MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, July 8th - Page Two

San Diego at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM EST

San Diego Pittsburgh
sandiegomlb Andrew Cashner pittsburghmlb Charlie Morton
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT (-138) 7
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.26 0.781 0.338 0.19 SP vs. Left 0.25 0.695 0.313 0.179
SP vs. Right 0.241 0.619 0.273 0.201 SP vs. Right 0.245 0.68 0.306 0.173
Batter Splits SDP BvP SD vs R Batter Splits PIT BvP PIT vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Andrew Cashner : FD: $7,100 — DK: $8,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 225.1 — SIERA: 3.72 — K%: 19.6% — BB%: 6.5% — FB Rate: 32.1% — HR/FB: 9.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.1 — SIERA: 5.16 — K%: 13.3% — BB%: 11.3% — FB Rate: 32.7% — HR/FB: 8.3%

Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 17)

Analysis: Cashner has really struggled in his recent outings, posting a 5.16 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 13.3%. I’m not sure what’s wrong with Cashner, but there are enough red flags to avoid him tonight against the Pirates. There is more risk than potential reward with Cashner right now.

Pitcher Rating:48.9


Charlie Morton : FD: $7,400 — DK: $6,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 203.1 — SIERA: 3.73 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 8.0% — FB Rate: 21.2% — HR/FB: 10.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 4.12 — K%: 14.2% — BB%: 7.8% — FB Rate: 20.6% — HR/FB: 13.6%

San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.269 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 27)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 13)

Analysis: Morton has not had the same strikeout rate as a year ago, and he comes into tonight game in less than stellar form. The good news is that he draws one of the best pitching matchups in all of baseball. The Padres are ranked 28th in wOBA (.290) and 26th in strikeout rate (22.2%) against right-handed pitching this season. Morton may be a cheap source for a win tonight.

Pitcher Rating:59.6

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

Even though the Padres matchup against Charlie Morton is particularly bad, there aren’t any hitters on the Padres that I want to target at this point of the season. For that reason, I will be avoiding San Diego altogether tonight.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

NONE


Pittsburgh

As mentioned above, Andrew Cashner has not pitched well in his recent starts. He has always had an issue with left-handed hitters, allowing a .338 wOBA to them since the start of last season. I’m not going to have a ton of exposure to the Pirates, but Neil Walker and Gregory Polanco are both in play.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Neil Walker : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 708 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.426 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 179

Gregory Polanco : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 478 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 100
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.254 — ISO: 0.067 — wRC+: 60


Oakland at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

Oakland NY Yankees
oaklandmlb Scott Kazmir nyyankeesmlb CC Sabathia
LEFT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYY (-106) 8
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.248 0.638 0.286 0.201 SP vs. Left 0.186 0.497 0.222 0.303
SP vs. Right 0.221 0.635 0.283 0.223 SP vs. Right 0.321 0 0.4 0.19
Batter Splits OAK BvP OAK vs L Batter Splits NYY BvP NYY vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Scott Kazmir : FD: $9,300 — DK: $9,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 288.2 — SIERA: 3.62 — K%: 21.8% — BB%: 7.1% — FB Rate: 35.9% — HR/FB: 7.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 40.0 — SIERA: 3.35 — K%: 22.7% — BB%: 5.2% — FB Rate: 34.9% — HR/FB: 2.7%

New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 18)
Pitchers per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)

Analysis: Kazmir has been sharp over the last month of play, posting a 3.35 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.7%. The issue here isn’t his form, it’s his matchup. The Yankees are ranked fifth in wOBA (.322) and sixth in strikeout rate (19.1%) against right-handed pitching this season. There are better pitching options tonight at his price point.

Pitcher Rating:60.3


CC Sabathia : FD: $7,300 — DK: $7,700

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 141.0 — SIERA: 3.39 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 4.5% — FB Rate: 33.0% — HR/FB: 19.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 3.46 — K%: 21.0% — BB%: 3.2% — FB Rate: 39.1% — HR/FB: 25.0%

Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 16.9% (Rank: 3)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)

Analysis: Sabathia continues to be one of the unluckiest pitchers in all of baseball. In each of the last two seasons, his ERA is close to two full runs higher than his SIERA. Eventually, you would think that regression would set in, but maybe that’s not in the cards for Sabathia. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the A’s, who have the third-lowest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Sabathia is a deep tournament play at best tonight.

Pitcher Rating:64.3

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Since the start of the 2014 season, CC Sabathia has given up a .400 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Basically, if you are in the A’s lineup and can hit from the right side of the plate, then you are in play tonight at Yankee Stadium.

Elite Plays:

Ben Zobrist : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 237 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.123 — wRC+: 142
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 122

Billy Butler : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,000

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 239 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 125
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.289 — wRC+: 138

Secondary Plays:

Brett Lawrie : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 150 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.220 — wRC+: 154

Josh Phegley : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 71 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.288 — wRC+: 166
Last 14 Days: PA: 22 — wOBA: 0.224 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 40


NY Yankees

Even though I don’t love targeting Scott Kazmir against the Yankees, I don’t really love the idea of targeting the Yankees against Kazmir either. He has held left and right-handed hitters under a .290 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Yankees should be considered secondary options tonight.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Alex Rodriguez : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 142
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.075 — wRC+: 114

Mark Teixeira : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 239 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.178 — wRC+: 77

Chris Young : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 176 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 100


Houston at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST

Houston Cleveland
houstonmlb Dan Straily clevelandmlb Trevor Bauer
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CLE (-145) 8
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.228 0.768 0.34 0.194 SP vs. Left 0.226 0.685 0.307 0.226
SP vs. Right 0.297 0 0.391 0.233 SP vs. Right 0.255 0.733 0.323 0.215
Batter Splits HOU BvP HOU vs R Batter Splits CLE BvP CLE vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Dan Straily : FD: $5,900 — DK: $6,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 56.2 — SIERA: 4.18 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 10.6% — FB Rate: 46.7% — HR/FB: 13.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 4.2 — SIERA: 3.43 — K%: 30.4% — BB%: 13.0% — FB Rate: 23.1% — HR/FB: 33.3%

Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 22.4% (Rank: 24)
Pitchers per PA: 3.93 (Rank: 3)

Analysis: Straily had a decent start to his season, but he’s not getting any love from Vegas in tonight’s matchup against the Indians. He is a sizable underdog in a game that features a relatively high total of 8.0 runs. Straily is worth keeping an eye on moving forward, but he should be avoided tonight against the Indians.

Pitcher Rating:46.0


Trevor Bauer : FD: $8,400 — DK: $7,900

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 250.1 — SIERA: 4.00 — K%: 22.1% — BB%: 9.6% — FB Rate: 42.5% — HR/FB: 9.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 4.65 — K%: 19.5% — BB%: 11.9% — FB Rate: 43.8% — HR/FB: 14.3%

Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 25.9% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 24.8% (Rank: 29)
Pitchers per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)

Analysis: Bauer is looking to recover his early season form, after posting a 4.65 SIERA over the last month of play. He is still a high-strikeout pitcher, but he is walking more batters in his recent outings. He draws a plus-matchup tonight against the Astros, who are ranked dead last in strikeout rate (25.9%) against right-handed pitching. This is a game where Bauer could either get shelled or pitch a gem. For that reason, I see him as more of a GPP play than a cash game play.

Pitcher Rating:61.0

Batter Grind Down

Houston

The Astros draw a decent matchup against Trevor Bauer, who is a fly-ball pitcher with an average HR/FB rate. As I’m sure you know, the Astros lead the majors in home runs hit. Target Preston Tucker and the right-handed bats in this lineup.

Elite Plays:

Preston Tucker : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.237 — wRC+: 128
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 113

Secondary Plays:

Jose Altuve : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 764 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.108 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 173

Carlos Correa : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 130


Cleveland

The Indians are in a good spot tonight against Dan Straily, who has given up a .341+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters over the past two seasons. The Indians’ offense has been cold in recent weeks, but I’m expecting a breakout performance tonight. They are my favorite contrarian stack outside of Coors Field.

Elite Plays:

Jason Kipnis : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 596 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 138
Last 14 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 98

Michael Brantley : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 622 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 153
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.096 — wRC+: 114

David Murphy : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 548 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 117
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 146

Secondary Plays:

Carlos Santana : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 645 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 122
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.279 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 78

Francisco Lindor : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.268 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 71
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.249 — ISO: 0.082 — wRC+: 57


Miami at Boston – 7:10 PM EST

Miami Boston
miamimlb Tom Koehler bostonmlb Rick Porcello
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BOS (-173) 9
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.237 0.682 0.304 0.194 SP vs. Left 0.271 0.755 0.329 0.156
SP vs. Right 0.249 0.707 0.314 0.176 SP vs. Right 0.277 0.736 0.323 0.172
Batter Splits MIA BvP MIA vs R Batter Splits BOS BvP BOS vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Tom Koehler : FD: $7,000 — DK: $6,500

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 283.1 — SIERA: 4.21 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 8.6% — FB Rate: 38.3% — HR/FB: 8.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 3.29 — K%: 20.3% — BB%: 4.5% — FB Rate: 29.9% — HR/FB: 17.2%

Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 16.2% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.97 (Rank: 1)

Analysis: Koehler has pitched well over his last month of play, posting a 3.29 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.3%. He draws a very difficult matchup tonight against the Red Sox though, who are ranked eighth in wOBA (.322) and first in strikeout rate (16.2%) against right-handed pitching. A pitcher with limited upside in Fenway Park is not very appealing.

Pitcher Rating:42.1


Rick Porcello : FD: $7,400 — DK: $5,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 299.1 — SIERA: 3.91 — K%: 16.3% — BB%: 5.0% — FB Rate: 31.2% — HR/FB: 11.4%
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.2 — SIERA: 3.71 — K%: 17.4% — BB%: 3.5% — FB Rate: 28.6% — HR/FB: 20.8%

Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.276 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 26)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 28)

Analysis: Porcello is a very interesting play tonight against the Marlins, especially on DraftKings where he is listed at a bargain-bin price of $5,800. Miami was already bad against right-handed pitching before the Giancarlo Stanton injury, and now they are even worse. On the season, they are ranked 26th in wOBA (.291) and 23rd in strikeout rate (20.6%) against right-handed pitching. He’s not a recommended play on single-pitcher sites, but I like him as an SP2 on DraftKings.

Pitcher Rating:62.3

Batter Grind Down

Miami

The Marlins see a favorable ballpark boost in Fenway Park and they also get to utilize the DH. The problem is that their offense lacks some serious power. Rick Porcello had has his struggles with left-handed hitters though, which puts Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich, and Justin Bour in play.

Elite Plays:

Dee Gordon : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 764 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.088 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.255 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 57

Christian Yelich : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 688 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.497 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 224

Secondary Plays:

Justin Bour : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 222 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.203 — wRC+: 136
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.433 — wRC+: 169


Boston

The Red Sox have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Tom Koehler at home. Koehler gives up equal splits to left and right-handed hitters, so batters from both sides of the plate are in play from Boston.

Elite Plays:

David Ortiz : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 638 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 138
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 123

Xander Bogaerts : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 654 — wOBA: 0.292 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 81
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.402 — ISO: 0.127 — wRC+: 157

Secondary Plays:

Hanley Ramirez : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 603 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 28 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.423 — wRC+: 152

Mookie Betts : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 424 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 110

Brock Holt : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 508 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.251 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 52

Pablo Sandoval : FD: $2,500 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 643 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 133
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.239 — ISO: 0.077 — wRC+: 43


St. Louis at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM EST

St. Louis Chicago Cubs
stlouismlb Michael Wacha cubsmlb Jason Hammel
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CHC (-108) 7
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.212 0.587 0.265 0.199 SP vs. Left 0.233 0.677 0.297 0.207
SP vs. Right 0.243 0.657 0.291 0.205 SP vs. Right 0.216 0.64 0.28 0.255
Batter Splits STL BvP STL vs R Batter Splits CHC BvP CHC vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Michael Wacha : FD: $8,600 — DK: $9,400

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 208.1 — SIERA: 3.71 — K%: 20.2% — BB%: 6.5% — FB Rate: 33.2% — HR/FB: 6.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 2.72 — K%: 26.0% — BB%: 4.7% — FB Rate: 24.1% — HR/FB: 9.5%

Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 24.4% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.254 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 19)
Pitchers per PA: 3.97 (Rank: 2)

Analysis: Wacha has pitched very well in his recent starts, posting a 2.72 SIERA with a high strikeout rate of 26.0% over the last month. He draws a plus-matchup against the Cubs, who have the second-highest strikeout rate (24.4%) against right-handed pitching. The Cubs do take a lot of pitches though, which could hurt his chances of pitching deep into this game. With Clayton Kershaw in such a great spot tonight, Wacha is more of an SP2.

Pitcher Rating:69.8


Jason Hammel : FD: $9,000 — DK: $9,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 279.0 — SIERA: 3.33 — K%: 23.4% — BB%: 5.5% — FB Rate: 38.7% — HR/FB: 11.4%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.2 — SIERA: 3.69 — K%: 24.1% — BB%: 7.6% — FB Rate: 50.0% — HR/FB: 10.6%

St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.277 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 20)

Analysis: Hammel has very good for the Cubs, posting a 3.33 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.4% over the last two seasons. He is effective against both left and right-handed hitters and he draws a decent matchup against a depleted Cardinals’ offense that is missing a few key pieces in their lineup. Like his pitching counterpart, Hammel is a viable SP2 tonight against St. Louis.

Pitcher Rating:77.0

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

The Cardinals’ offense has managed to stay afloat despite all of their injuries, but they are starting to slow down in recent weeks. They draw a tough matchup tonight against Jason Hammel, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA. Jason Heyward is the only fantasy option of note here.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Jason Heyward : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 717 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.113 — wRC+: 125


Chicago Cubs

The Cubs draw a tough matchup tonight against Michael Wacha, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .295 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Cubs are small favorites tonight, but with a game in Coors Field, they are secondary options at best.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Kris Bryant : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 257 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 129
Last 14 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 124


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Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious