MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, August 19th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2015-08-22 03:56:38

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.

Note: For more info on DFS MLB scoring systems on the two largest sites, check out our DraftKings review and FanDuel review.

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Minnesota at NY Yankees – 1:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Minnesota					NY Yankees
			Ervin Santana					Nathan Eovaldi
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			NYY (-160)					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.279	0.778	0.337	17.2%	SP vs. Left	0.307	0.793	0.347	15.60%
SP vs. Right	0.236	0.702	0.310	23.2%	SP vs. Right	0.259	0.679	0.300	17.50%
Batter Splits	MIN BvP		MIN vs R		Batter Splits	NYY BvP		NYY vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Ervin Santana : FD: $7,500 — DK: $4,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 243.2 — SIERA: 3.93 — ERA: 4.28 — K%: 20.1% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.2 — SIERA: 5.50 — ERA: 5.55 — K%: 9.2% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.3

New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.279 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)

Analysis: Santana has been in awful form recently, posting a 5.50 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 9.2% over the last month of play. That form will likely continue today against the Yankees, who are ranked fifth in team wOBA and eighth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. There are a limited number of pitching choices in the early slate, but Santana should not be on your radar against the Yankees.

Pitcher Rating: 44.0

Nathan Eovaldi : FD: $7,400 — DK: $7,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 328.2 — SIERA: 3.97 — ERA: 4.33 — K%: 16.5% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 4.32 — ERA: 3.48 — K%: 15.8% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 0.6

Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 16)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 17)

Analysis: Eovaldi always seems to be in relatively good form, but he has a very low strikeout rate for a starter. Over the last two seasons, he has only struck out 16.5% of the batters that he has faced, which is well below the league average. He does draw a nice matchup against the Twins though, who are ranked 24th in team wOBA and 21st in strikeout rate. Tyson Ross is the obvious play in the early slate, but Eovaldi could serve as a cheap SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.

Pitcher Rating: 66.3

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

The Twins draw a decent matchup against Nathan Eovaldi, but his splits don’t exactly work in their favor. He gives up a much higher wOBA to left-handed hitters than he does to right-handed hitters. Joe Mauer is really the only lefty in this lineup that stands out though. Miguel Sano is also worth a look, as he has crushed right-handed pitching all season.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Miguel Sano : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.454 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 196
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.276 — wRC+: 158

Joe Mauer : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 665 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.282 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 76

NY Yankees

The Yankees’ offense is in a great spot today against Ervin Santana. Not only do they get to face him at home, but he has given up a .337 wOBA to left-handed hitters, which bodes well for this lineup. All of the left-handed bats in this lineup are in play, including whichever one starts at first base (Mark Teixeira or Greg Bird).

Elite Plays:

Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 642 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 100
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.275 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 70

Brett Gardner : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 786 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.281 — ISO: 0.054 — wRC+: 75

Secondary Plays:

Carlos Beltran : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 547 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 88 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 179

Chase Headley : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 715 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 97
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 130

Seattle at Texas – 2:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Seattle					Texas
			Mike Montgomery					Derek Holland
			LEFT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TEX (-119)					9.5
SP vs. Left	0.300	0.841	0.368	20.0%	SP vs. Left	0.265	0.618	0.271	17.70%
SP vs. Right	0.229	0.688	0.302	16.2%	SP vs. Right	0.245	0.638	0.278	16.50%
Batter Splits	SEA BvP		SEA vs L		Batter Splits	TEX BvP		TEX vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Michael Montgomery : FD: $7,500 — DK: $6,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 82.2 — SIERA: 4.34 — ERA: 4.14 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.2 — SIERA: 4.51 — ERA: 7.81 — K%: 19.6% — BB%: 13.8% — HR/9: 2.0

Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.343 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 15)

Analysis: Montgomery has not pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 7.81 ERA (4.51 SIERA) with a walk rate of 13.8%. He is an easy pitcher to avoid today against the Rangers, who are a very good offense at home. Texas is also ranked ninth in team wOBA over the last 14 days of play. There is more risk than potential reward with Montgomery in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park.

Pitcher Rating: 46.8

Derek Holland : FD: $7,500 — DK: $8,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 38.0 — SIERA: 3.85 — ERA: 1.66 — K%: 16.8% — BB%: 3.4% — HR/9: 0.2

Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)

Analysis: Holland has only pitched in 38 innings over the last two seasons, posting a 3.85 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.8%. He just can’t seem to stay healthy. Until he can string together a few quality outings where he doesn’t get hurt, he can be avoided in daily fantasy. He draws a fairly tough matchup against the Mariners, who have the fifth-highest team wOBA over the last 14 days of play.

Pitcher Rating: 42.2

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

The Mariners draw a favorable matchup against Derek Holland, who may be a bit rusty in his first start back from injury. They also see a sizable ballpark boost playing in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park. The right-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup, with Nelson Cruz and Franklin Gutierrez leading the way as elite plays.

Elite Plays:

Nelson Cruz : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 294 — wOBA: 0.444 — ISO: 0.292 — wRC+: 191
Last 30 Days: PA: 128 — wOBA: 0.521 — ISO: 0.447 — wRC+: 247

Franklin Gutierrez : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.445 — ISO: 0.345 — wRC+: 195
Last 30 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.476 — ISO: 0.436 — wRC+: 216

Secondary Plays:

Ketel Marte : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.107 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.058 — wRC+: 109

Mark Trumbo : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 218 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 107

Texas

The Rangers are small favorites today in a game that features a total of 9.5 runs. Both offenses are expected to have some success in this day game, which should lead to plenty of fantasy production. Mike Montgomery is a reverse-splits pitcher, which brings Mitch Moreland into play. The right-handed bats of Delino Deshields Jr. and Adrian Beltre are also worth a look.

Elite Plays:

Mitch Moreland : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 137 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 67
Last 30 Days: PA: 84 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.093 — wRC+: 118

Secondary Plays:

Delino Deshields Jr. : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.124 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.104 — wRC+: 96

Adrian Beltre : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 294 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 140
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 132

Miami at Milwaukee – 2:10 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Miami					Milwaukee
			Tom Koehler					Wily Peralta
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			MIL (-140)					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.234	0.672	0.300	18.7%	SP vs. Left	0.292	0.821	0.357	16.60%
SP vs. Right	0.246	0.705	0.312	17.4%	SP vs. Right	0.236	0.653	0.295	17.50%
Batter Splits	MIA BvP		MIA vs R		Batter Splits	MIL BvP		MIL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Tom Koehler : FD: $6,800 — DK: $7,500

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 325.2 — SIERA: 4.28 — ERA: 3.76 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 8.6% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.1 — SIERA: 4.42 — ERA: 4.46 — K%: 16.2% — BB%: 8.4% — HR/9: 0.5

Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)

Analysis: Koehler is an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy. He has a mediocre SIERA (4.28) with a low strikeout rate of 18.1% over the last two seasons. He draws a decent matchup on paper, but the Brewers are a capable offense and he has to face them in the hitter-friendly Miller Park. So far, we have five out of five pitchers that we can avoid here in the early slate of games.

Pitcher Rating: 54.6

Wily Peralta : FD: $6,700 — DK: $6,500

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 276.0 — SIERA: 3.92 — ERA: 3.68 — K%: 17.0% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 23.1 — SIERA: 5.22 — ERA: 4.24 — K%: 10.1% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 0.8

Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.287 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 15.8% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 27)

Analysis: Peralta has not been in the best of form recently, but he does have a 3.92 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.0% over the last two seasons. He draws a favorable matchup today against the Marlins, who are ranked 30th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The big concern here is that he struggles with left-handed hitters and the Marlins have a few good ones in their lineup (Dee Gordon, Justin Bour, and Derek Dietrich). Peralta could be a cheap source for a win, but at best, he is an SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.

Pitcher Rating: 63.1

Batter Grind Down

Miami

As mentioned above, Wily Peralta has not fared well against left-handed hitters in his career. Since the start of the 2014 season, Peralta has given up a .357 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Derek Dietrich has been red-hot recently and is still economically priced. Dee Gordon and Justin Bour are also in play as secondary options.

Elite Plays:

Derek Dietrich : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 292 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.257 — wRC+: 128

Secondary Plays:

Dee Gordon : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 844 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.084 — wRC+: 100
Last 30 Days: PA: 82 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 100

Justin Bour : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 314 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 77 — wOBA: 0.269 — ISO: 0.072 — wRC+: 67

Milwaukee

The Brewers’ offense continues to underwhelm this season, but they draw a favorable matchup today against Tom Koehler at home. Koehler gives up equal splits to hitters from both sides of the plate, but Adam Lind is really the only fantasy option that stands out as an elite play.

Elite Plays:

Adam Lind : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 630 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.281 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 72

Secondary Plays:

Ryan Braun : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 784 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 135

Jonathan Lucroy : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 758 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 74

LA Dodgers at Oakland – 3:35 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
LA Dodgers					Oakland
			Alex Wood					Jesse Chavez
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			LAD (-118)					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.241	0.622	0.277	24.4%	SP vs. Left	0.265	0.728	0.320	18.90%
SP vs. Right	0.259	0.713	0.315	20.6%	SP vs. Right	0.243	0.666	0.294	23.90%
Batter Splits	LAD BvP		LA vs R		Batter Splits	OAK BvP		OAK vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Alex Wood : FD: $8,000 — DK: $7,900

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 308.2 — SIERA: 3.59 — ERA: 3.21 — K%: 21.6% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.2 — SIERA: 4.25 — ERA: 3.69 — K%: 19.6% — BB%: 10.5% — HR/9: 1.1

Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 17.2% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 17)
Pitchers per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 9)

Analysis: Wood has been a serviceable starter this season, but his strikeouts have taken a small hit. He draws a bad strikeout matchup today against the A’s, who have the third-lowest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. If Clayton Kershaw can only strikeout seven A’s, I doubt Wood is going to have a ton of success in the way of strikeouts. He is a sizable favorite here, but once again, Tyson Ross is the obvious play in the early slate of games.

Pitcher Rating: 69.7

Jesse Chavez : FD: $7,300 — DK: $7,900

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 277.1 — SIERA: 3.74 — ERA: 3.63 — K%: 21.2% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 3.98 — ERA: 5.28 — K%: 21.0% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.5

Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.359 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 12)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)

Analysis: Chavez has been in decent form recently, posting a 3.98 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.0% over the last month of play. The issue here isn’t his form, it’s his matchup. The Dodgers are ranked second in team wOBA against right-handed pitching and fourth in team wOBA over the last 14 days of play. He can safely be avoided in all league formats today.

Pitcher Rating: 58.7

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

The Dodgers draw a decent matchup against Jesse Chavez, but they do have to face him in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. Chavez has given up a .320 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Adrian Gonzalez is a borderline elite play, while Andre Ethier and Jimmy Rollins are better secondary options at their respective positions.

Elite Plays:

Adrian Gonzalez : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 854 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 130

Secondary Plays:

Andre Ethier : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 638 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 70 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.215 — wRC+: 155

Jimmy Rollins : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 805 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 90
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 129

Oakland

The A’s may not be the best offense in baseball, but they put the ball in play and give themselves a lot of opportunities to get hits. The right-handed hitters in this lineup have the advantage against Alex Wood, as he has given up a .315 wOBA to hitters from the right side of the plate over the last two seasons.

Elite Plays:

Danny Valencia : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 223 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 132
Last 30 Days: PA: 72 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.269 — wRC+: 143

Secondary Plays:

Brett Lawrie : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 189 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.193 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.258 — ISO: 0.144 — wRC+: 63

Josh Phegley : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,900

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 116

Atlanta at San Diego – 3:40 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Atlanta					San Diego
			Julio Teheran					Tyson Ross
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			SDP (-160)					6.5
SP vs. Left	0.257	0.748	0.328	18.0%	SP vs. Left	0.237	0.669	0.302	24.30%
SP vs. Right	0.222	0.625	0.277	23.5%	SP vs. Right	0.232	0.629	0.283	24.70%
Batter Splits	ATL BvP		ATL vs R		Batter Splits	SDP BvP		SD vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Julio Teheran : FD: $8,500 — DK: $10,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 365.0 — SIERA: 3.85 — ERA: 3.50 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 3.57 — ERA: 4.08 — K%: 24.8% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.5

San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 11)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 13)

Analysis: Teheran has been sharp recently, but unfortunately, he is not pitching at home today. His career home/road splits are glaring and at this point, he is an automatic fade when he is pitching on the road. The matchup and ballpark are both in his favor, but he is a sizable underdog on the road. I will be avoiding Teheran in the early slate of games.

Pitcher Rating: 67.2

Tyson Ross : FD: $9,200 — DK: $11,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 341.1 — SIERA: 3.27 — ERA: 3.06 — K%: 24.5% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 2.92 — ERA: 3.57 — K%: 25.3% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 0.5

Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 17.1% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 16.7% (Rank: 3)
Pitchers per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 21)

Analysis: Ross has pitched very well recently, posting a 2.92 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.3% over the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup against the Braves, who are ranked 24th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Ross is a high-strikeout pitcher that gets to play at home in the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park. Don’t overthink this one, use Ross in your cash games in the early slate.

Pitcher Rating: 86.8

Batter Grind Down

Atlanta

The Braves have one of the lowest team totals on the board today and they are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball against right-handed pitching. They can safely be avoided against Tyson Ross.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

NONE

San Diego

Even though I won’t be targeting Julio Teheran, I don’t love any of the Padres’ hitters either. Teheran gives up a much higher wOBA to left-handed hitters and none of the lefties in this lineup stand out as elite or even secondary plays.