MLB Grind Down: Friday, August 14th - Page Two
Arizona at Atlanta – 7:35 PM EST
| Arizona | Atlanta | ||||||||
 | Robbie Ray |  | Julio Teheran | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ARI (-128) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.278 | 0.743 | 0.32 | 0.21 | SP vs. Left | 0.257 | 0.747 | 0.327 | 0.179 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.264 | 0 | 0.346 | 0.193 | SP vs. Right | 0.225 | 0.633 | 0.28 | 0.232 |
| Batter Splits | ARI BvP | ARI vs R | Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Robbie Ray : FD: $7,000 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 106.1 — SIERA: 4.02 — ERA: 4.49 — K%: 19.7% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.2 — SIERA: 3.17 — ERA: 4.88 — K%: 27.1% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.3
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.281 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 16.4% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: Ray has pitched well recently, posting a 3.17 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27.1% over the last month of play. He draws a nice matchup tonight against the Braves and he gets to face them in the pitcher-friendly Turner Field. On the season, Atlanta is ranked 28th in team wOBA and 15th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. Ray may be a little too volatile to target in cash games, but he makes a fine contrarian play for tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 65.2
Julio Teheran : FD: $8,100 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 359.0 — SIERA: 3.86 — ERA: 3.53 — K%: 20.5% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.63 — ERA: 4.60 — K%: 23.6% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.350 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 7)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Guess who pitches well at home? In his career, Teheran has a 3.51 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.3% at Turner Field. Everyone will likely be off of him tonight because he has to face a red-hot Diamondbacks’ offense, but I like his chances to quiet this lineup. Arizona strikes out at a high rate and Teheran’s price is discounted thanks to his struggles on the road. I like Teheran as a tournament play and even as a borderline SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating: 63.4
Batter Grind Down
Arizona
The Diamondbacks are small favorites tonight, but again, Julio Teheran has pitched well at home throughout his career. Teheran has given up a .327 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons, though, which puts Jake Lamb and Ender Inciarte in play as viable punt options tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Jake Lamb : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 197 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 89 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 121
Ender Inciarte : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 265 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.123 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.126 — wRC+: 108
Atlanta
I have been avoiding the Braves offense for weeks now and a matchup against Robbie Ray is not going to change that. Ray has pitched well recently and the Braves are one of the worst hitting teams against left-handed pitching. Adonis Garcia is a viable punt play in the outfield, but the rest of the Braves can be avoided tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Adonis Garcia : FD: $2,600 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 3B/OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 11 — wOBA: 0.460 — ISO: 0.545 — wRC+: 199
Last 30 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.267 — wRC+: 102
Tampa Bay at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Texas | ||||||||
 | Nate Karns |  | Martin Perez | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TEX (-110) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.241 | 0.675 | 0.302 | 0.267 | SP vs. Left | 0.23 | 0.619 | 0.278 | 0.253 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.208 | 0.685 | 0.298 | 0.195 | SP vs. Right | 0.292 | 0.777 | 0.341 | 0.128 |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs L | Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Nate Karns : FD: $7,900 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 137.1 — SIERA: 3.72 — ERA: 3.60 — K%: 23.3% — BB%: 8.4% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.1 — SIERA: 3.42 — ERA: 2.95 — K%: 25.6% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.7
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.338 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Karns comes into tonight’s start in great form, posting a 3.42 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.6% over the last month of play. He draws a difficult matchup against the Rangers though, and he has to face them in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park. This game has a high run total and both offenses are expected to fare well in this one. Karns can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 63.6
Martin Perez : FD: $5,900 — DK: $4,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 77.2 — SIERA: 4.02 — ERA: 4.87 — K%: 15.9% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 0.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.1 — SIERA: 3.87 — ERA: 5.81 — K%: 14.0% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 0.0
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.366 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 10)
Pitchers per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Perezy is an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy. He has a low strikeout rate and he is pitching in a hitter’s park against a Rays’ offense that is ranked fifth in team wOBA against left-handed pitching. There is more risk than potential reward with Perez tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 51.3
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
The Rays have the highest team wOBA over the last 14 days and they are one of the best offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching. They draw a favorable matchup against Martin Perez, who has given up a .341 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. There is a lot of value in this Rays’ lineup tonight.
Elite Plays:
Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 129 — wOBA: 0.407 — ISO: 0.324 — wRC+: 168
Last 30 Days: PA: 88 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 151
Evan Longoria : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 157
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 140
Secondary Plays:
Asdrubal Cabrera : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 92
Last 30 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.530 — ISO: 0.279 — wRC+: 254
Brandon Guyer : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 142 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 125
Texas
The Rangers may not have a great matchup against Nate Karns, but they do get to face him at home. They have a high team total and they have plenty of left-handed bats to throw at Karns. Mitch Moreland hit his 17th home run of the season yesterday. He is an elite play at his price point, while the other lefties are better secondary options.
Elite Plays:
Mitch Moreland : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 238 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.257 — wRC+: 148
Last 30 Days: PA: 73 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 110
Secondary Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 289 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 156
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 97
Shin-Soo Choo : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 270 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 72 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.279 — wRC+: 165
Cleveland at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Cleveland | Minnesota | ||||||||
 | Corey Kluber |  | Trevor May | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CLE (-152) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.254 | 0.706 | 0.311 | 0.265 | SP vs. Left | 0.291 | 0.783 | 0.342 | 0.196 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.211 | 0.54 | 0.238 | 0.293 | SP vs. Right | 0.291 | 0 | 0.354 | 0.219 |
| Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Corey Kluber : FD: $12,000 — DK: $10,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 407.1 — SIERA: 2.73 — ERA: 2.87 — K%: 27.8% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 46.1 — SIERA: 3.56 — ERA: 3.50 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 3.9% — HR/9: 0.6
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 27)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 16)
Analysis: Kluber is coming off of a complete game against this same Twins’ offense. He struck out ten batters in that start, while only giving up a single run. The game was played in Cleveland, but he should have plenty of confidence heading into tonight’s start. Kluber has as much upside as any pitcher on the mound tonight, as the Twins have the eighth-highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. He is too cheap on DraftKings and should be a lock in your cash games.
Pitcher Rating: 96.1
Trevor May : FD: $6,000 — DK: $5,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 140.1 — SIERA: 3.81 — ERA: 5.32 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 12.1 — SIERA: 2.75 — ERA: 2.92 — K%: 24.5% — BB%: 3.8% — HR/9: 0.7
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: May is one of those pitchers whose ERA has never caught up with his SIERA. The difference suggests some positive regression is going to come his way, but we haven’t really seen it yet. He has good strikeout potential, but a bad matchup against the Indians, who are ranked 13th in team wOBA and sixth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. May is a deep tournament play at best tonight at home.
Pitcher Rating: 61.5
Batter Grind Down
Cleveland
The Indians draw a favorable matchup tonight against Trevor May, who has given up a .342+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. I’m not going to go overboard with the Indians tonight, but Michael Brantley and Francisco Lindor are both on my radar.
Elite Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 266 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.448 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 194
Secondary Plays:
Francisco Lindor : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 141 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.126 — wRC+: 90
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 121
Minnesota
The Twins draw one of the worst matchups on the board, as they square off against Corey Kluber. They struggled to get anything going against him the other night and will likely be in for a similar type of outing tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Philadelphia at Milwaukee – 8:10 PM EST
| Philadelphia | Milwaukee | ||||||||
 | Adam Morgan |  | Wily Peralta | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIL (-157) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.216 | 0.626 | 0.278 | 0.122 | SP vs. Left | 0.295 | 0.832 | 0.362 | 0.17 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.294 | 0.854 | 0.371 | 0.134 | SP vs. Right | 0.236 | 0.654 | 0.295 | 0.174 |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Adam Morgan : FD: $5,600 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 44.1 — SIERA: 5.20 — ERA: 4.06 — K%: 13.2% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.2 — SIERA: 5.57 — ERA: 3.90 — K%: 11.0% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 0.7
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.280 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.286 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Morgan has not fared well in his short stint in the majors, posting a 5.20 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 13.2%. While the Brewers are one of the worst offenses against left-handed pitching, that’s not enough to overcome the fact that he is still Adam Morgan. He can safely be avoided tonight in the hitter-friendly Miller Park.
Pitcher Rating: 37.3
Wily Peralta : FD: $6,300 — DK: $5,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 269.0 — SIERA: 3.90 — ERA: 3.78 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 16.1 — SIERA: 5.38 — ERA: 6.06 — K%: 9.9% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 1.1
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.330 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 24)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: Peralta has not been sharp recently, posting a 5.38 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 9.9%. We typically like to avoid pitchers in bad form, especially when they are facing a team that doesn’t strikeout very often. The Phillies have been much better offensively over the last two weeks, as they are ranked eighth in team wOBA. Peralta is not the worst play on DraftKings ($5,000), but in anything other than a tournament.
Pitcher Rating: 64.1
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies draw a favorable matchup against Wily Peralta, who has not pitched well recently. Since the start of the 2014 season, Peralta has given up a .362 wOBA. He also has a bad habit of giving up too many home runs, which bodes well for the Phillies in the hitter-friendly Miller Park.
Elite Plays:
Cesar Hernandez : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 231 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 97
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.111 — wRC+: 113
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Howard : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 312 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 123
Last 30 Days: PA: 90 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 129
Odubel Herrera : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 2B/OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 272 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.144 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 74 — wOBA: 0.410 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 165
Milwaukee
The Brewers may not have the best team numbers against left-handed pitching this season, but I am expecting big things from them tonight. They draw a favorable matchup against Adam Morgan and they get to face him at home. All of the right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play tonight.
Elite Plays:
Ryan Braun : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 156
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 124
Jonathan Lucroy : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.225 — ISO: 0.093 — wRC+: 33
Last 30 Days: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 83
Secondary Plays:
Khris Davis : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.241 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 44
Last 30 Days: PA: 77 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 106
Jean Segura : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 83 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 83
Last 30 Days: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.213 — ISO: 0.034 — wRC+: 25
LA Angels at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| LA Angels | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | Jered Weaver |  | Danny Duffy | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-130) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.257 | 0.736 | 0.324 | 0.183 | SP vs. Left | 0.184 | 0.474 | 0.22 | 0.177 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.233 | 0.669 | 0.295 | 0.157 | SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.721 | 0.318 | 0.167 |
| Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs L | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jered Weaver : FD: $7,400 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 315.0 — SIERA: 4.30 — ERA: 3.94 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 0.97 — ERA: 3.60 — K%: 36.8% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 0.0
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 15.9% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 14.6% (Rank: 1)
Pitchers per PA: 3.67 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Weaver is making his second start back from injury. While he did look sharp in his last outing, I want to see a few starts from him before targeting him in daily fantasy. His strikeout rate has declined this season and he is facing a Royals’ offense that is the toughest to strikeout in the majors. There is more risk than potential reward with Weaver tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 56.0
Danny Duffy : FD: $6,600 — DK: $5,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 241.2 — SIERA: 4.60 — ERA: 3.17 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 9.1% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 5.24 — ERA: 3.26 — K%: 12.3% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 1.2
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.249 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Duffy is an anomaly. His entire career, we have been waiting for regression to set in, but it appears that we may be waiting forever. Even with 241 innings over the last two seasons, he still has a full run and a half difference between his ERA and his SIERA. While he does get to pitch at home tonight, his strikeout potential is limited. He’s not a high-strikeout pitcher to begin with and the Angels have the sixth-lowest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 50.7
Batter Grind Down
LA Angels
The Angels draw a decent matchup tonight against Danny Duffy, who has given up a .318 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. I hesitate to list the Angels as elite plays though, as they are playing in the pitcher-friendly Kaufmann Stadium.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.427 — ISO: 0.312 — wRC+: 183
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.411 — ISO: 0.309 — wRC+: 172
Albert Pujols : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.283 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 83
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 100
Shane Victorino : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.228 — ISO: 0.050 — wRC+: 39
Kansas City
The Royals draw an intriguing matchup tonight against Jered Weaver, who is only making his second start back from injury. Not only is rust a potential issue, but Weaver’s strikeout numbers are down this season. The left-handed bats have the edge in this matchup, but I also like the red-hot Lorenzo Cain, who has a .373 wOBA over the last month of play.
Elite Plays:
Eric Hosmer : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 274 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 154
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.458 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 199
Mike Moustakas : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 265 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.275 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 72
Secondary Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 273 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 140
Kendrys Morales : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 272 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.214 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 148