left | 0.24 | 0.686 | 0.305 | 0.191 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.197 | 0.531 | 0.235 | 0.27 | SP vs. Right | 0.252 | 0.73 | 0.322 | 0.169 |
| Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jacob deGrom : FD: $11,800 — DK: $11,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 303.1 — SIERA: 3.11 — ERA: 2.49 — K%: 26.2% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.2 — SIERA: 2.97 — ERA: 3.28 — K%: 29.1% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.5
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 17.7% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: DeGrom is the top pitching option on the board tonight. He has been in great form recently, posting a 2.97 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 29.1% over the last month of play. He also draws one of the best matchups on the schedule, as the Marlins are ranked dead last in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Don’t overthink this one, use deGrom as your cash game pitcher tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 98.3
Tom Koehler : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 342.0 — SIERA: 4.33 — ERA: 3.95 — K%: 18.0% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 4.83 — ERA: 6.68 — K%: 15.9% — BB%: 8.9% — HR/9: 1.6
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.390 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 15.4% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Koehler has not been in the best of form recently, posting a 6.68 ERA (4.83 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of only 15.9%. He does get to pitch at home tonight, but unfortunately, he is facing the Mets at the exact wrong time. Over the last two weeks of play, New York has the second-highest team wOBA. Avoid Koehler in both cash games and tournaments tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 44.1
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
Even though the Mets draw a favorable matchup against Tom Koehler, their recent surge has brought their prices up. I don’t want to overpay for the Mets in the pitcher-friendly Marlins Park. Michael Conforto is a nice contrarian play in the outfield, but the Mets aren’t really on my radar tonight outside of a stack in a tournament.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Michael Conforto : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 163
Last 30 Days: PA: 78 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.269 — wRC+: 173
Miami
All right class, if Jacob deGrom is my top ranked pitcher of the night, where do you think the Marlins’ offense stands? That’s right, they are WAY down at the bottom of the team offense rankings. I should become a teacher.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Milwaukee at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM EST
| Milwaukee | Cincinnati | ||||||||
 | Matt Garza |  | Keyvius Sampson | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CIN (-114) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.263 | 0.753 | 0.331 | 0.163 | SP vs. Left | 0.352 | 0.973 | 0.417 | 0.213 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.253 | 0.719 | 0.314 | 0.181 | SP vs. Right | 0.273 | 0.772 | 0.337 | 0.167 |
| Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Matt Garza : FD: $6,000 — DK: $4,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 307.1 — SIERA: 4.28 — ERA: 4.54 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.1 — SIERA: 4.73 — ERA: 6.75 — K%: 17.0% — BB%: 10.2% — HR/9: 1.6
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 13)
Pitches per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: Garza is one of my favorite pitchers to target hitters against. His strikeout rate is lower than the league average, he has not been in good form, and he walks quite a few batters. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Reds and he has to face them in the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.
Pitcher Rating: 46.1
Keyvius Sampson : FD: $5,200 — DK: $4,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 28.0 — SIERA: 4.47 — ERA: 6.43 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 9.8% — HR/9: 1.3
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.354 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 20)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Sampson has had a forgetful rookie season, posting a 6.43 ERA (4.47 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of 18.8%. He draw a mediocre matchup tonight against the Brewers, but he is a risky play in both cash games and tournaments. The Brewers’ offense has been much better recently and he has to face them in a hitter-friendly ballpark.
Pitcher Rating: 48.7
Batter Grind Down
Milwaukee
The Brewers draw a favorable matchup tonight against Keyvius Sampson, who has given up a .337+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters this season. This is a sneaky game to target, as both offenses are in great spots.
Elite Plays:
Adam Lind : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 666 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 151
Last 30 Days: PA: 89 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 129
Scooter Gennett : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 701 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.152 — wRC+: 108
Last 30 Days: PA: 75 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.123 — wRC+: 107
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Braun : FD: $4,500 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 823 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.409 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 158
Jonathan Lucroy : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 795 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 138
Cincinnati
The Reds are small favorites tonight in a game that has one of the highest run totals on the board. They draw a favorable matchup against Matt Garza, who hasn’t been particularly effect against left or right-handed hitters. Todd Frazier is an absolute steal tonight on FanDuel ($2,300).
Elite Plays:
Joey Votto : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 608 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 157
Last 30 Days: PA: 129 — wOBA: 0.514 — ISO: 0.367 — wRC+: 231
Todd Frazier : FD: $2,300 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 943 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 75
Secondary Plays:
Eugenio Suarez : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 397 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.142 — wRC+: 94
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 115
Jay Bruce : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 795 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.175 — ISO: 0.123 — wRC+: 0
Philadelphia at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| Philadelphia | Boston | ||||||||
 | Adam Morgan |  | Joe Kelly | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BOS (-180) | 9.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.196 | 0.535 | 0.239 | 0.109 | SP vs. Left | 0.246 | 0.7 | 0.311 | 0.177 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.274 | 0.84 | 0.36 | 0.131 | SP vs. Right | 0.269 | 0.778 | 0.34 | 0.166 |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Adam Morgan : FD: $5,300 — DK: $4,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 67.0 — SIERA: 5.23 — ERA: 4.03 — K%: 12.6% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 1.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 5.34 — ERA: 4.01 — K%: 11.0% — BB%: 2.9% — HR/9: 1.9
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 24.7% (Rank: 27)
Pitches per PA: 3.97 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Morgan has not pitched well this season. In addition to a high SIERA and a low strikeout rate, he has given up 1.8 home runs per nine innings. That could be trouble tonight against the Red Sox in Fenway Park. Morgan should be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 28.7
Joe Kelly : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 216.2 — SIERA: 4.27 — ERA: 4.61 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 4.07 — ERA: 2.68 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 0.7
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.330 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 23.2% (Rank: 21)
Pitches per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Kelly has pitched well since coming back from injury and he draws an appealing matchup tonight against the Phillies, who are ranked 29th in team wOBA and 15th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Kelly is cheap, he offers good upside, and he should see plenty of run support. I’m hesitant to say this, but I’m contemplating using him as an SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating: 61.8
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies have been a boom or bust type of offense recently, which is a bit strange since they don’t hit many home runs. They draw a decent matchup tonight against Rick Porcello in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park. Once again, the Phillies are a nice source of value if you need to punt a position or two tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Andres Blanco : FD: $3,600 — DK: $2,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 137 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 82 — wOBA: 0.416 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 166
Odubel Herrera : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 331 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.068 — wRC+: 121
Boston
The Red Sox have one of the best matchups on the board tonight. Adam Morgan has not pitched well this season and, as mentioned above, he has been giving up a ton of home runs this season. The right-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup, but don’t count out the left-handed bats of David Ortiz and Travis Shaw.
Elite Plays:
Mookie Betts : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 187 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 106
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 126
Xander Bogaerts : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 313 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 110
Secondary Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 349 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.218 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.456 — ISO: 0.385 — wRC+: 193
Rusney Castillo : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 71 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 144
Last 30 Days: PA: 85 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 136
Travis Shaw : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.414 — ISO: 0.351 — wRC+: 164
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 117
Chicago White Sox at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| Chicago White Sox | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | John Danks |  | Kris Medlen | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-187) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.232 | 0.692 | 0.305 | 0.126 | SP vs. Left | 0.229 | 0.744 | 0.328 | 0.273 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.282 | 0.825 | 0.359 | 0.166 | SP vs. Right | 0.186 | 0.501 | 0.223 | 0.222 |
| Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs R | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
John Danks : FD: $6,100 — DK: $5,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 339.1 — SIERA: 4.59 — ERA: 4.77 — K%: 15.6% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 4.46 — ERA: 4.38 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 14.8% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 14.3% (Rank: 1)
Pitches per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Happy pick on Danks day everyone! After the Royals put up 472 runs against a southpaw last night, they have to be licking their chops for tonight’s game against Danks. He has really struggled against right-handed hitters in his career and the Royals are the toughest team to strikeout in all of baseball. I would rather take a chance on a relief pitcher than target Danks tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 38.4
Kris Medlen : FD: $7,300 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 3.21 — ERA: 3.51 — K%: 25.0% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 19.1 — SIERA: 2.99 — ERA: 2.79 — K%: 25.0% — BB%: 4.2% — HR/9: 0.9
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 16.2% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Medlen may have shiny numbers this season, but he has yet to throw more than 78 pitches in any single outing. He will likely be capped at around 80-85 pitches tonight, which severely limits his upside. The good news is that he is priced at a steep discount on DraftKings, which puts him in play as an SP2. Even if he only lasts five innings, he could still rack up a few strikeouts and put himself in line to pick up the win.
Pitcher Rating: 65.9
Batter Grind Down
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox draw a difficult matchup tonight against Kris Medlen (and the Royals’ bullpen) in the pitcher-friendly Kaufmann Stadium. There aren’t any hitters that stand out as elite plays in this matchup, but Jose Abreu may be worth a look in tournaments.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 878 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.243 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.214 — wRC+: 107
Kansas City
The Royals draw a favorable matchup tonight against John Danks, who has given up a .359 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Load up on all of the right-handed hitters from the Royals tonight and use Eric Hosmer to differentiate your Royals’ stack from everyone else’s.
Elite Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $3,800 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 309 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 124
Jonny Gomes : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 303 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.131 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.443 — ISO: 0.323 — wRC+: 186
Alcides Escobar : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 321 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.102 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 130 — wOBA: 0.214 — ISO: 0.042 — wRC+: 28
Secondary Plays:
Kendrys Morales : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 359 — wOBA: 0.304 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.407 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 162
Eric Hosmer : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 371 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.108 — wRC+: 91
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 118
Salvador Perez : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 288 — wOBA: 0.256 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 58
Last 30 Days: PA: 84 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 130
Minnesota at Houston – 8:10 PM EST
| Minnesota | Houston | ||||||||
 | Mike Pelfrey |  | Collin McHugh | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| HOU (-176) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.268 | 0.755 | 0.337 | 0.117 | SP vs. Left | 0.218 | 0.612 | 0.272 | 0.213 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.312 | 0.783 | 0.343 | 0.103 | SP vs. Right | 0.252 | 0.698 | 0.307 | 0.234 |
| Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Mike Pelfrey : FD: $5,900 — DK: $4,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 166.1 — SIERA: 4.92 — ERA: 4.44 — K%: 11.0% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.1 — SIERA: 4.39 — ERA: 3.62 — K%: 13.0% — BB%: 5.0% — HR/9: 0.0
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 24.0% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 24.2% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Pelfrey has pitched well recently, but his low strikeout rate of 11.0% over the last two seasons takes him out of consideration tonight. He is a large underdog on the road and he can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 33.3
Collin McHugh : FD: $9,000 — DK: $9,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 320.0 — SIERA: 3.55 — ERA: 3.35 — K%: 22.2% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.1 — SIERA: 3.48 — ERA: 1.89 — K%: 25.0% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 0.3
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 26.8% (Rank: 28)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: McHugh is finally pitching like he did in 2014. Over the last month of play, he has a 3.48 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.0%. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Twins, who are ranked 25th in team wOBA and 24th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. He may also get to face them without Miguel Sano, who was held out of the lineup last night with a hamstring injury.
Pitcher Rating: 83.5
Batter Grind Down
Minnesota
The Twins see a small ballpark boost tonight playing in Minute Maid Park, but their matchup against Collin McHugh is a tough one. Over the last two seasons, McHugh has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Houston
The Astros are large favorites tonight at home against Mike Pelfrey, who has given up a ..337+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The Astros may get overlooked tonight, but they are playable in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Jose Altuve : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 935 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.104 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.096 — wRC+: 149
Carlos Correa : FD: $3,900 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 206 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.215 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 105
Secondary Plays:
Evan Gattis : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 656 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.304 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 92
Colby Rasmus : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 564 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 80