MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, August 19th - Page Two

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2015-08-19 18:10:36

Toronto at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Toronto					Philadelphia
			Mark Buehrle					Adam Morgan
			LEFT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TOR (-193)					9
SP vs. Left	0.261	0.723	0.317	0.127	SP vs. Left	0.195	0.567	0.253	0.111
SP vs. Right	0.276	0.73	0.318	0.13	SP vs. Right	0.281	0.829	0.358	0.127
Batter Splits	TOR BvP		TOR vs L		Batter Splits	PHI BvP		PHI vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Mark Buehrle : FD: $8,400 — DK: $7,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 357.0 — SIERA: 4.39 — ERA: 3.35 — K%: 12.9% — BB%: 4.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 4.97 — ERA: 3.21 — K%: 8.8% — BB%: 2.9% — HR/9: 1.1

Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 24.2% (Rank: 27)
Pitchers per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 29)

Analysis: Buerhle is a better real-life pitcher than he is in daily fantasy. He has an extremely low strikeout rate, which caps his upside. He draws a decent matchup tonight against the Phillies, but there just isn’t enough upside to warrant fantasy consideration. The Phillies are actually a decent team against southpaws this season.

Pitcher Rating: 59.6

Adam Morgan : FD: $5,400 — DK: $4,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 50.1 — SIERA: 5.30 — ERA: 4.11 — K%: 12.3% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 5.67 — ERA: 4.01 — K%: 10.1% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 0.8

Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.356 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 16.8% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)

Analysis: Morgan comes into tonight’s start in bad form, posting a 5.67 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 10.1%. To make matters worse, he has to face a Blue Jays’ offense that is ranked first in the majors in team wOBA against left-handed pitching. There is no reason for Morgan to be on your radar tonight.

Pitcher Rating: 25.3

Batter Grind Down

Toronto

As mentioned above, the Blue Jays are the best offense in baseball against left-handed pitching. While they are not playing at home, they have shown that they can put up big outings on the road as well. All of the right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play against Adam Morgan, who has given up a .358 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate.

Elite Plays:

Josh Donaldson : FD: $5,500 — DK: $5,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 279 — wOBA: 0.439 — ISO: 0.350 — wRC+: 188
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.437 — ISO: 0.357 — wRC+: 182

Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $4,700 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 196 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.183 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.426 — ISO: 0.233 — wRC+: 175

Secondary Plays:

Jose Bautista : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 233 — wOBA: 0.413 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 167
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.330 — wRC+: 134

Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 185 — wOBA: 0.482 — ISO: 0.310 — wRC+: 198
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 74

Russell Martin : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 183 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.131 — wRC+: 139
Last 30 Days: PA: 78 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 101

Philadelphia

The Phillies draw a decent matchup tonight against Mark Buehrle, who gives up equal splits to hitters from both sides of the plate. Chase Utley should fly under the radar tonight, but he is still an elite play even against the lefty. Utley has been red-hot since coming back from injury and he has hit southpaws well throughout his career.

Elite Plays:

Chase Utley : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 284 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 85
Last 30 Days: PA: 28 — wOBA: 0.544 — ISO: 0.308 — wRC+: 257

Secondary Plays:

Cesar Hernandez : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.070 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 103

Jeff Francoeur : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.272 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 71
Last 30 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.426 — ISO: 0.245 — wRC+: 176

Arizona at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Arizona					Pittsburgh
			Robbie Ray					J.A. Happ
			LEFT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			PIT (-145)					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.275	0.756	0.325	0.198	SP vs. Left	0.289	0.857	0.371	0.251
SP vs. Right	0.27	0	0.354	0.186	SP vs. Right	0.265	0.753	0.329	0.176
Batter Splits	ARI BvP		ARI vs L		Batter Splits	PIT BvP		PIT vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Robbie Ray : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 110.2 — SIERA: 4.18 — ERA: 4.55 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 3.77 — ERA: 5.06 — K%: 23.2% — BB%: 9.2% — HR/9: 1.1

Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 22.7% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.368 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 7)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 20)

Analysis: Ray has pitched well recently, posting a 3.77 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.2%. He draws a tough matchup against the Pirates though, and if we have learned anything in this series, it’s that these games are not going to be pitcher’s duels. Both of these offenses are firing on all cylinders right now, making both pitchers easy fades.

Pitcher Rating: 54.5

J.A. Happ : FD: $6,400 — DK: $5,400

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 276.1 — SIERA: 4.01 — ERA: 4.40 — K%: 19.2% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.2 — SIERA: 4.32 — ERA: 6.75 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 9.4% — HR/9: 2.0

Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 21.2% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.346 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 17)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 28)

Analysis: Happ is one of those pitchers that rarely inspires a ton of confidence when it comes to daily fantasy. He has an average SIERA and he struggles with consistency. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Diamondbacks, who are ranked ninth in team wOBA and 17th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Don’t be surprised if this game turns into another shootout.

Pitcher Rating: 65.0

Batter Grind Down

Arizona

The Diamondbacks are in a nice spot tonight against J.A. Happ. They have had no trouble scoring runs in this series and Happ has given up a .329+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate over the last two seasons. Welington Castillo is the best play dollar for dollar in cash games, but Paul Goldschmidt and A.J. Pollock both make nice tournaments plays.

Elite Plays:

Welington Castillo : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 167 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 141
Last 30 Days: PA: 79 — wOBA: 0.412 — ISO: 0.400 — wRC+: 162

Secondary Plays:

Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 202 — wOBA: 0.479 — ISO: 0.258 — wRC+: 207
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 139

A.J. Pollock : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 155 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.236 — wRC+: 142
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.411 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 161

Pittsburgh

The Pirates draw a terrific matchup tonight against Robbie Ray, who has given up a .325+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Andrew McCutchen and Starling Marte are both elite plays in the outfield, while Jung-Ho Kang and Francisco Cervelli are also in play against the left-hander.

Elite Plays:

Andrew McCutchen : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 207 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.210 — wRC+: 154
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.270 — wRC+: 164

Starling Marte : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 178 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.178 — wRC+: 138
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.101 — wRC+: 119

Secondary Plays:

Jung-Ho Kang : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 76 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 160

Francisco Cervelli : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 158
Last 30 Days: PA: 83 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 166

NY Mets at Baltimore – 7:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
NY Mets					Baltimore
			Noah Syndergaard					Ubaldo Jimenez
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BAL (-111)					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.243	0.658	0.286	0.194	SP vs. Left	0.24	0.746	0.333	0.208
SP vs. Right	0.218	0.628	0.274	0.312	SP vs. Right	0.255	0.699	0.313	0.221
Batter Splits	NYM BvP		NYM vs R		Batter Splits	BAL BvP		BAL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Noah Syndergaard : FD: $10,400 — DK: $10,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 105.2 — SIERA: 3.11 — ERA: 3.07 — K%: 25.9% — BB%: 5.6% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 39.0 — SIERA: 3.31 — ERA: 3.00 — K%: 25.3% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 1.4

Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.351 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 17)
Pitchers per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 14)

Analysis: Syndergaard is having a truly impressive rookie season with a 3.11 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 25.9%. He has pitched well at home and on the road. He will face a tough test tonight against the Orioles, but the strikeout potential is certainly there. On the season, the Orioles are ranked eighth in team wOBA and 28th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. He’s a little too expensive to make him an automatic play, but he certainly deserves consideration against a strikeout-happy Orioles team.

Pitcher Rating: 82.7

Ubaldo Jimenez : FD: $7,900 — DK: $7,400

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 256.1 — SIERA: 4.12 — ERA: 4.35 — K%: 21.4% — BB%: 10.7% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.2 — SIERA: 4.11 — ERA: 7.39 — K%: 16.8% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 2.0

New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 24.6% (Rank: 28)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 5)

Analysis: Jimenez has not pitched well recently, posting a 7.39 ERA (4.11 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of only 16.8%. He has struggled to keep the ball in the park, which could be a problem against a Mets’ team that surprisingly hits quite a few home runs. The Mets have been much better offensively in recent weeks and Jimenez is in bad form. He should only be used as a tournament option tonight at home.

Pitcher Rating: 70.4

Batter Grind Down

NY Mets

The Mets have been swinging the bat well recently and they see a favorable ballpark shift playing in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. I hesitate to list any of their hitters as elite plays because they are still the Mets, but they do draw a favorable matchup against Ubaldo Jimenez.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Curtis Granderson : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 875 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 128

Daniel Murphy : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 767 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 108

Baltimore

The Orioles draw one of the worst matchups on the board tonight, as Noah Syndergaard has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .290 wOBA this season. Gerardo Parra and Jonathan Schoop have both been swinging hot bats, but they are secondary options at their respective positions.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Gerardo Parra : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 806 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.411 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 163

Jonathan Schoop : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 446 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 95
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 129

Kansas City at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Kansas City					Cincinnati
			Jeremy Guthrie					Keyvius Sampson
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CIN (-105)					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.306	0.866	0.377	0.137	SP vs. Left	0.241	0.853	0.364	0.265
SP vs. Right	0.253	0.657	0.291	0.123	SP vs. Right	0.147	0.429	0.192	0.167
Batter Splits	KCR BvP		KC vs R		Batter Splits	CIN BvP		CIN vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jeremy Guthrie : FD: $5,300 — DK: $4,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 327.1 — SIERA: 4.65 — ERA: 4.70 — K%: 13.1% — BB%: 6.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 5.41 — ERA: 6.52 — K%: 8.8% — BB%: 5.8% — HR/9: 1.9

Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.280 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 26)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 24)

Analysis: Guthrie has been as awful as ever, posting a 5.41 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 8.8% over the last month of play. He is an easy pitcher to avoid tonight against the Reds, who have the ninth-lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. His low strikeout rate isn’t going to make up for the few runs that he will likely give up tonight.

Pitcher Rating: 39.9

Keyvius Sampson : FD: $5,600 — DK: $5,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 17.0 — SIERA: 4.24 — ERA: 3.18 — K%: 21.4% — BB%: 10.0% — HR/9: 1.1

Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 15.7% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 13.8% (Rank: 1)
Pitchers per PA: 3.67 (Rank: 30)

Analysis: Sampson has pitched pretty well in his first three major league starts, posting a 4.24 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.4%. He will face his toughest test to date, as the Royals are ranked ninth in team wOBA and first in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. It would take a near perfect matchup to target Sampson in cash games and he doesn’t have that tonight against the Royals.

Pitcher Rating: 60.8

Batter Grind Down

Kansas City

The Royals draw a favorable matchup against young Keyvius Sampson and they get to face him in the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. The left-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup, as Sampson has given up a .364 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate (small sample size).

Elite Plays:

Eric Hosmer : FD: $4,000 — DK: $5,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 678 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.166 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.508 — ISO: 0.287 — wRC+: 234

Secondary Plays:

Ben Zobrist : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 706 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 111
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.441 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 188

Mike Moustakas : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 672 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 87

Cincinnati

Since the start of the 2014 season, Jeremy Guthrie has given up a .377 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Joey Votto wins the best matchup of the night award. He has a .515 wOBA and a .278 ISO over the last month of play as well. The other left-handed bats in this lineup are also in play against Guthrie.

Elite Plays:

Joey Votto : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 560 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 147
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.515 — ISO: 0.278 — wRC+: 234

Secondary Plays:

Jay Bruce : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 752 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 98
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.281 — ISO: 0.214 — wRC+: 74

Cleveland at Boston – 7:10 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Cleveland					Boston
			Corey Kluber					Joe Kelly
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE (-137)					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.251	0.7	0.309	0.262	SP vs. Left	0.249	0.715	0.318	0.18
SP vs. Right	0.207	0.531	0.234	0.295	SP vs. Right	0.274	0	0.345	0.175
Batter Splits	CLE BvP		CLE vs R		Batter Splits	BOS BvP		BOS vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Corey Kluber : FD: $12,000 — DK: $11,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 416.1 — SIERA: 2.74 — ERA: 2.83 — K%: 27.8% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 47.1 — SIERA: 3.46 — ERA: 3.23 — K%: 21.7% — BB%: 3.3% — HR/9: 0.6

Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 16.7% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.377 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.1% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)

Analysis: Kluber has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last two seasons, posting a 2.74 SIERA with an elite strikeout rate of 27.8%. He has been in good form recently, but he draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Red Sox, who have the second-lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. At this price point, Dallas Keuchel looks like the better play of the two in cash games.

Pitcher Rating: 87.3

Joe Kelly : FD: $6,200 — DK: $5,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 196.0 — SIERA: 4.22 — ERA: 4.96 — K%: 17.8% — BB%: 9.2% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.0 — SIERA: 3.46 — ERA: 5.76 — K%: 23.7% — BB%: 5.3% — HR/9: 1.8

Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)

Analysis: Kelly has a 5.76 ERA over the last month of play, but has a 3.46 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 23.7% during that same stretch, so his peripheral statistics look good. Unfortunately, that’s not enough to warrant fantasy consideration. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Indians, who are ranked 15th in team wOBA and sixth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.

Pitcher Rating: 51.2

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

The Indians draw a favorable matchup tonight against Joe Kelly and they get to face him in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park. Kelly is a reverse-splits pitcher, but he has also struggled with left-handed hitters, so bats from both sides of the plate are in play here.

Elite Plays:

Michael Brantley : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 723 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 157
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.436 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 185

Secondary Plays:

Carlos Santana : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 761 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 97

Francisco Lindor : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 163 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.124 — wRC+: 96
Last 30 Days: PA: 128 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 136

Jose Ramirez : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 339 — wOBA: 0.268 — ISO: 0.087 — wRC+: 69
Last 30 Days: PA: 66 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 109

Boston

The Red Sox are in a bad matchup tonight against Corey Kluber, but at least they get to face him at home. Boston can be avoided in cash games, but David Ortiz is worth a look in tournaments. He has been red-hot recently, posting a .470 wOBA and a .378 ISO over the last month of play.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

David Ortiz : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 728 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.261 — wRC+: 140
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.470 — ISO: 0.378 — wRC+: 203