MLB Grind Down: Monday, July 20th - Page Two
Pittsburgh at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| Pittsburgh | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | A.J. Burnett |  | Yordano Ventura | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-137) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.236 | 0.724 | 0.326 | 0.183 | SP vs. Left | 0.241 | 0.688 | 0.305 | 0.189 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.261 | 0.692 | 0.306 | 0.223 | SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.679 | 0.304 | 0.216 |
| Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
A.J. Burnett : FD: $8,900 — DK: $9,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 333.0 — SIERA: 3.80 — K%: 20.4% — BB%: 9.1% — FB Rate: 27.1% — HR/FB: 9.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 3.71 — K%: 17.5% — BB%: 6.0% — FB Rate: 24.3% — HR/FB: 3.7%
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 16.0% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 15.8% (Rank: 1)
Pitchers per PA: 3.66 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Burnett has had an excellent season for the Pirates, but he draws a terrible matchup tonight against the Royals, who strike out fewer than any other team in baseball. Chris Sale performance against the Royals yesterday is a perfect example of why we don’t want to target pitchers against Kansas City. They make great contact and can kill you with singles. There are better options at his price point.
Pitcher Rating:68.0
Yordano Ventura : FD: $8,200 — DK: $5,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 255.1 — SIERA: 3.87 — K%: 20.1% — BB%: 8.6% — FB Rate: 30.6% — HR/FB: 9.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 5.03 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 13.6% — FB Rate: 46.7% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Ventura is only making his second start in over a month tonight, as he takes on the Pirates at home. He does have the advantage of a big ballpark behind him, but I’d like to see a couple of quality starts before targeting him in any daily leagues. He draws a tough matchup against a surging Pirates’ offense that is ranked sixth in wOBA (.326) over the last 14 days.
Pitcher Rating:60.1
Batter Grind Down
Pittsburgh
The Pirates draw a decent matchup against Yordano Ventura, but they have to face him in the pitcher-friendly Kaufmann Stadium. This game has a low run total and the hitters in this lineup should be considered secondary fantasy options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Jung-Ho Kang : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 204 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.110 — wRC+: 107
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.442 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 189
Gregory Polanco : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 514 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 102
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 125
Kansas City
The Royals are one of the best offenses in all of baseball. Why you ask? Because they put the ball in play and give themselves a chance to reach base. Their matchup tonight against A.J. Burnett may not be ideal, but they are still in play. Eric Hosmer continues to be underpriced on FanDuel ($2,500) and he is one of the best values tonight at first base.
Elite Plays:
Eric Hosmer : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 606 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.144 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.083 — wRC+: 88
Secondary Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 578 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.561 — ISO: 0.406 — wRC+: 273
Kendrys Morales : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 471 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 93
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 104
Mike Moustakas : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 605 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 105
Last 14 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.251 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 55
Texas at Colorado – 8:40 PM EST
| Texas | Colorado | ||||||||
 | Nick Martinez |  | Chris Rusin | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| COL (-129) | 10.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.254 | 0.764 | 0.337 | 0.129 | SP vs. Left | 0.266 | 0.749 | 0.323 | 0.159 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.283 | 0.808 | 0.351 | 0.13 | SP vs. Right | 0.303 | 0.86 | 0.371 | 0.138 |
| Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs L | Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Nick Martinez : FD: $6,400 — DK: $5,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 237.1 — SIERA: 5.01 — K%: 13.0% — BB%: 8.6% — FB Rate: 41.8% — HR/FB: 8.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 18.2 — SIERA: 5.17 — K%: 10.5% — BB%: 9.3% — FB Rate: 28.8% — HR/FB: 21.1%
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.338 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 21.0% (Rank: 17)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Martinez is one of the worst starting pitchers in all of baseball. Add in a matchup against the Rockies in Coors Field and we have ourselves about a hundred red flags. I’d be surprised if the Rockies don’t score at least six or seven runs tonight.
Pitcher Rating:37.6
Chris Rusin : FD: $5,500 — DK: $4,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 67.0 — SIERA: 4.15 — K%: 14.3% — BB%: 7.3% — FB Rate: 27.4% — HR/FB: 14.3%
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.1 — SIERA: 4.13 — K%: 13.4% — BB%: 5.4% — FB Rate: 30.3% — HR/FB: 14.8%
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 22.9% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: All right class, can anyone tell me the first rule of daily fantasy baseball? Say it with me: “Thou shall not target pitchers while in the Field of Coors.” That rule applies to everyone, even you, Chris Rusin.
Pitcher Rating:53.4
Batter Grind Down
Texas
The Rangers see a major ballpark boost tonight playing in the hitter’s paradise that is Coors Field. They have one of the highest team totals on the board and they should be targeted in both cash games and tournaments. Chris Rusin has given up a .323+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters, so batters from both sides of the plate are in play here.
Elite Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 213 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 107
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 90
Delino Deshields Jr. : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 148
Adrian Beltre : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 252 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 142
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 152
Secondary Plays:
Rougned Odor : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 187 — wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.096 — wRC+: 77
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.489 — ISO: 0.387 — wRC+: 217
Elvis Andrus : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 309 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 104
Last 14 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 151
Josh Hamilton : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.210 — wRC+: 159
Last 14 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.276 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 68
Ryan Rua : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 92
Last 14 Days: PA: 3 — wOBA: 0.000 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -100
Colorado
The Rockies have the highest team total on the board tonight and for good reason. Not only are they the best hitting team against right-handed pitching, but they get to face Nick Martinez at home in Coors Field. Every hitter in the Rockies’ lineup will be in play tonight. Load up on hitters from both teams, as this game should be a shootout.
Elite Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 626 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.254 — wRC+: 117
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 108
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 779 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 117
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.469 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 188
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 529 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 126
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.300 — wRC+: 153
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 445 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.517 — ISO: 0.400 — wRC+: 222
Secondary Plays:
Nick Hundley : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 393 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 101
Last 14 Days: PA: 24 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.083 — wRC+: 116
DJ LeMahieu : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 677 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.099 — wRC+: 80
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.412 — ISO: 0.056 — wRC+: 149
Ben Paulsen : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 205 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.042 — wRC+: 76
Miami at Arizona – 9:40 PM EST
| Miami | Arizona | ||||||||
 | David Phelps |  | Rubby De La Rosa | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ARI (-141) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.233 | 0.696 | 0.311 | 0.191 | SP vs. Left | 0.302 | 0.896 | 0.387 | 0.15 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.276 | 0.747 | 0.329 | 0.159 | SP vs. Right | 0.246 | 0.692 | 0.305 | 0.235 |
| Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | Batter Splits | ARI BvP | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
David Phelps : FD: $6,100 — DK: $5,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 201.2 — SIERA: 4.21 — K%: 17.5% — BB%: 7.9% — FB Rate: 34.8% — HR/FB: 9.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 16.0 — SIERA: 4.36 — K%: 15.6% — BB%: 6.3% — FB Rate: 42.6% — HR/FB: 15.0%
Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 19)
Pitchers per PA: 3.69 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Phelps will draw the start for the Marlins tonight. He has been a serviceable starter over the last two seasons, posting a 4.21 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.5%. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Diamondbacks, who own a very potent offense. Phelps also has to face them in Chase Field, which yields more offensive production than Marlins Park. He’s an easy avoid tonight in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:52.1
Rubby De La Rosa : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 212.0 — SIERA: 3.85 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 7.0% — FB Rate: 31.7% — HR/FB: 15.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.1 — SIERA: 3.96 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 6.4% — FB Rate: 31.9% — HR/FB: 23.3%
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.292 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 18.6% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: De La Rosa has had a very nice season for the Diamondbacks. He has been in good form in his recent starts, posting a 3.96 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.6%. Even though he is playing in Chase Field, he draws a favorable matchup against the Marlins, who are ranked 27th in wOBA (.292) and 21st in strikeout rate (20.4%) against right-handed pitching this season. The price is appealing and given the matchup, he may be the top value at pitcher tonight.
Pitcher Rating:73.5
Batter Grind Down
Miami
Even though I like Rubby De La Rosa as a cheap pitching option, that doesn’t mean that we have to avoid hitters against him. Since the start of the 2014 season, De La Rosa has given up a .383 wOBA to left-handed hitters. This brings Christian Yelich, Justin Bour, and Ichiro Suzuki into play tonight.
Elite Plays:
Christian Yelich : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 714 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 124
Secondary Plays:
Justin Bour : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 250 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.193 — wRC+: 129
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.282 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 76
Ichiro Suzuki : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 471 — wOBA: 0.275 — ISO: 0.043 — wRC+: 71
Last 14 Days: PA: 23 — wOBA: 0.269 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 67
Arizona
The Diamondbacks draw a favorable matchup against David Phelps, who isn’t particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate. The issue here is how expensive Paul Goldschmidt, A.J. Pollock, and David Peralta are. All three are in play, but Ender Inciarte offers better value, especially on FanDuel ($2,800).
Elite Plays:
Ender Inciarte : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 503 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 96
Last 14 Days: PA: 6 — wOBA: 0.505 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 226
Secondary Plays:
Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 690 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.251 — wRC+: 157
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 81
David Peralta : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 496 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 136
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.506 — ISO: 0.516 — wRC+: 227
A.J. Pollock : FD: $4,000 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 524 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 121
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 131
Boston at LA Angels – 10:05 PM EST
| Boston | LA Angels | ||||||||
 | Steven Wright |  | Andrew Heaney | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAA (0) | 0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.252 | 0.711 | 0.313 | 0.181 | SP vs. Left | 0.23 | 0.557 | 0.247 | 0.234 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.242 | 0.678 | 0.298 | 0.163 | SP vs. Right | 0.243 | 0 | 0.331 | 0.166 |
| Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs L | Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Steven Wright : FD: $5,700 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 64.1 — SIERA: 3.82 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 6.3% — FB Rate: 36.3% — HR/FB: 12.3%
Last 30 Days: IP: 1.2 — SIERA: 5.99 — K%: 0.0% — BB%: 0.0% — FB Rate: 50.0% — HR/FB: 0.0%
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.372 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Wright has pitched well for the Red Sox, posting a 3.82 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.2% over the last two seasons. He has limited strikeout potential though and he has to face the hottest offense in baseball right now. The Angels are ranked first in wOBA (.372) and fifth in strikeout rate (17.0%) over the last 14 days. Wright can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:40.8
Andrew Heaney : FD: $7,000 — DK: $8,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 56.2 — SIERA: 3.68 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 4.8% — FB Rate: 35.7% — HR/FB: 13.3%
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.1 — SIERA: 3.26 — K%: 22.6% — BB%: 3.9% — FB Rate: 36.0% — HR/FB: 7.4%
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 17.2% (Rank: 7)
Pitchers per PA: 3.97 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Heaney has really pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.26 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.6%. He is one of the biggest favorites on the schedule tonight and as mentioned earlier, he is considerably cheaper than Matt Harvey. His matchup against the Red Sox may appear daunting, but as a team, they are only ranked 21st in wOBA (.296) against southpaws this season. Heaney is in play in both cash games and tournaments tonight.
Pitcher Rating:81.5
Batter Grind Down
Boston
The Red Sox draw a tough matchup against Andrew Heaney, who has really pitched well for the Angels this season. Boston has a low team total and even though their lineup has some powerful right-handed bats to throw at the left-hander, they are secondary fantasy options tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Hanley Ramirez : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 207 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 150
Last 14 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.275 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 69
LA Angels
The Angels draw an average matchup against Steven Wright, but given the way that they have been hitting the ball recently, don’t be surprised to see another offensive outburst here. Mike Trout may be the hottest hitter in baseball right now. He remains an elite play tonight, while Kole Calhoun and Albert Pujols are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 825 — wOBA: 0.408 — ISO: 0.285 — wRC+: 171
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.557 — ISO: 0.514 — wRC+: 276
Kole Calhoun : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 685 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 124
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.466 — ISO: 0.385 — wRC+: 212
Secondary Plays:
Albert Pujols : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 810 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.233 — wRC+: 138
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.221 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 40
San Francisco at San Diego – 10:10 PM EST
| San Francisco | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Tim Hudson |  | Ian Kennedy | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-107) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.283 | 0.761 | 0.334 | 0.105 | SP vs. Left | 0.236 | 0.729 | 0.317 | 0.239 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.264 | 0.699 | 0.306 | 0.18 | SP vs. Right | 0.264 | 0.772 | 0.339 | 0.231 |
| Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs R | Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tim Hudson : FD: $6,300 — DK: $5,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 281.2 — SIERA: 3.74 — K%: 14.3% — BB%: 4.8% — FB Rate: 24.2% — HR/FB: 12.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 13.0 — SIERA: 3.17 — K%: 16.1% — BB%: 5.4% — FB Rate: 18.6% — HR/FB: 37.5%
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.257 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 19)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Hudson has pitched well over the last two seasons, but his low strikeout rate really limits his upside in daily fantasy. He has struck out less than 15% of the batters that he has faced since the start of last season. He sees a positive ballpark boost playing in Petco Park, but I’d rather pay a bit more at pitcher and target Rubby De La Rosa if you are looking for value.
Pitcher Rating:69.8
Ian Kennedy : FD: $7,300 — DK: $6,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 285.1 — SIERA: 3.57 — K%: 23.5% — BB%: 8.0% — FB Rate: 38.2% — HR/FB: 11.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.1 — SIERA: 4.59 — K%: 18.7% — BB%: 8.8% — FB Rate: 52.4% — HR/FB: 18.2%
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 18.0% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 18)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Kennedy may not be in the best of form recently, but he sees a major ballpark boost tonight playing at home in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park. He draws a fairly difficult matchup against the Giants, but he has only given up two earned runs in three starts against them this season. The strikeout potential may not be great, but he could be worth a look as a contrarian tournament play.
Pitcher Rating:71.4
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
The Giants draw a difficult matchup against Ian Kennedy in the worst hitter’s park in all of baseball. This game has a very low total and it may be wise to avoid both offenses in this one. Buster Posey and Angel Pagan are decent options, but neither players stands out as a must start at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Buster Posey : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 700 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 149
Last 14 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.414 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 174
Angel Pagan : FD: $2,400 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 521 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.076 — wRC+: 97
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.296 — ISO: 0.081 — wRC+: 93
San Diego
The Padres have been one of the worst offenses in baseball all season. They draw a fairly difficult matchup against Tim Hudson, who has a SIERA under 4.00 in the last two seasons. Matt Kemp is really the only fantasy option of note here. He has been red-hot over the last two weeks, posting a .480 wOBA and a .361 ISO.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Matt Kemp : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 735 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 126
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.480 — ISO: 0.361 — wRC+: 218