MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 29th - Page Three
Colorado at Arizona – 9:40 PM EST
| Colorado | Arizona | ||||||||
 | Christian Bergman |  | Robbie Ray | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ARI (-166) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.246 | 0.664 | 0.292 | 0.184 | SP vs. Left | 0.281 | 0.776 | 0.333 | 0.201 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.349 | 0.997 | 0.424 | 0.092 | SP vs. Right | 0.257 | 0.777 | 0.34 | 0.2 |
| Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs L | Batter Splits | ARI BvP | ARI vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Christian Bergman : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 115.0 — SIERA: 4.48 — ERA: 5.24 — K%: 13.0% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 12.0 — SIERA: 4.92 — ERA: 6.00 — K%: 8.0% — BB%: 2.0% — HR/9: 1.5
Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 22.4% (Rank: 22)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: Bergman, like the rest of the Rockies’ starting rotation, is not a great fantasy option. He has a low strikeout rate and he draws a tough matchup tonight against the Diamondbacks in a hitter-friendly ballpark. Bergman is a large underdog on the road that can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 37.0
Robbie Ray : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 146.0 — SIERA: 4.25 — ERA: 4.44 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.1 — SIERA: 3.90 — ERA: 2.39 — K%: 25.7% — BB%: 12.4% — HR/9: 0.7
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 22.6% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Ray has had an up and down season, but he has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.90 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.7%. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Rockies, who are ranked 27th in team wOBA and 25th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Ray is not a recommended cash game option, but he is worth a look in tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 69.8
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
The Rockies draw a favorable matchup tonight against Robbie Ray, who has allowed a .333+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters. The Rockies have a fairly high team total and they are playing in a hitter-friendly ballpark.
Elite Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 276 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.228 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 127 — wOBA: 0.411 — ISO: 0.336 — wRC+: 146
Secondary Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 330 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 77
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 96
DJ LeMahieu : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 279 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.052 — wRC+: 85
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.073 — wRC+: 69
Arizona
The Diamondbacks have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Christian Bergman at home. Hitters from both sides of the plate are in play here.
Elite Plays:
Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 910 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 148
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 126
Secondary Plays:
A.J. Pollock : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 735 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 141
David Peralta : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 686 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 139
Last 30 Days: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 131
Ender Inciarte : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 715 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.110 — wRC+: 108
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 118
Oakland at LA Angels – 10:05 PM EST
| Oakland | LA Angels | ||||||||
 | Chris Bassitt |  | Nick Tropeano | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAA (-168) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.240 | 0.684 | 0.308 | 0.172 | SP vs. Left | 0.256 | 0.68 | 0.305 | 0.177 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.253 | 0.66 | 0.296 | 0.173 | SP vs. Right | 0.284 | 0.717 | 0.31 | 0.174 |
| Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Bassitt : FD: $6,500 — DK: $5,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 106.0 — SIERA: 4.41 — ERA: 3.31 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 0.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 3.0 — SIERA: 3.27 — ERA: 9.00 — K%: 17.7% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.0
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Bassitt has been a serviceable pitcher over the last two seasons, posting a 4.41 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.3%. He draws a mediocre matchup tonight against the Angels, who are still fighting for a Wildcard spot in the American League playoffs. There is very little fantasy appeal here.
Pitcher Rating: 51.5
Nicholas Tropeano : FD: $5,400 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 52.2 — SIERA: 4.45 — ERA: 4.44 — K%: 17.5% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 0.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 14.2 — SIERA: 4.14 — ERA: 3.07 — K%: 22.4% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 0.6
Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Tropeano has pitched pretty well recently, posting a 4.14 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.4% over the last month of play. The issue here is his matchup. On the season, the A’s have the fourth-lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. While his price point is appealing, I will once again recommend Matt Moore if you are looking for a value pitcher.
Pitcher Rating: 54.8
Batter Grind Down
Oakland
The A’s offense has been struggling recently and they draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Nick Tropeano, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA. The A’s are secondary fantasy options tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Josh Reddick : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 705 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 134
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 124
Stephen Vogt : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 618 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 143
LA Angels
The Angels draw an average matchup tonight against Chris Bassitt, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. Mike Trout remains an elite play, as he has a .436 wOBA and a .323 ISO over the last month of play.
Elite Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1022 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.287 — wRC+: 168
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.436 — ISO: 0.323 — wRC+: 187
Secondary Plays:
Kole Calhoun : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 875 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.296 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 90
Erick Aybar : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 918 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 95
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.245 — ISO: 0.067 — wRC+: 55
Milwaukee at San Diego – 10:10 PM EST
| Milwaukee | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Jorge Lopez |  | Tyson Ross | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-164) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | SP vs. Left | 0.24 | 0.679 | 0.306 | 0.24 | ||||
| SP vs. Right | SP vs. Right | 0.221 | 0.603 | 0.271 | 0.258 | ||||
| Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | Batter Splits | SD vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jorge Lopez : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,000
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 22.3% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Lopez is making his first career major league start tonight. He was a second round draft pick in the 2011 draft. Lopez has never pitched above the Double-A level, but he did post a 3.36 FIP with a strikeout rate of 24.0% in the minors this season. While I’m always interested in these pitching debuts, I tend to avoid them in DFS. You never quite know what to expect and with the Brewers listed as large underdogs, I am going to take a wait and see approach with Lopez.
Pitcher Rating: 43.2
Tyson Ross : FD: $9,100 — DK: $10,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 385.2 — SIERA: 3.28 — ERA: 2.99 — K%: 24.9% — BB%: 9.5% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 2.93 — ERA: 1.97 — K%: 28.6% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 0.8
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.289 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 25.0% (Rank: 28)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Ross has really pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 2.93 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 28.6%. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Brewers, who are ranked 28th in both team wOBA and strikeout rate over the last two weeks of play. Ross is a large favorite, he has good strikeout potential, and he is playing in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. It’s hard to find a reason not to like him tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 92.5
Batter Grind Down
Milwaukee
The Brewers draw a difficult matchup tonight against Tyson Ross and they have to face him in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park. The Brewers can be avoided in both cash games and tournaments tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
San Diego
The Padres are small favorites tonight, as they square off against rookie Jorge Lopez. These pitching debuts are always difficult to predict, but Matt Kemp and Justin Upton both stand out as nice tournament options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Matt Kemp : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 943 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 124
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.277 — wRC+: 130
Justin Upton : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 997 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 105
Houston at Seattle – 10:10 PM EST
| Houston | Seattle | ||||||||
 | Mike Fiers |  | Vidal Nuno | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| HOU (-147) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.211 | 0.611 | 0.268 | 0.240 | SP vs. Left | 0.198 | 0.586 | 0.262 | 0.247 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.226 | 0.708 | 0.307 | 0.251 | SP vs. Right | 0.269 | 0.804 | 0.348 | 0.184 |
| Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs L | Batter Splits | SEA vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Mike Fiers : FD: $8,700 — DK: $8,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 246.1 — SIERA: 3.63 — ERA: 3.22 — K%: 24.6% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.36 — ERA: 3.82 — K%: 21.4% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 2.1
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 22.3% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Fiers has been in decent form recently, posting a 4.36 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.4% over the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Mariners, who are ranked 17th in team wOBA and 26th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Fiers is not a recommended cash game option, but he is worth a look in tournaments, as this is a must-win game for the Astros.
Pitcher Rating: 74.7
Vidal Nuno : FD: $6,000 — DK: $4,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 239.2 — SIERA: 3.87 — ERA: 4.28 — K%: 19.9% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.2 — SIERA: 4.24 — ERA: 5.82 — K%: 19.2% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 1.7
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 16.8% (Rank: 3)
Pitches per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Nuno is an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy. Over the last month of play, he has a 4.24 SIERA with an ERA of 5.82. He is not a recommended play tonight against the Astros, who are ranked eighth in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. The Astros are also ranked third in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play.
Pitcher Rating: 50.9
Batter Grind Down
Houston
The Astros draw a favorable matchup tonight against Vidal Nuno, who has allowed a .348 wOBA to right-handed hitters. All of the right-handed bats in this lineup are in play tonight in Seattle.
Elite Plays:
Jose Altuve : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 361 — wOBA: 0.427 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 177
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.259 — wRC+: 160
George Springer : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 246 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.292 — ISO: 0.094 — wRC+: 82
Secondary Plays:
Carlos Correa : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 130 — wOBA: 0.402 — ISO: 0.304 — wRC+: 158
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 139
Evan Gattis : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 280 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 100
Seattle
The Mariners draw a tough matchup tonight against Mike Fiers, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. Robinson Cano is the only fantasy option of note here and he is a secondary option at best.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Robinson Cano : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 829 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 139
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 138
LA Dodgers at San Francisco – 10:15 PM EST
| LA Dodgers | San Francisco | ||||||||
 | Clayton Kershaw |  | Madison Bumgarner | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-130) | 5.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.199 | 0.532 | 0.235 | 0.348 | SP vs. Left | 0.216 | 0.549 | 0.243 | 0.317 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.196 | 0.53 | 0.236 | 0.32 | SP vs. Right | 0.231 | 0.648 | 0.284 | 0.247 |
| Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs L | Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Clayton Kershaw : FD: $13,000 — DK: $14,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 418.1 — SIERA: 2.21 — ERA: 2.02 — K%: 32.6% — BB%: 4.5% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 2.51 — ERA: 2.31 — K%: 33.3% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.5
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 10)
Pitches per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: The Dodgers have not officially clinched their division, but they can do so tonight with a win over the Giants. Kershaw has been in terrific form recently, posting a 2.51 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 33.3%. The main issue here is that the Dodgers may limit Kershaw’s innings or pitch count, especially the Dodgers build an early lead. Luckily, the odds of that happening are small, as Madison Bumgarner is pitching opposite him. Kershaw is the top-rated pitcher on the board, but he’ll need a full pitch count to reach value at his price point.
Pitcher Rating: 97.8
Madison Bumgarner : FD: $12,600 — DK: $12,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 430.0 — SIERA: 2.99 — ERA: 2.93 — K%: 26.0% — BB%: 4.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 3.33 — ERA: 2.43 — K%: 25.2% — BB%: 5.6% — HR/9: 0.5
Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Bumgarner has been in his usual good form, posting a 3.33 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.2% over the last month of play. Even though the Dodgers are ranked third in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season, Bumgarner has gotten the best of this matchup. He has a high strikeout rate, he is pitching at home, and the Giants have no reason to limit him. Bumgarner is in play in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 87.2
Batter Grind Down
LA Dodgers
With Clayton Kershaw and Madison Bumgarner on the mound, both offenses should be avoided tonight. The total is set at only 5.5 runs, which is one of the lowest totals of the entire season.
Elite Plays / Secondary Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE