MLB Grind Down: Saturday, August 15 - Page Three
Miami at St. Louis – 7:15 PM EST
| Miami | St. Louis | ||||||||
| Brad Hand | | John Lackey | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (0) | 0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.227 | 0.596 | 0.266 | 0.178 | SP vs. Left | 0.251 | 0.709 | 0.312 | 0.157 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.275 | 0.762 | 0.334 | 0.13 | SP vs. Right | 0.258 | 0.695 | 0.305 | 0.22 |
| Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
St. Louis Cardinals vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 23)
Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 13)
Hand comes into this game coming off a solid performance against the Braves. He will look to keep the momentum going against a better opponent in the Cardinals tonight. Hand is a tough start against any opponent as he has a career SIERA of 4.67 and a career strikeout rate of 14.8%. His upside is not worth the risk here against the Cardinals squad as Vegas has them as the biggest favorites of the night. Rating = 4
Salaries: $5,400 FD, $4,300 DK
Miami Marlins vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.287 (Rank: 30)
Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 15)
Lackey continues to roll along as a solid starter in the major leagues, but not exactly someone we can depend on for big fantasy outings. Over the last month, Lackey holds a SIERA of 4.03 with a strikeout rate of just 18.1%. Lackey is the type of starter that is not going to kill your lineups, but is also not going to be the highest scoring pitcher on the slate. Rating = 6.5
Salaries: $8,500 FD, $9,200 DK
Batter Grind Down
Miami
This Marlins squad comes into this matchup with the lowest team total on the board at 2.88. While Lackey could give up some runs tonight, it looks like a night where it is better to avoid the bats in this matchup.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
Dee Gordon
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317— ISO: 0.076 — OBP: 0.224
St. Louis
This Cardinals squad has some solid right-handed bats that should be able to get to Hand tonight as he hasn’t completely struggled, but has allowed a .309 wOBA to righties on the year. As big time favorites, they should be able to knock some runs in tonight.
Elite Plays:
Jhonny Peralta
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.252 — OBP: 0.311
Randal Grichuk
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.240 — OBP: 0.310
Secondary Plays:
Stephen Piscotty
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.087 — OBP: 0.333
Matt Carpenter
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.171 — OBP: 0.329
Tampa Bay at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Texas | ||||||||
| Chris Archer | | Colby Lewis | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TBR (-142) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.216 | 0.6 | 0.270 | 0.256 | SP vs. Left | 0.293 | 0.814 | 0.352 | 0.149 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.627 | 0.283 | 0.249 | SP vs. Right | 0.261 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.215 |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs R | Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Texas Rangers vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 7)
Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 11)
Archer is clearly the top starter going on the night slate. Archer currently holds a SIERA of 2.61 on the season and a strikeout rate at an elite 31.1% clip. Archer will most likely give up a few runs in hitter-friendly Globe, but his strikeout potential outweighs the risk of the matchup tonight. He has the highest potential going tonight, but does have the toughest park to pitch in out of the top options. Rating = 8.5
Salaries: $11,400 FD, $11,200 DK
Tampa Bay Rays vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 26)
Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 27)
Lewis has always been a pitcher daily fantasy players look to pick on anytime he takes the mound as he is always prone to the big outing against him. They haven’t come as much as many of us have probably hoped as he comes into this game with a season long SIERA of 4.11. Regardless, his fantasy appeal is not relevant as he doesn’t strike guys out a ton and will get very little run support against Archer. Rating = 4
Salaries: $6,900 FD, $7,400 DK
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
“Lefties against Lewis” has been a slogan for DFS all year long. Lewis has improved, but still has allowed a wOBA of .328 to left-handed bats this year and this Rays squad has a big team total of 4.60 tonight. They have a lot of cheap options that are in great spots tonight.
Elite Plays:
John Jaso
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.181 — OBP: 0.378
Evan Longoria
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.149 — OBP: 0.321
Grady Sizemore
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.243 — OBP: 0.247
Secondary Plays:
Logan Forsythe
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.094 — OBP: 0.362
Asdrubal Cabrera
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.153 — OBP: 0.313
Texas
Archer has been one of the top starters in all of baseball this year. While the game is being played in one of the more hitter-friendly environments, Archer has not been someone people have made money taking batters against this year.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
None
San Diego at Colorado – 8:10 PM EST
| San Diego | Colorado | ||||||||
| Andrew Cashner | | Jon Gray | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-115) | 10.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.264 | 0.797 | 0.343 | 0.181 | SP vs. Left | ||||
| SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.608 | 0.269 | 0.201 | SP vs. Right | ||||
| Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Colorado Rockies vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.339 (Rank: 1)
Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 17)
Cashner has not exactly been a shutdown pitcher this year even with making a number of his starts at home in San Diego. He has a 3.90 SIERA on the year and his strikeout rate has not been stellar at 19.8%. He has to pitch at Coors tonight, which makes him an easy player to avoid. Rating = 3
Salaries: $7,100 FD, $5,800 DK
San Diego Padres vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 28)
Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 26)
Gray is a young pitcher making only his third career start and second now at Coors. This game features the highest total by far of the night and the Padres are the highest projected offense. Avoid him. Rating = 2
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
Elite Plays:
Justin Upton
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.364— ISO: 0.220— OBP: 0.358
Secondary Plays:
All 1-6 hitters are in play tonight
Colorado
This Colorado squad has a decent matchup against Cashner who has not been able to match his last season’s performance. He is getting crushed against lefty bats, allowing a wOBA of .388 to them on the year. All the Rockies 1-6 hitters are in play tonight.
Elite Plays:
Carlos Gonzalez
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.420 — ISO: 0.322 — OBP: 0.368
Charlie Blackmon
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.372— ISO: 0.191 — OBP: 0.370
Secondary Plays:
All 1-6 hitters are in play tonight
Cincinnati at LA Dodgers – 9:10 PM EST
| Cincinnati | LA Dodgers | ||||||||
| David Holmberg | | Brett Anderson | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-179) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.238 | 0.867 | 0.388 | 0.151 | SP vs. Left | 0.284 | 0.675 | 0.302 | 0.157 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.221 | 0.762 | 0.335 | 0.14 | SP vs. Right | 0.266 | 0.717 | 0.313 | 0.165 |
| Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs L | Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 6)
Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 30)
Holmberg has pitched well on the surface during his first three starts, but 3.06 ERA is not backed up by his 5.11 SIERA. To go along with the pending regression, Holmberg does not provide us with enough upside in terms of strikeout rate (16.4%) to be worth the risk tonight. He is an easy avoid on the slate. Rating = 4
Salaries: $5,400 FD, $4,600 DK
Cincinnati Reds LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: .320 (Rank: 8)
Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 11)
Anderson is coming off his worst performance of the season, but will look to rebound against the Reds tonight. Anderson comes into this game with a solid 3.44 SIERA, but a low 16.4% strikeout rate. The Dodgers are huge favorites tonight at -180, which should put Anderson in line for the win tonight. He makes a solid SP2 on the slate. Rating = 6
Salaries: $7,200 FD, $6,500 DK
Batter Grind Down
Cincinnati
The Reds are big underdogs today and have one of the lowest team totals (3.30) on the night slate. Anderson is allowing a .320 wOBA to right-handed bats, but they are secondary options tonight.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
Todd Frazier
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.404 — OBP: 0.296
Brandon Phillips
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.084 — OBP: 0.359
Marlon Bryd
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.377— ISO: 0.237 — OBP: 0.357
LA Dodgers
This Dodgers squad should be able to take advantage of the pitching matchup tonight against Holmberg tonight. The Dodger righties are cheap and should provide solid plays at a good price.
Elite Plays:
Yasiel Puig
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.359— ISO: 0.244 — OBP: 0.362
Scott Van Slyke
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.393— ISO: 0.180 — OBP: 0.439
Yasmani Grandal
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.351— ISO: 0.025 — OBP: 0.422
Secondary Plays:
Jimmy Rollins
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.343— ISO: 0.137 — OBP: 0.346
Kike Hernandez
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.509— ISO: 0.339 — OBP: 0.477
Washington at San Francisco – 10:05 PM EST
| Washington | San Francisco | ||||||||
| Gio Gonzalez | | Jake Peavy | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-105) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.233 | 0.635 | 0.281 | 0.219 | SP vs. Left | 0.242 | 0.757 | 0.33 | 0.179 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.249 | 0.695 | 0.308 | 0.234 | SP vs. Right | 0.257 | 0.704 | 0.311 | 0.193 |
| Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs R | Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
San Francisco Giants vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 19)
Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 14)
Gio is coming off a very solid eight inning, zero earned run performance against the Dodgers. He will now face a Giants squad that is a middle of the road offense against left-handed pitching on the season. Gio has a 3.64 SIERA on the year and has a solid 20.9% strikeout rate. This game features a 6.5 total with the Nationals being slight favorites. This has the makings of a very low scoring game and Gio is in play, and make be a decent, cheaper option than Arrieta, Archer or Cueto. Rating = 7
Salaries: $9,600 FD, $9,400 DK
Washington Nationals vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 19)
Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 24)
Peavy has not been a high upside pitcher in his nine starts this year. He rarely goes more than six innings and his strikeout rate is only at 18.9%. This Nationals squad does only have a projected run total of 2.99, but Peavy is a less than ideal option for DFS. Rating = 4
Salaries: $7,200 FD, $7,500 DK
Batter Grind Down
Washington
The Nationals do feature a low total, but it is hard to ignore Harper tonight as an elite play. Harper’s August has been stellar as he is hitting .340 in 47 at bats.
Elite Plays:
Bryce Harper
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.475 — ISO: 0.339 — OBP: 0.469
Secondary Plays:
Yunel Escobar
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.115 — OBP: 0.371
Ryan Zimmerman
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.268 — ISO: 0.142 — OBP: 0.266
San Francisco
The Giants feature a few guys that slug lefties well, but again are tough plays tonight in a game with a very low total, when there are a number of projected high-scoring other options on the slate.
Elite Plays:
Buster Posey
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.354— ISO: 0.174 — OBP: 0.371
Secondary Plays:
Hunter Pence
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.273 — ISO: 0.167 — OBP: 0.243
Justin Maxwell
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.292 — ISO: 0.104 — OBP: 0.314