MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 15th - Page Two
Miami at NY Mets – 7:10 PM EST
| Miami | NY Mets | ||||||||
 | Tom Koehler |  | Jacob Degrom | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-240) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.24 | 0.681 | 0.303 | 0.195 | SP vs. Left | 0.229 | 0.644 | 0.285 | 0.254 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.248 | 0.727 | 0.32 | 0.171 | SP vs. Right | 0.2 | 0.537 | 0.238 | 0.268 |
| Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tom Koehler : FD: $7,100 — DK: $7,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 356.0 — SIERA: 4.34 — ERA: 3.89 — K%: 18.3% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 4.55 — ERA: 5.34 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 11.1% — HR/9: 1.5
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.380 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 16.7% (Rank: 3)
Pitches per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Koehler may have a decent strikeout rate, but he has not been in good form over the last month of play, posting a 4.55 SIERA with a walk rate of 11.1%. While he does get to pitch in Citi Field, he has to face a red-hot Mets’ offense that has the highest team wOBA against right-handed pitching over the last two weeks. Koehler should not be on your radar tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 39.9
Jacob deGrom : FD: $11,100 — DK: $11,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 316.1 — SIERA: 3.13 — ERA: 2.53 — K%: 26.1% — BB%: 6.3% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.23 — ERA: 4.30 — K%: 25.4% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 1.5
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 16.1% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: DeGrom is the largest favorite on the board tonight, as the Mets host the Marlins at Citi Field. DeGrom hasn’t been in dominant form recently, but he still has a 3.23 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.4% over the last month. He draws a terrific matchup tonight against the Marlins, who are ranked dead last in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. DeGrom is the highest-rated pitching option on the board tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 98.5
Batter Grind Down
Miami
The Marlins have the lowest team total (2.64) on the board tonight. Their offense should be avoided against Jacob deGrom, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .285 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
NY Mets
The Mets’ offense has been on FIRE recently and it doesn’t appear that their run is going to end anytime soon. Yoenis Cespedes owns a ridiculous .496 ISO over the last month of play. He remains an elite option tonight, while Travis d’Arnaud, Lucas Duda, and Michael Conforto are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Yoenis Cespedes : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 963 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 136
Last 30 Days: PA: 125 — wOBA: 0.484 — ISO: 0.496 — wRC+: 217
Secondary Plays:
Travis d’Arnaud : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 492 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 116
Last 30 Days: PA: 90 — wOBA: 0.484 — ISO: 0.372 — wRC+: 217
Lucas Duda : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 853 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.244 — wRC+: 141
Last 30 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.255 — ISO: 0.059 — wRC+: 61
Michael Conforto : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 132 — wOBA: 0.402 — ISO: 0.272 — wRC+: 161
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.273 — wRC+: 172
Toronto at Atlanta – 7:10 PM EST
| Toronto | Atlanta | ||||||||
 | Mark Buehrle |  | Julio Teheran | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-175) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.27 | 0.744 | 0.325 | 0.127 | SP vs. Left | 0.262 | 0.778 | 0.339 | 0.176 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.278 | 0.74 | 0.321 | 0.127 | SP vs. Right | 0.214 | 0.6 | 0.266 | 0.236 |
| Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Mark Buehrle : FD: $8,000 — DK: $6,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 376.1 — SIERA: 4.46 — ERA: 3.54 — K%: 12.7% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 19.1 — SIERA: 5.11 — ERA: 6.98 — K%: 8.1% — BB%: 3.5% — HR/9: 1.4
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.287 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.285 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 6)
Pitches per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: Buehrle has been downright awful over the last month of play, posting a 5.11 SIERA (6.98 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 8.1%. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Braves, but his limited upside takes him out of consideration. When a pitcher is only striking out one-tenth of the batters that he is facing, he basically needs a perfect outing to pay of his salary. I’m not willing to take that chance on the struggling Buehrle.
Pitcher Rating: 56.2
Julio Teheran : FD: $8,200 — DK: $6,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 395.2 — SIERA: 3.93 — ERA: 3.55 — K%: 20.5% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.48 — ERA: 4.11 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 8.6% — HR/9: 2.1
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.348 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Teheran is typically a decent target at home, but a matchup against the Blue Jays takes him out of consideration tonight. On the season, Toronto is ranked first in team wOBA and seventh in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Targeting pitchers against the Blue Jays is like pissing into the wind. #ThingsYouShouldNeverDo
Pitcher Rating: 45.6
Batter Grind Down
Toronto
The Blue Jays have a high team total tonight, but they are facing a decent pitcher in a National League ballpark. I don’t mind paying up for Toronto hitters in the right spot, but they seem a bit overpriced for tonight’s matchup. The one batter that I am considering in cash games is Ben Revere. He has been swinging a hot bat and he should be batting leadoff tonight.
Elite Plays:
Ben Revere : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 847 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 95
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.059 — wRC+: 151
Secondary Plays:
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,400 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1008 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 151
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.455 — ISO: 0.341 — wRC+: 194
Atlanta
The Braves draw a favorable matchup tonight against Mark Buehrle, who has allowed a .321+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Hector Olivera may be my favorite value on the board tonight, assuming of course that he is batting in the heart of the Braves’ lineup.
Elite Plays:
Hector Olivera : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 13 — wOBA: 0.173 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 1
Last 30 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.100 — wRC+: 79
Secondary Plays:
Freddie Freeman : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 330 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.107 — wRC+: 138
Daniel Castro : FD: $3,000 — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 21 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 168
Last 30 Days: PA: 24 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 122
Houston at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| Houston | Texas | ||||||||
 | Collin McHugh |  | Derek Holland | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TEX (-115) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.22 | 0.616 | 0.273 | 0.212 | SP vs. Left | 0.262 | 0.59 | 0.258 | 0.213 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.252 | 0.699 | 0.307 | 0.233 | SP vs. Right | 0.23 | 0.659 | 0.286 | 0.183 |
| Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs L | Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Collin McHugh : FD: $8,900 — DK: $8,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 333.0 — SIERA: 3.58 — ERA: 3.35 — K%: 22.2% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.1 — SIERA: 3.65 — ERA: 2.73 — K%: 22.4% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 1.0
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: McHugh has been in good form lately, posting a 3.65 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.4% over the last month of play. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Rangers, though. On the season, Texas is ranked ninth in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. This is not the matchup to pay up for McHugh.
Pitcher Rating: 67.5
Derek Holland : FD: $9,500 — DK: $9,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 74.1 — SIERA: 3.68 — ERA: 2.30 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 3.5% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.1 — SIERA: 3.51 — ERA: 2.97 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 3.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.339 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 17)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Holland didn’t have a great outing against the Mariners in his last start, but he has otherwise been in good form recently. Over the last month of play, he has a 3.51 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.3%. The issue tonight is his matchup. While the Astros do have a high strikeout rate, they are also ranked ninth in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 65.5
Batter Grind Down
Houston
The Astros draw a difficult matchup tonight against Derek Holland, but at least they get to face him in a hitter-friendly ballpark. The right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play, but no individual hitter stands out as an elite option at his respective position.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Carlos Correa : FD: $3,600 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 155
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 99
George Springer : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 226 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.220 — wRC+: 136
Last 30 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.081 — wRC+: 72
Jose Altuve : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 342 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 175
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.407 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 162
Evan Gattis : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 259 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 99
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 109
Texas
The Rangers draw a difficult matchup tonight against Collin McHugh, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. The left-handed bats of Shin-Soo Choo, Prince Fielder, and Mitch Moreland are viable tournament options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Shin-Soo Choo : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 731 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 125 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 147
Prince Fielder : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 487 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.081 — wRC+: 68
Mitch Moreland : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 463 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 77 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 92
St. Louis at Milwaukee – 8:10 PM EST
| St. Louis | Milwaukee | ||||||||
 | Carlos Martinez |  | Ariel Pena | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (-163) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.271 | 0.8 | 0.345 | 0.185 | SP vs. Left | 0.1 | 0.608 | 0.281 | 0.077 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.624 | 0.279 | 0.276 | SP vs. Right | 0.222 | 0.666 | 0.284 | 0.238 |
| Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs R | Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Carlos Martinez : FD: $9,300 — DK: $9,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 254.0 — SIERA: 3.45 — ERA: 3.44 — K%: 23.4% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.1 — SIERA: 3.08 — ERA: 5.60 — K%: 24.2% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 0.0
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Martinez has a 5.60 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators suggest some positive regression. During that same stretch, he has a 3.08 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.2%. Thanks to his recent ERA, his price has come down across the industry, providing us a nice opportunity to buy low on a pitcher with a high strikeout rate. His matchup against the Brewers in Miller Park may not be ideal, but the upside is there. Martinez is a nice tournament play.
Pitcher Rating: 88.1
Ariel Pena : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 8.0 — SIERA: 5.35 — ERA: 4.50 — K%: 17.7% — BB%: 14.7% — HR/9: 0.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 8.0 — SIERA: 5.35 — ERA: 4.50 — K%: 17.7% — BB%: 14.7% — HR/9: 0.0
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 25.2% (Rank: 30)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Pena is making his second career major league start tonight. He posted a respectable strikeout rate in the minors, but it’s too early to tell if that will translate at the major league level. I will be taking a wait-and-see approach with him tonight, as the Cardinals are ranked above the major league average in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 43.3
Batter Grind Down
St. Louis
The Cardinals draw an intriguing matchup tonight against Ariel Pena, who is still unproven at the major league level. The Cardinals also see a nice ballpark boost playing in the hitter-friendly Miller Park. Jason Heyward is a strong play in the outfield, as he has a .387 wOBA over the last month of play.
Elite Plays:
Jason Heyward : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 871 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 148
Secondary Plays:
Matt Carpenter : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 895 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 99
Stephen Piscotty : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 146 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 140
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 149
Jhonny Peralta : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 900 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 108
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.243 — ISO: 0.024 — wRC+: 50
Milwaukee
The Brewers draw a difficult matchup tonight against Carlos Martinez. However, he has not fared well against left-handed hitters, allowing a .345 wOBA over the last two seasons. Adam Lind and Scooter Gennett are both secondary options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Adam Lind : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 694 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 88 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 147
Scooter Gennett : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 726 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 108
Last 30 Days: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 105
Detroit at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Detroit | Minnesota | ||||||||
 | Alfredo Simon |  | Phil Hughes | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIN (-160) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.264 | 0.784 | 0.34 | 0.14 | SP vs. Left | 0.258 | 0.682 | 0.296 | 0.181 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.236 | 0.682 | 0.301 | 0.167 | SP vs. Right | 0.295 | 0.791 | 0.341 | 0.19 |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Alfredo Simon : FD: $7,800 — DK: $5,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 356.2 — SIERA: 4.50 — ERA: 4.11 — K%: 15.3% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 5.41 — ERA: 5.34 — K%: 13.5% — BB%: 10.6% — HR/9: 2.0
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Simon has not pitched well this season, especially over the last month of play. During that stretch, he has a 5.41 SIERA with a walk rate of 10.6%. He draws a favorable matchup against the Twins, but that’s not nearly enough to warrant fantasy consideration. He should be avoided in all league formats tonight on the road.
Pitcher Rating: 36.3
Phil Hughes : FD: $6,900 — DK: $5,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 354.0 — SIERA: 3.70 — ERA: 3.92 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 2.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 14)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Hughes has had a season to forget. His SIERA is up this year, while his strikeout rate has come down a significant percentage. He is an easy avoid tonight against the Tigers, who are ranked ninth in team wOBA and 15th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 54.2
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
The Tigers’ offense has been slumping in recent weeks, but they draw an intriguing matchup tonight against Phil Hughes, who is a reverse-splits pitcher. That should bode well for a right-handed heavy Tigers’ lineup. Miguel Cabrera is the BvP special of the night, as he is 17-for-36 with five home runs and five doubles against Hughes in his career.
Elite Plays:
Miguel Cabrera : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 873 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 155
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 142
Secondary Plays:
J.D. Martinez : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 808 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.240 — wRC+: 145
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 145
Rajai Davis : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 527 — wOBA: 0.291 — ISO: 0.111 — wRC+: 82
Last 30 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.281 — wRC+: 124
Minnesota
The Twins draw a favorable matchup tonight against Alfredo Simon, who has been one of the most hittable pitchers in all of baseball. The left-handed hitters have the edge in terms of splits, but the right-handed bats are also in play tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
Miguel Sano : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 173 — wOBA: 0.411 — ISO: 0.314 — wRC+: 165
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.422 — ISO: 0.341 — wRC+: 173
Secondary Plays:
Brian Dozier : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 938 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.101 — wRC+: 72
Aaron Hicks : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 364 — wOBA: 0.266 — ISO: 0.084 — wRC+: 65
Last 30 Days: PA: 65 — wOBA: 0.273 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 69
Joe Mauer : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 730 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.113 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.070 — wRC+: 102