NFL DFS First Look: Week 7

The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, EPA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the coming week.

NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team R-Total Home Team H-Total Favorite Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
Jacksonville Jaguars 19.5 New Orleans Saints 21.0 NOS -1.5 40.5 Thursday 8:15 pm SDTh
Washington Commanders 20.3 New York Giants 17.3 WAS -3.0 37.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Las Vegas Raiders 20.0 Chicago Bears 17.5 LVR -2.5 37.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Buffalo Bills 24.5 New England Patriots 16.0 BUF -8.5 40.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Cleveland Browns 21.8 Indianapolis Colts 18.8 CLE -3.0 40.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Atlanta Falcons 17.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.0 TBB -2.5 37.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Detroit Lions 20.3 Baltimore Ravens 23.3 BAL -3.0 43.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 18.5 Seattle Seahawks 26.0 SEA -7.5 44.5 Sunday 4:05 pm Main
Pittsburgh Steelers 20.3 Los Angeles Rams 23.3 LAR -3.0 43.5 Sunday 4:05 pm Main
Los Angeles Chargers 21.0 Kansas City Chiefs 26.5 KCC -5.5 47.5 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Green Bay Packers 23.3 Denver Broncos 21.8 GBP -1.5 45.0 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Miami Dolphins 24.5 Philadelphia Eagles 27.0 PHI -2.5 51.5 Sunday 8:20 pm SDSu
San Francisco 49ers 25.5 Minnesota Vikings 18.5 SFO -7.0 44.0 Monday 8:15 pm SDMo

Byes for Week 7: Cincinnati, Dallas, Tennessee, NY Jets, Carolina, Houston

Implied Team Totals & Matchup Chart (DVOA, EPA, DvP)

DVOA stats courtesy of FTN data
Offense Spread Total Matchup tDVOA totEPA pDVOA pasEPA rDVOA rusEPA QB DvP RB DvP WR DvP TE DvP TIME (ET) SLATE
New Orleans Saints -1.5 21.0 vs JAC 8 9 10 10 6 2 27 12 22 22 8:15 pm SDTh
Jacksonville Jaguars 1.5 19.5 at NOS 7 5 7 6 13 4 7 2 12 6 8:15 pm SDTh
New York Giants 3.0 17.3 vs WAS 22 26 27 26 14 22 31 12 28 18 1:00 pm Main
Washington Commanders -3.0 20.3 at NYG 28 29 26 27 30 31 12 26 21 16 1:00 pm Main
Chicago Bears 2.5 17.5 vs LVR 23 25 16 25 27 28 14 21 10 19 1:00 pm Main
Las Vegas Raiders -2.5 20.0 at CHI 29 31 30 31 17 15 27 29 17 25 1:00 pm Main
New England Patriots 8.5 16.0 vs BUF 6 8 8 6 12 20 3 23 11 3 1:00 pm Main
Buffalo Bills -8.5 24.5 at NEP 14 15 23 23 8 11 5 19 14 11 1:00 pm Main
Indianapolis Colts 3.0 18.8 vs CLE 1 1 1 1 4 8 1 8 1 2 1:00 pm Main
Cleveland Browns -3.0 21.8 at IND 17 19 17 21 18 14 26 24 19 24 1:00 pm Main
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 20.0 vs ATL 24 12 29 24 9 1 13 3 5 26 1:00 pm Main
Atlanta Falcons 2.5 17.5 at TBB 10 11 11 14 10 3 20 11 23 12 1:00 pm Main
Baltimore Ravens -3.0 23.3 vs DET 3 7 5 9 3 7 16 1 19 28 1:00 pm Main
Detroit Lions 3.0 20.3 at BAL 2 2 3 4 7 10 2 14 9 1 1:00 pm Main
Seattle Seahawks -7.5 26.0 vs ARI 31 30 31 28 29 24 29 30 26 8 4:05 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 7.5 18.5 at SEA 16 13 24 20 1 5 23 18 32 4 4:05 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams -3.0 23.3 vs PIT 11 10 9 8 19 21 19 20 30 7 4:05 pm Main
Pittsburgh Steelers 3.0 20.3 at LAR 18 21 19 18 20 19 16 6 4 29 4:05 pm Main
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 26.5 vs LAC 26 27 21 30 24 13 32 25 31 9 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Chargers 5.5 21.0 at KCC 9 6 6 3 21 29 6 4 8 15 4:25 pm Main
Denver Broncos 1.5 21.8 vs GBP 21 20 14 12 26 27 10 28 6 13 4:25 pm Main
Green Bay Packers -1.5 23.3 at DEN 32 32 32 32 31 30 30 32 18 32 4:25 pm Main
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 27.0 vs MIA 27 23 22 15 25 25 23 17 24 21 8:20 pm SDSu
Miami Dolphins 2.5 24.5 at PHI 13 17 20 13 2 18 20 6 27 20 8:20 pm SDSu
Minnesota Vikings 7.0 18.5 vs SFO 5 3 2 2 22 23 4 15 14 4 8:15 pm SDMo
San Francisco 49ers -7.0 25.5 at MIN 15 16 15 17 16 16 25 5 29 16 8:15 pm SDMo

Note: tDVOA = total defensive DVOA, totEPA = total defensive EPA, pDVOA = DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = EPA against the pass, rDVOA = DVOA against the run, rusEPA = EPA against the run, DvP = defense vs. position. Blue and green cells mark favorable matchups for the offense in the first column.

D-Line vs. O-Line – Pressures & Sacks

Defense Spread DraftKings FanDuel Press PrROE Sacks/G Matchup Opp Total O Press O PrROE O Sacks/G Defense Sack Pot Time (ET) Slate
Saints -1.5 $3,200 $4,800 26 31 23 vs JAC 19.5 6 19 19 Saints 24 8:15 pm SDTh
Jaguars 1.5 $3,300 $4,300 28 26 26 at NOS 21.0 5 7 23 Jaguars 21 8:15 pm SDTh
Giants 3.0 $3,000 $3,400 27 30 32 vs WAS 20.3 25 28 32 Giants 13 1:00 pm Main
Commanders -3.0 $3,500 $4,600 7 9 8 at NYG 17.3 32 32 31 Commanders 1 1:00 pm Main
Bears 2.5 $2,900 $3,700 22 27 30 vs LVR 20.0 4 3 15 Bears 25 1:00 pm Main
Raiders -2.5 $3,800 $4,700 23 23 23 at CHI 17.5 28 31 30 Raiders 10 1:00 pm Main
Patriots 8.5 $2,100 $3,000 20 25 26 vs BUF 24.5 13 8 4 Patriots 22 1:00 pm Main
Bills -8.5 $4,200 $5,000 5 3 2 at NEP 16.0 14 17 12 Bills 4 1:00 pm Main
Colts 3.0 $3,400 $3,800 31 29 10 vs CLE 21.8 22 14 28 Colts 15 1:00 pm Main
Browns -3.0 $3,300 $4,500 5 6 10 at IND 18.8 12 16 15 Browns 6 1:00 pm Main
Buccaneers -2.5 $3,600 $4,000 18 20 10 vs ATL 17.5 18 23 23 Buccaneers 9 1:00 pm Main
Falcons 2.5 $2,800 $3,600 16 21 28 at TBB 20.0 16 13 1 Falcons 23 1:00 pm Main
Ravens -3.0 $2,500 $4,100 28 19 2 vs DET 20.3 9 9 5 Ravens 19 1:00 pm Main
Lions 3.0 $2,700 $4,000 9 16 18 at BAL 23.3 21 24 19 Lions 10 1:00 pm Main
Seahawks -7.5 $3,200 $4,900 14 10 4 vs ARI 18.5 27 26 6 Seahawks 7 4:05 pm Main
Cardinals 7.5 $2,300 $3,100 30 22 10 at SEA 26.0 26 22 11 Cardinals 17 4:05 pm Main
Rams -3.0 $3,900 $4,300 11 15 28 vs PIT 20.3 29 27 22 Rams 10 4:05 pm Main
Steelers 3.0 $3,100 $4,200 4 4 6 at LAR 23.3 17 20 19 Steelers 2 4:05 pm Main
Chiefs -5.5 $2,400 $4,400 15 13 16 vs LAC 21.0 11 11 8 Chiefs 18 4:25 pm Main
Chargers 5.5 $2,200 $3,200 25 28 1 at KCC 26.5 19 10 1 Chargers 15 4:25 pm Main
Broncos 1.5 $2,600 $3,500 24 24 21 vs GBP 23.3 2 1 8 Broncos 26 4:25 pm Main
Packers -1.5 $3,700 $3,900 21 17 10 at DEN 21.8 31 29 23 Packers 4 4:25 pm Main
Eagles -2.5 $2,700 $4,200 17 14 7 vs MIA 24.5 1 2 1 Eagles 20 8:20 pm SDSu
Dolphins 2.5 $2,700 $4,000 8 7 5 at PHI 27.0 24 15 12 Dolphins 3 8:20 pm SDSu
Vikings 7.0 $2,800 $3,500 12 5 10 vs SFO 25.5 14 18 6 Vikings 13 8:15 pm SDMo
49ers -7.0 $3,500 $4,800 2 2 18 at MIN 18.5 10 6 15 49ers 8 8:15 pm SDMo

Note: Press is pressure % on the opposing quarterback, PrROE is pressure rate over expectations, and sacks/g is sacks per game. The stats with O in front are for the opposing offensive line. Blue and green cells mark favorable stats for the defense in the first column.

Offense vs. Defense – Rushing & Passing Potential

Offense Spread Total pDVOA pEPA rDVOA rEPA Matchup pDVOA dEPA rDVOA rEPA Offense P-POT R-POT Time (ET) Slate
Saints -1.5 21.0 19 17 19 23 vs JAC 10 10 6 2 Saints 16 24 8:15 pm SDTh
Jaguars 1.5 19.5 10 16 14 21 at NOS 7 6 13 4 Jaguars 15 18 8:15 pm SDTh
Giants 3.0 17.3 32 29 32 30 vs WAS 27 26 14 22 Giants 16 23 1:00 pm Main
Commanders -3.0 20.3 26 22 10 10 at NYG 26 27 30 31 Commanders 13 3 1:00 pm Main
Bears 2.5 17.5 28 27 9 4 vs LVR 16 25 27 28 Bears 19 2 1:00 pm Main
Raiders -2.5 20.0 22 13 30 32 at CHI 30 31 17 15 Raiders 8 25 1:00 pm Main
Patriots 8.5 16.0 30 31 23 31 vs BUF 8 6 12 20 Patriots 26 22 1:00 pm Main
Bills -8.5 24.5 3 3 12 5 at NEP 23 23 8 11 Bills 2 11 1:00 pm Main
Colts 3.0 18.8 18 18 6 26 vs CLE 1 1 4 8 Colts 25 19 1:00 pm Main
Browns -3.0 21.8 31 32 21 17 at IND 17 21 18 14 Browns 24 17 1:00 pm Main
Buccaneers -2.5 20.0 15 10 28 29 vs ATL 29 24 9 1 Buccaneers 7 26 1:00 pm Main
Falcons 2.5 17.5 23 26 17 20 at TBB 11 14 10 3 Falcons 22 20 1:00 pm Main
Ravens -3.0 23.3 14 21 4 8 vs DET 5 9 3 7 Ravens 20 12 1:00 pm Main
Lions 3.0 20.3 4 5 7 11 at BAL 3 4 7 10 Lions 11 14 1:00 pm Main
Seahawks -7.5 26.0 7 12 13 2 vs ARI 31 28 29 24 Seahawks 3 4 4:05 pm Main
Cardinals 7.5 18.5 13 23 8 9 at SEA 24 20 1 5 Cardinals 10 16 4:05 pm Main
Rams -3.0 23.3 9 9 5 6 vs PIT 9 8 19 21 Rams 12 5 4:05 pm Main
Steelers 3.0 20.3 25 28 31 28 at LAR 19 18 20 19 Steelers 20 21 4:05 pm Main
Chiefs -5.5 26.5 5 4 16 17 vs LAC 21 30 24 13 Chiefs 1 12 4:25 pm Main
Chargers 5.5 21.0 8 6 18 19 at KCC 6 3 21 29 Chargers 14 10 4:25 pm Main
Broncos 1.5 21.8 20 19 11 16 vs GBP 14 12 26 27 Broncos 16 6 4:25 pm Main
Packers -1.5 23.3 11 14 27 14 at DEN 32 32 31 30 Packers 4 9 4:25 pm Main
Eagles -2.5 27.0 12 11 2 3 vs MIA 22 15 25 25 Eagles 9 1 8:20 pm SDSu
Dolphins 2.5 24.5 2 2 1 1 at PHI 20 13 2 18 Dolphins 6 8 8:20 pm SDSu
Vikings 7.0 18.5 16 19 24 22 vs SFO 2 2 22 23 Vikings 23 15 8:15 pm SDMo
49ers -7.0 25.5 1 1 3 7 at MIN 15 17 16 16 49ers 5 7 8:15 pm SDMo

Note: pDVOA = DVOA against the pass, pEPA = EPA against the pass, rDVOA = DVOA against the run, rEPA = EPA against the run, P-POT = offensive passing potential, R-POT = offensive rushing potential.

Projected Starters — Quarterback

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel PaY/G PaT/G RuY/G RuT/G Int/G QBR Opp pDVOA pasEPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Derek Carr NOS -1.5 21.0 $5,400 $6,500 216.5 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.5 85.4 vs JAC 10 10 27 8:15 pm SDTh
Trevor Lawrence JAC 1.5 19.5 $6,300 $7,500 239.8 1.2 24.5 0.0 0.5 91.7 at NOS 7 6 7 8:15 pm SDTh
Tyrod Taylor NYG 3.0 17.3 $5,100 $6,500 58.4 0.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 83.1 vs WAS 27 26 31 1:00 pm Main
Sam Howell WAS -3.0 20.3 $5,500 $7,400 250.0 1.5 17.3 0.2 1.0 90.1 at NYG 26 27 12 1:00 pm Main
Tyson Bagent CHI 2.5 17.5 $4,900 $6,300 83.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 56.5 vs LVR 16 25 14 1:00 pm Main
Aidan O’Connell LVR -2.5 20.0 $4,700 $6,300 238.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 68.1 at CHI 30 31 27 1:00 pm Main
Mac Jones NEP 8.5 16.0 $4,900 $6,300 201.3 0.8 9.8 0.0 1.2 74.4 vs BUF 8 6 3 1:00 pm Main
Josh Allen BUF -8.5 24.5 $8,200 $9,000 262.7 2.2 21.8 0.5 1.0 102.8 at NEP 23 23 5 1:00 pm Main
Gardner Minshew IND 3.0 18.8 $5,200 $6,400 176.4 0.6 1.6 0.0 0.6 81.3 vs CLE 1 1 1 1:00 pm Main
P.J. Walker CLE -3.0 21.8 $4,800 $6,400 192.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 45.2 at IND 17 21 26 1:00 pm Main
Baker Mayfield TBB -2.5 20.0 $5,300 $6,600 217.6 1.4 13.4 0.0 0.6 91.3 vs ATL 29 24 13 1:00 pm Main
Desmond Ridder ATL 2.5 17.5 $5,200 $6,900 230.0 1.0 12.5 0.3 1.0 81.3 at TBB 11 14 20 1:00 pm Main
Lamar Jackson BAL -3.0 23.3 $7,600 $8,000 208.8 0.8 54.5 0.7 0.5 93.0 vs DET 5 9 16 1:00 pm Main
Jared Goff DET 3.0 20.3 $6,400 $7,600 269.7 1.8 2.5 0.3 0.5 105.1 at BAL 3 4 2 1:00 pm Main
Geno Smith SEA -7.5 26.0 $6,000 $7,000 233.8 1.0 8.4 0.0 0.6 90.7 vs ARI 31 28 29 4:05 pm Main
Joshua Dobbs ARI 7.5 18.5 $5,300 $6,600 202.5 1.0 31.5 0.2 0.5 84.0 at SEA 24 20 23 4:05 pm Main
Matthew Stafford LAR -3.0 23.3 $6,500 $6,700 279.5 1.0 8.5 0.0 0.8 83.5 vs PIT 9 8 19 4:05 pm Main
Kenny Pickett PIT 3.0 20.3 $5,000 $6,500 205.4 1.0 2.4 0.0 0.8 78.8 at LAR 19 18 16 4:05 pm Main
Patrick Mahomes KCC -5.5 26.5 $8,300 $9,200 265.5 1.8 30.8 0.0 0.8 95.7 vs LAC 21 30 32 4:25 pm Main
Justin Herbert LAC 5.5 21.0 $8,000 $8,300 266.6 1.8 15.0 0.6 0.4 101.7 at KCC 6 3 6 4:25 pm Main
Russell Wilson DEN 1.5 21.8 $5,400 $7,200 217.5 2.0 25.0 0.0 0.7 99.0 vs GBP 14 12 10 4:25 pm Main
Jordan Love GBP -1.5 23.3 $5,800 $7,800 216.6 1.6 21.8 0.4 1.2 77.7 at DEN 32 32 30 4:25 pm Main
Jalen Hurts PHI -2.5 27.0 $8,100 $9,400 257.0 1.2 42.2 0.8 1.2 84.7 vs MIA 22 15 23 8:20 pm SDSu
Tua Tagovailoa MIA 2.5 24.5 $7,700 $8,500 312.7 2.3 3.5 0.0 0.8 114.1 at PHI 20 13 20 8:20 pm SDSu
Kirk Cousins MIN 7.0 18.5 $6,900 $7,300 279.8 2.3 2.8 0.0 0.7 100.6 vs SFO 2 2 4 8:15 pm SDMo
Brock Purdy SFO -7.0 25.5 $5,500 $7,400 232.7 1.7 5.2 0.3 0.2 111.9 at MIN 15 17 25 8:15 pm SDMo

Note: PaY/G = passing yards per game, PaT/G = passing touchdowns per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, RuT/G = rushing touchdowns per game, Int/G = interceptions per game, QBR = quarterback rating, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Running Back

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Att/G RuY/G Tar/G ReY/G Tar % Rte % Opp rDVOA rusEPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Alvin Kamara NOS -1.5 21.0 $6,900 $7,700 17.3 66.3 8.3 28.7 22% 52% vs JAC 6 2 12 8:15 pm SDTh
Jamaal Williams NOS -1.5 21.0 $4,800 $5,500 13.5 37.0 1.5 3.5 4% 30% vs JAC 6 2 12 8:15 pm SDTh
Travis Etienne JAC 1.5 19.5 $7,200 $7,800 18.8 75.2 3.8 28.7 11% 51% at NOS 13 4 2 8:15 pm SDTh
Tank Bigsby JAC 1.5 19.5 $4,200 $4,500 3.0 7.2 0.5 1.0 1% 9% at NOS 13 4 2 8:15 pm SDTh
Saquon Barkley NYG 3.0 17.3 $8,100 $8,300 17.7 69.0 5.3 15.3 16% 48% vs WAS 14 22 12 1:00 pm Main
Matt Breida NYG 3.0 17.3 $4,800 $5,800 5.7 15.8 1.8 8.2 5% 32% vs WAS 14 22 12 1:00 pm Main
Brian Robinson WAS -3.0 20.3 $5,800 $7,300 12.8 50.3 2.2 18.8 6% 27% at NYG 30 31 26 1:00 pm Main
Antonio Gibson WAS -3.0 20.3 $4,700 $5,300 2.7 11.5 2.8 22.2 8% 47% at NYG 30 31 26 1:00 pm Main
Roschon Johnson CHI 2.5 17.5 $4,600 $5,900 5.0 24.4 2.4 11.6 8% 24% vs LVR 27 28 21 1:00 pm Main
D’Onta Foreman CHI 2.5 17.5 $4,800 $6,300 10.0 40.5 2.0 5.0 7% 28% vs LVR 27 28 21 1:00 pm Main
Josh Jacobs LVR -2.5 20.0 $7,400 $8,000 17.8 52.0 5.5 34.8 17% 51% at CHI 17 15 29 1:00 pm Main
Zamir White LVR -2.5 20.0 $4,700 $4,600 2.0 8.2 0.6 2.4 2% 6% at CHI 17 15 29 1:00 pm Main
Rhamondre Stevenson NEP 8.5 16.0 $5,600 $6,600 13.0 39.0 3.8 18.5 11% 53% vs BUF 12 20 23 1:00 pm Main
Ezekiel Elliott NEP 8.5 16.0 $4,800 $5,600 8.2 32.2 2.5 9.8 7% 27% vs BUF 12 20 23 1:00 pm Main
James Cook BUF -8.5 24.5 $6,400 $7,000 12.5 60.5 3.0 23.3 9% 46% at NEP 8 11 19 1:00 pm Main
Latavius Murray BUF -8.5 24.5 $4,400 $5,600 5.2 21.3 1.3 8.2 4% 26% at NEP 8 11 19 1:00 pm Main
Jonathan Taylor IND 3.0 18.8 $6,500 $6,500 7.0 18.5 3.5 31.0 9% 26% vs CLE 4 8 8 1:00 pm Main
Zack Moss IND 3.0 18.8 $6,200 $6,700 19.2 93.2 3.4 22.0 9% 48% vs CLE 4 8 8 1:00 pm Main
Jerome Ford CLE -3.0 21.8 $5,100 $6,600 13.4 54.0 3.0 16.8 9% 41% at IND 18 14 24 1:00 pm Main
Kareem Hunt CLE -3.0 21.8 $5,000 $6,200 7.3 24.0 2.0 15.3 6% 18% at IND 18 14 24 1:00 pm Main
Rachaad White TBB -2.5 20.0 $5,100 $6,100 14.0 46.4 3.4 19.6 10% 61% vs ATL 9 1 3 1:00 pm Main
Ke’Shawn Vaughn TBB -2.5 20.0 $4,400 $5,600 7.5 12.5 1.0 1.5 3% 13% vs ATL 9 1 3 1:00 pm Main
Bijan Robinson ATL 2.5 17.5 $7,300 $7,500 13.3 66.8 5.3 31.5 16% 67% at TBB 10 3 11 1:00 pm Main
Tyler Allgeier ATL 2.5 17.5 $4,500 $5,500 12.5 40.3 1.5 5.3 4% 17% at TBB 10 3 11 1:00 pm Main
Gus Edwards BAL -3.0 23.3 $4,800 $5,800 12.0 47.0 0.5 2.2 2% 27% vs DET 3 7 1 1:00 pm Main
Justice Hill BAL -3.0 23.3 $4,600 $5,400 7.4 30.0 2.0 5.0 7% 28% vs DET 3 7 1 1:00 pm Main
Jahmyr Gibbs DET 3.0 20.3 $6,300 $6,200 9.8 44.8 4.5 17.5 14% 41% at BAL 7 10 14 1:00 pm Main
Craig Reynolds DET 3.0 20.3 $4,900 $5,600 4.8 17.8 0.6 5.2 2% 22% at BAL 7 10 14 1:00 pm Main
Kenneth Walker SEA -7.5 26.0 $7,000 $8,800 16.6 69.0 2.2 20.0 7% 37% vs ARI 29 24 30 4:05 pm Main
Zach Charbonnet SEA -7.5 26.0 $4,300 $4,700 4.6 21.8 1.6 7.2 5% 23% vs ARI 29 24 30 4:05 pm Main
Keaontay Ingram ARI 7.5 18.5 $4,900 $5,700 5.5 13.8 0.8 4.8 2% 12% at SEA 1 5 18 4:05 pm Main
Damien Williams ARI 7.5 18.5 $4,000 $5,200 8.0 36.0 1.0 8.0 2% 7% at SEA 1 5 18 4:05 pm Main
Zach Evans LAR -3.0 23.3 $4,000 $4,800 4.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0% 4% vs PIT 19 21 20 4:05 pm Main
Royce Freeman LAR -3.0 23.3 $4,000 $4,100 vs PIT 19 21 20 4:05 pm Main
Najee Harris PIT 3.0 20.3 $5,200 $6,100 12.6 49.4 1.8 7.4 6% 37% at LAR 20 19 6 4:05 pm Main
Jaylen Warren PIT 3.0 20.3 $5,000 $5,700 6.8 24.8 4.6 33.2 14% 39% at LAR 20 19 6 4:05 pm Main
Isiah Pacheco KCC -5.5 26.5 $6,100 $7,400 14.5 64.5 3.2 22.5 8% 33% vs LAC 24 13 25 4:25 pm Main
Jerick McKinnon KCC -5.5 26.5 $4,700 $4,700 1.2 3.5 2.8 15.2 7% 30% vs LAC 24 13 25 4:25 pm Main
Austin Ekeler LAC 5.5 21.0 $8,600 $9,400 15.0 72.0 5.0 41.0 14% 51% at KCC 21 29 4 4:25 pm Main
Joshua Kelley LAC 5.5 21.0 $5,200 $5,600 11.6 41.8 1.0 1.4 3% 30% at KCC 21 29 4 4:25 pm Main
Javonte Williams DEN 1.5 21.8 $5,400 $6,000 9.6 38.0 2.8 10.2 9% 23% vs GBP 26 27 28 4:25 pm Main
Jaleel McLaughlin DEN 1.5 21.8 $5,000 $5,100 4.8 31.7 1.7 9.7 5% 15% vs GBP 26 27 28 4:25 pm Main
Aaron Jones GBP -1.5 23.3 $6,800 $7,700 7.0 29.5 3.0 41.0 10% 38% at DEN 31 30 32 4:25 pm Main
AJ Dillon GBP -1.5 23.3 $5,300 $6,400 12.8 38.8 1.0 5.0 3% 41% at DEN 31 30 32 4:25 pm Main
D’Andre Swift PHI -2.5 27.0 $6,300 $7,600 14.3 75.3 4.3 19.2 12% 42% vs MIA 25 25 17 8:20 pm SDSu
Kenneth Gainwell PHI -2.5 27.0 $4,500 $4,900 8.2 28.2 2.4 8.6 6% 33% vs MIA 25 25 17 8:20 pm SDSu
Raheem Mostert MIA 2.5 24.5 $7,600 $8,600 12.5 71.5 3.3 24.2 10% 42% at PHI 2 18 6 8:20 pm SDSu
Jeff Wilson MIA 2.5 24.5 $4,000 $5,500 at PHI 2 18 6 8:20 pm SDSu
Alexander Mattison MIN 7.0 18.5 $5,500 $6,300 13.7 53.3 4.7 17.3 12% 45% vs SFO 22 23 15 8:15 pm SDMo
Cam Akers MIN 7.0 18.5 $4,600 $5,500 8.3 23.0 1.3 5.3 4% 13% vs SFO 22 23 15 8:15 pm SDMo
Jordan Mason SFO -7.0 25.5 $5,300 $5,800 4.2 23.4 0.4 2.6 2% 8% at MIN 16 16 5 8:15 pm SDMo
Elijah Mitchell SFO -7.0 25.5 $5,100 $6,200 6.0 16.3 1.3 0.7 4% 13% at MIN 16 16 5 8:15 pm SDMo

Note: Att/G = rushing attempts per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, Tar/G = targets per game, ReY/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, rDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the run, rusEPA = opponent’s ERA against the run, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Wide Receiver

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % Opp pDVOA pasEPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Chris Olave NOS -1.5 21.0 $6,300 $7,400 8.8 5.3 69.0 24% 41% 89% vs JAC 10 10 22 8:15 pm SDTh
Michael Thomas NOS -1.5 21.0 $4,900 $5,800 7.5 5.2 54.8 21% 25% 84% vs JAC 10 10 22 8:15 pm SDTh
Rashid Shaheed NOS -1.5 21.0 $3,800 $5,700 4.5 2.7 49.7 12% 23% 72% vs JAC 10 10 22 8:15 pm SDTh
Calvin Ridley JAC 1.5 19.5 $6,400 $6,800 7.2 4.3 60.5 20% 37% 81% at NOS 7 6 12 8:15 pm SDTh
Christian Kirk JAC 1.5 19.5 $5,700 $6,700 7.8 5.5 64.0 22% 27% 81% at NOS 7 6 12 8:15 pm SDTh
Jamal Agnew JAC 1.5 19.5 $3,000 $4,600 1.2 1.0 10.8 3% 4% 31% at NOS 7 6 12 8:15 pm SDTh
Darius Slayton NYG 3.0 17.3 $3,700 $5,700 4.5 2.8 39.3 13% 33% 78% vs WAS 27 26 28 1:00 pm Main
Wan’Dale Robinson NYG 3.0 17.3 $3,800 $5,600 6.3 5.5 35.3 19% 12% 53% vs WAS 27 26 28 1:00 pm Main
Jalin Hyatt NYG 3.0 17.3 $3,000 $4,700 1.5 1.2 20.0 5% 14% 47% vs WAS 27 26 28 1:00 pm Main
Terry McLaurin WAS -3.0 20.3 $5,400 $7,200 7.0 5.2 57.0 20% 29% 80% at NYG 26 27 21 1:00 pm Main
Jahan Dotson WAS -3.0 20.3 $4,600 $5,400 4.8 2.8 23.3 14% 17% 83% at NYG 26 27 21 1:00 pm Main
Curtis Samuel WAS -3.0 20.3 $4,000 $6,400 5.2 4.5 47.5 15% 15% 67% at NYG 26 27 21 1:00 pm Main
D.J. Moore CHI 2.5 17.5 $6,500 $7,500 6.8 5.3 97.0 23% 46% 90% vs LVR 16 25 10 1:00 pm Main
Darnell Mooney CHI 2.5 17.5 $3,500 $5,300 3.0 1.7 25.3 10% 16% 69% vs LVR 16 25 10 1:00 pm Main
Tyler Scott CHI 2.5 17.5 $3,000 $4,700 1.5 0.8 5.3 5% 6% 25% vs LVR 16 25 10 1:00 pm Main
Davante Adams LVR -2.5 20.0 $8,200 $8,000 9.8 6.5 78.5 30% 42% 91% at CHI 30 31 17 1:00 pm Main
Jakobi Meyers LVR -2.5 20.0 $6,200 $7,400 8.6 6.0 67.0 25% 35% 83% at CHI 30 31 17 1:00 pm Main
Tre Tucker LVR -2.5 20.0 $3,000 $4,600 0.8 0.4 11.4 2% 8% 27% at CHI 30 31 17 1:00 pm Main
Kendrick Bourne NEP 8.5 16.0 $4,400 $5,800 7.2 4.7 51.2 20% 29% 70% vs BUF 8 6 11 1:00 pm Main
DeVante Parker NEP 8.5 16.0 $3,400 $5,000 4.4 2.6 27.2 13% 18% 84% vs BUF 8 6 11 1:00 pm Main
JuJu Smith-Schuster NEP 8.5 16.0 $3,200 $5,200 4.8 2.8 17.2 13% 9% 45% vs BUF 8 6 11 1:00 pm Main
Stefon Diggs BUF -8.5 24.5 $8,900 $9,000 10.7 8.2 103.3 31% 43% 91% at NEP 23 23 14 1:00 pm Main
Gabriel Davis BUF -8.5 24.5 $5,900 $6,700 5.0 3.5 56.8 15% 28% 78% at NEP 23 23 14 1:00 pm Main
Khalil Shakir BUF -8.5 24.5 $3,100 $4,500 0.8 0.7 6.7 2% 3% 13% at NEP 23 23 14 1:00 pm Main
Michael Pittman IND 3.0 18.8 $6,600 $7,000 9.7 6.7 67.7 26% 30% 90% vs CLE 1 1 1 1:00 pm Main
Josh Downs IND 3.0 18.8 $4,500 $5,700 6.5 4.7 46.0 18% 18% 74% vs CLE 1 1 1 1:00 pm Main
Alec Pierce IND 3.0 18.8 $3,300 $5,000 3.7 1.8 24.8 10% 22% 77% vs CLE 1 1 1 1:00 pm Main
Amari Cooper CLE -3.0 21.8 $6,100 $6,800 7.6 4.4 73.4 22% 43% 82% at IND 17 21 19 1:00 pm Main
Elijah Moore CLE -3.0 21.8 $4,200 $5,600 6.8 4.2 33.4 20% 16% 84% at IND 17 21 19 1:00 pm Main
Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE -3.0 21.8 $3,200 $5,000 2.8 1.2 15.0 8% 12% 80% at IND 17 21 19 1:00 pm Main
Mike Evans TBB -2.5 20.0 $7,100 $7,600 7.8 4.8 77.2 24% 39% 73% vs ATL 29 24 5 1:00 pm Main
Chris Godwin TBB -2.5 20.0 $6,900 $6,500 7.2 5.4 66.4 22% 26% 80% vs ATL 29 24 5 1:00 pm Main
Trey Palmer TBB -2.5 20.0 $3,600 $5,100 3.0 1.6 17.8 9% 18% 56% vs ATL 29 24 5 1:00 pm Main
Drake London ATL 2.5 17.5 $5,100 $6,900 7.2 4.3 54.8 21% 30% 85% at TBB 11 14 23 1:00 pm Main
Mack Hollins ATL 2.5 17.5 $3,400 $5,100 3.8 2.0 30.7 11% 19% 51% at TBB 11 14 23 1:00 pm Main
Van Jefferson ATL 2.5 17.5 $3,500 $4,400 2.8 1.3 18.0 7% 16% 62% at TBB 11 14 23 1:00 pm Main
Zay Flowers BAL -3.0 23.3 $5,700 $6,300 8.0 5.8 61.2 28% 30% 91% vs DET 5 9 19 1:00 pm Main
Rashod Bateman BAL -3.0 23.3 $3,600 $4,800 3.0 2.0 16.4 10% 13% 48% vs DET 5 9 19 1:00 pm Main
Odell Beckham BAL -3.0 23.3 $3,900 $5,100 3.8 2.3 28.3 12% 15% 58% vs DET 5 9 19 1:00 pm Main
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET 3.0 20.3 $8,000 $8,200 9.6 7.6 91.0 27% 31% 87% at BAL 3 4 9 1:00 pm Main
Josh Reynolds DET 3.0 20.3 $4,300 $6,100 4.3 3.2 56.8 13% 23% 67% at BAL 3 4 9 1:00 pm Main
Jameson Williams DET 3.0 20.3 $3,800 $5,600 3.0 2.0 27.5 8% 16% 28% at BAL 3 4 9 1:00 pm Main
D.K. Metcalf SEA -7.5 26.0 $6,800 $7,700 6.4 4.4 67.4 19% 36% 79% vs ARI 31 28 26 4:05 pm Main
Tyler Lockett SEA -7.5 26.0 $6,000 $6,800 6.8 4.6 50.2 20% 36% 84% vs ARI 31 28 26 4:05 pm Main
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA -7.5 26.0 $3,900 $4,900 5.0 3.2 22.0 15% 8% 66% vs ARI 31 28 26 4:05 pm Main
Marquise Brown ARI 7.5 18.5 $5,300 $6,700 8.8 4.8 55.7 27% 43% 87% at SEA 24 20 32 4:05 pm Main
Michael Wilson ARI 7.5 18.5 $3,800 $5,400 3.8 3.0 52.8 12% 23% 76% at SEA 24 20 32 4:05 pm Main
Rondale Moore ARI 7.5 18.5 $3,500 $5,000 3.8 2.5 18.5 12% 3% 70% at SEA 24 20 32 4:05 pm Main
Cooper Kupp LAR -3.0 23.3 $9,500 $9,700 10.5 7.5 133.0 34% 47% 86% vs PIT 9 8 30 4:05 pm Main
Puka Nacua LAR -3.0 23.3 $7,600 $7,300 11.3 8.3 99.7 30% 34% 90% vs PIT 9 8 30 4:05 pm Main
Tutu Atwell LAR -3.0 23.3 $4,300 $5,200 6.7 4.2 51.5 18% 25% 87% vs PIT 9 8 30 4:05 pm Main
George Pickens PIT 3.0 20.3 $5,500 $7,100 7.8 4.4 78.6 24% 43% 91% at LAR 19 18 4 4:05 pm Main
Diontae Johnson PIT 3.0 20.3 $5,000 $6,000 6.0 3.0 48.0 13% 23% 42% at LAR 19 18 4 4:05 pm Main
Allen Robinson PIT 3.0 20.3 $3,600 $5,300 5.0 3.4 27.4 15% 14% 82% at LAR 19 18 4 4:05 pm Main
Rashee Rice KCC -5.5 26.5 $4,700 $5,600 4.7 3.5 40.8 12% 12% 31% vs LAC 21 30 31 4:25 pm Main
Skyy Moore KCC -5.5 26.5 $3,500 $5,100 3.5 1.8 24.2 9% 14% 54% vs LAC 21 30 31 4:25 pm Main
Kadarius Toney KCC -5.5 26.5 $3,800 $5,500 4.0 2.8 15.3 10% 3% 28% vs LAC 21 30 31 4:25 pm Main
Keenan Allen LAC 5.5 21.0 $8,600 $9,200 10.8 8.4 103.8 30% 33% 88% at KCC 6 3 8 4:25 pm Main
Josh Palmer LAC 5.5 21.0 $4,800 $6,500 5.6 3.0 44.0 15% 25% 70% at KCC 6 3 8 4:25 pm Main
Quentin Johnston LAC 5.5 21.0 $3,800 $5,500 2.6 1.2 8.8 7% 11% 37% at KCC 6 3 8 4:25 pm Main
Courtland Sutton DEN 1.5 21.8 $5,200 $6,600 6.2 4.2 45.8 20% 34% 81% vs GBP 14 12 6 4:25 pm Main
Jerry Jeudy DEN 1.5 21.8 $5,800 $6,000 5.8 4.0 44.4 19% 28% 81% vs GBP 14 12 6 4:25 pm Main
Brandon Johnson DEN 1.5 21.8 $3,000 $4,600 2.0 1.3 20.3 7% 12% 45% vs GBP 14 12 6 4:25 pm Main
Christian Watson GBP -1.5 23.3 $5,600 $6,600 5.5 2.5 58.0 17% 38% 56% at DEN 32 32 18 4:25 pm Main
Romeo Doubs GBP -1.5 23.3 $4,900 $6,200 7.2 4.2 45.6 22% 27% 77% at DEN 32 32 18 4:25 pm Main
Jayden Reed GBP -1.5 23.3 $3,700 $5,300 5.2 2.6 42.0 16% 23% 61% at DEN 32 32 18 4:25 pm Main
A.J. Brown PHI -2.5 27.0 $7,900 $8,500 10.0 7.0 112.0 28% 48% 86% vs MIA 22 15 24 8:20 pm SDSu
DeVonta Smith PHI -2.5 27.0 $7,000 $6,900 7.2 4.7 55.7 20% 31% 91% vs MIA 22 15 24 8:20 pm SDSu
Julio Jones PHI -2.5 27.0 $3,300 vs MIA 22 15 24 8:20 pm SDSu
Tyreek Hill MIA 2.5 24.5 $9,400 $10,000 9.3 7.0 135.7 28% 48% 72% at PHI 20 13 27 8:20 pm SDSu
Jaylen Waddle MIA 2.5 24.5 $7,500 $7,100 7.0 4.8 59.2 20% 23% 69% at PHI 20 13 27 8:20 pm SDSu
Braxton Berrios MIA 2.5 24.5 $3,000 $4,800 3.3 2.8 29.8 10% 12% 49% at PHI 20 13 27 8:20 pm SDSu
Jordan Addison MIN 7.0 18.5 $5,800 $7,200 5.5 3.7 46.2 14% 26% 71% vs SFO 2 2 14 8:15 pm SDMo
K.J. Osborn MIN 7.0 18.5 $4,600 $6,000 5.0 2.8 35.7 13% 16% 86% vs SFO 2 2 14 8:15 pm SDMo
Brandon Powell MIN 7.0 18.5 $3,200 $5,000 1.8 1.3 11.3 5% 5% 16% vs SFO 2 2 14 8:15 pm SDMo
Brandon Aiyuk SFO -7.0 25.5 $6,700 $7,700 7.4 5.0 90.8 29% 52% 81% at MIN 15 17 29 8:15 pm SDMo
Deebo Samuel SFO -7.0 25.5 $6,000 $7,000 5.2 3.3 50.3 19% 19% 71% at MIN 15 17 29 8:15 pm SDMo
Jauan Jennings SFO -7.0 25.5 $3,800 $5,300 2.4 1.4 25.4 8% 14% 44% at MIN 15 17 29 8:15 pm SDMo

Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Tight End

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % Opp pDVOA pasEPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Taysom Hill NOS -1.5 21.0 $3,700 $5,500 2.2 1.8 10.8 6% 4% 33% vs JAC 10 10 22 8:15 pm SDTh
Evan Engram JAC 1.5 19.5 $4,500 $5,700 7.0 6.0 50.2 20% 12% 79% at NOS 7 6 6 8:15 pm SDTh
Darren Waller NYG 3.0 17.3 $5,000 $6,000 6.8 4.7 47.0 20% 28% 73% vs WAS 27 26 18 1:00 pm Main
Logan Thomas WAS -3.0 20.3 $3,500 $5,200 5.0 3.8 37.0 14% 14% 66% at NYG 26 27 16 1:00 pm Main
Cole Kmet CHI 2.5 17.5 $4,200 $5,900 5.2 4.2 40.0 18% 15% 66% vs LVR 16 25 19 1:00 pm Main
Michael Mayer LVR -2.5 20.0 $2,700 $4,900 1.8 1.3 19.3 6% 6% 37% at CHI 30 31 25 1:00 pm Main
Hunter Henry NEP 8.5 16.0 $4,100 $5,300 4.7 3.0 30.5 13% 14% 66% vs BUF 8 6 3 1:00 pm Main
Dawson Knox BUF -8.5 24.5 $2,900 $4,800 4.0 2.3 15.3 12% 10% 60% at NEP 23 23 11 1:00 pm Main
Drew Ogletree IND 3.0 18.8 $2,500 $4,600 2.2 1.4 19.0 6% 9% 22% vs CLE 1 1 2 1:00 pm Main
David Njoku CLE -3.0 21.8 $3,400 $4,900 4.4 3.8 32.4 13% 5% 74% at IND 17 21 24 1:00 pm Main
Cade Otton TBB -2.5 20.0 $2,900 $4,700 3.4 2.6 20.8 10% 7% 78% vs ATL 29 24 26 1:00 pm Main
Kyle Pitts ATL 2.5 17.5 $4,000 $5,600 6.2 3.7 41.8 18% 29% 77% at TBB 11 14 12 1:00 pm Main
Mark Andrews BAL -3.0 23.3 $5,700 $6,900 6.6 4.8 58.8 22% 21% 84% vs DET 5 9 28 1:00 pm Main
Sam LaPorta DET 3.0 20.3 $5,300 $6,500 7.0 4.8 54.2 21% 23% 70% at BAL 3 4 1 1:00 pm Main
Noah Fant SEA -7.5 26.0 $2,800 $4,900 2.4 2.2 33.8 7% 7% 40% vs ARI 31 28 8 4:05 pm Main
Zach Ertz ARI 7.5 18.5 $3,200 $5,000 6.5 4.0 28.0 20% 17% 75% at SEA 24 20 4 4:05 pm Main
Tyler Higbee LAR -3.0 23.3 $3,700 $5,000 5.0 3.3 39.0 13% 11% 81% vs PIT 9 8 7 4:05 pm Main
Darnell Washington PIT 3.0 20.3 $2,500 $4,200 0.6 0.2 2.0 2% 0% 28% at LAR 19 18 29 4:05 pm Main
Travis Kelce KCC -5.5 26.5 $8,000 $8,500 9.2 7.2 69.2 24% 27% 61% vs LAC 21 30 9 4:25 pm Main
Gerald Everett LAC 5.5 21.0 $3,800 $5,100 3.8 3.2 24.6 10% 4% 45% at KCC 6 3 15 4:25 pm Main
Adam Trautman DEN 1.5 21.8 $2,600 $4,500 2.5 1.7 10.7 8% 6% 66% vs GBP 14 12 13 4:25 pm Main
Luke Musgrave GBP -1.5 23.3 $3,300 $5,000 4.6 3.6 31.8 14% 11% 61% at DEN 32 32 32 4:25 pm Main
Dallas Goedert PHI -2.5 27.0 $4,700 $5,900 6.0 4.3 41.2 17% 11% 82% vs MIA 22 15 21 8:20 pm SDSu
Durham Smythe MIA 2.5 24.5 $2,800 $4,600 2.5 1.8 20.5 8% 6% 64% at PHI 20 13 20 8:20 pm SDSu
T.J. Hockenson MIN 7.0 18.5 $6,700 $6,100 7.8 6.0 50.7 20% 17% 75% vs SFO 2 2 4 8:15 pm SDMo
George Kittle SFO -7.0 25.5 $5,300 $5,700 4.0 3.0 36.0 15% 16% 80% at MIN 15 17 16 8:15 pm SDMo

Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Cover Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious