DFS Alerts

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Toronto Blue Jays
7/07/22, 2:55 PM ET

The Surprising Stack with the Top Smash%

With more than half the board above four and a half implied runs, but a couple of offenses somewhat separating from the rest of the board above five, current projections (which are fluid and updated throughout the day) suggest there’s no clear consensus where players will turn on either a nine or 10 game slate. The two Los Angeles teams are the only stacks above a 10% ownership projection on FanDuel right now with both featuring top of the board bats, alongside lower priced values. DraftKings projections suggest players may opt to favor Arizona stacks slightly more than any other (but it’s close) with some cheap bats atop the projected lineup against Austin Gomber, who has struggled, as each of his secondary pitches (slider, changeup, curveball) have declined in velocity and whiff rate this year. The Smash% column is where the biggest surprise comes from because the Blue Jays win early simulations with a rate around 15% against Marco Gonzales in Seattle, despite a 4.64 run team total that merely places them in the middle of the board tonight. Never the less, both Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (154 wRC+, .253 ISO vs LHP since LY) and George Springer (130 wRC+, .224 ISO) project as top of the board bats against a pitcher who’s .243 BABIP and 84.1 LOB% are almost sure to regress heavily. On either site, the Diamondbacks currently project as the overwhelming top value stack. The currently projected lineup only features two bats above $3K on either site for a team with a 4.75 implied run line. How will Arizona’s high projected ownership affect their team rating and which stack projects a better Leverage Rating than Toronto? Check out today’s PlateIQ Live Blog to find out.

Mike Trout

Los Angeles Angels
7/07/22, 2:34 PM ET

Several Offenses Project Both Top Bats and Values

If you’re considering adding two of the top three projected bats on the board in Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani to your lineups tonight, the good news is that there are also a pair of Angels projecting as top of the board values on either site, making this stack a lot easier. Batters from either side of the plate exceed a .335 wOBA against Jordan Lyles since last season and the Orioles give him such a long leash, while the Angels strike out so much that you may consider using him in lineups where you’re not stacking against him on DraftKings. However, Brandon Marsh (91 wRC+, .142 ISO vs RHP since 2021) and Andrew Velazquez (35 wRC+) both cost the minimum there. You probably aren’t considering using Lyles on a single pitcher site like FanDuel, where Jonathan Villar (95 wRC+, .167 ISO) costs just $2.2K and Trout (181 wRC+, .374 ISO) projects so well, that he’s a top 10 value even at $3.8K.

FanDuel projections also suggest filling out your Dodger stack starting with top of the board bats Mookie Betts, Trea Turner and Freddie Freeman by adding top projected values Max Muncy (122 wRC+, .236 ISO) and Jake Lamb (99 wRC+, .203 ISO) for less than $3K against Mark Leiter (batters from either side of the plate within eight points of a .330 xwOBA since 2021). FD projections also suggest Joey Gallo (120 wRC+, .255 ISO) and Josh Donaldson (109 wRC+, .173 ISO) have tremendous value for $2.5K or less in Boston against Josh Winckowski (batters from either side between a .290 and .315 wOBA and xwOBA). The weather forecast for Fenway is only expected to enhances it’s hitter friendliness.

Both sites project a ton of value in the Arizona lineup, including Jordan Luplow (110 wRC+, .279 ISO vs LHP since last season) currently running the top point per dollar projection on either site against Austin Gomber (RHBs .349 wOBA, .340 xwOBA since 2021). Cooper Hummel (65 wRC+, .153 ISO) is also a top five projected value within $100 of $2.5K on either site. Carson Kelly (130 wRC+, .239 ISO) costs $2.3K on either site. Lastly, only available on DraftKings, PlateIQ projections foresee top 10 value in Michael Chavis and Yoshi Tsutsugo for less than $3K against a terrible Cincinnati bullpen (6.09 FIP last 30 days) in a tremendously hitter friendly park.

Ronald Acuna

Atlanta Braves
7/07/22, 2:18 PM ET

Several Pairs of Teammates Projecting as Top of the Board Bats Tonight

Either a nine or 10 game slate (FD omitting second game of double-header in Cincinnati) features a bit of separation atop the board with one caveat. That being that the Reds have not yet named a game two pitcher, so there is not currently a reliable line on that game. We will proceed accordingly, but a reminder to check in on projections and see where all that fits in later. Currently, the Braves sit atop the board at 5.9 implied runs, facing the talented, but still developing Matthew Liberatore at home. They are nearly a half run ahead of the Dodgers, who are nearly a half run ahead of the Yankees, as the only three teams exceeding five implied runs tonight. Again, that could change with Pittsburgh/Cincinnati coming on board as the pitching in that game is likely to be subpar, which we already know about Bryse Wilson. Seven more teams reach the four and half run team total mark tonight, making it more than half the board. What we currently see are more Dodgers atop the board in terms of PlateIQ projections, though several teams put a pair of bats in the top 10. It’s essentially a lineup of the top hitters in the league without particular matchups generating anyone we wouldn’t expect to normally be up there.

Mark Leiter has struck out 15 of 50 batters faced out of the bullpen since returning to the majors in late June, but just seven of 45 in three April starts. He threw 57 pitches last time out and should be stretched out for about five innings here and now has a fairly impressive 24.8 K% with a 51.3 GB% on the season, but he’s also walked 10.4% and probably won’t hold that strikeout rate in a starting role. Leiter has a sizeable reverse split with RHBs owning a .348 wOBA against him (LHBs .255), though Statcast closes that gap significantly to .338 and .323 xwOBAs, still in favor of RHBs, just slightly now. Projections…well…project Mookie Betts (136 wRC+, .240 ISO vs RHP since 2021), Trea Turner (127 wRC+, .171 ISO) and Freddie Freeman (148 wRC+, .209 ISO) to do some work against him.

Mike Trout (181 wRC+, .374 ISO) and Shohei Ohtani (152 wRC+, .304 ISO) both project as top three bats against Jordan Lyles in Baltimore. The Orioles allow Lyles to pitch deep into games and he hasn’t been horrible (11.9 K-BB%), though he has allowed 10.1% Barrels/BBE and been a bit fortunate that only 12 of 31 have left the yard. Batters from either side of the plate exceed a .335 wOBA against him since last season. The Angels present an interesting dynamic this year where they offer a stars and scrubs lineup, smash or crash, where they strikeout so often and have so many outs in the lower half that you can often stack their top bats, while also benefit by utilizing the same pitcher against them. This may be one of those cases.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (169 wRC+, .299 ISO vs LHP since LY) is also a top three projected bat and is joined in the top 10 by Matt Olson (142 wRC+, .282 ISO). Liberatore may one day become the All-Star pitcher that scouting reports suggest he has the talent to be, but for now he’s just a guy with a 7.2 K-BB%, 29.4 GB% and 14% Barrels/BBE through his first five starts. More than half his contact (52.6%) has been hard hit (95+ mph EV) and all estimators exceed five. He does have two starts of five shutout innings each, both at home (Pirates, Brewers), but has been wrecked in three road starts (13 runs in 10.2 innings). RHBs exceed a .400 wOBA and xwOBA against him, but LHBs have hit him well too (.331 wOBA, .346 xwOBA) and Olson crushes same-handed pitching.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (154 wRC+, .253 ISO) and George Springer (130 wRC+, .224 ISO) are the last pair of top projected teammates. Since being hit on the wrist by a comebacker at the end of April, Marco Gonzales has compiled nine Quality Starts in 12 attempts, including four straight and he’s done this with just a 2.3 K-BB%. While Gonzales has managed contact fairly well over this span (6.9% Barrels/BBE, 87.1 mph EV), it’s a .243 BABIP and 84.1 LOB% that bear responsibility for a 3.18 ERA with estimators two runs higher. In fact, he doesn’t have an estimator below a 4.75 xERA on the season. RHBs have a wOBA and xwOBA within three points of .330 against him since last season. It may be a pitcher friendly park, but PlateIQ projections don’t expect Gonzales to continue his magic tricks against the Jays tonight.

Spencer Strider

Atlanta Braves
7/07/22, 1:36 PM ET

Thursday's Lower Cost, High Upside Arms

Spencer Strider is currently a top three projected point per dollar value on either site and probably the only one of the top six projected FanDuel values for less than $10K that you’d consider using on a single pitcher site because he’s also essentially in a three way tie for the third best projected arm on the board overall. The major concern about shifting Strider into the rotation was a lack of quality secondary pitches. Apparently the one is doing just fine, as he’s registered a 28.5 K-BB% through seven starts, including tying a career high 11 strikeouts last time out and his first two Quality Starts in his last two outings. With those peripherals, the contact profile doesn’t have to be anything special. A 2.90 xERA is his only estimator above a 2.87 ERA. This projection is all him though because it’s neither a strong matchup (Cardinals 105 wRC+, 20.4 K% vs RHP) nor pitcher friendly park in Atlanta with the weather forecast suggesting it may be even more hitter friendly than usual. However, Strider is much better than an $8.5K pitcher.

Most of the remaining top value projections are guys you’d consider using in an SP2 spot on DraftKings in order to add more offense to your lineups. The top projected value on DraftKings may not even have been confirmed yet and is only up there due to his price tag. Casey Lawrence threw an emergency 5.2 innings in relief of Kevin Gausman last time out and after striking out none of his first 15 batters this year, has struck out nine of his last 40 over two long relief appearances. The 34 year-old will get just his third major league start and first since 2017 without much in the way of expectations because he hasn’t pitched in the major leagues since 2018 outside the handful of innings mentioned above. He’s $4K in a favorable park. That’s it. He doesn’t even have a particularly friendly matchup (Mariners 105 wRC+, 22.4 K% vs RHP) and Ty France is projected to be back tonight.

Trevor Williams has been a solid addition to the Mets’ bullpen (2.62 FIP over 18 innings), but not so much to the rotation (6.27 FIP over 27.2 innings). He’s struck out five of 34 batters over his last two starts with the same number of home runs allowed on seven barrels (28%). Regardless, he costs $6.7K in a great park against a predominantly right-handed lineup (RHBs .317 wOBA against Williams since 2021), though the Marlins have been pretty good against RHP (108 wRC+, 22.3 K%). Williams projects as the second best DraftKings value below $8.5K tonight.

Baltimore’s allowance to let Jordan Lyles eat up a lot of innings has resulted in the occasional Quality Start with some assistance from the unearned run column. Though, in truth, he hasn’t been horrible (11.9 K-BB%) if all you’re looking for is someone to fill a spot and even the 10.1% Barrels/BBE haven’t hurt him as badly with the dimensions changing in Baltimore this year (just 12 of 31 barrels have left the yard). All estimators are within half a run of his 4.70 ERA. What we like about him today, besides the $6.9K price tag, is the upside in the matchup (Angels split high 26.9 K% vs RHP with a 99 wRC+).

Although not projecting particularly well, there may be something in the similarly cheap pitcher opposing Lyles that projections aren’t catching onto yet. After striking out just one of his last 28 batters to end his first go around with the Angels in early June, he returned to strike out six of 18 White Sox last time out. We’re still only talking about 20.2 innings and 89 batters faced, but Chase Silseth has produced a league average 10.6 SwStr% with a below average 19.1 K% and decent control (7.9 BB%). Most of his problems occur in the contact profile or more specifically a 91.6 mph EV. All five of his barrels (7.3%) have left the yard (27.8 HR/FB) and that should regress, though both his FIP and xERA are above five, thanks to 94.1% of his contact categorized as hart hit (95+ mph EV). The one thing he has been doing extremely well is fooling batters (24.7 Z-O-Swing%), which should began to pay off at some point. Contact neutral estimators hover around four with a chance for something better with a few more strikeouts. The Orioles are certainly a beatable offense (91 wRC+, 23.4 K% vs RHP).

Joe Musgrove

San Diego Padres
7/07/22, 1:18 PM ET

Consistent Top of the Board Arm Has Potential to Outpitch His Projection

Depending on your site of choice, Thursday night features either a nine or 10 game schedule with FanDuel omitting the second game of the double-header in Cincinnati that currently looks to be a bullpen special for the home team. FanDuel still features four $10K pitchers, only one of whom reaches that price point on DraftKings. All three remaining pitchers exceed $9K on DraftKings without any other pitcher doing so. Maybe Joe Musgrove was looking ahead because he followed up a season low single strikeout performance and first non-Quality Start against the Phillies by striking out 10 of 26 Dodgers in his 13th Quality Start of the season. Musgrove adds a tremendous contact profile (86.2 mph EV, 4.8% Barrels/BBE, 47.7 GB%) to an incredibly strong 20.3 K-BB% to produced estimators ranging from a 2.86 xERA to a 3.24 SIERA. Musgrove faced a good (104 wRC+, 22.7 K% vs RHP), but struggling San Francisco offense (73 wRC+, 3.2 HR/FB last seven days) in a pitcher friendly park. The most expensive pitcher on the board ($11.1K FD) is just the fifth best projected arm on either site and a marginally projected value, though slightly better on DK, where he’s $1.4K less. More consistent than any pitcher on the slate or in the league, Musgrove makes an excellent pivot if his ownership numbers look like they may be suppressed. Find out which two pitchers project better than Musgrove and which top end arm projects similarly in a similar spot in Thursday’s PlateIQ Live Blog.

Jeremy Pena

Houston Astros
7/07/22, 1:05 PM ET

Jeremy Peña scratched Thursday

Jeremy Peña scratched Thursday

Max Muncy

Los Angeles Dodgers
7/06/22, 3:04 PM ET

Where Is Tonight's Top Offense Currently the Worst Rated Stack?

On an eight game slate where the Dodgers separate themselves from the rest of the board by more than full run projects the Dodgers to be the most popular stack on the board, though currently by a much larger margin on DraftKings than on FanDuel, although, remember that projections are fluid and updated throughout the day. Be sure to check back later, but this is probably something that won’t change. Also unlikely to change is that the Dodgers smash the slate in simulations much more often than any other offense. The Value% column gives us some different stacks to look at, though the Dodgers project so well that they also appear to be strong values tonight. However, the Phillies project as a slightly better value stack on either site against the barrel prone, but improving Josiah Gray. They are edged out slightly by Texas as the top projected value stack on FanDuel. Today’s projections currently create a dymanic where the Dodgers are one of the top rated stacks on one site, but actually the worst rated stack on the other. For more on this and other top rated stacks, check out today’s PlateIQ Live Blog.

Kyle Schwarber

Philadelphia Phillies
7/06/22, 2:38 PM ET

Couple of Top Bats Are Also Top Projected Values

If you’re looking to pay up for top end pitching and Dodger bats tonight, you need value bats sprinkled throughout the rest of your lineup. As luck would have it, PlateIQ projections for FanDuel (which are fluid and updated throughout the day) currently suggest a ton of value can be found right in that Dodger lineup. Max Muncy (123 wRC+, .137 ISO vs RHP since last season) doubles as a top projected overall bat and the second best projected FanDuel value at $2.7K against Jose Urena, against whom LHBs exceed a .400 wOBA and xwOBA against since last season. The projected Dodger lineup features three more batters for $2.6K or less. Jake Lamb (101 wRC+, .208 ISO), Gavin Lux (110 wRC+, .134 ISO) and Cody Bellinger (78 wRC+, .194 ISO) are all top 10 projected FD values tonight. The only problem is that you’re limited in the number of Dodgers you can stack.

FanDuel PlateIQ projections also feature a pair of Phillies and Rangers as to values. Kyle Schwarber (152 wRC+, .351 ISO) is the top projected bat on the board and projects so well, that he also projects as a top value at $3.8K against the barrel prone Josiah Gray (11.5% Barrels/BBE), although he has been pitching better recently. Nick Castellanos (120 wRC+, .219 ISO) costs $2.8K. Also pitching better recently is Spencer Watkins, but batters from either side of the plate still exceed a .340 wOBA and xwOBA against him since last season, while Kole Calhoun (99 wRC+, .176 ISO) and Mitch Garver (118 wRC+, .208 ISO) are each less than $2.5K.

A $2.3K Jake Lamb is also the top projected value on DraftKings tonight, but is not joined by any teammates among the top 10 projected values there. If you’re planning on stacking Yankees against Mitch Keller though (batters from either side of the plate own a wOBA and xwOBA between .345 and .364 against him since last year), then Aaron Hicks (75 wRC+) and Joey Gallo (118 wRC+, .251 ISO) are your value bats for less than $3K. DraftKings projections also like a pair of extremely cheap left-handed Rays for $2.1K or less against the debuting Brayan Bello in Boston. Kevin Kiermaier (99 wRC+, .157 ISO) has been fairly efficient, but Taylor Walls (65 wRC+) less so against RHP.

Freddie Freeman

Los Angeles Dodgers
7/06/22, 2:22 PM ET

Are You Sure This Game is Not Being Played at Coors?

If you looked at the Dodgers’ 6.34 run team total and had to check to make sure this series hadn’t shifted to Coors, you’re not the only one. It’s merely the presence of Jose Urena on the mound that spiked this total at Dodger Stadium, where the home team separates themselves from the rest of the board by more than a full run. Only two of the remaining 15 teams on an eight game slate reach five implied runs, though exactly half the board is above four and a half implied runs tonight. The result, when considering tonight’s PlateIQ projections (which are fluid and subject to change, as always), is that the man who literally smashed last night’s slate (Kyle Schwarber) repeats as tonight’s top projected bat, but the rest of the top 10 is ruled by Dodgers on either site. Urena has come out of the pen four times this year, walking five of 36 batters with just three strikeouts. He has 705.1 career innings with a 7.3 K-BB% and has allowed 9.0% Barrels/BBE on 445 BBE since 2020. While Urena has generated at least half his contact on the ground against batters from either side of the plate since last season (which definitely means stacking is a better option than individual bats), LHBs exceed a .400 wOBA and xwOBA against him. RHBs have been above average as well though (.316 wOBA, .333 xwOBA). Freddie Freeman (149 wRC+, .211 ISO vs RHP since 2021), Max Muncy (123 wRC+, .137 ISO), Mookie Betts (137 wRC+, .243 ISO) and Trea Turner (127 wRC+, .172 ISO) are top six projected bats, split only by Yordan Alvarez from all being top five projected bats.

The New York Yankees (5.01 run total) are the only other team to feature multiple top 10 projected bats. The Nationals and Rays have gotten to Mitch Keller for eight runs over his last nine innings with five walks, though not a single barrel. Since ditching his four-seamer in favor of a sinker, he’s kept more of his contact on the ground (55.4%), allowing just a single home run on six barrels (6.5%), but it certainly hasn’t improve his swinging strike rate (8.1%). In fact, he has just an 8.0 K-BB% over his last six starts. The only positive is that now he has a chance to erase some of his double digit walk rate on double plays. Batters from either side of the plate own a wOBA and xwOBA between .345 and .364 against Keller since last year. Aaron Judge (157 wRC+, .276 ISO) and Anthony Rizzo (115 wRC+, .231 ISO) are the top projected Yankee bats, though remember that the latter was scratched from last night’s lineup with back issues.

Brayan Bello

Boston Red Sox
7/06/22, 1:49 PM ET

Top Pitching Prospect with Impressive Minor League Numbers

The most interesting thing we find when filtering pitching in LineupHQ for P/$ tonight (and this may eventually be adjusted) is Brayan Bello at the top of the board. For sure, the two most extreme factors determining this are extremely low cost and Tampa Bay’s 25 K% vs RHP. Fenway is a tough park to pitch in with a potentially hitter friendly umpire, but at least weather conditions don’t appear to be significantly unfavorable to the debuting rookie tonight. Bello is the fourth ranked Boston prospect by Fangraphs with a 50 Future Value grade and also the 52nd ranked prospect in all of baseball. After producing a 23.3 K-BB% at AA this season, his stop off at AAA lasted just 51.1 innings (24.4 K-BB%), though the walk rate has been increasing at each level. With 44.4% of his AAA plate appearances being of the non-contact variety, we might have some workload concerns. He’s only improved his stock since a March scouting report heralded his increasing velocity, but also suggested an eventual high leverage reliever role for him, despite a three pitch mix that included a potentially above average slider and changeup.

The next best projected value for less than $9K on FanDuel is Alex Cobb and right behind him Mitch White. Covering them both together makes some sense because while both have favorable matchups, the concern is workload, since Quality Starts mean more on FD. Guess who hasn’t allowed an earned run over his last 9.1 innings? That would be Alex Cobb. He of the estimators still a run and a half or more below his 4.59 ERA. The troubling thing is that he has just a 16.4 K% and 7.2 SwStr% over this span. Without any significant changes to his pitches or usage, let’s hope this is a small sample thing. The great news is that his 18.8 K-BB%, 61.8 GB%, 87.1 mph EV and 2.3% Barrels/BBE are All-Star quality stuff, but he’s also only completed six innings twice this season. With a couple of trips to the IL already, the concern is that the Giants may be a bit more cautious with him going forward. Estimators range from a 2.52 ERA to a 3.16 DRA. The Diamondbacks have a 90 wRC+ and 23.5 K% vs RHP though, so perhaps he can be efficient enough to get through six innings on 90 pitches.

The Dodgers seem to want to cap White at 80 innings, so while the rate stats have been fine this year (15.2 K-BB%), the limited workload increases the risk/reward ratio of a 9.6% barrel rate and 90.2 mph EV. Only a 4.05 DRA is more than one-tenth of a run removed from his 3.93 ERA. He’s going to have to be extremely efficient to get through six innings, even against the Rockies (80 wRC+, 21.3 K% vs RHP) on that pitch count. Both Cobb and White are cheap enough where they can pay off their DK prices within five to six innings.

The fifth best projected DraftKings value is Josiah Gray at $8.2K. He has struck out at least six in four of his last five parts, but was lit up for six runs by the Marlins last time out. Just as he did last year, Gray has struck out more batters than average (25.4%), but also walked more than average too (10.1%). The home run ball was a big issue last season and he’s still allowing 11.5% Barrels/BBE on the season, but just five (5.3%) over his last six starts. That’s improvement. Most estimators are now closer to four than five. Non-FIP estimators are all within one-fifth of a run of his 4.22 ERA. Perhaps the hitter friendly environment in Philadelphia could be neutralized by the pitcher friendly umpire, absence of Bryce Harper and fairly neutral weather. The Phillies have been merely average against RHP (101 wRC+, 21.9 K%) and most of that is with Harper in the lineup. Gray is certainly worth a GPP flier or two tonight.

If you really need to punt our SP2 spot on DraftKings tonight, Spenser Watkins looks like a slightly different pitcher since returning to the Baltimore rotation and costs the minimum. He has allowed two runs (one earned) over 11 innings, striking out 9 of 41 batters, while walking just two. He’s also done this with his first two double digit SwStr% starts of the season, despite a velocity decrease. Watkins has increased cutter usage to 36.7% (35.3 Whiff% this year). We’re still talking about a pitcher with a 5.0 K-BB% and 10.7% Barrels/BBE over 95.2 career innings, so utilize caution. He did allow two of those barrels last time out as well, but it wouldn’t hurt to get out ahead of any potential changes in a few GPP lineups, just in case this is real.

Aaron Nola

Philadelphia Phillies
7/06/22, 1:34 PM ET

Everything Could Fall in Place For This Top Arm

Wednesday night’s seven game slate does not feature many weather issues, whether it be rain concerns or extreme conditions favoring either hitting or pitching. What it does feature is several extreme umpires in one direction or another. We’ll mention a few of those spots here, but you get access to all umpire ratings and assignments with a premium membership in Lineup HQ. Two pitchers reach the $10K price point tonight and each do so on both sites. Most expensively, Atlanta got him for four runs and two home runs, but Austin Nola struck out at least eight for the third straight starts and completed seven innings for the fifth straight time last time out. He’s running a 25.6 K-BB% with only 33.5% of his contact hit an exit velocity of 95 mph or above. The result is that while Nola has a 3.13 ERA, he doesn’t have a single estimator above three. Conditions are more neutral in Philadelphia tonight for his matchup with the Nationals, who don’t strike out much (20 K%), but also have little power (9.3 HR/FB) vs RHP. There are additional factors here that could play in Nola’s favor. While both Juan Soto and Nelson Cruz are in tonight’s projected lineup, both missed last night’s game due to nagging injuries. Their continued absence would further handicap an already power challenged offense. This is also a spot with an extremely pitcher friendly umpire. Nola is not only the top projected pitcher on the board, but a great projected value on either site. Unfortunately, this probably means he’ll also be extremely popular, but check back on ownership projections later in the day. For more analysis on top of the board pitching, check out Wednesday’s PlateIQ Live Blog.

Nelson Cruz

San Diego Padres
7/05/22, 8:42 PM ET

Nelson Cruz scratched Tuesday

Nelson Cruz scratched Tuesday

As reported by: Jesse Dougherty via Twitter

Nick Lodolo

Cincinnati Reds
7/05/22, 6:18 PM ET

The start of Mets-Reds will be delayed Tuesday due to weather

Game update: The start of Mets-Reds will be delayed Tuesday due to weather

As reported by: the Cincinnati Reds via Twitter

Anthony Rizzo

New York Yankees
7/05/22, 6:13 PM ET

Anthony Rizzo (back) scratched Tuesday

Anthony Rizzo (back) scratched Tuesday

As reported by: Kristie Ackert via Twitter

Rhys Hoskins

Cleveland Guardians
7/05/22, 2:22 PM ET

This Stack Currently Projects for the Triple Crown (Own%, Smash%, Value%)

They may not be the top offense in the eyes of the sportsbooks, but with one-third of the board reaching five implied runs without anyone conquering five and a half, it’s a bit of a melting pot atop the board tonight and the Phillies with tremendous hitting weather in a great hitting park are one of those offenses in the mix. Current projections suggest they’ll be the most popular stack tonight, but not by very much and only reaching a double digit Own% on DraftKings currently. It is incredibly important to remember that these projections are fluid too and do update throughout the afternoon. Who do current simulations see smashing the slate most often? Again, it’s the Phillies, but again, barely ahead of the Dodgers and not reaching a double digit Smash% on either site. Another category where Philadelphia stacks hold a miniscule lead without reaching double digits is Value% on FanDuel. Where we do finally see some separation from the board is in stacking value projections on DraftKings. At a 21.31 Value%, the Tigers currently project for nearly twice as much value as any other stack on the board. Who are the top rated stacks? Not really any of the teams we’ve talked about here. To find out more, check out today’s PlateIQ Live Blog.