MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, August 25th - Page Two
Milwaukee at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST
| Milwaukee | Cleveland | ||||||||
| Wily Peralta | | Josh Tomlin | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CLE (-148) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.296 | 0.833 | 0.362 | 0.165 | SP vs. Left | 0.236 | 0.7 | 0.299 | 0.21 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.237 | 0.658 | 0.297 | 0.171 | SP vs. Right | 0.3 | 0.823 | 0.359 | 0.216 |
| Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Wily Peralta : FD: $6,500 — DK: $5,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 281.0 — SIERA: 3.94 — ERA: 3.81 — K%: 16.8% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.1 — SIERA: 5.21 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 9.6% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.92 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Peralta has been one of my favorite pitchers to pick on recently. He has a 5.21 SIERA with a walk rate (8.8%) that is nearly as high as his strikeout rate (9.6%) over the last month of play. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Indians, who are a tough team to strikeout. On the season, Cleveland is ranked 17th in team wOBA and seventh in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Peralta should be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 40.6
Josh Tomlin : FD: $5,700 — DK: $5,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 117.1 — SIERA: 3.29 — ERA: 4.45 — K%: 21.2% — BB%: 3.2% — HR/9: 1.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 13.1 — SIERA: 3.40 — ERA: 2.03 — K%: 22.5% — BB%: 4.1% — HR/9: 2.0
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 22.5% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Tomlin is an intriguing tournament play tonight against the Brewers. He has pitched well over the last two seasons, posting a 3.29 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.2% and he is extremely cheap tonight on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He also draws a decent matchup against the Brewers, who are ranked below the major league average in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. At his price point, he’s actually in play as an SP2 tonight on DraftKings.
Pitcher Rating: 80.9
Batter Grind Down
Milwaukee
As mentioned above, I don’t mind streaming Josh Tomlin as a tournament play or as an SP2 tonight. That doesn’t mean that we can’t target hitters against him though. Since the start of last season, Tomlin has given up a .359 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Ryan Braun and Jonathan Lucroy are both viable secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Braun : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 801 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 135
Jonathan Lucroy : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 773 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.291 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 78
Cleveland
The Indians draw one of my favorite matchups on the board tonight. Wily Peralta has struggled with left-handed hitters throughout his career and he is a fly-ball pitcher. That could cause some trouble for him tonight against the Indians in Cleveland. All of the left-handed hitters in this lineup are in play tonight.
Elite Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 740 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 155
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 164
Francisco Lindor : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 179 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.155 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 130 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 147
Secondary Plays:
Carlos Santana : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 777 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 119
Last 30 Days: PA: 125 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 102
Jason Kipnis : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 686 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 133
Last 30 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 104
Lonnie Chisenhall : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 613 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 64 — wOBA: 0.442 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 190
Minnesota at Tampa Bay – 7:10 PM EST
| Minnesota | Tampa Bay | ||||||||
| Ervin Santana | | Nate Karns | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TBR (-150) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.281 | 0.788 | 0.341 | 0.168 | SP vs. Left | 0.234 | 0.669 | 0.3 | 0.269 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.233 | 0.695 | 0.307 | 0.237 | SP vs. Right | 0.213 | 0.702 | 0.304 | 0.199 |
| Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Ervin Santana : FD: $6,900 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 251.1 — SIERA: 3.92 — ERA: 4.30 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.2 — SIERA: 5.13 — ERA: 6.56 — K%: 12.2% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 1.8
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Santana has been awful in his last few starts, posting a 5.13 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 12.2%. He has the right matchup to get back on track tonight, but he’s a very risky fantasy option at this point. Even though the Rays are one of the worst hitting teams against right-handed pitching, there are better options at Santana’s price point. If you are going the cheap route, Josh Tomlin is a much better play tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 50.0
Nate Karns : FD: $8,200 — DK: $8,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 148.0 — SIERA: 3.75 — ERA: 3.53 — K%: 23.6% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 3.45 — ERA: 3.33 — K%: 27.0% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 2.0
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 20)
Pitches per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 16)
Analysis: Karns is an intriguing tournament play tonight. He has pitched very well recently, posting a 3.45 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27.0% over the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Twins, who are ranked 24th in team wOBA and 23rd in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. To add to the intrigue, Karns gets to face them at home in the pitcher-friendly Tropicana Field.
Pitcher Rating: 79.5
Batter Grind Down
Minnesota
The Twins have some powerful bats in their lineup, but they have one of the lowest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Nate Karns in Tampa Bay. Karns has been effective against hitters from both sides of the plate, holding them under a .305 wOBA. I will be avoiding all Twins tonight in lieu of offenses in better matchups.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Tampa Bay
The Rays draw a favorable matchup tonight against Ervin Santana, who has really struggled over the last month of play. Santana has always struggled with left-handed hitters, allowing a .341 wOBA over the last two seasons. John Jaso, Grady Sizemore, and James Loney are all viable punt options tonight.
Elite Plays:
John Jaso : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 428 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 73 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 111
Secondary Plays:
Grady Sizemore : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 477 — wOBA: 0.302 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 90
Last 30 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.291 — wRC+: 130
James Loney : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 685 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.094 — wRC+: 108
Last 30 Days: PA: 84 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.086 — wRC+: 83
LA Dodgers at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM EST
| LA Dodgers | Cincinnati | ||||||||
| Alex Wood | | John Lamb | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-141) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.242 | 0.62 | 0.276 | 0.241 | SP vs. Left | 0.333 | 1.178 | 0.49 | 0.3 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.259 | 0.713 | 0.315 | 0.203 | SP vs. Right | 0.35 | 0.853 | 0.365 | 0.293 |
| Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs L | Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Alex Wood : FD: $7,600 — DK: $6,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 314.1 — SIERA: 3.64 — ERA: 3.24 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.17 — ERA: 3.82 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 10.2% — HR/9: 0.6
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 22)
Pitches per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: Wood has been more consistent since being traded to the Dodgers, but being consistently mediocre isn’t exactly what we are looking for from a starting pitcher. Over the last month of play, he has a 4.17 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.9%. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Reds, who are ranked seventh in team wOBA and ninth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Wood is cheap tonight, but like most times in life, you get what you pay for.
Pitcher Rating: 72.6
John Lamb : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 11.1 — SIERA: 2.67 — ERA: 6.35 — K%: 29.4% — BB%: 3.9% — HR/9: 1.6
Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Lamb has given up a some runs in his first two major league starts, but his peripheral statistics look good. The sample size is obviously still way too small though and I always like to take a wait and see approach with these young pitchers. He can safely be avoided tonight against the Dodgers, who are ranked sixth in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 65.5
Batter Grind Down
LA Dodgers
John Lamb has only made two career major league starts, so it’s hard to trust any of his splits with such a small sample size. The Dodgers do have a high team total tonight though, and they have some hitters in their lineup that hit left-handed pitching very well. Justin Turner is an elite play at third base, while Adrian Gonzalez and Enrique Hernandez (especially if he’s batting at the top of the lineup) are also worth a look.
Elite Plays:
Justin Turner : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 185 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.207 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 28
Secondary Plays:
Adrian Gonzalez : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 294 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.142 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 105
Enrique Hernandez : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.258 — wRC+: 171
Last 30 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.440 — ISO: 0.245 — wRC+: 187
Cincinnati
The Reds draw an average matchup tonight against Alex Wood, but at least they get to face him at home. Todd Frazier is finally starting to heat up again and is currently priced at a discount on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Joey Votto and Eugenio Suarez are also in play, but they are both secondary options against the southpaw.
Elite Plays:
Todd Frazier : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 272 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.272 — wRC+: 131
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.255 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 55
Secondary Plays:
Joey Votto : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 220 — wOBA: 0.429 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 174
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.493 — ISO: 0.310 — wRC+: 217
Eugenio Suarez : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 153 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.152 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 114
Colorado at Atlanta – 7:10 PM EST
| Colorado | Atlanta | ||||||||
| Chad Bettis | | Mike Foltynewicz | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ATL (-104) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.262 | 0.757 | 0.332 | 0.163 | SP vs. Left | 0.332 | 0.998 | 0.424 | 0.158 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.31 | 0.925 | 0.396 | 0.179 | SP vs. Right | 0.287 | 0.822 | 0.356 | 0.226 |
| Batter Splits | COL vs R | Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chad Bettis : FD: $5,400 — DK: $6,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 100.1 — SIERA: 4.24 — ERA: 5.92 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 1.2
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 17.7% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.289 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Bettis is an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy. He has an average SIERA (4.24) with a subpar strikeout rate (17.1%). While he does see a nice ballpark boost playing anywhere other than Coors Field, that’s not enough to deserve fantasy consideration tonight. The Braves are one of the toughest teams to strikeout against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 45.5
Mike Foltynewicz : FD: $5,800 — DK: $4,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 100.1 — SIERA: 4.23 — ERA: 5.92 — K%: 19.2% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 1.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 4.57 — ERA: 7.67 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 3.0
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 17)
Pitches per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Do you remember the old Batman and Robin show where every time they would punch or kick someone, words would pop up on the screen? Boom, Shabow, Kazowie! I’m pretty sure that I saw Foltynewicz in there at least once or twice. While I love his name, I don’t love his fantasy appeal tonight against the Rockies. They have some very talented left-handed hitters that they can throw at him. He can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 57.6
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
The Rockies aren’t playing in the most hitter-friendly ballpark tonight, but they do draw a nice matchup against Mike Foltynewicz (BOOM, POW, KABOWZA!). He has given up a .424 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .356 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 885 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 92
Secondary Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 738 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.225 — wRC+: 98
Ben Paulsen : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 306 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 97
Atlanta
The Braves also draw a favorable matchup tonight, as they square off against Chad Bettis, who has given up a .332+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Freddie Freeman is worth a look as an elite play on FanDuel at a price of only $3,200.
Elite Plays:
Freddie Freeman : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 756 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.203 — wRC+: 147
Last 30 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.282 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 77
Secondary Plays:
Nick Markakis : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 892 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.087 — wRC+: 107
Toronto at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| Toronto | Texas | ||||||||
| Mark Buehrle | | Derek Holland | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-130) | 9.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.261 | 0.72 | 0.316 | 0.128 | SP vs. Left | 0.3 | 0.675 | 0.296 | 0.175 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.278 | 0.735 | 0.32 | 0.129 | SP vs. Right | 0.246 | 0.648 | 0.281 | 0.178 |
| Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs L | Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Mark Buehrle : FD: $8,000 — DK: $6,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 361.0 — SIERA: 4.39 — ERA: 3.42 — K%: 12.9% — BB%: 4.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 5.01 — ERA: 4.40 — K%: 8.7% — BB%: 3.2% — HR/9: 1.5
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 5)
Pitches per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Buehrle has one of the lowest strikeout rates of any pitcher in the majors. Since the start of the 2014 season, he has only struck out 12.9% of the batters that he has faced. Even if he doesn’t give up any runs, his fantasy performances are still mediocre thanks to that low strikeout rate. Add in a matchup against a talented Rangers’ offense in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park and Buehrle becomes an easy pitcher to avoid tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 42.8
Derek Holland : FD: $8,000 — DK: $6,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 44.1 — SIERA: 3.66 — ERA: 1.83 — K%: 17.7% — BB%: 2.9% — HR/9: 0.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 6.1 — SIERA: 2.48 — ERA: 2.84 — K%: 23.1% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 1.4
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.356 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 17.1% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.338 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 10)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Holland pitched well in his first start back from injury, but I’d be shocked if he was able to repeat that performance tonight. Not only does he have to pitch at home in a hitter-friendly ballpark, but he has to face the Blue Jays, who are ranked first in the majors in team wOBA against left-handed pitching. This team is stacked top to bottom and I likely won’t be taking a pitcher against them for the rest of the season.
Pitcher Rating: 53.9
Batter Grind Down
Toronto
Facing a left-handed pitcher? Check. Playing in a hitter-friendly ballpark? Check. The only issue with the Blue Jays tonight is their hefty salaries. However, they should be in for another big outing here, as they have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight.
Elite Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $6,200 — DK: $6,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 288 — wOBA: 0.444 — ISO: 0.359 — wRC+: 192
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.501 — ISO: 0.434 — wRC+: 228
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 196 — wOBA: 0.468 — ISO: 0.298 — wRC+: 189
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.287 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 80
Secondary Plays:
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $5,200 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 205 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 135
Last 30 Days: PA: 89 — wOBA: 0.488 — ISO: 0.329 — wRC+: 220
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 241 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 162
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.294 — wRC+: 125
Dioner Navarro : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 171 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 100
Last 30 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 94
Texas
Mark Buehrle may not be the best pitcher in daily fantasy baseball, but he is actually a very good real-life pitcher. He holds both left and right-handed hitters in check and rarely gives up those huge outings. That said, the Rangers get to face him at home tonight. Adrian Beltre is a borderline elite play at third base, while the other hitters in this lineup are better secondary options.
Elite Plays:
Adrian Beltre : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 304 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 141
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 110
Secondary Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 261 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.099 — wRC+: 83
Delino Deshields Jr. : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.110 — wRC+: 99
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.264 — ISO: 0.060 — wRC+: 59