MLB Grind Down: Saturday, August 8 - Page Two

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2015-08-08 15:36:50

NY Mets at Tampa Bay – 6:10 PM EST

NY Mets					Tampa Bay
			Noah Syndergaard					Nate Karns
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			NYM (-113)					6.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.226	0.61	0.265	0.199	SP vs. Left	0.23	0.629	0.285	0.27
SP vs. Right	0.221	0.619	0.271	0.312	SP vs. Right	0.208	0.695	0.301	0.184
Batter Splits	NYM BvP		NYM vs R		Batter Splits	TBR BvP		TB vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Noah Syndergaard

Tampa Bay Rays vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 27)
Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 28)

Syndergaard has been another solid cog in this Mets rotation. He has been great recently as he has not allowed more than two earned runs in his last seven starts, which has led to a SIERA of 2.84 during this span with a strikeout rate at a very high level of 27.7%. Noah gets a great matchup against the Rays who are in the bottom third of the league in strikeout rate and team wOBA against righties. Syndergaard is a top option if playable on your early slates today. Rating = 9

Salaries: $10,800 FD, $11,500 DK

Nate Karns

New York Mets vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 26)
Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 19)

Karns has pitched well recently, posting a SIERA of 3.31 and a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of July. Karns has really improved his changeup this year, which has started to give him these big strikeout results. He has a great matchup against the Mets who have struggled against right-handed pitching all year long. Run support may be non-existent tonight, which does bring his win probability down, but he could be a good contrarian option. Rating = 6.5

*Salaries: *

Batter Grind Down

NY Mets

Karns has pitched well this season and has held lefties and righties to a wOBA of .292. The Mets do have a couple lefties that have fared well this year, but are just secondary plays this afternoon.

Elite Plays

None

Secondary Plays:

Curtis Granderson
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.215 — OBP: 0.390

Lucas Duda
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.236 — OBP: 0.350

Tampa Bay

Syndergaard has been great recently and hitters should be avoided against him as he has held batters under a wOBA of .271 from both sides of the plate.

Elite Plays

None

Secondary Plays:

None

Colorado at Washington – 7:05 PM EST

Colorado					Washington
			Eddie Butler					Stephen Strasburg
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			WAS (0)					0
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.347	1.082	0.457	0.085	SP vs. Left	0.238	0.665	0.294	0.234
SP vs. Right	0.283	0	0.357	0.121	SP vs. Right	0.263	0.725	0.317	0.293
Batter Splits	COL BvP		COL vs R		Batter Splits	WAS BvP		WAS vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Eddie Butler

Washington Nationals vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.310 (Rank:16)
Strikeout Rate: 21.2% (Rank: 20)

Butler is one of the worst starters going any time he takes the mound. He has a SIERA of over 5, a low strikeout rate of 11.8% and gives up home runs at a 1.56 HR/9 rate. Avoid him tonight. Rating = 3

Salaries: $4,700 FD, $4,300 DK

Stephen Strasburg

Colorado Rockies vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 1)
Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 15)

Strasburg is coming off the DL after six weeks of sitting out with an oblique injury. Strasburg is a very tough pitcher to judge as he was all over the place in the games he has started this season. He now has to face a Rockies offense that is first in the league against right-handed pitching. He is safe to ignore tonight, until we see him pitch a game or two. Rating = 5

Salaries: $8,700 FD, $10,100 DK

Batter Grind Down

Colorado

Hard to predict a Strasburg performance tonight, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him give up a few runs in his first game back.

Elite Plays

Carlos Gonzalez
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.425 — ISO: 0.313 — OBP: 0.378

Secondary Plays:

Charlie Blackmon
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.199 — OBP: 0.383

Nolan Arenado
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.317 — OBP: 0.312

Washington

This Nationals squad gets a great matchup against Butler who has allowed a wOBA of .440 to lefties and .364 to righties on the year. Get some in your lineups, while Harper is one of the best options of the night.

Elite Plays

Bryce Harper
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.480 — ISO: 0.351 — OBP: 0.469

Yunel Escobar
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.354— ISO: 0.110 — OBP: 0.376

Ian Desmond
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.279— ISO: 0.152 — OBP: 0.268

Secondary Plays:

Ryan Zimmerman
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.269 — ISO: 0.147 — OBP: 0.266

Anthony Rendon
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.098 — OBP: 0.364

Boston at Detroit – 7:08 PM EST

Boston					Detroit
			Wade Miley					Alfredo Simon
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			DET (-117)					8.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.248	0.692	0.307	0.182	SP vs. Left	0.27	0.795	0.345	0.148
SP vs. Right	0.265	0.765	0.336	0.199	SP vs. Right	0.23	0.648	0.288	0.171
Batter Splits	BOS BvP		BOS vs R		Batter Splits	DET BvP		DET vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Wade Miley

Detroit Tigers vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.339 (Rank: 2)
Strikeout Rate: 22.5% (Rank: 23)

Miley has continued to be an average pitcher for the Red Sox this season. He holds a SIERA of 4.40 with a below average strikeout rate of 16.9%. He has been susceptible to giving up some big outings and has a tough matchup against the Tigers who are ranked second in the league against lefties. Miley is safe to ignore against one of the top offenses on the slate. Rating = 4.5

Salaries: $7,400 FD, $6,300 DK

Alfredo Simon

Boston Red Sox vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 13)
Strikeout Rate: 16.7% (Rank: 2)

Simon has really struggled over the last two months. During this eight-game stretch, Simon has posted a SIERA of 4.98 while allowing eight home runs. He has a very tough assignment tonight against the Red Sox tonight and should be avoided in all formats. Rating = 3.5

Salaries: $7,400 FD, $6,400 DK

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Simon has given up a lot of runs lately and this Boston lineup can still put them up in a hurry. Lefties have crushed Simon for a wOBA of .388 on the year, which puts Ortiz as a clear elite play.

Elite Plays

David Ortiz
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.277 — OBP: 0.387

Pablo Sandoval
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.171— OBP: 0.336

Brock Holt
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.105 — OBP: 0.350

Secondary Plays:

Hanley Ramirez
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.169 — OBP: 0.303

Xander Bogaerts
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.085 — OBP: 0.307

Detroit

The Tigers have a great matchup tonight against Miley who has allowed righties a wOBA of .348 on the season. They are one of the top offenses on the board tonight.

Elite Plays

Victor Martinez
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.125 — OBP: 0.417

J.D. Martinez
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.220 — OBP: 0.371

Secondary Plays:

Jose Iglesias
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.401 — ISO: 0.128 — OBP: 0.425

Ian Kinsler
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.129 — OBP: 0.340

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City – 7:10 PM EST

Chicago White Sox					Kansas City
			Jeff Samardzija					Jeremy Guthrie
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			KCR (-107)					8
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.253	0.712	0.312	0.211	SP vs. Left	0.309	0.873	0.38	0.139
SP vs. Right	0.235	0.641	0.282	0.207	SP vs. Right	0.25	0.642	0.285	0.125
Batter Splits	CHW BvP		CWS vs R		Batter Splits	KCR BvP		KC vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jeff Samardzija

Chicago White Sox vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 19)
Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 20)

The Shark was hit hard in his last start against the Yankees when he allowed eight earned runs. He will look to bounce back in a tough matchup against the Royals, who he has a 6.23 ERA against in two starts this year. Samardzija is an average play tonight in this matchup. Rating = 5

Salaries: $9,200 FD, $8,600 DK

Jeremy Guthrie

Kansas City Royals vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 10)
Strikeout Rate: 16.0% (Rank: 1)

Guthrie is not in consideration in any type of daily fantasy format. He has a well below-average SIERA (5.04) on the year to go along with one of the lowest strikeout rates of any starter in baseball (11.6%). Avoid him today against the White Sox. Rating = 3.5

Salaries: $5,400 FD, $4,900 DK

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

At this point, you know the drill, attack lefties against Guthrie who has allowed a wOBA of .406 to left-handed bats on the year. All the bats are in play, but guys like Eaton and Cabrera make great plays tonight. Make sure to check lineups tonight as Eaton did leave last night’s game with a jammed shoulder.

Elite Plays

Adam Eaton
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.178 — OBP: 0.370

Melky Cabrera
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.115 — OBP: 0.341

Jose Abreu
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.217 — OBP: 0.361

Secondary Plays:

Adam LaRoche
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321— ISO: 0.153 — OBP: 0.336

Tyler Saladino
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.293— ISO: 0.099 — OBP: 0.298

Kansas City

This Royals squad has hit weaker pitching well this year, yet don’t exactly pack the power punch.

Elite Plays

Eric Hosmer
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.190 — OBP: 0.404

Secondary Plays:

Mike Moustakas
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.149 — OBP: 0.362

Kendrys Morales
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.213 — OBP: 0.343

St. Louis at Milwaukee – 7:10 PM EST

St. Louis					Milwaukee
			Jaime Garcia					Wily Peralta
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			STL (-135)					7.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.283	0.77	0.34	0.255	SP vs. Left	0.3	0.841	0.366	0.172
SP vs. Right	0.191	0.553	0.246	0.183	SP vs. Right	0.235	0.653	0.295	0.177
Batter Splits	STL BvP		STL vs R		Batter Splits	MIL BvP		MIL vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jaime Garcia

Milwaukee Brewers vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.284 (Rank: 26)
Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 13)

Garcia has pitched well for the Cardinals after getting a late start to the season. After nine starts, Garcia comes into this game with a SIERA of 3.13 and an 18.6% strikeout rate. This Brewers squad has lost a big right-handed bat in Gomez and they have really not hit lefties well at all this year as they have a team wOBA of .284. Garcia is in play tonight in this matchup. Rating = 7

Salaries: $8,000 FD, $10,000 DK

Wily Peralta

St. Louis Cardinals vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 12)
Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 9)

Peralta really struggled in his last start as he allowed six earned runs against the Padres. Peralta’s problem continues to be the long ball as he has a HR/9 of 1.28 this season. Add that to the fact that he is not a huge strikeout pitcher (14.6%) and we can safely avoid Peralta against the Cards who have a team wOBA of .315. Rating = 4

Salaries: $6,400 FD, $5,300 DK

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

As touched on above, the long ball has been a bit of a problem for Peralta, which could lead to a nice stack of the Cardinals tonight who do have some guys that can take him deep. Peralta has allowed a wOBA of over .348 from both sides of the plate, putting a few of the Cardinals in play.

Elite Plays

Jhonny Peralta
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.137 — OBP: 0.357

Matt Carpenter
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.210 — OBP: 0.391

Kolten Wong
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.178 — OBP: 0.348

Secondary Plays:

Jason Heyward
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.159 — OBP: 0.325

Randal Grichuk
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.306 — OBP: 0.339

Milwaukee

Garcia has held righties to a wOBA of .221 so far this season. He is a great pitching option tonight and this Brewers squad has one of the lowest team totals on the night slate behind the Phillies. You can ignore the bats except for tournament flyers on guys like Braun.

Elite Plays

None

Secondary Plays:

Ryan Braun
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.418— ISO: 0.267 — OBP: 0.409

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