MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, August 18th - Page Two
Cleveland at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| Cleveland | Boston | ||||||||
 | Trevor Bauer |  | Eduardo Rodriguez | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BOS (-117) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.236 | 0.73 | 0.323 | 0.223 | SP vs. Left | 0.257 | 0.828 | 0.351 | 0.208 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.249 | 0.726 | 0.319 | 0.224 | SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.68 | 0.302 | 0.183 |
| Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs L | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Trevor Bauer : FD: $8,100 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 293.2 — SIERA: 3.96 — ERA: 4.26 — K%: 22.3% — BB%: 9.3% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 3.92 — ERA: 6.11 — K%: 22.7% — BB%: 9.1% — HR/9: 2.8
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 16.7% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.377 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.1% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Bauer has pitched well this year, but he hasn’t had the same success that he did during the first few months of the season. He draws one of the worst matchups on the board tonight, as the Red Sox have the highest team wOBA over the last 14 days of play. The Red Sox also have the second-lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. There is more risk than potential reward tonight with Bauer.
Pitcher Rating: 54.0
Eduardo Rodriguez : FD: $7,400 — DK: $6,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 78.1 — SIERA: 4.20 — ERA: 4.83 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 4.87 — ERA: 7.36 — K%: 14.2% — BB%: 9.2% — HR/9: 1.8
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Rodriguez has not been sharp recently, posting a 7.36 ERA (4.87 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of 14.2% and a walk rate of 9.2% over the last month of play. He has to face an Indians’ offense that is ranked 12th in team wOBA and fourth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Rodriguez can be avoided in what is expected to be a shootout.
Pitcher Rating: 48.4
Batter Grind Down
Cleveland
The Indians draw a favorable matchup tonight against Eduardo Rodriguez and they get to face him in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park. Rodriguez has had reverse-splits this season, which makes Michael Brantley a terrific play. The right-handed bats of Carlos Santana, Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, and Yan Gomes are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $4,000 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 178 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.119 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.435 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 185
Carlos Santana : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 160 — wOBA: 0.289 — ISO: 0.044 — wRC+: 83
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.131 — wRC+: 103
Secondary Plays:
Francisco Lindor : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 84 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.081 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 128 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 147
Jose Ramirez : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 2B/SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 77 — wOBA: 0.240 — ISO: 0.076 — wRC+: 49
Last 30 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 120
Yan Gomes : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 70 — wOBA: 0.283 — ISO: 0.109 — wRC+: 79
Last 30 Days: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 116
Boston
The Red Sox have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight (outside of Coors Field, anyway), as they square off against Trevor Bauer at home. Bauer gives up equal splits to batters, so hitters from both sides of the plate are in play here.
Elite Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 317 — wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.284 — wRC+: 153
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.466 — ISO: 0.381 — wRC+: 201
Secondary Plays:
Mookie Betts : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 340 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 73 — wOBA: 0.283 — ISO: 0.090 — wRC+: 73
Brock Holt : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 3B/OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 284 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.101 — wRC+: 103
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.073 — wRC+: 77
Travis Shaw : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.287 — ISO: 0.086 — wRC+: 76
Last 30 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.464 — ISO: 0.359 — wRC+: 199
Detroit at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM EST
| Detroit | Chicago Cubs | ||||||||
 | Anibal Sanchez |  | Jason Hammel | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHC (-150) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.216 | 0.618 | 0.273 | 0.219 | SP vs. Left | 0.23 | 0.68 | 0.298 | 0.21 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.264 | 0 | 0.338 | 0.187 | SP vs. Right | 0.224 | 0.662 | 0.289 | 0.247 |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | CHC BvP | CHC vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Anibal Sanchez : FD: $8,300 — DK: $7,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 280.2 — SIERA: 3.81 — ERA: 4.26 — K%: 20.5% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.0 — SIERA: 4.18 — ERA: 6.00 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 2.3
Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 24.1% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 25.1% (Rank: 30)
Pitchers per PA: 4.00 (Rank: 1)
Analysis: Sanchez has struggled to keep the ball in the park this season. After giving up 0.23 home runs per nine innings last year, he has given up 1.63 home runs per nine innings this year. That could be an issue tonight against the Cubs, as there is a slight helping wind blowing out to left-center field. Sanchez is a sizable underdog in a game that features a total of 8.5 runs. He can safely be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 55.6
Jason Hammel : FD: $8,200 — DK: $8,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 304.0 — SIERA: 3.43 — ERA: 3.32 — K%: 23.0% — BB%: 5.8% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.0 — SIERA: 4.32 — ERA: 4.13 — K%: 19.2% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 1.5
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.286 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 24)
Pitchers per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Hammel comes into tonight in decent form, posting a 4.32 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.2% over the last month of play. He draws a difficult matchup against the Tigers, but he is catching them at the perfect time. Over the last 14 days of play, the Tigers are ranked 27th in team wOBA and 24th in strikeout rate. The price point on Hammel is appealing, but he’s a risky play tonight with the wind blowing out in Wrigley Field.
Pitcher Rating: 77.7
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
The Tigers draw a tough matchup tonight against Jason Hammel, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA over the last two seasons. J.D. Martinez is worth a look as a tournament play, though. He has been terrific against right-handed pitching this season and there is a helping wind blowing out to left-center.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
J.D. Martinez : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 372 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.272 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 123
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs draw a favorable matchup against Anibal Sanchez tonight at home. Sanchez is a reverse-splits pitcher, but the left-handed hitters in this lineup shouldn’t be counted out. Dexter Fowler is the best play dollar for dollar, while the other Cubs’ hitters are better secondary options.
Elite Plays:
Dexter Fowler : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 390 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 103
Last 30 Days: PA: 130 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.225 — wRC+: 162
Secondary Plays:
Anthony Rizzo : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 364 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.267 — wRC+: 160
Kyle Schwarber : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.445 — ISO: 0.288 — wRC+: 189
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.279 — wRC+: 161
Kris Bryant : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 356 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 99
Chris Coghlan : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 336 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 118
Last 30 Days: PA: 81 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.237 — wRC+: 115
Seattle at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| Seattle | Texas | ||||||||
 | Hisashi Iwakuma |  | Chi Chi Gonzalez | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SEA (-134) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.263 | 0.7 | 0.306 | 0.189 | SP vs. Left | ||||
| SP vs. Right | 0.21 | 0.599 | 0.262 | 0.241 | SP vs. Right | ||||
| Batter Splits | SEA vs R | Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Hisashi Iwakuma : FD: $8,800 — DK: $9,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 251.1 — SIERA: 3.05 — ERA: 3.62 — K%: 21.4% — BB%: 3.3% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 43.0 — SIERA: 2.82 — ERA: 2.93 — K%: 23.3% — BB%: 4.3% — HR/9: 0.6
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.343 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Iwakuma is coming off of a no-hitter against the Orioles. He had slowly been rounding into form and now looks like the Iwakuma that we have seen in the past couple of seasons. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Rangers, though. On the season, Texas is ranked sixth in team wOBA and ninth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Iwakuma could be in for a letdown tonight after that no-hitter.
Pitcher Rating: 72.3
Alex Gonzalez : FD: $6,600 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 49.0 — SIERA: 5.71 — ERA: 4.22 — K%: 9.2% — BB%: 11.6% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.2 — SIERA: 6.37 — ERA: 7.94 — K%: 14.8% — BB%: 18.5% — HR/9: 1.6
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: CHI CHI has not pitched well this season. He had a couple of starts where he was getting a lot of outs, but his peripheral stats are not appealing one bit. In 49 major league innings, Gonzalez has a 5.71 SIERA with a walk rate (11.6%) that is higher than his strikeout rate (9.2%). He can safely be avoided tonight against the Mariners, who are ranked fifth in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play.
Pitcher Rating: 30.1
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
Most of the attention is going to be on the hitters in Coors Field tonight, which should lead to the Mariners being under-owned in both cash games and tournaments. They draw as good of a matchup as anyone, as they get to face Chi Chi Gonzalez in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park. This lineup is loaded with viable fantasy options tonight.
Elite Plays:
Robinson Cano : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 335 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.450 — ISO: 0.284 — wRC+: 198
Seth Smith : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 310 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 75 — wOBA: 0.258 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 65
Secondary Plays:
Nelson Cruz : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 365 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.272 — wRC+: 166
Last 30 Days: PA: 128 — wOBA: 0.526 — ISO: 0.451 — wRC+: 251
Kyle Seager : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 343 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 133 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 84
Jesus Montero : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/C
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 22 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.273 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 101
Texas
Even though I won’t be targeting Hisashi Iwakuma tonight, I’m not going to target many hitters against him either. Since the start of last season, Iwakuma has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA. The left-handed bats in this lineup are secondary options tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 306 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 156
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 100
Shin-Soo Choo : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 290 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.220 — wRC+: 136
Last 30 Days: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.454 — ISO: 0.299 — wRC+: 191
Mitch Moreland : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 256 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 85 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.092 — wRC+: 115
Miami at Milwaukee – 8:10 PM EST
| Miami | Milwaukee | ||||||||
 | Adam Conley |  | Tyler Cravy | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIL (-148) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.286 | 0.867 | 0.385 | 0.28 | SP vs. Left | 0.293 | 0.993 | 0.424 | 0.143 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.255 | 0 | 0.324 | 0.041 | SP vs. Right | 0.288 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.167 |
| Batter Splits | MIA vs R | Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Adam Conley : FD: $4,900 — DK: $4,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 18.0 — SIERA: 4.81 — ERA: 5.00 — K%: 12.2% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 12.0 — SIERA: 4.41 — ERA: 6.00 — K%: 14.0% — BB%: 6.0% — HR/9: 1.5
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.276 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Conley is making his third career start tonight. He has pitched well in the minors, but he doesn’t possess that elite strikeout rate that we are looking for in a pitcher. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Brewers, who should be a lot better against left-handed pitching than their numbers suggest. Nothing to see here, moving on.
Pitcher Rating: 35.9
Tyler Cravy : FD: $5,100 — DK: $4,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 24.1 — SIERA: 4.85 — ERA: 5.55 — K%: 15.5% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 9.1 — SIERA: 5.40 — ERA: 9.64 — K%: 15.9% — BB%: 13.6% — HR/9: 2.9
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.287 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 15.8% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Cravy is making his fifth major league start tonight. He has a 4.85 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.5% in his first four starts. While he does draw a favorable matchup against the Marlins, we saw what they can do against mediocre pitching last night. We like to target pitchers that have a high floor and a high ceiling and unfortunately, Cravy doesn’t provide either of those.
Pitcher Rating: 47.2
Batter Grind Down
Miami
The Marlins draw a decent matchup tonight against Tyler Cravy in the hitter-friendly Miller Park. The left-handed bats in this lineup have the edge, as Cravy has given up a .424 wOBA to hitters from the left side of the plate. Dee Gordon is a strong cash game play tonight. He gets on base often and isn’t content staying on first base.
Elite Plays:
Dee Gordon : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 330 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 77 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.111 — wRC+: 95
Secondary Plays:
Derek Dietrich : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 128 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 142
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 129
Justin Bour : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 231 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.203 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 76 — wOBA: 0.249 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 53
Milwaukee
The Brewers draw a favorable matchup tonight against Adam Conley at home. They let us down in a very similar situation last night, but again, we don’t want to avoid them because of recency bias. Take the matchup for what it’s worth. They are facing an inexperienced pitcher in a hitter-friendly ballpark. The right-handed hitters are the preferred targets here.
Elite Plays:
Ryan Braun : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 131
Jonathan Lucroy : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.219 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 29
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 85
Secondary Plays:
Khris Davis : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.257 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 55
Last 30 Days: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 110
Jean Segura : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.304 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 88
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.209 — ISO: 0.038 — wRC+: 22
Tampa Bay at Houston – 8:10 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Houston | ||||||||
 | Jake Odorizzi |  | Scott Feldman | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| HOU (-111) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.227 | 0.635 | 0.28 | 0.272 | SP vs. Left | 0.266 | 0.709 | 0.31 | 0.129 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.243 | 0.73 | 0.323 | 0.176 | SP vs. Right | 0.267 | 0.754 | 0.33 | 0.149 |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs R | Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jake Odorizzi : FD: $8,800 — DK: $8,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 284.1 — SIERA: 3.70 — ERA: 3.70 — K%: 22.8% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 3.96 — ERA: 5.03 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 1.3
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 23.8% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.288 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 14)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Odorizzi has pitched much better at home than he has on the road in his career. His splits aren’t quite as glaring as those of Julio Teheran, but they are close. He draws a difficult road matchup tonight against the Astros, who are ranked ninth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. If this game was being played in Tampa Bay, it would be another story, but I will be avoiding Odorizzi tonight in the hitter-friendly Minute Maid Park.
Pitcher Rating: 61.2
Scott Feldman : FD: $7,000 — DK: $5,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 271.0 — SIERA: 4.31 — ERA: 3.89 — K%: 13.9% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.67 — ERA: 2.93 — K%: 11.1% — BB%: 4.8% — HR/9: 1.2
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.362 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Feldman has one of the lowest strikeout rates of any qualified starter this season. That’s a huge red flag, as a pitcher needs to have near perfect outings if he isn’t striking hitters out. I don’t expect a perfect outing from Feldman in this one. He can safely be avoided against the Rays, who are ranked third in team wOBA over the last 14 days of play.
Pitcher Rating: 49.1
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
The Rays draw a favorable matchup against Scott Feldman in the hitter-friendly Minute Maid Park. The right-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup, as Feldman has given up a .330 wOBA to hitters from the right side of the plate. A discounted Evan Longoria is a borderline elite play, while Asdrubal Cabrera and Logan Forsythe are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Evan Longoria : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 364 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 120
Secondary Plays:
Asdrubal Cabrera : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 293 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 66 — wOBA: 0.537 — ISO: 0.279 — wRC+: 259
Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 323 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.193 — wRC+: 130
Houston
The Astros are small favorites tonight against Jake Odorizzi, who as mentioned above, hasn’t pitched nearly as well on the road as he has at home. Odorizzi is also a reverse-splits pitcher, so the right-handed hitters in this lineup are the preferred targets tonight.
Elite Plays:
Carlos Correa : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 174 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 142
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.292 — wRC+: 180
Secondary Plays:
Jose Altuve : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 340 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.094 — wRC+: 87
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 117
Carlos Gomez : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 298 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 98
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.242 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 47