MLB Grind Down: Saturday, August 1 - Page Three

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2015-08-01 18:41:56

San Diego at Miami – 7:10 PM EST

San Diego					Miami
			Odrisamer Despaigne					Jose Urena
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			MIA (0)					0
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.248	0.717	0.318	0.107	SP vs. Left	0.227	0.699	0.314	0.093
SP vs. Right	0.242	0.668	0.296	0.178	SP vs. Right	0.313	0.798	0.351	0.121
Batter Splits	SDP BvP		SD vs R		Batter Splits	MIA BvP		MIA vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Odrisamer Despaigne

Miami Marlins vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.288 (Rank: 30)
Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 17)

Despaigne simply does not have the upside needed to be a daily fantasy pitcher. He rarely pitches deep into ballgames, while holding down one of the lowest strikeout rates of the starts today at 12.6%. With the upside limited, we can avoid Despaigne today. Rating = 4

Salaries: $5,200 FD, $4,000 DK

Jose Urena

San Diego Padres vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 28)
Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 27)

Urena hasn’t pitched in over a month in the big leagues and was below average in his seven starts earlier in the season. He posted a SIERA of 5.03 while having an extremely low 10.7% strikeout rate. The upside is very limited, even with the prime matchup against the Padres tonight. Rating = 4

Salaries: $5,200 FD, $4,000 DK

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

This Padres offense is bad, but a matchup against Urena and the Marlins might get their bats going a bit today. With much better matchups and better offenses on the board, use these guys as a cheap source of production, depending on where they are at in the lineup and salary.

Elite Plays

Justin Upton
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.218 — OBP: 0.353

Yangervis Solarte
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.130 — OBP: 0.317

Secondary Plays:

Yonder Alonso
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.109 — OBP: 0.371

Miami

This Marlins squad should be able to put up a few runs tonight as their team total is set at 4.03 against Despaigne who has an ERA close to five on the season.

Elite Plays

Dee Gordon
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.082 — OBP: 0.348

Christian Yelich
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.099 — OBP: 0.345

Secondary Plays:

Derek Dietrich
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.234 — OBP: 0.378

Seattle at Minnesota – 7:10 PM EST

Seattle					Minnesota
			Mike Montgomery					Kyle Gibson
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			MIN (-113)					8.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.255	0.721	0.321	0.226	SP vs. Left	0.252	0.689	0.307	0.12
SP vs. Right	0.222	0.642	0.284	0.154	SP vs. Right	0.254	0.683	0.302	0.189
Batter Splits	SEA BvP		SEA vs R		Batter Splits	MIN BvP		MIN vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Mike Montgomery

Minnesota Twins vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 11)
Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 7)

Montgomery has simply been average over the course of the season as he holds a 4.30 SIERA and 17% strikeout rate. He has struggled recently and has allowed seven home runs over his last five starts. He is facing a Twins squad that can hit lefties and he should be avoided today. Rating = 4.5

Salaries: $7,500 FD, $6,600 DK

Kyle Gibson

Seattle Mariners vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 22)
Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 25)

The wheels have fallen off Gibson a bit recently. Over his last two starts he has allowed 16 hits and 12 earned runs. With that said, Gibson has been a decent pitcher this year as he sports a 3.93 SIERA. Today, he gets a much easier opponent than he has over those two starts as the Mariners are ranked 22nd in team wOBA and 25th in strikeout rate against righties. His low strikeout rate of 17% does not make him a huge upside play, but is a solid SP2. Rating = 6

Salaries: $6,700 FD, $7,000 DK

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Gibson has been struggling over his last two starts, so we cannot be sure what we are going to get out of him tonight. Throwing a cheap Mariners stack at him in not out of the question, yet do not put too much faith in their bats. Check the status of Cano before setting your lineup as he has been hurt recently.

Elite Plays

Robinson Cano
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.181 — OBP: 0.331

Kyle Seager
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.159— OBP: 0.322

Secondary Plays:

Nelson Cruz
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.225 — OBP: 0.350

Minnesota

Minnesota has some bats that should be able to light up left-handed pitching and are in a decent spot against Montgomery tonight. Look for Dozier to be one of the top second base plays on the slate, while some of the cheaper guys may be a good source of salary relief in this matchup.

Elite Plays

Brian Dozier
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.269 — OBP: 0.365

Miguel Sano
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.243 — ISO: 0.037 — OBP: 0.290

Secondary Plays:

Aaron Hicks
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.3487 — ISO: 0.228 — OBP: 0.460

Torii Hunter
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.182 — OBP: 0.294

Colorado at St. Louis – 7:15 PM EST

Colorado					St. Louis
			Jorge De La Rosa					Lance Lynn
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			STL (-170)					7.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.226	0.64	0.284	0.254	SP vs. Left	0.234	0.686	0.307	0.187
SP vs. Right	0.237	0.75	0.33	0.179	SP vs. Right	0.237	0.632	0.282	0.259
Batter Splits	COL BvP		COL vs R		Batter Splits	STL BvP		STL vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jorge De La Rosa

St. Louis Cardinals vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 23)
Strikeout Rate: 23.7% (Rank: 27)

Prior to his last two rough outings, De La Rosa had been pitching quite well. He had gone five straight starts without allowing more than two earned runs and seven of his last eight. With that said, he is difficult to trust tonight even against a Cardinals offense that has not been great recently. There are better, cheap options on the slate. Rating = 5.5

Salaries: $6,300 FD, $6,400 DK

Lance Lynn

Colorado Rockies vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 1)
Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 13)

Lynn has been a very solid starter for the Cardinals this season and very good recently. In the month of July, Lynn posted a SIERA of 3.12 while striking batters out at a high 27.6% rate. The matchup is a bit tough as the Rockies are the top-ranked team against right-handed pitching, but they are a much different offensive squad away from Coors. Lynn makes a decent cash game play and tournament play at a bit cheaper than the other studs. Rating = 7.5

Salaries: $9,600 FD, $10,200 DK

Batter Grind Down

Colorado

The matchup against Lynn is too tough to trust any of the Rockies in cash game format tonight, yet CarGo is way to hot to completely ignore against right-handed pitching at the moment.

Elite Plays

None

Secondary Plays:

Carlos Gonzalez
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.416 — ISO: 0.304 — OBP: 0.370

Charlie Blackmon
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.194 — OBP: 0.384

St. Louis

This Cardinals squad was able to put up seven runs last night and is in another good spot to put another decent number as they have a team total of 4.18 runs tonight. Attack the right-handed bats who are reasonably cheap across the industry.

Elite Plays

Jhonny Peralta
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.240 — OBP: 0.307

Matt Carpenter
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.174 — OBP: 0.299

Secondary Plays:

Randal Grichuk
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.369— ISO: 0.250— OBP: 0.325

Yadier Molina
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.262 — ISO: 0.034 — OBP: 0.309

San Francisco at Texas – 8:05 PM EST

San Francisco					Texas
			Chris Heston					Cole Hamels
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TEX (-125)					8.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.268	0.741	0.325	0.145	SP vs. Left	0.203	0.591	0.273	0.213
SP vs. Right	0.219	0.581	0.261	0.241	SP vs. Right	0.237	0.655	0.289	0.254
Batter Splits	SFG BvP		SF vs L		Batter Splits	TEX BvP		TEX vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Chris Heston

Texas Rangers vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 18)
Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 15)

Heston has been great for the Giants this year. After 20 starts, Heston has posted a 3.48 SIERA to go along with his average 19.5% strikeout rate. The problem tonight becomes the matchup and the park factors. The number of lefty bats in this Rangers lineup could be troublesome for Heston and there are much better matchups to attack for your pitching spot tonight. Rating = 6

Salaries: $7,700 FD, $5,000 DK

Cole Hamels

San Francisco Giants vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: .307 (Rank: 15)
Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 12)

Coming off that no-hitter against the Cubs, Hamels will take his talents to Texas for his first start tonight. He has a decent matchup against the Giants who are middle of the league in team wOBA against lefties as they are a much better at hitting right-handed pitching. Hamels is going to want to make a statement in this game and is ranked just under Cole, Keuchel and deGrom and could be a great tournament play as he should be owned at a smaller percentage than the others. Rating = 7

Salaries: $10,500 FD, $9,800 DK

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

The Giants are in a tough spot tonight against Hamels making his first start. Even in the Rangers’ ballpark, the Giants’ team total is set at under 4 and the bats should be reserved as tournament plays only.

Elite Plays

None

Secondary Plays:

Hunter Pence
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.250 — OBP: 0.320

Buster Posey
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.149 — OBP: 0.329

Texas

This Rangers have a team total of 4.56 in this ballgame against Heston. With Heston on the mound, they might be a bit under owned and could be seen as a good stack that won’t have a huge ownership.

Elite Plays

Prince Fielder
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.157 — OBP: 0.429

Rougned Odor
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.208 — OBP: 0.333

Shin-Soo Choo
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.208 — OBP: 0.354

Secondary Plays:

Josh Hamilton
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.180 — OBP: 0.333

Mitch Moreland
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.282 — OBP: 0.351

Cleveland at Oakland – 9:05 PM EST

Cleveland					Oakland
			Cody Anderson					Aaron Brooks
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE (-120)					7.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.208	0.645	0.280	0.091	SP vs. Left	0.438	0	0.497	0.158
SP vs. Right	0.232	0.504	0.222	0.1	SP vs. Right	0.524	0	0.656	0.087
Batter Splits	CLE BvP		CLE vs R		Batter Splits			OAK vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Cody Anderson

Oakland Athletics vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 18)
Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 4)

Anderson had been rolling along for his first four starts of the year, but the advanced statistics show a bit of luck has been involved. His SIERA of 4.64 showed some major regression and we have seen it in his last two starts as he has allowed 11 earned runs in 8.1 innings. Add that to his sub-10% strikeout rate and consider him an easy avoid tonight. Rating = 4

Salaries: $6,100 FD, $5,800 DK

Aaron Brooks

Cleveland Indians vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 17)
Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 6)

Aaron Brooks will be making his first start for the Athletics tonight. Brooks struggled mightily in his two appearances in the majors in 2014 and allowed three earned runs in 4.1 innings this year. His minor league stats are nothing special and should be avoided against all the lefties the Indians will throw at him. Rating = 3.5

Salaries: $4,600 FD, $4,100 DK

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

This Indians squad is in a great spot to attack the young starter for the Athletics. Load up on the lefty bats as they can put up runs in a hurry and have a team total of 4.05 tonight.

Elite Plays

Jason Kipnis
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.172 — OBP: 0.460

Michael Brantley
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.374— ISO: 0.174 — OBP: 0.392

Carlos Santana
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.244 — OBP: 0.364

Secondary Plays:

Francisco Lindor
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.146 — OBP: 0.287

Oakland

The wheels have fallen off Anderson and he should be looked at as a pitcher we can start to attack now. This Athletics squad will put the majority of their outs in play at least tonight and a number of batters are in decent spots.

Elite Plays

Billy Burns
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.087 — OBP: 0.325

Stephen Vogt
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.222 — OBP: 0.371

Josh Reddick
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.205 — OBP: 0.372

Secondary Plays:

Ike Davis
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.137 — OBP: 0.333

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