MLB Grind Down: Saturday, August 29 - Page Three

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2015-08-29 21:53:16

NY Yankees at Atlanta – 7:10 PM EST

NY Yankees					Atlanta
			Luis Severino					Matt Wisler
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			NYY (-195)					7.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.235	0.708	0.313	0.211	SP vs. Left
SP vs. Right	0.152	0.495	0.223	0.333	SP vs. Right
Batter Splits	NYY BvP		NYY vs R		Batter Splits			ATL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Luis Severino

Atlanta Braves vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 28)
Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 3)

Severino has had a solid start to his young career. In his first four starts, he has put up a SIERA of 3.55, while posting a high K% at 25.8%. He has the upside and a solid matchup against the Braves, who rank 28th in the league in team wOBA against righties. The one thing holding Severino back from a higher rating is the Braves notoriously strike out at a low rate this year (17.8%) Rating = 7

Salaries: $5,300 FD, $10,400 DK

Matt Wisler

New York Yankees vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 9)
Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 13)

Wisler has rolled along this season as another one of the young Braves starters thrown into the fire. He has struggled mightily with his command (3.20 BB/9) and has a season SIERA of 4.93. He has a tough matchup against the Yankees, who are ranked ninth in team wOBA this year. Avoid him tonight. Rating = 3.5

Salaries: $5,500 FD, $4,900 DK

Batter Grind Down

NY Yankees

The Yankees are in a great spot tonight against Wisler, who has really had a tough time this year. He has allowed a wOBA of .304 to right handed batters, but more importantly has really struggled against lefties (.464 wOBA allowed). All the big name bats are in play tonight as one of the better offenses to target on the slate.

Elite Plays:

Jacoby Ellsbury
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.105

Brett Gardner
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.153

Carlos Beltran
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.203

Brian McCann
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.229

Secondary Plays:

Gregory Bird
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.158

Atlanta

Freeman gets a mention tonight against Severino, but the rest of this Braves offense should be avoided; they have struggled to put up runs and have a team total of just 3.13 tonight.

Elite Plays:

None

Secondary Plays:

Freddie Freeman
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.372— ISO: 0.226

LA Angels at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST

LA Angels					Cleveland
			Garrett Richards					Corey Kluber
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE (0)					0
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.206	0.565	0.253	0.23	SP vs. Left	0.248	0.705	0.31	0.267
SP vs. Right	0.235	0.643	0.287	0.199	SP vs. Right	0.208	0.535	0.235	0.296
Batter Splits	LAA BvP		ANA vs R		Batter Splits	CLE BvP		CLE vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Garrett Richards

Cleveland Indians vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 15)
Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 10)

Richards has been a solid pitcher all year long with a 3.95 SIERA and 18.8% strikeout rate. The problem has been the fact that Richards has kept his team in games in most of his starts, yet has not had the same upside he provided last year. His matchup is a bit more difficult tonight against the Indians, who rank 15th in the league in team wOBA against righties. He makes a solid source of an SP2 tonight. Rating = 6.5

Salaries: $8,600 FD, $9,700 DK

Corey Kluber

Los Angeles Angels vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 21)
Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 11)

Kluber is another pitcher who bounced back well from a rough outing. He is the clear top starter going on the night slate as he comes into this game with an elite 28.1% strikeout rate and a SIERA of 2.73. It is not the greatest matchup in the world, but if he can avoid Trout and Pujols, Kluber should be able to run through the rest of the lineup with ease. Rating = 9*

Salaries: $11,700 FD, $12,900 DK

Batter Grind Down

LA Angels

Avoid the bats against Kluber, who is the top option tonight and has kept righties to a wOBA of .222 and lefties to a .316 mark.

Elite Plays:

None

Secondary Plays:

None

Cleveland

This game features a low total with two good pitchers going. The Indians have a team total of under four and should only be used for tournament plays and where cheap.

Elite Plays:

None

Secondary Plays:

Jason Kipnis
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.416 — ISO: 0.165

Michael Brantley
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.172

Baltimore at Texas – 8:05 PM EST

Baltimore					Texas
			Ubaldo Jimenez					Martin Perez
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BAL (-107)					9
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.242	0.759	0.338	0.208	SP vs. Left	0.228	0.605	0.272	0.262
SP vs. Right	0.26	0.71	0.316	0.217	SP vs. Right	0.298	0.793	0.347	0.119
Batter Splits	BAL BvP		BAL vs L		Batter Splits	TEX BvP		TEX vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Ubaldo Jimenez

Texas Rangers vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 7)
Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 8)

Jimenez comes into this game in pretty rough form. Over the last month of play, he has posted a 5.60 ERA (3.95 SIERA). Although his SIERA is down a bit, his strikeouts have also dropped, as he has posted only a 17% K rate over his last six starts. He has a tough matchup in a hitter friendly park tonight and should be avoided. Rating = 4.5

Salaries: $7,800 FD, $7,500 DK

Martin Perez

Baltimore Orioles vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 15)
Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 2)

Perez is not a pitcher to that should be played in any formats. He has a SIERA of over four and a very low strikeout rate of 12.9%. His matchup tonight is tough against the Orioles. Rating = 4.5

Salaries: $5,700 FD, $4,600 DK

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

This game has the highest total of the night slate and both offenses are in play. The Orioles have a great matchup against Perez, who has struggled to get right-handed bats out. He has given up a .362 wOBA to righties on the season, which puts Jones and Machado into clear elite play territory.

Elite Plays:

Adam Jones
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.258

Manny Machado
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.156

Secondary Plays:

Matt Wieters
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.212

Chris Davis
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.382— ISO: 0.252

Texas

The Rangers also have a great matchup tonight against Jimenez, who has had a rough go of it recently. On the year, Jimenez has allowed a .322+ wOBA from both sides of the plate. This Rangers squad has the highest team total of the night slate at 4.76.

Elite Plays:

Prince Fielder
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.144

Mitch Moreland
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.237

Shin-Soo Choo
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.204

Secondary Plays:

Adrian Beltre
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 — ISO: 0.128

Oakland at Arizona – 8:10 PM EST

Oakland					Arizona
			Aaron Brooks					Jhoulys Chacin
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			ARI (-140)					8.5
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.312	0.79	0.351	0.175	SP vs. Left	0.239	0.755	0.333	0.118
SP vs. Right	0.266	0.792	0.346	0.139	SP vs. Right	0.270	0.798	0.349	0.190
Batter Splits	OAK BvP		OAK vs R		Batter Splits	ARI BvP		ARI vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Editor’s Note: Aaron Brooks will start in place of Felix Doubront, who was scratched. He is not a recommended option in a road start against Arizona.

Jhoulys Chacin

Oakland Athletics vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 21)
Strikeout Rate: 18.0% (Rank: 4)

Chacin was solid in his first start of the year for the Diamondbacks, going 6.1 innings with two earned runs and five strikeouts. He will have to pitch at Chase Field again tonight against a tough matchup in the Athletics, who do not provide enough upside to trust Chacin due to their 18% strikeout rate. Rating = 5

Salaries: $5,700 FD, $6,000 DK

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

This Athletics squad has not done the greatest of jobs scoring runs lately and actually has the 27th lowest wOBA in the league over the last month of play. With that said, they do get a big park boost and Vogt and Reddick are extremely cheap and should be at the top of the order tonight.

Elite Plays:

None

Secondary Plays:

Josh Reddick
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.187

Stephen Vogt
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.219

Arizona

Editor’s Note: Doubront has been scratched, and right-hander Aaron Brooks will start in his place.

Going against a lefty in Chase Field means that Goldschmidt immediately enters the elite play category as he has crushed lefties for a .461 wOBA on the year. Arizona has a 4.60 team total on the night slate and should be targeted in all formats.

Elite Plays:

Paul Goldschmidt
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.461 — ISO: 0.273

A.J. Pollock
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.194

Secondary Plays:

Wellington Castillo
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.295

Aaron Hill

Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers – 9:10 PM EST

Chicago Cubs					LA Dodgers
			Jon Lester					Mat Latos
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CHC (-109)					7
Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
SP vs. Left	0.258	0.705	0.310	0.264	SP vs. Left	0.259	0.7	0.305	0.174
SP vs. Right	0.234	0.647	0.286	0.242	SP vs. Right	0.231	0.67	0.294	0.200
Batter Splits	CHC BvP		CHC vs R		Batter Splits	LAD BvP		LA vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jon Lester

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. LH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 4)
Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 16)

Lester bounced back from his rough start against the Tigers in a big way, allowing just one earned run to the Indians. Even with that Tigers game, Lester has been great over the last month, posting a 2.84 SIERA and sports a 27.4% strikeout rate. The matchup is tough against the Dodgers, who rank fourth in the league against lefty pitching, but Lester is one of the better starting options and should be used for tournament play tonight. Rating = 7.5

Salaries: $10,600 FD, $10,900 DK

Mat Latos

Chicago Cubs vs. RH Pitching: (2015)
wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 17)
Strikeout Rate: 23.9% (Rank: 29)

Latos comes into this game struggling since being acquired by the Dodgers. He has allowed 12 total runs in just 14.2 innings pitched for the Dodgers and has not pitched in more than two weeks. He has a tough matchup tonight against the Cubs, whose offense can explode at all times and there are safer options at his price point tonight. Rating = 4.5

Salaries: $6,200 FD, $7,300 DK

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

With Latos struggling a bit recently, this Cubs squad could be a bit of an off the board stack. They have the power to hit a ton of home runs as we know and if they can get to Latos early, could put up a number of runs tonight. Latos has allowed a .340 wOBA to lefties on the year, putting the big left-handed bats of the Cubs in play tonight.

Elite Plays:

Anthony Rizzo
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.267

Kyle Schwarber
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.454 — ISO: 0.350

Secondary Plays:

Kris Bryant
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.218

Chris Coghlan
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.214

Dexter Fowler
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.175

LA Dodgers

If Lester is on his game, he is tough to pay the price for batters against tonight. With so many other offensive options, Van Slyke is a decent value tournament play only.

Elite Plays:

None

Secondary Plays:

Scott Van Slyke
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.190

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