DRAFT MLB Value Watch: Opening Day

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for all DRAFT contests ranging from head-to-head all the way up to ten-person drafts.

Opening Day

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our MLB content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the MLB slate with tier rankings for head-to-head all the way up to ten-person drafts.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT MLB Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one pitcher, two infielders, and two outfielders. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One key note about this article. It is projection based and the analysis will be minimal. It is my feeling the best way to approach DRAFT drafts is to rely on a mathematical approach and to draft the best projected players with some adjustments made for positional scarcity – I will account for this scarcity in my rankings. If there is a question you have on how to interpret the rankings, please leave a comment on the article or shoot me a DM on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer it for you.

The rankings are based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings. I’ve included the overall unadjusted rankings at the end so you can see how players rank in terms of overall fantasy point projection.

Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this as well as injuries and late scratches. The article will not be updated after the initial posting, but if you have any questions please feel free to leave them in the comments or send me a message on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer them.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the MLB First Look from Notorious.

Away Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Line Run Total Time (ET)
Baltimore Orioles Andrew Cashner – R at New York Yankees Masahiro Tanaka – R NYY -307 9.0 1:05 PM
New York Mets Jacob deGrom – R at Washington Nationals Max Scherzer – R WAS -140 7.0 1:05 PM
St. Louis Cardinals Miles Mikolas – R at Milwaukee Brewers Jhoulys Chacin – R MIL -115 8.5 2:10 PM
Atlanta Braves Julio Teheran – R at Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Nola – R PHI -180 7.5 3:05 PM
Detroit Tigers Jordan Zimmermann – R at Toronto Blue Jays Marcus Stroman – R TOR -160 8.5 3:37 PM
Houston Astros Justin Verlander – R at Tampa Bay Rays Blake Snell – L HOU -104 6.5 4:00 PM
Chicago Cubs Jon Lester – L at Texas Rangers Mike Minor – L CHC -110 9.5 4:05 PM
LA Angels of Anaheim Trevor Cahill – R at Oakland Athletics Mike Fiers – R OAK -114 9.0 4:07 PM
Arizona Diamondbacks Zack Greinke – R at Los Angeles Dodgers Hyun-Jin Ryu – L LAD -153 7.5 4:10 PM
Cleveland Indians Corey Kluber – R at Minnesota Twins Jose Berrios – R CLE -125 7.5 4:10 PM
Colorado Rockies Kyle Freeland – L at Miami Marlins Jose Urena – R COL -125 8.0 4:10 PM
Pittsburgh Pirates Jameson Taillon – R at Cincinnati Reds Luis Castillo – R CIN -115 8.5 4:10 PM
San Francisco Giants Madison Bumgarner – L at San Diego Padres Eric Lauer – L SD -115 8.0 4:10 PM
Chicago White Sox Carlos Rodon – L at Kansas City Royals Brad Keller – R KC -109 8.5 4:15 PM
Boston Red Sox Chris Sale – L at Seattle Mariners Marco Gonzales – L BOS -168 7.0 7:10 PM

It’s hard to believe that MLB Opening Day is upon us but here we are… a full slate of games is headlined by a bunch of aces taking the mounds with Chris Sale leading the way. Mike Trout is the top projected hitter of the slate and is worth taking right after Sale. Aaron Judge, Kris Bryant, and Giancarlo Stanton are the next three top projected hitters while Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, and Jacob deGrom headline the next ranked pitching options.

Here are the rankings for Opening Day…

Authors Note – I made an error in copying the data this morning. The opponent is listed first and the player’s team is listed second. This will be corrected for the next article.

Head-to-Head Rankings

Ten players total to be drafted.

Chris Sale BOS SEA P1
Mike Trout LAA OAK OF1
Mookie Betts BOS SEA OF2
J.D. Martinez BOS SEA OF3
Kris Bryant CHC TEX IF1
Matt Carpenter STL MIL IF2
Paul Goldschmidt STL MIL IF3
Aaron Judge NYY BAL OF4
Rhys Hoskins PHI ATL IF4
Max Scherzer WAS NYM P2

Three-Person Rankings

Fifteen players total to be drafted.

Chris Sale BOS SEA P1
Mike Trout LAA OAK OF1
Mookie Betts BOS SEA OF2
J.D. Martinez BOS SEA OF3
Aaron Judge NYY BAL OF4
Bryce Harper PHI ATL OF5
Kris Bryant CHC TEX IF1
Matt Carpenter STL MIL IF2
Paul Goldschmidt STL MIL IF3
Rhys Hoskins PHI ATL IF4
Jose Ramirez CLE MIN IF5
Giancarlo Stanton NYY BAL OF6
Javier Baez CHC TEX IF6
Max Scherzer WAS NYM P2
Justin Verlander HOU TBR P3

Six-Person Rankings

Thirty players total to be drafted.

Chris Sale BOS SEA P1
Mike Trout LAA OAK OF1
Max Scherzer WAS NYM P2
Justin Verlander HOU TBR P3
Corey Kluber CLE MIN P4
Mookie Betts BOS SEA OF2
J.D. Martinez BOS SEA OF3
Aaron Judge NYY BAL OF4
Jacob deGrom NYM WAS P5
Bryce Harper PHI ATL OF5
Kris Bryant CHC TEX IF1
Giancarlo Stanton NYY BAL OF6
Christian Yelich MIL STL OF7
Matt Carpenter STL MIL IF2
Paul Goldschmidt STL MIL IF3
Rhys Hoskins PHI ATL IF4
Jose Ramirez CLE MIN IF5
Javier Baez CHC TEX IF6
Gary Sanchez NYY BAL IF7
Joey Votto CIN PIT IF8
Khris Davis OAK LAA OF8
Charlie Blackmon COL MIA OF9
Whit Merrifield KCR CHW IF9
Manny Machado SDP SFG IF10
Alex Bregman HOU TBR IF11
Odubel Herrera PHI ATL OF10
Brett Gardner NYY BAL OF11
Travis Shaw MIL STL IF12
George Springer HOU TBR OF12
Aaron Nola PHI ATL P6

Ten-Person Rankings

Fifty players total to be drafted.

Chris Sale BOS SEA P1
Mike Trout LAA OAK OF1
Max Scherzer WAS NYM P2
Justin Verlander HOU TBR P3
Corey Kluber CLE MIN P4
Mookie Betts BOS SEA OF2
J.D. Martinez BOS SEA OF3
Aaron Judge NYY BAL OF4
Jacob deGrom NYM WAS P5
Bryce Harper PHI ATL OF5
Aaron Nola PHI ATL P6
Kris Bryant CHC TEX IF1
Giancarlo Stanton NYY BAL OF6
Christian Yelich MIL STL OF7
Matt Carpenter STL MIL IF2
Blake Snell TBR HOU P7
Zack Greinke ARI LAD P8
Khris Davis OAK LAA OF8
Kyle Freeland COL MIA P9
Paul Goldschmidt STL MIL IF3
Rhys Hoskins PHI ATL IF4
Jose Ramirez CLE MIN IF5
Javier Baez CHC TEX IF6
Gary Sanchez NYY BAL IF7
Joey Votto CIN PIT IF8
Charlie Blackmon COL MIA OF9
Whit Merrifield KCR CHW IF9
Manny Machado SDP SFG IF10
Alex Bregman HOU TBR IF11
Travis Shaw MIL STL IF12
Daniel Murphy COL MIA IF13
Odubel Herrera PHI ATL OF10
Brett Gardner NYY BAL OF11
George Springer HOU TBR OF12
Justin Smoak TOR DET IF14
Jonathan Villar BAL NYY IF15
Luke Voit NYY BAL IF16
Andrew McCutchen PHI ATL OF13
Starling Marte PIT CIN OF14
Nolan Arenado COL MIA IF17
Corey Dickerson PIT CIN OF15
Randal Grichuk TOR DET OF16
Jose Altuve HOU TBR IF18
Matt Chapman OAK LAA IF19
David Dahl COL MIA OF17
Juan Soto WAS NYM OF18
Ryan Braun MIL STL OF19
Xander Bogaerts BOS SEA IF20
Lorenzo Cain MIL STL OF20
Jose Berrios MIN CLE P10

Overall Positional Rankings

Pitchers

Chris Sale BOS SEA P1
Max Scherzer WAS NYM P2
Justin Verlander HOU TBR P3
Corey Kluber CLE MIN P4
Jacob deGrom NYM WAS P5
Aaron Nola PHI ATL P6
Blake Snell TBR HOU P7
Zack Greinke ARI LAD P8
Kyle Freeland COL MIA P9
Jose Berrios MIN CLE P10
Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD ARI P11
Madison Bumgarner SFG SDP P12
Masahiro Tanaka NYY BAL P13
Luis Castillo CIN PIT P14
Jameson Taillon PIT CIN P15

Infielders

Kris Bryant CHC TEX IF1
Matt Carpenter STL MIL IF2
Paul Goldschmidt STL MIL IF3
Rhys Hoskins PHI ATL IF4
Jose Ramirez CLE MIN IF5
Javier Baez CHC TEX IF6
Gary Sanchez NYY BAL IF7
Joey Votto CIN PIT IF8
Whit Merrifield KCR CHW IF9
Manny Machado SDP SFG IF10
Alex Bregman HOU TBR IF11
Travis Shaw MIL STL IF12
Daniel Murphy COL MIA IF13
Justin Smoak TOR DET IF14
Jonathan Villar BAL NYY IF15
Luke Voit NYY BAL IF16
Nolan Arenado COL MIA IF17
Jose Altuve HOU TBR IF18
Matt Chapman OAK LAA IF19
Xander Bogaerts BOS SEA IF20
Jesus Aguilar MIL STL IF21
Paul DeJong STL MIL IF22
Jean Segura PHI ATL IF23
Mike Moustakas MIL STL IF24
Anthony Rizzo CHC TEX IF25

Outfielders

Mike Trout LAA OAK OF1
Mookie Betts BOS SEA OF2
J.D. Martinez BOS SEA OF3
Aaron Judge NYY BAL OF4
Bryce Harper PHI ATL OF5
Giancarlo Stanton NYY BAL OF6
Christian Yelich MIL STL OF7
Khris Davis OAK LAA OF8
Charlie Blackmon COL MIA OF9
Odubel Herrera PHI ATL OF10
Brett Gardner NYY BAL OF11
George Springer HOU TBR OF12
Andrew McCutchen PHI ATL OF13
Starling Marte PIT CIN OF14
Corey Dickerson PIT CIN OF15
Randal Grichuk TOR DET OF16
David Dahl COL MIA OF17
Juan Soto WAS NYM OF18
Ryan Braun MIL STL OF19
Lorenzo Cain MIL STL OF20
Daniel Palka CHW KCR OF21
Albert Almora CHC TEX OF22
Joey Gallo TEX CHC OF23
Marcell Ozuna STL MIL OF24
Nick Castellanos DET TOR OF25

Unadjusted Overall Rankings

Chris Sale BOS SEA P1
Mike Trout LAA OAK OF1
Max Scherzer WAS NYM P2
Justin Verlander HOU TBR P3
Corey Kluber CLE MIN P4
Mookie Betts BOS SEA OF2
J.D. Martinez BOS SEA OF3
Aaron Judge NYY BAL OF4
Jacob deGrom NYM WAS P5
Bryce Harper PHI ATL OF5
Aaron Nola PHI ATL P6
Kris Bryant CHC TEX IF1
Giancarlo Stanton NYY BAL OF6
Christian Yelich MIL STL OF7
Matt Carpenter STL MIL IF2
Blake Snell TBR HOU P7
Zack Greinke ARI LAD P8
Khris Davis OAK LAA OF8
Kyle Freeland COL MIA P9
Paul Goldschmidt STL MIL IF3
Rhys Hoskins PHI ATL IF4
Jose Ramirez CLE MIN IF5
Javier Baez CHC TEX IF6
Jose Berrios MIN CLE P10
Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD ARI P11
Madison Bumgarner SFG SDP P12
Gary Sanchez NYY BAL IF7
Joey Votto CIN PIT IF8
Charlie Blackmon COL MIA OF9
Whit Merrifield KCR CHW IF9
Manny Machado SDP SFG IF10
Alex Bregman HOU TBR IF11
Travis Shaw MIL STL IF12
Daniel Murphy COL MIA IF13
Odubel Herrera PHI ATL OF10
Brett Gardner NYY BAL OF11
George Springer HOU TBR OF12
Justin Smoak TOR DET IF14
Jonathan Villar BAL NYY IF15
Luke Voit NYY BAL IF16
Andrew McCutchen PHI ATL OF13
Starling Marte PIT CIN OF14
Nolan Arenado COL MIA IF17
Corey Dickerson PIT CIN OF15
Randal Grichuk TOR DET OF16
Jose Altuve HOU TBR IF18
Matt Chapman OAK LAA IF19
David Dahl COL MIA OF17
Xander Bogaerts BOS SEA IF20
Jesus Aguilar MIL STL IF21
Juan Soto WAS NYM OF18
Paul DeJong STL MIL IF22
Jean Segura PHI ATL IF23
Mike Moustakas MIL STL IF24
Anthony Rizzo CHC TEX IF25
Masahiro Tanaka NYY BAL P13
Ryan Braun MIL STL OF19
Lorenzo Cain MIL STL OF20
Daniel Palka CHW KCR OF21
Luis Castillo CIN PIT P14
Jameson Taillon PIT CIN P15
Albert Almora CHC TEX OF22
Joey Gallo TEX CHC OF23
Marcell Ozuna STL MIL OF24
Nick Castellanos DET TOR OF25

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

About the Author

  • Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

  • Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix

Comments

  • WreckEmTech

    Why is Jeff Mathis in these rating?

  • zroo92

    And how is Christian Walker IF2?

  • thehazyone

    RG Contributor

    • Blogger of the Month

    There was an issue with the projections file import – not sure what happened. I did a quick fix and will take a look at the file later and fix. Sorry about that guys!

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