MLB Grind Down: Saturday, August 8 - Page Three

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2015-08-08 21:21:28

Miami at Atlanta – 7:10 PM EST

Miami					Atlanta
			Tom Koehler					Mike Foltynewicz
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			MIA (-119)					7.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.238	0.685	0.305	0.191	SP vs. Left	0.339	1.006	0.43	0.147
SP vs. Right	0.242	0.696	0.309	0.178	SP vs. Right	0.273	0	0.342	0.24
Batter Splits			MIA vs R		Batter Splits	ATL BvP		ATL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Tom Koehler

Atlanta Braves vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 23)
Strikeout Rate: 17.1% (Rank: 3)

Koehler has been an average real life starter for the Marlins as he has posted a 4.34 SIERA and 17.5% strikeout over his 20 starts in 2015. While this would not be good enough to focus on usually, tonight he does have a decent matchup against the Braves. His upside is not exactly high, but the lack of pitching options and the fact that the Braves are the opponent tonight without Freeman puts him into consideration, just don’t expect a huge performance.. Rating = 5.5

Salaries: $7,000 FD, $7,500 DK

Mike Foltynewicz

Miami Marlins vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.286 (Rank: 30)
Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 16)

Folty brings a decent strikeout rate (20.1%) that should continue going forward. His biggest problem so far has been his 1.89 HR/9 rate that he has allowed over his 14 appearances this year, including six in his last two starts. If he can figure out how to keep the ball in the park, he does have some upside, but there is a lot of risk associated with it at this point. Rating = 5

Salaries: $5,900 FD, $5,000 DK

Batter Grind Down

Miami

Folty has allowed 14 home runs (1.89 HR/9) in his 11 starts this season. He is also allowing lefties a wOBA of .422 on the year, which puts a few of the Marlins bats into play tonight.

Elite Plays

Dee Gordon
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.080 — OBP: 0.344

Christian Yelich
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.114 — OBP: 0.352

Secondary Plays:

Derek Dietrich
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.258 — OBP: 0.363

Atlanta

I expect Koehler to have a decent outing, but some of the Braves’ lefties could deserve a look at Koehler has allowed a wOBA of .326 to left-handed bats this year.

Elite Plays

None

Secondary Plays:

A.J. Pierzynski
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.166 — OBP: 0.347

Nick Markakis
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.085 — OBP: 0.388

Jace Peterson
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.112 — OBP: 0.337

Minnesota at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST

Minnesota					Cleveland
			Ervin Santana					Trevor Bauer
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE (-137)					7.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.265	0.734	0.320	0.179	SP vs. Left	0.227	0.695	0.311	0.227
SP vs. Right	0.236	0.707	0.311	0.24	SP vs. Right	0.25	0.725	0.318	0.222
Batter Splits	MIN BvP		MIN vs R		Batter Splits	CLE BvP		CLE vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Ervin Santana

Cleveland Indians vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 22)
Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 10)

In six starts this year, Santana has been very hit or miss. He has allowed six earned runs in two starts, while allowing zero earned runs in two other starts. His SIERA coming into this start is at a 4.78 and his low strikeout rate of 15.5% does not make up for his struggles at times. He is safe to avoid against the Indians tonight Rating = 4.5

Salaries: $7,500 FD, $8,000 DK

Trevor Bauer
Minnesota Twins vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 25)
Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 22)

Bauer struggled over the course of the middle of July but has responded well over the last two starts going 15.2 innings with three earned runs and 12 strikeouts. Bauer has pitched well over the course of the season with a 3.90 SIERA and 23.5% strikeout rate. The upside is there against the Twins who struggle against right-handed pitching and is definitely in play on the night slate. Rating = 7

Salaries: $8,300 FD, $9,800 DK

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

The Twins are not the same type of offense against righties as they are against lefties. They do possess some power in the lineup, but Bauer is one of the better options going on the mound tonight.

Elite Plays

None

Secondary Plays:

Miguel Sano
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.477 — ISO: 0.350— OBP: 0.461

Brian Dozier
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.245 — OBP: 0.305

Trevor Plouffe
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.204 — OBP: 0.304

Cleveland

Cleveland looks like a good offense to attack tonight as they get to face Santana.

Elite Plays

Michael Brantley
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.163— OBP: 0.395

Carlos Santana
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.225— OBP: 0.353

Francisco Lindor
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.284 — ISO: 0.133— OBP: 0.272

Secondary Plays:

Jose Ramirez
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.230 — ISO: 0.071— OBP: 0.254

Cincinnati at Arizona – 8:10 PM EST

Cincinnati					Arizona
			Keyvius Sampson					Robbie Ray
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			ARI (-136)					8.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.111	0.644	0.277	0.6	SP vs. Left	0.294	0.783	0.337	0.195
SP vs. Right	0.154	0	0.194	0.154	SP vs. Right	0.262	0.784	0.341	0.188
Batter Splits	CIN BvP		CIN vs L		Batter Splits	ARI BvP		ARI vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Keyvius Sampson

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 11)
Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 24)

Sampson pitched pretty well in his first start as he struck out six, but allowed three earned runs in five innings. The biggest red flag with a guy like Sampson who is only making his second start will be the possibility of a pitch count. He needs a near perfect start to go past the fifth inning and to have the lead in order for him to bring good value tonight in a hitters park, yet, with the pitching options tonight, someone is going to win a tournament with one of these types of pitchers on multi-pitcher sites. Rating = 4.5

Salaries: $5,000 FD, $4,700 DK

Robbie Ray

Cincinnati Reds vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 10)
Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 8)

Ray has not been terrible for the Diamondbacks so far this year. After 12 starts, Ray has a SIERA of under 4.00 (3.84) and a solid 21.3% strikeout rate. He goes into this matchup against the Reds who are ranked tenth in team wOBA against lefties. This game is being played in hitter-friendly Chase, where Ray’s ERA is more than two runs higher. He is in the same boat as Sampson as there could be some upside here, but enough risk to keep it in tournaments only. Rating = 5

Salaries: $6,700 FD, $7,200 DK

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

Ray has pitched pretty well this year and has allowed less than a .310 wOBA to batters from both sides of the plate. This is being played at Chase so the bats do get a boost.

Elite Plays

Todd Frazier
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.408— ISO: 0.398— OBP: 0.303

Secondary Plays:

Joey Votto
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.160 — OBP: 0.443

Marlon Byrd
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.246 — OBP: 0.364

Arizona

Being played in a hitter-friendly park against a young pitcher may lead to some good things for the Diamondbacks. They have one of the highest team totals on the night slate tonight.

Elite Plays

Paul Goldschmidt
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.414 — ISO: 0.224 — OBP: 0.449

Secondary Plays:

David Peralta
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.372— ISO: 0.235 — OBP: 0.353

Wellington Castillo
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.437— ISO: 0.320 — OBP: 0.395

Philadelphia at San Diego – 8:40 PM EST

Philadelphia					San Diego
			Adam Morgan					Tyson Ross
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			SDP (-195)					7
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.235	0.68	0.299	0.132	SP vs. Left	0.237	0.675	0.305	0.24
SP vs. Right	0.293	0.884	0.383	0.125	SP vs. Right	0.231	0.619	0.279	0.248
Batter Splits	PHI BvP		PHI vs R		Batter Splits	SDP BvP		SD vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Adam Morgan

San Diego Padres vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.283 (Rank: 28)
Strikeout Rate: 25.1% (Rank: 30)

Adam Morgan has struggled so far after seven starts. His 4.46 ERA is backed up by his SIERA of 5.39 and his well-below-average 12.7% strikeout rate only makes him even more of a player to ignore tonight, even against the Padres. Rating = 4.5

Salaries: $5,300 FD, $4,500 DK

Tyson Ross

Philadelphia Phillies. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: .294 (Rank: 29)
Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 11)

Ross has pitched very well this season, and has been great over the last month. During this five-game span, Ross has posted a SIERA of 2.75 to go along with a very solid 25.2% strikeout rate. He has a great matchup against the Phillies tonight who have a team wOBA of .294 on the year against righties. He is the top pitching option on the board tonight in a slate that lacks depth at the position. Rating = 8

Salaries: $8,900 FD, $10,600 DK

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

With Ross and the Padres being huge -200 favorites, the Phillies’ offense should look to be shut down tonight. Avoid the bats.

Elite Plays

None

Secondary Plays:

None

San Diego

This Padres squad is the biggest favorite on the board against the Phillies, yet they have done a good job at letting us down throughout the season. Attack the right-handed bats, which Morgan has allowed a wOBA of .383 to so far this year.

Elite Plays

Matt Kemp
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.167 — OBP: 0.310

Justin Upton
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.185 — ISO: 0.056 — OBP: 0.197

Secondary Plays:

Derek Norris
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311— ISO: 0.122 — OBP: 0.318

Yonder Alonso
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312— ISO: 0.065 — OBP: 0.352

Baltimore at LA Angels – 9:05 PM EST

Baltimore					LA Angels
			Ubaldo Jimenez					Garrett Richards
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			LAA (-146)					7
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.241	0.746	0.334	0.207	SP vs. Left	0.208	0.571	0.256	0.224
SP vs. Right	0.256	0.708	0.315	0.22	SP vs. Right	0.213	0.583	0.266	0.214
Batter Splits	BAL BvP		BAL vs R		Batter Splits	LAA BvP		ANA vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Ubaldo Jimenez

Los Angeles Angels vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 17)
Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 14)

The wheels look to have fallen off for Ubaldo recently. Over his last four starts, he has allowed 22 earned runs over the course of only 16.2 innings pitched. He now has to face an Angels offense as a large underdog tonight. With his recent performance and matchup, Ubaldo can be avoided tonight. Rating = 4

Salaries: $7,600 FD, $7,800 DK

Garrett Richards

Baltimore Orioles vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 9)
Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 27)

Garrett Richards has yet to be overly impressive on the year, but continues to pitch well for the Angels. He comes into this game with a 3.97 SIERA and 19.1% strikeout rate. He is coming off an 11 strikeout performance against the Indians and could keep it rolling against an Orioles squad that has a 22.1% strikeout rate against righties. Richards is one of the better pitching options of the night slate. Rating = 7

Salaries: $8,800 FD, $10,500 DK

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

With the lack of pitching options, Richards is one of the betters ones going. With that said, the Orioles have the power bats to take anyone deep and some should be secondary options tonight.

Elite Plays

None

Secondary Plays:

Manny Machado
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.383— ISO: 0.233 — OBP: 0.365

Chris Davis
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.288 — OBP: 0.327

Adam Jones
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.191 — OBP: 0.314

LA Angels

This Angels squad should be able to put up runs against Ubaldo who has really struggled recently. Hitters from both sides of the plate are in play against Jimenez tonight.

Elite Plays

Mike Trout
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.420 — ISO: 0.307 — OBP: 0.394

Albert Pujols
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.278 — OBP: 0.334

Secondary Plays:

Kole Calhoun
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.164 — OBP: 0.327

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