MLB Grind Down: Friday, July 10th - Page Three
Toronto at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| Toronto | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | Marco Estrada |  | Danny Duffy | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-113) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.223 | 0.695 | 0.306 | 0.188 | SP vs. Left | 0.19 | 0.489 | 0.226 | 0.174 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.235 | 0.742 | 0.325 | 0.216 | SP vs. Right | 0.243 | 0.721 | 0.319 | 0.182 |
| Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs L | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Marco Estrada : FD: $7,900 — DK: $6,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 231.0 — SIERA: 3.97 — K%: 20.3% — BB%: 7.5% — FB Rate: 48.4% — HR/FB: 11.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 4.16 — K%: 20.6% — BB%: 8.5% — FB Rate: 50.0% — HR/FB: 8.0%
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 16.2% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 17.7% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.66 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Estrada sees a ballpark boost tonight playing in the massive Kaufmann Stadium, but that’s about all that he has in his favor tonight. He is an extreme fly-ball pitcher with an above-average HR/FB rate and he draws a bad matchup against the Royals, who are ranked seventh in wOBA (.321) and first in strikeout rate (16.2%) against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating:55.0
Danny Duffy : FD: $6,800 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 205.1 — SIERA: 4.42 — K%: 18.0% — BB%: 9.0% — FB Rate: 43.1% — HR/FB: 6.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 17.2 — SIERA: 4.56 — K%: 15.3% — BB%: 6.9% — FB Rate: 37.0% — HR/FB: 10.0%
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.365 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 16.5% (Rank: 3)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Duffy is one of those pitchers that you never really target, but you never really take a lot of hitters against him either. He is an easy pitcher to avoid tonight, as he squares off against the Blue Jays, who basically lead every offensive category against left-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating:36.4
Batter Grind Down
Toronto
The Blue Jays are going to be very popular tonight, as they are the best offense in baseball against left-handed pitching. I will likely have limited exposure to them in cash games though, as they are very expensive and they are playing in a very tough park to hit home runs in. I’m on board for tournaments, but will be avoiding the Blue Jays in cash games.
Elite Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $5,100 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 257 — wOBA: 0.433 — ISO: 0.345 — wRC+: 184
Last 14 Days: PA: 63 — wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.271 — wRC+: 155
Secondary Plays:
Jose Reyes : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 247 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.101 — wRC+: 85
Last 14 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.281 — ISO: 0.088 — wRC+: 74
Chris Colabello : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 129 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 101
Kansas City
The Royals’ offense is starting to put up runs in bunches again, which is bad news for whichever opposing pitcher they are facing that night. Tonight’s unlucky victim is Marco Estrada, who has given up a .325 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 560 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.109 — wRC+: 104
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.543 — ISO: 0.341 — wRC+: 258
Alcides Escobar : FD: $2,500 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 691 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.084 — wRC+: 89
Last 14 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.036 — wRC+: 94
Secondary Plays:
Eric Hosmer : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 590 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.142 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.248 — ISO: 0.045 — wRC+: 53
Salvador Perez : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 662 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 101
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.264 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 64
Atlanta at Colorado – 8:10 PM EST
| Atlanta | Colorado | ||||||||
 | Shelby Miller |  | David Hale | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ATL (-121) | 10 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.243 | 0.7 | 0.307 | 0.167 | SP vs. Left | 0.292 | 0.831 | 0.359 | 0.129 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.208 | 0.617 | 0.276 | 0.189 | SP vs. Right | 0.255 | 0.717 | 0.311 | 0.142 |
| Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs R | Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Rockies pitcher: TBD
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
The Braves’ offense was fairly quiet in last night’s loss to the Rockies, but they should bounce back nicely tonight in Coors Field. As of right now, the Rockies have yet to decide on who will start tonight’s game. If anything, it will likely be a bullpen start, so the Braves could end up seeing a number of different pitchers. Regardless of who starts, hitters from both sides of the plate are in play.
Elite Plays:
Jace Peterson : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 308 — wOBA: 0.286 — ISO: 0.097 — wRC+: 81
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.260 — ISO: 0.100 — wRC+: 62
Nick Markakis : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 772 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.082 — wRC+: 88
Secondary Plays:
Cameron Maybin : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 405 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 150
Kelly Johnson : FD: $3,600 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 403 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 95
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 121
A.J. Pierzynski : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 450 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 101
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.440 — ISO: 0.275 — wRC+: 186
Colorado
The Rockies’ matchup against Shelby Miller may not appear favorable on paper, but this is Coors Field that we are talking about. The Rockies are great against right-handed pitching and they are great at home.
Elite Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 751 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 115
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 92
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 420 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.220 — wRC+: 102
Last 14 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 130
Ben Paulsen : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 183 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.291 — ISO: 0.033 — wRC+: 67
Secondary Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $5,100 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 597 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.259 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.409 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 148
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 505 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.178 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 115
LA Angels at Seattle – 10:10 PM EST
| LA Angels | Seattle | ||||||||
 | Hector Santiago |  | Mike Montgomery | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SEA (-115) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.200 | 0.522 | 0.238 | 0.197 | SP vs. Left | 0.214 | 0.664 | 0.292 | 0.217 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.238 | 0.727 | 0.32 | 0.211 | SP vs. Right | 0.184 | 0.48 | 0.221 | 0.143 |
| Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs L | Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Hector Santiago : FD: $7,600 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 228.2 — SIERA: 4.24 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 9.1% — FB Rate: 51.0% — HR/FB: 8.4%
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 3.75 — K%: 23.1% — BB%: 5.8% — FB Rate: 56.5% — HR/FB: 10.4%
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 14)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Santiago may have a below-average HR/FB rate, but when you have a fly-ball rate over 50%, you are going to give up a lot of home runs. I’m not a big fan of targeting pitchers that struggle to keep it in the park. Santiago should be avoided tonight against the Mariners, whose offense has been better in recent weeks.
Pitcher Rating:57.3
Michael Montgomery : FD: $7,800 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 50.0 — SIERA: 4.28 — K%: 16.1% — BB%: 6.7% — FB Rate: 34.7% — HR/FB: 3.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 4.14 — K%: 16.8% — BB%: 7.0% — FB Rate: 30.8% — HR/FB: 3.0%
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.365 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 4)
Pitchers per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Montgomery is having a decent rookie season for the Mariners, posting a 4.28 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.1%. He is a small favorite tonight, but he is not a recommended fantasy option. The Angels’ offense has been terrific over the last two weeks. I’d rather target Mike Bolsinger at this price point.
Pitcher Rating:58.2
Batter Grind Down
LA Angels
The Angels draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Michael Montgomery. He has held left and right-handed hitters in check this season, but the sample size is still small. Mike Trout and Albert Pujols are secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $5,600 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 256 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 167
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.533 — ISO: 0.452 — wRC+: 258
Albert Pujols : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 241 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 100
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 107
Seattle
The Mariners are in a good spot tonight at home against Hector Santiago, who as mentioned above, gives up a lot of home runs. Santiago has given up a .328 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Nelson Cruz is one of my favorite hitters at any position tonight.
Elite Plays:
Nelson Cruz : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 229 — wOBA: 0.449 — ISO: 0.320 — wRC+: 194
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 156
Secondary Plays:
Mark Trumbo : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 163 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 120
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.097 — wRC+: 131
Milwaukee at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST
| Milwaukee | LA Dodgers | ||||||||
 | Jimmy Nelson |  | Mike Bolsinger | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-163) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.286 | 0.852 | 0.368 | 0.165 | SP vs. Left | 0.314 | 0.82 | 0.358 | 0.186 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.253 | 0.688 | 0.307 | 0.21 | SP vs. Right | 0.240 | 0.693 | 0.305 | 0.240 |
| Batter Splits | MIL vs R | Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jimmy Nelson : FD: $6,900 — DK: $7,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 171.1 — SIERA: 3.89 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 7.4% — FB Rate: 31.3% — HR/FB: 11.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.2 — SIERA: 4.33 — K%: 15.2% — BB%: 7.3% — FB Rate: 30.7% — HR/FB: 14.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.339 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Nelson has not been sharp in his recent starts, posting a 4.33 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 15.2%. His struggles will likely continue tonight against the Dodgers, who are ranked first in wOBA (.339) against right-handed pitching and seventh in wOBA (.324) over the last 14 days.
Pitcher Rating:47.8
Mike Bolsinger : FD: $6,300 — DK: $6,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 119.1 — SIERA: 3.46 — K%: 21.6% — BB%: 8.0% — FB Rate: 25.7% — HR/FB: 11.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 3.08 — K%: 26.3% — BB%: 9.0% — FB Rate: 22.6% — HR/FB: 5.3%
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.365 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 16.2% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Bolsinger is by far my favorite value pitcher tonight. He has been pitching well recently with a 3.08 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 26.3% over the last month of play. He is a large favorite tonight at home against a Brewers’ offense that is ranked below the major league average in both wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. For just over $6,000, I’ll take my chances with Bolsinger tonight.
Pitcher Rating:75.5
Batter Grind Down
Milwaukee
While I don’t love the Brewers’ offense tonight, the left-handed hitters in this lineup are in play. Since the start of the 2014 season, Mike Bolsinger has given up a .358 wOBA to hitters from the left side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
Gerardo Parra : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 702 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 105
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.503 — ISO: 0.313 — wRC+: 226
Secondary Plays:
Adam Lind : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 546 — wOBA: 0.409 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 162
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.490 — ISO: 0.356 — wRC+: 217
Scooter Gennett : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 567 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 111
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 122
LA Dodgers
The Dodgers seem to draw a favorable matchup every single night. That’s the case again on Friday, as they take on Jimmy Nelson at home. Nelson has given up a .368 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Load up on the left-handed bats in the Dodgers’ lineup tonight.
Elite Plays:
Adrian Gonzalez : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 756 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 153
Last 14 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 143
Andre Ethier : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 561 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 120
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.468 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 208
Secondary Plays:
Yasmani Grandal : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 562 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.237 — wRC+: 141
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.530 — ISO: 0.452 — wRC+: 251
Joc Pederson : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 312 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 146
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.212 — ISO: 0.104 — wRC+: 32
Philadelphia at San Francisco – 10:15 PM EST
| Philadelphia | San Francisco | ||||||||
 | Cole Hamels |  | Madison Bumgarner | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-154) | 6 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.194 | 0.578 | 0.268 | 0.217 | SP vs. Left | 0.219 | 0.563 | 0.251 | 0.309 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.652 | 0.288 | 0.252 | SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.675 | 0.296 | 0.236 |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs L | Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Cole Hamels : FD: $9,800 — DK: $10,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 318.0 — SIERA: 3.26 — K%: 24.4% — BB%: 7.3% — FB Rate: 30.9% — HR/FB: 9.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 2.65 — K%: 25.7% — BB%: 5.2% — FB Rate: 20.5% — HR/FB: 5.6%
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: This should be a fun game to watch. It’s a battle between two of the best pitchers in baseball. Hamels has been dominant over the last month, posting a 2.65 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.7%. He is not a great cash game play tonight, given his matchup and the fact that he is a sizable underdog, but he makes a terrific tournament play. He has as much upside as any pitcher on the board and he will likely have a very low ownership level.
Pitcher Rating:75.9
Madison Bumgarner : FD: $11,900 — DK: $11,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 330.2 — SIERA: 3.02 — K%: 25.1% — BB%: 4.8% — FB Rate: 36.0% — HR/FB: 10.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.0 — SIERA: 2.62 — K%: 30.0% — BB%: 5.7% — FB Rate: 31.0% — HR/FB: 11.1%
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 16)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Bumgarner will be the chalk play in cash games tonight. He has been terrific over the last month of play, posting a 2.62 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 30.0%. The one issue that he could run into is run support. Even if he holds the Phillies scoreless, a win is not guaranteed with Cole Hamels pitching opposite him. For that reason, I will take a hard look at Gerrit Cole as my number one option on single pitcher sites. That said, fading the best pitcher on the board against the Phillies is a scary proposition in cash games.
Pitcher Rating:93.3
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies are, well, the Phillies. You know the drill.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
San Francisco
This game has the lowest run total on the board tonight. It is expected to be a pitcher’s duel. With games in Fenway, Coors, and Globe Life Park, there is no reason to target any Giants’ hitters.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE