MLB Grind Down: Monday, August 24th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.
Note: For more info on DFS MLB scoring systems on the two largest sites, check out our DraftKings review and FanDuel review.
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Cleveland at Chicago Cubs – 2:05 PM EST
| Cleveland | Chicago Cubs | ||||||||
 | Corey Kluber |  | Jon Lester | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHC (-146) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.251 | 0.709 | 0.312 | 26.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.258 | 0.710 | 0.313 | 26.20% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.208 | 0.535 | 0.236 | 29.6% | SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.649 | 0.286 | 24.50% |
| Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs L | Batter Splits | CHC BvP | CHC vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Corey Kluber : FD: — DK: $11,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 422.1 — SIERA: 2.74 — ERA: 2.92 — K%: 27.9% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 45.2 — SIERA: 3.15 — ERA: 3.94 — K%: 24.6% — BB%: 3.4% — HR/9: 1.4
Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 24.0% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.363 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 24.5% (Rank: 27)
Pitches per PA: 4.00 (Rank: 1)
Analysis: Kluber is coming off of one of his worst starts of the season, allowing six earned runs over six innings of work. He draws a decent matchup against the Cubs, but unfortunately, the wind is blowing out to right field at a rate close to 20 MPH. We all know what the wind can do in Wrigley and with all of the talented left-handed batters in the Cubs’ lineup, Kluber is a very risky option in the all-day slate of games.
Pitcher Rating: 78.5
Jon Lester : FD: — DK: $9,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 368.0 — SIERA: 3.14 — ERA: 2.91 — K%: 24.9% — BB%: 5.8% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 2.77 — ERA: 4.40 — K%: 29.4% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 1.2
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 17.9% (Rank: 5)
Pitches per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Lester has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 2.77 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 29.4%. He draws a difficult matchup against the Indians though, and once again, the wind is blowing out to right field. Given the fact that he is only available in the all-day slate of games, there are plenty of other pitching options on the board. Lester may be able to pick up a win here, but he will likely give up a few runs in the process.
Pitcher Rating: 82.2
Batter Grind Down
Cleveland
The Indians draw a decent matchup against Jon Lester. While he has been effective against both left and right-handed hitters in check, the wind is blowing out heavily to right field. The Indians should fly under the radar today, but Francisco Lindor and Michael Brantley are both in play against the southpaw.
Elite Plays:
Francisco Lindor : FD: — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 103
Last 30 Days: PA: 129 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 133
Secondary Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 417 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 132
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.415 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 171
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs are an interesting team to target. Corey Kluber is one of the best pitchers in baseball, but he has given up a .312 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The Cubs also have the wind blowing out to right field, which should greatly benefit the left-handed bats in this lineup.
Elite Plays:
Dexter Fowler : FD: — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 780 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.441 — ISO: 0.287 — wRC+: 185
Secondary Plays:
Anthony Rizzo : FD: — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 816 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.259 — wRC+: 151
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.436 — ISO: 0.337 — wRC+: 181
Kyle Schwarber : FD: — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: — DK: C/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.464 — ISO: 0.337 — wRC+: 201
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.271 — wRC+: 137
Miguel Montero : FD: — DK: $2,700
Position Eligibility: FD: — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 692 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 99
Last 30 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.278 — wRC+: 147
Houston at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM EST
| Houston | NY Yankees | ||||||||
 | Scott Feldman |  | Nathan Eovaldi | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYY (-141) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.262 | 0.700 | 0.305 | 12.8% | SP vs. Left | 0.304 | 0.783 | 0.343 | 16.00% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.273 | 0.770 | 0.336 | 14.6% | SP vs. Right | 0.258 | 0.678 | 0.299 | 17.60% |
| Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs R | Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Scott Feldman : FD: $7,000 — DK: $5,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 278.0 — SIERA: 4.33 — ERA: 3.85 — K%: 13.7% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 4.49 — ERA: 2.25 — K%: 10.9% — BB%: 4.7% — HR/9: 0.8
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.285 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 16)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Feldman may have a 2.25 ERA over the last month of play, but we shouldn’t put any stock into it. During that stretch, he also has a 4.49 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 10.9%. He draws one of the worst matchups on the board tonight, as the Yankees are ranked sixth in team wOBA and tenth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. On top of everything, Feldman has to face them in the hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.
Pitcher Rating: 38.7
Nathan Eovaldi : FD: $7,800 — DK: $6,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 335.2 — SIERA: 3.95 — ERA: 4.32 — K%: 16.8% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.1 — SIERA: 3.97 — ERA: 3.62 — K%: 18.3% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 0.6
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 24.2% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.264 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 25.7% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Eovaldi is coming off of a terrific start against the Twins. He was throwing 100 MPH fastballs deep into that start. While he has never been a high-strikeout pitcher, you can’t teach 100 MPH. He draws an interesting matchup against the Astros, who have the highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The Astros are also ranked dead last in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. Eovaldi could be a sneaky SP2 tonight on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating: 72.7
Batter Grind Down
Houston
The Astros draw a fairly difficult matchup against Nathan Eovaldi, who has really kept right-handed hitters in check throughout his career. He has given up a .343 wOBA to left-handed hitters though, which puts Colby Rasmus and Luis Valbuena in play.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Colby Rasmus : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 538 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 88
Luis Valbuena : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 743 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.214 — wRC+: 119
Last 30 Days: PA: 70 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 110
NY Yankees
The Yankees have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Scott Feldman at home. Since the start of the 2014 season, Feldman has given up a .305+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. Jacoby Ellsbury is my top target here. Alex Rodriguez, Brian McCann, and Brett Gardner are borderline elite plays as well.
Elite Plays:
Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 654 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 99
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.267 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 65
Secondary Plays:
Alex Rodriguez : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 342 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.240 — wRC+: 127
Brian McCann : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 687 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 89 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.305 — wRC+: 112
Brett Gardner : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 798 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.286 — ISO: 0.081 — wRC+: 78
NY Mets at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM EST
| NY Mets | Philadelphia | ||||||||
 | Jacob Degrom |  | Adam Morgan | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-203) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.220 | 0.614 | 0.274 | 24.6% | SP vs. Left | 0.205 | 0.573 | 0.255 | 10.40% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.197 | 0.526 | 0.233 | 27.3% | SP vs. Right | 0.270 | 0.800 | 0.345 | 12.80% |
| Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs L | Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jacob deGrom : FD: $11,700 — DK: $12,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 294.2 — SIERA: 3.08 — ERA: 2.32 — K%: 26.1% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.2 — SIERA: 2.81 — ERA: 1.30 — K%: 29.0% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 0.8
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 21)
Pitches per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: deGrom has been terrific over the last month of play, posting a 2.81 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 29.0%. He has been one of the most unhittable pitchers in all of baseball and tonight he gets to face a Phillies’ offense that is ranked 29th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. He has incredible strikeout potential and he is easily the top pitching option on the board tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 98.2
Adam Morgan : FD: $5,600 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 57.1 — SIERA: 5.28 — ERA: 3.92 — K%: 12.3% — BB%: 6.0% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.1 — SIERA: 5.65 — ERA: 3.93 — K%: 10.0% — BB%: 4.3% — HR/9: 1.1
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 23.8% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.347 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 15)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Morgan has not pitched well in his time in the majors. He owns a 5.28 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 12.3%. While the Mets’ offense has been much better in recent weeks, they are still ranked 22nd in team wOBA and 28th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. Morgan is not a recommended play tonight, but the Mets’ offense may not be in as good of a spot as you would initially think.
Pitcher Rating: 34.5
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
The Mets are sizable favorites tonight against Adam Morgan, who has given up a .345 wOBA to right-handed hitters. The biggest issue with the Mets is that they are overpriced. They are still one of the worst offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching and I’m not sure that I want to pay a premium for their hitters tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Yoenis Cespedes : FD: $4,000 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 272 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.178 — wRC+: 75
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.401 — ISO: 0.292 — wRC+: 161
Juan Lagares : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 192 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.142 — wRC+: 139
Last 30 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 151
Philadelphia
The Phillies draw the worst matchup on the board tonight, as they square off against Jacob deGrom. Since the start of the 2014 season, deGrom has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .275 wOBA. The Phillies should be avoided in all league formats.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Pittsburgh at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| Pittsburgh | Miami | ||||||||
 | J.A. Happ |  | Tom Koehler | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PIT (-137) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.285 | 0.841 | 0.365 | 24.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.240 | 0.680 | 0.303 | 18.70% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.263 | 0.749 | 0.327 | 17.7% | SP vs. Right | 0.246 | 0.716 | 0.317 | 17.30% |
| Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
J.A. Happ : FD: $6,600 — DK: $5,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 282.1 — SIERA: 4.03 — ERA: 4.30 — K%: 19.1% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.2 — SIERA: 4.13 — ERA: 5.82 — K%: 20.6% — BB%: 9.8% — HR/9: 1.7
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 15.9% (Rank: 3)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Happ is a better fantasy pitcher than he is a real-life pitcher. He has a respectable strikeout rate and his SIERA is lower than his ERA. The price is certainly appealing, but the Marlins have been surprisingly good against left-handed pitching this season, ranking sixth in team wOBA. Happ should be limited to tournament play tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 64.4
Tom Koehler : FD: $6,500 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 330.0 — SIERA: 4.32 — ERA: 3.90 — K%: 18.0% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.2 — SIERA: 4.71 — ERA: 5.97 — K%: 16.6% — BB%: 9.6% — HR/9: 1.0
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.363 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 15)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Koehler has not pitched well recently, posting a 5.97 ERA (4.71 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of 16.6% over the last month of play. He draws a difficult matchup against the Pirates, who are ranked second in team wOBA over the last two weeks. Koehler has a good track record at home in his career, but he is not on my radar tonight against Pittsburgh.
Pitcher Rating: 43.1
Batter Grind Down
Pittsburgh
The Pirates draw a nice matchup tonight against Tom Koehler, although they do have to face him in the pitcher-friendly Marlins Park. Koehler gives up equal splits to left and right-handed hitters, so this all comes down to value. Gregory Polanco and Neil Walker are the best values in this Pirates’ lineup tonight.
Elite Plays:
Gregory Polanco : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 616 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 142
Secondary Plays:
Neil Walker : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 838 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.278 — wRC+: 124
Miami
The Marlins draw a favorable matchup tonight against J.A. Happ, who has given up a .327+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Martin Prado is a terrific value play at third base. Dee Gordon and Derek Dietrich are also in play, as they both hit left-handed pitching well.
Elite Plays:
Martin Prado : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 211 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 140
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.276 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 72
Secondary Plays:
Dee Gordon : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 268 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.090 — wRC+: 119
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 130
Derek Dietrich : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.252 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 55
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.269 — wRC+: 148
Colorado at Atlanta – 7:10 PM EST
| Colorado | Atlanta | ||||||||
 | Jorge De La Rosa |  | Julio Teheran | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ATL (-120) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.224 | 0.627 | 0.278 | 24.7% | SP vs. Left | 0.259 | 0.754 | 0.331 | 18.00% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.748 | 0.329 | 17.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.219 | 0.617 | 0.273 | 23.70% |
| Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jorge De La Rosa : FD: $6,600 — DK: $7,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 300.1 — SIERA: 4.08 — ERA: 4.26 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.1 — SIERA: 4.08 — ERA: 4.98 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 0.5
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.284 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.288 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 13)
Pitches per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: De La Rosa is having a mediocre season for the Rockies. Over the last month of play, he has a 4.08 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.3%. He draws a nice matchup against the Braves tonight, but he is a small underdog on the road. With some of the other aces on the bump tonight, I will be avoiding De La Rosa in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 62.7
Julio Teheran : FD: $8,500 — DK: $8,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 371.0 — SIERA: 3.83 — ERA: 3.47 — K%: 20.8% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.2 — SIERA: 3.35 — ERA: 3.68 — K%: 25.8% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 0.7
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.272 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 24.4% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Teheran is a very interesting play tonight. If you have read the Grind Down before, then you should know that Teheran has some glaring home/road splits. His ERA, SIERA, and strikeout rate are all better at home. He draws a decent matchup against the Rockies, who are a much different team offensively away from Coors Field. Teheran isn’t as cheap as I’d like him to be, but he makes a nice tournament play tonight at home.
Pitcher Rating: 77.0
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
The Rockies may be ranked first in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season, but a lot of that is thanks to the fact that half of their games are played in Coors Field. They are a different offense away from home. They draw a tough matchup tonight against Julio Teheran in the pitcher-friendly Turner Stadium.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 876 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 96
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $4,000 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 533 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.285 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.486 — ISO: 0.476 — wRC+: 199
Atlanta
The Braves’ offense has been an easy one to avoid over the last few weeks. They lack firepower and rarely have big offensive outings. They draw a decent matchup Jorge De La Rosa, who has given up a .329 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Nick Swisher and Adonis Garcia are both decent punt plays at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Nick Swisher : FD: $2,600 — DK: $2,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 174 — wOBA: 0.238 — ISO: 0.072 — wRC+: 48
Last 30 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.379 — wRC+: 134
Adonis Garcia : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 19 — wOBA: 0.425 — ISO: 0.368 — wRC+: 175
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.286 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 79