MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, July 28th - Page Two
Washington at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| Washington | Miami | ||||||||
 | Jordan Zimmermann |  | Jose Fernandez | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIA (-125) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.269 | 0.686 | 0.303 | 0.192 | SP vs. Left | 0.24 | 0.659 | 0.292 | 0.273 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.235 | 0.604 | 0.268 | 0.225 | SP vs. Right | 0.157 | 0.437 | 0.192 | 0.397 |
| Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs R | Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jordan Zimmermann : FD: $8,600 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 322.1 — SIERA: 3.43 — ERA: 2.90 — K%: 20.8% — BB%: 3.8% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 3.26 — ERA: 2.93 — K%: 22.0% — BB%: 1.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 17.4% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Zimmermann has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.26 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.0% and a walk rate of only 1.6%. When he is at his best, he is throwing a lot of strikes and keeping his pitch count down. Even though he is an underdog, he is an interesting play tonight against the Marlins, who are ranked 27th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Run support will be an issue with Jose Fernandez pitching opposite him, but I’m not sure Fernandez is going to get much run support either.
Pitcher Rating:71.9
Jose Fernandez : FD: $10,700 — DK: $12,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 77.2 — SIERA: 2.16 — ERA: 2.55 — K%: 33.2% — BB%: 5.2% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.0 — SIERA: 2.08 — ERA: 2.77 — K%: 31.4% — BB%: 2.9% — HR/9: 0.4
Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.286 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 26.4% (Rank: 29)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Fernandez is the highest-rated pitcher on the schedule tonight. He has been terrific this season, posting a 2.08 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 31.4%. He draws one of the best matchups on the board, as he squares off against a depleted Nationals’ offense that is ranked 24th in team wOBA and 29th in strikeout rate over the last 14 days of play. Fernandez also gets the benefit of pitching at home in the pitcher-friendly Marlins Park. Run support is an issue, but with his strikeout potential, he is the clear number one pitching option tonight.
Pitcher Rating:98.1
Batter Grind Down
Washington
The Nationals’ offense has been struggling to score runs against average pitchers recently. They should be avoided tonight against one of the best pitchers in baseball. In his career, Jose Fernandez has held left and right-handed hitters under a .265 wOBA.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Miami
We have quite a few pitcher’s duels on our hands tonight. Luckily, there is a full slate of games, so we can completely avoid the games that are expected to be low scoring. The Marlins’ offense can safely be avoided against Jordan Zimmermann, who comes into tonight’s start in his best form of the season.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Kansas City at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST
| Kansas City | Cleveland | ||||||||
 | Chris Young |  | Trevor Bauer | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CLE (-119) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.249 | 0.779 | 0.341 | 0.139 | SP vs. Left | 0.228 | 0.696 | 0.311 | 0.234 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.186 | 0.626 | 0.273 | 0.181 | SP vs. Right | 0.256 | 0.74 | 0.325 | 0.218 |
| Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs R | Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Young : FD: $6,300 — DK: $5,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 260.0 — SIERA: 5.15 — ERA: 3.53 — K%: 15.8% — BB%: 8.3% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.1 — SIERA: 4.96 — ERA: 4.31 — K%: 15.3% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 2.0
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 18.6% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 16)
Pitchers per PA: 3.92 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Regardless of who the opponent is, Young is an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy. He has a 5.15 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 15.8% over the last two seasons. He doesn’t have strikeout potential to overcome the few runs that he is likely going to give up. The Indians may not be the best offense in the American League, but they are hard to strikeout and they average the third-most pitches per plate appearance this season.
Pitcher Rating:39.4
Trevor Bauer : FD: $8,000 — DK: $8,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 268.1 — SIERA: 3.89 — ERA: 4.23 — K%: 22.6% — BB%: 9.3% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.1 — SIERA: 3.17 — ERA: 5.46 — K%: 24.4% — BB%: 4.7% — HR/9: 2.6
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 16.0% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 15.7% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.66 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Bauer has given up a lot of runs recently, but his indicators suggest some positive regression is coming soon. Over the last month of play, he has a 3.17 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.4%. The biggest issue with Bauer is his matchup. The Royals’ offense is scoring runs in bunches again and they are the toughest team to strikeout in all of baseball. As always, we should avoid pitchers in Coors Field and avoid the ones facing the Royals.
Pitcher Rating:62.9
Batter Grind Down
Kansas City
The Royals’ offense has been rolling recently. When you put the ball in play more often than any other team in baseball, you have a better chance of having good things happen. They draw a decent matchup tonight against Trevor Bauer, who has given up a .311+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Eric Hosmer : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 626 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 121
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.468 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 207
Secondary Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 594 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.119 — wRC+: 108
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 141
Alcides Escobar : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 739 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.078 — wRC+: 87
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.279 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 74
Cleveland
The Indians have a tendency to let us down in favorable matchups, but hopefully they can buck that trend tonight. They draw a nice matchup against Chris Young, who has given up a .341 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Michael Brantley, Jason Kipnis, and Carlos Santana are all in play tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 666 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 155
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.476 — ISO: 0.324 — wRC+: 217
Secondary Plays:
Jason Kipnis : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 644 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 137
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.061 — wRC+: 103
Carlos Santana : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 694 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 124
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 110
Colorado at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM EST
| Colorado | Chicago Cubs | ||||||||
 | Yohan Flande |  | Dallas Beeler | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHC (-165) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.187 | 0.575 | 0.256 | 0.143 | SP vs. Left | 0.387 | 1.029 | 0.44 | 0.077 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.28 | 0.775 | 0.335 | 0.14 | SP vs. Right | 0.205 | 0.505 | 0.233 | 0.214 |
| Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | Batter Splits | CHC BvP | CHC vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Yohan Flande : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 76.0 — SIERA: 3.69 — ERA: 4.97 — K%: 14.1% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 9.2 — SIERA: 2.10 — ERA: 1.86 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 2.7% — HR/9: 0.9
Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.279 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 24.7% (Rank: 27)
Pitchers per PA: 3.99 (Rank: 1)
Analysis: Flande will be making his first start of the season, after seven appearances out of the bullpen. He has made six starts at in the minors this season, but he hasn’t thrown more than 70 pitches in over a month and a half. He will likely be on a pitch count tonight against the Cubs, which makes him an easy avoid in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:47.1
Dallas Beeler : FD: $5,400 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 18.0 — SIERA: 4.85 — ERA: 4.50 — K%: 14.8% — BB%: 13.6% — HR/9: 0.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 7.0 — SIERA: 3.96 — ERA: 6.43 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 11.4% — HR/9: 0.0
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.342 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.363 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: Beeler has 18 major league innings under his belt, posting a 4.85 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 14.8%. The good news is that he gets to face a Rockies’ team that just traded away Troy Tulowitzki. The bad news is that he is still Dallas Beeler. He has had a low strikeout rate in the minors and there is no reason to think that it’s going to improve in the majors. He can safely be avoided tonight against the Rockies.
Pitcher Rating:49.2
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
The Rockies traded away Troy Tulowitzki, but the good news for us daily fantasy players is that Tulo gets to go from the best hitter’s park in baseball to the second-best hitter’s park in baseball. The Rockies draw a favorable matchup tonight against Dallas Beeler, who is a low strikeout pitcher. The left-handed bats of Carlos Gonzalez, Charlie Blackmon, and Ben Paulsen are all in play tonight.
Elite Plays:
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 458 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.249 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.588 — ISO: 0.571 — wRC+: 271
Secondary Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 794 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 122
Ben Paulsen : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 218 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.429 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 161
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs are sizable favorites tonight in a game that features a total of 8.5 runs. They have one of the highest team totals on the board, so Vegas is expecting a big offensive outing from Chicago tonight at home. They draw a favorable matchup against Yohan Flande, who has given up a .335 wOBA to right-handed hitters this season. Anthony Rizzo and Kyle Schwarber are decent tournament plays, but the right-handed bats have the edge in this matchup.
Elite Plays:
Kris Bryant : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 76 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 138
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.213 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 27
Dexter Fowler : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 212 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 144
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 154
Secondary Plays:
Jorge Soler : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 82 — wOBA: 0.281 — ISO: 0.071 — wRC+: 74
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.283 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 75
Starlin Castro : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 199 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.093 — wRC+: 97
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.106 — ISO: 0.027 — wRC+: -47
NY Yankees at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| NY Yankees | Texas | ||||||||
 | Chris Capuano |  | Martin Perez | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYY (-110) | 9.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.303 | 0.89 | 0.388 | 0.179 | SP vs. Left | 0.222 | 0.626 | 0.278 | 0.246 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.251 | 0.717 | 0.315 | 0.21 | SP vs. Right | 0.299 | 0.804 | 0.355 | 0.125 |
| Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs L | Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Capuano : FD: $5,800 — DK: $4,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 127.2 — SIERA: 3.76 — ERA: 4.65 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 4.1 — SIERA: 4.33 — ERA: 8.31 — K%: 19.1% — BB%: 9.5% — HR/9: 4.2
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 12)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 16)
Analysis: Capuano will be making his fourth game of the season tonight. He has been pitching out of the bullpen recently and he hasn’t thrown more than 38 pitches in over a month. He will likely be on a pitch count tonight against the Rangers, who have been one of the hottest offenses in baseball over the last two weeks of play. Capuano should be avoided in what is expected to be a high scoring game in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park.
Pitcher Rating:49.7
Martin Perez : FD: $5,500 — DK: $5,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 62.1 — SIERA: 4.37 — ERA: 4.48 — K%: 15.2% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 0.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 11.0 — SIERA: 5.57 — ERA: 4.91 — K%: 8.0% — BB%: 12.0% — HR/9: 0.0
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.6% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 18.3% (Rank: 9)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Perez has been a below-average southpaw over the last two seasons, posting a 4.37 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.2% and a walk rate of 9.7%. He draws one of the worst matchups on the board, as the Yankees are ranked fourth in team wOBA and fifth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. There is no reason for Perez should be on your radar tonight.
Pitcher Rating:32.8
Batter Grind Down
NY Yankees
The Yankees are one of the best hitting teams in baseball against left-handed pitching this season. A large part of that has been the resurgence of Alex Rodriguez, who just turned 40 last night. Rodriguez remains an elite play tonight against Martin Perez, who has given up a .355 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The Yankees are one of the top teams to stack in both cash games and tournaments tonight.
Elite Plays:
Alex Rodriguez : FD: $4,000 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.423 — ISO: 0.341 — wRC+: 174
Last 14 Days: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.440 — ISO: 0.500 — wRC+: 186
Chris Young : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: P — DK: P
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 5 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 13 — wOBA: 0.545 — ISO: 0.417 — wRC+: 259
Secondary Plays:
Mark Teixeira : FD: $3,800 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 263 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.166 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.525 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 246
Brett Gardner : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 306 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.032 — wRC+: 72
Chase Headley : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 253 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 94
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 140
Texas
The Rangers draw a favorable matchup against Chris Capuano, who is a reverse-splits pitcher. That should actually be beneficial to the Rangers, as some of their best hitters are left-handed. The Rangers will also face the bullpen quite a bit tonight, as Capuano is not expected to pitch deep into tonight’s game.
Elite Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 226 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 117
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 137
Secondary Plays:
Rougned Odor : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 205 — wOBA: 0.302 — ISO: 0.126 — wRC+: 86
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.552 — ISO: 0.525 — wRC+: 261
Adrian Beltre : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 268 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 137
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.057 — wRC+: 96
Pittsburgh at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Pittsburgh | Minnesota | ||||||||
 | Charlie Morton |  | Mike Pelfrey | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PIT (-116) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.256 | 0.73 | 0.326 | 0.171 | SP vs. Left | 0.255 | 0.745 | 0.334 | 0.118 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.237 | 0.67 | 0.301 | 0.172 | SP vs. Right | 0.327 | 0 | 0.369 | 0.094 |
| Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Charlie Morton : FD: $6,900 — DK: $5,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 222.0 — SIERA: 3.81 — ERA: 3.97 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.31 — ERA: 5.28 — K%: 14.6% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.284 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 22.7% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Morton has not been sharp over the last month of play, posting a 4.31 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 14.6%. He has also walked over 8% of the batters that he has faced over the last two seasons. He draws a favorable matchup against the Twins, but there isn’t enough upside to warrant fantasy consideration tonight.
Pitcher Rating:54.3
Mike Pelfrey : FD: $5,900 — DK: $4,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 128.2 — SIERA: 4.95 — ERA: 4.69 — K%: 10.5% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 19.2 — SIERA: 4.95 — ERA: 7.78 — K%: 9.7% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 0.9
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 28.1% (Rank: 30)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Pelfrey is one of the few pitchers in baseball whose walk rate (9.0%) is nearly as high as his strikeout rate (10.5%). He has a below-average SIERA and he gives up a high wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. Regardless of the opponent, he should not be targeted in cash games or tournaments.
Pitcher Rating:34.9
Batter Grind Down
Pittsburgh
The Pirates draw a terrific matchup tonight against the Twins. In addition to playing in an American League ballpark, they get to face Mike Pelfrey, who has given up a .334+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. This is a great opportunity to target the Pirates’ bats, especially the ones that are underpriced (Jung-Ho Kang and Gregory Polanco).
Elite Plays:
Jung-Ho Kang : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 230 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 120
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.459 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 201
Gregory Polanco : FD: $2,500 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 538 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 105
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.214 — wRC+: 127
Secondary Plays:
Andrew McCutchen : FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 864 — wOBA: 0.401 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 161
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.118 — wRC+: 108
Starling Marte : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 757 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 125
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 157
Minnesota
The Twins draw a decent matchup against Charlie Morton, but there aren’t any options that stand out as must plays tonight. The Twins are ranked below the major league average in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Brian Dozier and Miguel Sano are both secondary plays tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Brian Dozier : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 795 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.199 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 150
Miguel Sano : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.496 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 227
Last 14 Days: PA: 29 — wOBA: 0.264 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 65