MLB First Look: Sunday, August 28th
The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.
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Editor’s Note: Justin Nicolino is starting in place of Andrew Cashner on Sunday.
First Look Legend
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| SIERA | Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average – A good predictor of future ERA |
| K% | Percentage of batters a pitcher strikes out |
| BB% | Percentage of batters that a pitcher walks |
| O-wOBA | The opposing team’s wOBA (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher |
| O-K% | The opposing team’s strikeout rate (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher |
| T-Total | The number of runs a team is projected to score |
| T-wOBA | A team’s wOBA (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |
| T-ISO | A team’s ISO (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |
MLB Schedule & Lines
| Road Team | Home Team | A-Pitcher | H-Pitcher | Ballpark | Vegas Line | Run Total | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | at | New York Yankees | Kevin Gausman – R | CC Sabathia – L | Yankee Stadium | NYY -110 | 9.5 | 4:00 AM |
| Minnesota Twins | at | Toronto Blue Jays | Kyle Gibson – R | R.A. Dickey – R | Rogers Centre | TOR -192 | 9.5 | 1:07 PM |
| LA Angels of Anaheim | at | Detroit Tigers | Tyler Skaggs – L | Anibal Sanchez – R | Comerica Park | DET -160 | 9.5 | 1:08 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | at | New York Mets | Vince Velasquez – R | Robert Gsellman – R | Citi Field | NYM -128 | 8.5 | 1:10 PM |
| San Diego Padres | at | Miami Marlins | Luis Perdomo – R | Andrew Cashner – R | Marlins Park | MIA -162 | 8.5 | 1:10 PM |
| Colorado Rockies | at | Washington Nationals | Chad Bettis – R | Lucas Giolito – R | Nationals Park | WAS -150 | 9.0 | 1:35 PM |
| Kansas City Royals | at | Boston Red Sox | Yordano Ventura – R | Eduardo Rodriguez – L | Fenway Park | BOS -145 | 9.0 | 1:35 PM |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | at | Milwaukee Brewers | Ivan Nova – R | Chase Anderson – R | Miller Park | PIT -120 | 9.0 | 2:10 PM |
| Seattle Mariners | at | Chicago White Sox | Taijuan Walker – R | Carlos Rodon – L | U.S. Cellular Field | CWS -124 | 9.0 | 2:10 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | at | Houston Astros | Chris Archer – R | Doug Fister – R | Minute Maid Park | HOU -122 | 8.0 | 2:10 PM |
| Oakland Athletics | at | St. Louis Cardinals | Andrew Triggs – R | Jaime Garcia – L | Busch Stadium | STL -180 | 8.0 | 2:15 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | at | Texas Rangers | Danny Salazar – R | Derek Holland – L | Rangers Ballpark | TEX -105 | 9.5 | 3:05 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | at | San Francisco Giants | Aaron Blair – R | Madison Bumgarner – L | AT&T Park | SF -300 | 7.5 | 4:05 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | at | Los Angeles Dodgers | Jon Lester – L | Brock Stewart – R | Dodger Stadium | CHC -153 | 8.5 | 4:10 PM |
| Cincinnati Reds | at | Arizona Diamondbacks | Homer Bailey – R | Archie Bradley – R | Chase Field | ARI -105 | 9.5 | 4:10 PM |
Pitcher Breakdown
| Pitcher | Team | FD Salary | DK Salary | SIERA (15-16) | K% (15-16) | BB% (15-16) | Opp. | Line | O-wOBA | O-K% | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bumgarner | SF | $10,800 | $12,800 | 3.18 | 27.3% | 5.4% | ATL | -300 | 0.285 | 20.6% | 4:05 PM |
| Jon Lester | CHC | $10,600 | $11,500 | 3.39 | 25.0% | 6.2% | at LAD | -153 | 0.291 | 21.0% | 4:10 PM |
| Chris Archer | TB | $9,400 | $9,900 | 3.28 | 28.5% | 8.0% | at HOU | 122 | 0.316 | 23.8% | 2:10 PM |
| Jaime Garcia | STL | $7,900 | $7,300 | 3.73 | 19.2% | 6.8% | OAK | -180 | 0.302 | 18.6% | 2:15 PM |
| Vince Velasquez | PHI | $7,800 | $8,200 | 3.73 | 26.6% | 8.9% | at NYM | 128 | 0.304 | 22.1% | 1:10 PM |
| Carlos Rodon | CWS | $8,200 | $8,900 | 4.13 | 22.5% | 9.7% | SEA | -124 | 0.319 | 21.2% | 2:10 PM |
| Anibal Sanchez | DET | $6,600 | $5,500 | 4.23 | 20.7% | 8.0% | LAA | -160 | 0.311 | 15.8% | 1:08 PM |
| CC Sabathia | NYY | $7,300 | $8,000 | 4.24 | 19.2% | 7.7% | BAL | -110 | 0.294 | 21.9% | 4:00 AM |
| Andrew Cashner | MIA | $5,900 | $6,100 | 4.25 | 19.6% | 8.5% | SD | -162 | 0.292 | 24.6% | 1:10 PM |
| Homer Bailey | CIN | $7,100 | $8,300 | 4.14 | 19.5% | 7.1% | at ARI | 105 | 0.313 | 22.9% | 4:10 PM |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | BOS | $7,200 | $6,400 | 4.30 | 19.4% | 7.5% | KC | -145 | 0.326 | 18.8% | 1:35 PM |
| Danny Salazar | CLE | $9,000 | $7,500 | 3.65 | 26.0% | 8.6% | at TEX | 105 | 0.320 | 19.9% | 3:05 PM |
| Ivan Nova | PIT | $7,000 | $8,000 | 4.23 | 16.7% | 6.3% | at MIL | -120 | 0.310 | 25.4% | 2:10 PM |
| Kevin Gausman | BAL | $8,400 | $8,700 | 3.80 | 22.6% | 6.5% | at NYY | 110 | 0.309 | 19.9% | 4:00 AM |
| Lucas Giolito | WAS | $6,700 | $6,400 | 7.01 | 9.4% | 17.0% | COL | -150 | 0.340 | 20.5% | 1:35 PM |
| Andrew Triggs | OAK | $5,800 | $4,000 | 3.44 | 21.8% | 6.2% | at STL | 180 | 0.338 | 20.7% | 2:15 PM |
| Yordano Ventura | KC | $8,500 | $7,200 | 4.11 | 20.5% | 8.8% | at BOS | 145 | 0.350 | 18.0% | 1:35 PM |
| Doug Fister | HOU | $7,500 | $8,400 | 4.68 | 15.1% | 6.8% | TB | -122 | 0.317 | 23.8% | 2:10 PM |
| Chase Anderson | MIL | $6,300 | $5,300 | 4.45 | 18.1% | 7.3% | PIT | 120 | 0.311 | 21.0% | 2:10 PM |
| Luis Perdomo | SD | $6,400 | $5,100 | 4.14 | 16.5% | 7.9% | at MIA | 162 | 0.316 | 19.0% | 1:10 PM |
| Taijuan Walker | SEA | $6,900 | $5,800 | 3.82 | 21.8% | 5.7% | at CWS | 124 | 0.307 | 20.7% | 2:10 PM |
| R.A. Dickey | TOR | $7,200 | $6,600 | 4.80 | 15.4% | 7.7% | MIN | -192 | 0.316 | 21.6% | 1:07 PM |
| Archie Bradley | ARI | $6,100 | $5,200 | 4.77 | 19.5% | 11.9% | CIN | -105 | 0.311 | 21.4% | 4:10 PM |
| Tyler Skaggs | LAA | $6,300 | $7,700 | 4.56 | 21.0% | 10.1% | at DET | 160 | 0.324 | 20.7% | 1:08 PM |
| Derek Holland | TEX | $6,700 | $4,400 | 4.89 | 15.3% | 7.4% | CLE | -105 | 0.325 | 21.3% | 3:05 PM |
| Robert Gsellman | NYM | $5,500 | $4,900 | 6.65 | 12.5% | 18.8% | PHI | -128 | 0.300 | 21.8% | 1:10 PM |
| Chad Bettis | COL | $6,800 | $4,000 | 4.28 | 17.9% | 7.9% | at WAS | 150 | 0.321 | 19.3% | 1:35 PM |
| Kyle Gibson | MIN | $6,600 | $5,600 | 4.32 | 17.1% | 8.1% | at TOR | 192 | 0.327 | 23.1% | 1:07 PM |
| Brock Stewart | LAD | $5,500 | $4,000 | 5.09 | 16.4% | 11.5% | CHC | 153 | 0.331 | 21.8% | 4:10 PM |
| Aaron Blair | ATL | $5,200 | $4,000 | 5.97 | 12.2% | 12.2% | at SF | 300 | 0.316 | 17.5% | 4:05 PM |
Team Run Totals
| Team | Opposing Pitcher | Handedness | Ballpark | T-Total | P vs. LHB | P vs. RHB | T-wOBA | T-ISO | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | Kyle Gibson | RIGHT | Rogers Centre | 5.28 | 0.337 | 0.301 | 0.327 | 0.191 | 1:07 PM |
| Detroit Tigers | Tyler Skaggs | LEFT | Comerica Park | 5.10 | 0.320 | 0.359 | 0.324 | 0.168 | 1:08 PM |
| San Francisco Giants | Aaron Blair | RIGHT | AT&T Park | 4.90 | 0.407 | 0.354 | 0.316 | 0.139 | 4:05 PM |
| New York Yankees | Kevin Gausman | RIGHT | Yankee Stadium | 4.81 | 0.284 | 0.362 | 0.309 | 0.159 | 4:00 AM |
| Washington Nationals | Chad Bettis | RIGHT | Nationals Park | 4.79 | 0.331 | 0.350 | 0.321 | 0.168 | 1:35 PM |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | Homer Bailey | RIGHT | Chase Field | 4.78 | 0.460 | 0.297 | 0.313 | 0.159 | 4:10 PM |
| Texas Rangers | Danny Salazar | RIGHT | Rangers Ballpark | 4.78 | 0.297 | 0.296 | 0.320 | 0.169 | 3:05 PM |
| Boston Red Sox | Yordano Ventura | RIGHT | Fenway Park | 4.76 | 0.317 | 0.301 | 0.350 | 0.188 | 1:35 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | Derek Holland | LEFT | Rangers Ballpark | 4.72 | 0.279 | 0.349 | 0.325 | 0.154 | 3:05 PM |
| Cincinnati Reds | Archie Bradley | RIGHT | Chase Field | 4.72 | 0.372 | 0.311 | 0.311 | 0.157 | 4:10 PM |
| Baltimore Orioles | CC Sabathia | LEFT | Yankee Stadium | 4.69 | 0.263 | 0.346 | 0.294 | 0.151 | 4:00 AM |
| Chicago White Sox | Taijuan Walker | RIGHT | U.S. Cellular Field | 4.64 | 0.307 | 0.323 | 0.307 | 0.148 | 2:10 PM |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Chase Anderson | RIGHT | Miller Park | 4.62 | 0.311 | 0.362 | 0.311 | 0.139 | 2:10 PM |
| Miami Marlins | Luis Perdomo | RIGHT | Marlins Park | 4.61 | 0.366 | 0.375 | 0.316 | 0.135 | 1:10 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | Brock Stewart | RIGHT | Dodger Stadium | 4.56 | 0.452 | 0.469 | 0.331 | 0.170 | 4:10 PM |
| St. Louis Cardinals | Andrew Triggs | RIGHT | Busch Stadium | 4.46 | 0.305 | 0.313 | 0.338 | 0.201 | 2:15 PM |
| New York Mets | Vince Velasquez | RIGHT | Citi Field | 4.42 | 0.330 | 0.325 | 0.304 | 0.166 | 1:10 PM |
| LA Angels of Anaheim | Anibal Sanchez | RIGHT | Comerica Park | 4.40 | 0.319 | 0.366 | 0.311 | 0.139 | 1:08 PM |
| Milwaukee Brewers | Ivan Nova | RIGHT | Miller Park | 4.38 | 0.372 | 0.317 | 0.310 | 0.154 | 2:10 PM |
| Seattle Mariners | Carlos Rodon | LEFT | U.S. Cellular Field | 4.36 | 0.247 | 0.350 | 0.319 | 0.173 | 2:10 PM |
| Kansas City Royals | Eduardo Rodriguez | LEFT | Fenway Park | 4.24 | 0.346 | 0.310 | 0.326 | 0.162 | 1:35 PM |
| Minnesota Twins | R.A. Dickey | RIGHT | Rogers Centre | 4.22 | 0.313 | 0.327 | 0.316 | 0.166 | 1:07 PM |
| Colorado Rockies | Lucas Giolito | RIGHT | Nationals Park | 4.21 | 0.379 | 0.379 | 0.340 | 0.187 | 1:35 PM |
| Houston Astros | Chris Archer | RIGHT | Minute Maid Park | 4.13 | 0.281 | 0.296 | 0.316 | 0.166 | 2:10 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | Robert Gsellman | RIGHT | Citi Field | 4.08 | 0.345 | 0.294 | 0.300 | 0.161 | 1:10 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Jon Lester | LEFT | Dodger Stadium | 3.94 | 0.278 | 0.285 | 0.291 | 0.133 | 4:10 PM |
| San Diego Padres | Andrew Cashner | RIGHT | Marlins Park | 3.89 | 0.373 | 0.311 | 0.292 | 0.153 | 1:10 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | Doug Fister | RIGHT | Minute Maid Park | 3.87 | 0.348 | 0.295 | 0.317 | 0.192 | 2:10 PM |
| Oakland Athletics | Jaime Garcia | LEFT | Busch Stadium | 3.54 | 0.291 | 0.291 | 0.302 | 0.153 | 2:15 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | Madison Bumgarner | LEFT | AT&T Park | 2.60 | 0.239 | 0.273 | 0.285 | 0.102 | 4:05 PM |