MLB Grind Down: Thursday, October 1st
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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Toronto at Baltimore – 12:05 PM EST
| Toronto | Baltimore | ||||||||
 | Drew Hutchison |  | Tyler Wilson | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BAL (-161) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.256 | 0.780 | 0.339 | 20.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.282 | 0.715 | 0.312 | 4.00% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.269 | 0.739 | 0.324 | 23.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.286 | 0.773 | 0.329 | 13.20% |
| Batter Splits | TOR vs R | Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Drew Hutchison : FD: $8,200 — DK: $7,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 331.2 — SIERA: 3.81 — ERA: 4.86 — K%: 21.7% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 15.1 — SIERA: 4.11 — ERA: 7.63 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 4.2% — HR/9: 2.9
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.253 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 22.5% (Rank: 24)
Pitches per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: The Blue Jays clinched the division yesterday and after what was likely a wild night, they will throw out their Triple-A lineup today against the Orioles. Hutchison is on the bump, but he has been in bad form recently, posting a 4.11 SIERA (7.63 ERA) with a low strikeout rate of 16.9%. He should be avoided on the road today against the Orioles, who have the third-highest team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 63.4
Tyler Wilson : FD: $5,500 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 4.93 — ERA: 3.60 — K%: 8.3% — BB%: 6.3% — HR/9: 0.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 10.1 — SIERA: 4.98 — ERA: 6.97 — K%: 10.9% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.9
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.339 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.362 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 5)
Pitches per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 9)
Analysis: Wilson has not had a ton of success at the major league level, posting a 4.93 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 8.3%. While he draws a terrific matchup against the Blue Jays’ reserves, that’s not enough to warrant fantasy consideration today. Wilson still has very limited upside.
Pitcher Rating: 30.9
Batter Grind Down
Toronto
Even though the Blue Jays don’t have their heavy hitters today, that doesn’t mean that we have to avoid taking players in this lineup. They draw a favorable matchup against Tyler Wilson and they get to face him in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. The Blue Jays are a great source of value.
Elite Plays:
Chris Colabello : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 391 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 122
Secondary Plays:
Ezequiel Carrera : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 213 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.088 — wRC+: 77
Last 30 Days: PA: 12 — wOBA: 0.235 — ISO: 0.100 — wRC+: 42
Dalton Pompey : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 88
Last 30 Days: PA: 2 — wOBA: 0.000 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -100
Baltimore
The Orioles will have their usual starters today, as they take on Drew Hutchison at home. Since the start of the 2014 season, Hutchison has allowed a .324+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters.
Elite Plays:
Chris Davis : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 798 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.269 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.436 — ISO: 0.337 — wRC+: 180
Manny Machado : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 764 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 135
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 124
Secondary Plays:
Jonathan Schoop : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 550 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 96
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 90
Gerardo Parra : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 916 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.191 — ISO: 0.057 — wRC+: 10
NY Mets at Philadelphia – 12:05 PM EST
| NY Mets | Philadelphia | ||||||||
 | Sean Gilmartin |  | Jerad Eickhoff | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PHI (-104) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.272 | 0.689 | 0.306 | 24.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.250 | 0.818 | 0.349 | 13.80% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.210 | 0.569 | 0.237 | 23.3% | SP vs. Right | 0.194 | 0.517 | 0.227 | 28.90% |
| Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Sean Gilmartin : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 52.1 — SIERA: 3.33 — ERA: 2.58 — K%: 23.6% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 0.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 8.1 — SIERA: 3.58 — ERA: 4.32 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 0.0
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.267 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 27.9% (Rank: 30)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Gilmartin will draw the start for the Mets. He has made 49 appearances out of the bullpen, but he has yet to make a start. He is not expected to pitch deep into this game, which really limits his fantasy appeal. It’s hard to expect more than 3-4 innings out of him, even in a favorable matchup against the Phillies.
Pitcher Rating: 64.7
Jerad Eickhoff : FD: $6,100 — DK: $8,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 44.0 — SIERA: 3.90 — ERA: 3.07 — K%: 22.0% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 4.00 — ERA: 3.38 — K%: 21.9% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.4
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 13)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Eickhoff has been a serviceable pitcher for the Phillies this season, posting a 3.90 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.0%. He draws a decent matchup today against the Mets, who will give most of their usual starters the day off. It gives Eickhoff a big boost, although he is still a small underdog at home. He is still a bit too risky to use cash games, but he makes a nice tournament target in the early slate.
Pitcher Rating: 61.5
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
The Mets’ lineup doesn’t look nearly as potent as usual, but all that means is that players that usually hit at the bottom of the order will get a chance to hit in more favorable positions. The left-handed hitters have the edge here, as Jerad Eickhoff has given up a .349 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
Michael Conforto : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 168 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.259 — wRC+: 137
Secondary Plays:
Michael Cuddyer : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 434 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 105
Last 30 Days: PA: 30 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 77
Kelly Johnson : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 545 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 98
Last 30 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 139
Kirk Nieuwenhuis : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 242 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.215 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 21 — wOBA: 0.265 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 69
Philadelphia
The Phillies draw a favorable matchup against Sean Gilmartin and the rest of the Mets’ bullpen. The Phillies have struggled offensively in recent weeks, but the right-handed bats in this lineup are in play. They are sneaky targets for both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Darin Ruf : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 181 — wOBA: 0.434 — ISO: 0.257 — wRC+: 179
Last 30 Days: PA: 73 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 124
Secondary Plays:
Aaron Altherr : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.268 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 66
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 124
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati – 12:35 PM EST
| Chicago Cubs | Cincinnati | ||||||||
 | Jason Hammel |  | John Lamb | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHC (-141) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.234 | 0.694 | 0.303 | 21.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.361 | 1.227 | 0.510 | 25.00% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.235 | 0.700 | 0.303 | 24.2% | SP vs. Right | 0.278 | 0.747 | 0.325 | 26.60% |
| Batter Splits | CHC BvP | CHC vs L | Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jason Hammel : FD: $7,700 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 342.0 — SIERA: 3.49 — ERA: 3.66 — K%: 23.1% — BB%: 6.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 23.2 — SIERA: 3.91 — ERA: 6.46 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.5
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 25.3% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Hammel has a 6.46 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators tell another story. During that same stretch, he has a 3.91 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.3%. He draws a favorable matchup against the Reds, whose lineups haven’t been anything to write home about recently. Give Hammel a sizable boost if Joey Votto is out of the lineup again. Hammel is the top pitching option in the early slate.
Pitcher Rating: 81.5
John Lamb : FD: $5,200 — DK: $6,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 45.0 — SIERA: 3.51 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 26.3% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.2 — SIERA: 3.68 — ERA: 5.02 — K%: 25.2% — BB%: 8.9% — HR/9: 1.3
Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 25.9% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 27)
Pitches per PA: 3.98 (Rank: 1)
Analysis: Lamb has pitched well in his first stint in the majors, posting a 3.51 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.3%. He draws a decent matchup today against the Cubs, who have the highest strikeout rate of any team against left-handed pitching this season. I love the upside that he provides at his price point, the only question is whether or not he will get enough run support to put him in line to get the win.
Pitcher Rating: 70.8
Batter Grind Down
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs draw a decent matchup today against John Lamb, who has allowed a .325+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. Even though I like the strikeout potential of Lamb, the right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play in the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.
Elite Plays:
Starlin Castro : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 248 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 98
Last 30 Days: PA: 73 — wOBA: 0.456 — ISO: 0.284 — wRC+: 193
Dexter Fowler : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 274 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.142 — wRC+: 144
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.292 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 82
Secondary Plays:
Chris Denorfia : FD: $2,400 — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 245 — wOBA: 0.267 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 69
Last 30 Days: PA: 19 — wOBA: 0.572 — ISO: 0.438 — wRC+: 273
Austin Jackson : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 368 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.110 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.242 — ISO: 0.088 — wRC+: 48
Cincinnati
The Reds draw a difficult matchup against Jason Hammel, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Reds’ offense can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
LA Dodgers at San Francisco – 3:45 PM EST
| LA Dodgers | San Francisco | ||||||||
 | Brett Anderson |  | Tim Hudson | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-113) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.294 | 0.711 | 0.315 | 16.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.290 | 0.780 | 0.342 | 10.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.271 | 0.740 | 0.320 | 15.5% | SP vs. Right | 0.252 | 0.670 | 0.293 | 17.90% |
| Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs R | Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Brett Anderson : FD: $6,300 — DK: $6,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 216.0 — SIERA: 3.54 — ERA: 3.58 — K%: 15.7% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.1 — SIERA: 3.89 — ERA: 6.04 — K%: 12.2% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 1.4
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 10)
Pitches per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: Anderson has pitched well over the last two seasons, but he has a very low strikeout rate, which limits his upside. He draws a difficult matchup today against the Giants, who have the fourth-lowest team strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. He’s not the worst pitching option in the early slate, but he’s not on my radar either.
Pitcher Rating: 58.4
Tim Hudson : FD: $5,800 — DK: $5,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 310.2 — SIERA: 3.93 — ERA: 3.85 — K%: 14.0% — BB%: 5.3% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 20.0 — SIERA: 4.70 — ERA: 1.80 — K%: 12.4% — BB%: 11.1% — HR/9: 0.0
Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Speaking of low strikeout rates, Hudson has one of the lowest of any starter in all of baseball. Since the start of last season, he has only struck out 14.0% of the hitters that he has faced. With the Dodgers still fighting with the Mets for the two seed in the National League, they will likely have their everyday starters in their lineup. If that’s the case, Hudson can be avoided in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 49.8
Batter Grind Down
LA Dodgers
The Dodgers draw a mediocre matchup against Tim Hudson, who has allowed a .342 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The Dodgers have a low team total, but there are a few viable options here, assuming they are in the lineup.
Elite Plays:
Adrian Gonzalez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 941 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 143
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 109
Secondary Plays:
Corey Seager : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.451 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 194
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.419 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 172
Andre Ethier : FD: $2,800 — DK: $2,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 717 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 138
San Francisco
The Giants draw a decent matchup today against Brett Anderson, who has allowed a .315+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Buster Posey is the top catching option on the board. Over the last two seasons, he has a .378 wOBA and a .202 ISO against southpaws.
Elite Plays:
Buster Posey : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 327 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.155 — wRC+: 156
Secondary Plays:
Marlon Byrd : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 306 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 86
Milwaukee at San Diego – 6:40 PM EST
| Milwaukee | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Taylor Jungmann |  | Ian Kennedy | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-135) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.248 | 0.682 | 0.301 | 20.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.240 | 0.754 | 0.325 | 25.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.223 | 0.701 | 0.307 | 22.3% | SP vs. Right | 0.258 | 0.755 | 0.330 | 23.10% |
| Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Taylor Jungmann : FD: $8,200 — DK: $8,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 116.1 — SIERA: 4.02 — ERA: 3.64 — K%: 21.7% — BB%: 8.9% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 4.45 — ERA: 7.71 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 9.5% — HR/9: 2.5
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 22.3% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Jungmann has not pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 4.45 SIERA (7.71 ERA) with a walk rate of 9.5%. He draws a favorable matchup against the Padres, who are ranked 27th in team wOBA and 25th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The strikeout potential is there, but he seems a bit overpriced for his current form.
Pitcher Rating: 58.6
Ian Kennedy : FD: $8,000 — DK: $7,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 363.1 — SIERA: 3.60 — ERA: 3.96 — K%: 24.1% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.2 — SIERA: 3.39 — ERA: 6.51 — K%: 26.4% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 1.3
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.289 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 25.0% (Rank: 28)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: This is a strange start time, as this game is only included in a couple of different slates across the industry. It’s too bad, because Kennedy would be the top pitching option if this game was included in the early slate. He draws a terrific matchup against the Brewers, who are ranked 28th in both team wOBA and strikeout rate over the last two weeks. He has good strikeout potential and he is pitching at home in Petco Park.
Pitcher Rating: 84.2
Batter Grind Down
Milwaukee
The Brewers draw a difficult matchup tonight against Ian Kennedy. They have one of the lowest team totals on the board, but Kennedy has allowed a .325 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Adam Lind and Scooter Gennett are both secondary options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Adam Lind : FD: $3,700 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 728 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 89 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 138
Scooter Gennett : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 767 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 105
Last 30 Days: PA: 76 — wOBA: 0.266 — ISO: 0.067 — wRC+: 60
San Diego
The Padres draw a mediocre matchup against Taylor Jungmann, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. Cory Spangenberg is the only fantasy option on my radar in this one.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Cory Spangenberg : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 315 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 105
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 140