DFS Alerts
Jim Knous is no longer in the field
Jim Knous is no longer in the field for this week’s event. His early withdrawal marks the second straight week of pulling out of an event. At this point, you would have to assume that there is some type of injury associated with this move. Knous has been replaced in the field by Matt Every.
As reported by: Rob Bolton Twitter Other tagged players: Matt Every
Mega Cheap Value
I remember playing Josh Teater in DFS golf back when DFS golf first became a thing about five years ago. I can’t remember ever thinking about him since. That changes this week. He’s priced near the minimum on every site, and this is the type of tournament where a punt value could simply go off, especially if the tournament turns into one with a bunch of birdies. Just look at what Lashley and Redman did last week. Now, I’m not saying that Teater is going to finish inside the top five, as those expectations are simply unrealistic. However, he ranked 9th last week in strokes gained from tee to green on his way to a 35th place finish that could have been a lot better if his putter would have cooperated more. Teater has quietly made four cuts in a row with three top 40 finishes, and the price tag isn’t moving upward. Buy low while you still can.
Trending Very Nicely
The increased price tag (particularly on DK & FDRAFT) might have some people shying away this week, especially since Straka has as many missed cuts as made cuts this season. However, he is absolutely trending in the right direction with four made cuts in his last five starts, with the only missed cut being one where he missed on the number. Straka is coming off four straight under par rounds and a solid 11th place finish in Detroit where he gained strokes everywhere, and his ball striking rank is now up to 23rd for the year. I’m riding the momentum with Straka as a great value despite his price bump, and he remains a steal at a very affordable $8,700 price tag on FD.
Getting Back to the Basics
The tools have always been there with Niemann. It was the flat stick that was holding him back, and he went through such a rough patch with the putter in the winter and spring that it started to affect other areas of his game. Those concerns are now a thing of the past. He has a new putting routine that has absolutely helped him out, and he has been well above field average with the putter in his last handful of events. It’s no coincidence that he has turned his last two appearances into a pair of T5 finishes. He currently ranks 31st in par four scoring, 36th in ball striking, and 29th in strokes gained approach. Ride the wave of confidence as long as Niemann can keep it rolling on the greens. If he can keep doing that, a win is undoubtedly in his near future.
Elite Option With Winning Upside
Matsuyama is the obvious choice if you want safety, but you’re not here to get all the safe picks. In the search for upside, I’m comfortable with Jason Day as my top GPP play this week. He seems as healthy as he has been in quite some time, and while that’s never a guarantee with Day, the results are trending upward with a 21st place finish at the U.S. Open and a top ten at the Travelers. His approach play has been better of late, and he now ranks 10th in strokes gained off the tee and 13th in ball striking for the year. Day can always lean on his short game when it’s needed, too. That’s a great combination of factors, and a win just might be around the corner soon.
Kyle Stanley is no longer in the field
Kyle Stanley has decided to take a pass on this weeks 3M Open. Stanley has been replaced in the field by Chad Campbell. A projection will be assigned to Campbell once he is added to the player pool.
As reported by: Rob Bolton Twitter Other tagged players: Chad Campbell Ten Minutes to roster lock, no major news to report
Ten minutes until roster lock and there is no major news to report. For the most part weather over the first two days looks to be pretty equal. Friday afternoon could have stronger winds and some rain, but by no means is the predicted edge significant enough to merit a complete fade of one tee time wave. Good luck this week. ResultsDB will be up and running within 15 minutes of roster lock. Make sure to check out how your lineups stack up against the field.
Weather update for The Rocket Mortgage Classic
Rotogrinders Own Cheif Meteorologist Kevin Roth has the weather report up for The Rocket Mortgage classic up in the main forum. For the most part, golfers are on track to face the same type of weather over the first two days. Friday afternoon golfers could face stronger wind gust and an isolated storm, but at this point, it’s not worth fading a player from that wave. Stacking tee time waves in a GPP is a great way to get exposure to one group of players in case of a strong weather draw, but by no means is it a must this week.
As reported by: Kevin Roth Weather Report Rory Sabbatini continues to trend in the right direction
Currently, inside the top 60 in the FedEx Cup race, Rory Sabbatini is in a position to make a deep run into this year’s playoffs. With a new event and a course where we have to make an educated guess to what type of player will perform well this week, many in the DFS community will look at players strokes gained data to measure the current status of a players game. Over his last 50 rounds on Tour, Sabbatini rates inside the top 50 in all major strokes gained categories with the exception of strokes gained approach. If strokes gained are not your cup of tea then you can simply look at his game log as Sabbatini has made 11 straight cuts on tour including four top 20 or better finishes in the last two months. Looking for his first win since the 2011 season, Sabbatini is clearly playing with a ton of confidence and is in a great spot to play well in what is a very weak field.
As reported by: PGA Expert Survey Jimmy Walker provides upside at low ownership
While the 2019 PGA Tour season has not been a particularly great season for Jimmy Walker, there is still hope to finish the year strong. Currently, outside of the top 125 in The FedEx Cup race and in danger of missing the playoffs for the first time since the 2009 season, Walker will need to play well over the next two months if he has any plans of making into the FedEx Cup race. With three top 35 or better finishes in his last four starts, Walker appears to be trending in the right direction ahead of The Rocket Mortage Classic. Currently predicted to garnish an ownership level lower than 5% for the week, Walker is a PGA Tour veteran that you can look to for upside at a discount for the week.
As reported by: DraftKings Projected Ownership Brandt Snedeker is flying under the radar
The dynamics of a weak field event always bring into question the pricing discrepancies created by the need to have a balanced pricing pool. With the exception of a few players in this week’s field, you can make a case for most players having an incorrect price tag in comparison to a normal event. For example, Joaquin Niemann has posted two decent weeks on tour and has a price tag much higher than many players who are having a better overall season. Since making the switch back to his old swing coach, Brandt Snedeker’s game has started to change for the better. In his last five starts, Snedeker has gained 21 shots tee to green with 3 top 20 or better finishes. Looking to bounce back from an off week at The Travelers Championship an inflated priced Snedeker is trending towards a low ownership number. The argument of what is true value in a field without an abundance of talent is a debate that will always run strong, and while Snedeker appears to the masses as a player overpriced in comparison to his actual value, the opportunity to buy low on a golfer trending in the right direction could end up being a strong GPP play this week.
As reported by: DraftKings Projected Ownership Other tagged players: Joaquin Niemann Charley Hoffman looks to bounce back from a missed cut
With a solid course history behind him, Charley Hoffman ended up being a very popular GPP play at last week’s Travelers Championship. A faulty flat stick left Hoffman in a bad position after Thursday’s opening round. Hoffman was not able to play well enough on Friday to make the cut leaving his supporters with a bad taste in their mouth. With many in the community not looking to get burned again, this week could potentially be a great spot to get back on Hoffman. While he has struggled to play well this year, Hoffman is the type of golfer that can get hot and is not afraid to put up a low score. Early reports from players and caddies have the winning score for the week approaching 20 under par. If this number holds true then you will want exposure to players who can rack up birdies in a hurry.
As reported by: Pga Value Breakdown Field update for The Rocket Mortgage Classic
David Berganio has decided to take a pass on this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. At this time there is no injury news associated with this move. Berganio will be replaced in the field by Nate Lashley. At this time Lashley has not been added to the player pool. Lashley will get added to lineupHQ if he gets added to the pricing pool.
As reported by: Rob Bolton Twitter Other tagged players: Nate Lashley Charles Howell looks to regain form displayed earlier this season
Currently ranked in the 15th position in this year’s FedEx Cup race, Charles Howell has a great chance to make it to his first Tour Championship since the 2011 season. Fueled by 9 early season top 25 or better finishes including his first win in over 10 years has this PGA Tour veteran playing some of the best golf in his career. Having cooled off some since his hot start, Howell enters this week looking to get his season back on track. Priced down due to a dip in performance has Howell near the top of our projection model for the week in terms of Pt/$/K. With a brand new venue in play this week there will be very few players with any significant course history. It’s never a bad idea to target great ball strikers, and on a week where there is less information on how a course will play I tend to take a long term view of player in terms of talent. Howell has a lot left to play for his season, and talent alone makes him a great play in his price range for the week.
As reported by: Rotogrinders Projections Tool Great Putter that is Finding Form with his Irons
Outside of DJ, Malnati might be my favorite play of the week. Being a good putter is hard to sustain year in and year out, yet Malnati has finished inside the top 20 in strokes gained putting in each of the last four years on tour. He’s always been more Kevin Kisner-like than Luke List-like in that his short game is better than his ball striking. However, that’s recently started to turn around. In his last four events, he has gained 17 strokes on approach. If he’s positive in the ball striking department and can find a hot putter, he could be in contention on Sunday.
