FREE TODAY - DraftKings MLB Expert Survey: Monday, June 25th
Want to know who Notorious is definitely paying up for in MLB DFS today? Wondering which value play STLCardinals84 is eyeing most? You’re in luck. Our daily fantasy sports experts will answer a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup building decisions for tonight’s contests. NOTE: Surveys for early slates will be posted when there are four or more early games.
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Monday, June 25th
Who is your favorite hitter for cash games?
Notorious: Hunter Renfroe
Meansy53: Wil Myers
Stevietpfl: Freddie Freeman
SBK: Nelson Cruz
Who is your favorite hitter for tournaments?
Notorious: Rhys Hoskins
Meansy53: Freddie Freeman
Stevietpfl: Joc Pederson
SBK: Freddie Freeman
Who is your favorite pitcher for cash games?
Notorious: Justin Verlander
Meansy53: Justin Verlander
Stevietpfl: Justin Verlander
SBK: Justin Verlander
Who is your favorite pitcher for tournaments?
Notorious: Jameson Taillon
Meansy53: Blake Snell
Stevietpfl: Blake Snell
SBK: Gio Gonzalez
Who is your favorite cheap pitcher for cash games?
Notorious: Jameson Taillon
Meansy53: Vince Velasquez
Stevietpfl: Shelby Miller
SBK: Jonathan Loaisiga
Who is your favorite cheap pitcher for tournaments?
Notorious: Seth Lugo
Meansy53: Seth Lugo
Stevietpfl: Seth Lugo
SBK: Jonathan Loaisiga
Who is your favorite salary saver on the board?
Notorious: Hunter Renfroe
Meansy53: Hunter Renfroe
Stevietpfl: Hunter Renfroe
SBK: Justin Bour
Who is your top contrarian play on the board?
Notorious: Mitch Haniger
Meansy53: Alex Bregman
Stevietpfl: Ozzie Albies
SBK: Paul Goldschmidt
Which high-priced hitter will you have little to no exposure to in tournaments?
Notorious: Bryce Harper
Meansy53: Bryce Harper
Stevietpfl: Eugenio Suarez
SBK: Giancarlo Stanton
Which high-priced pitcher will you have little to no exposure to in tournaments?
Notorious: J.A. Happ
Meansy53: J.A. Happ
Stevietpfl: Cole Hamels
SBK: J.A. Happ
Which player are you most afraid of having little to no exposure to?
Notorious: Kenta Maeda
Meansy53: Bryce Harper
Stevietpfl: Odubel Herrera
SBK: Justin Verlander
What’s your sneaky home run call of the day?
Notorious: Hunter Renfroe
Meansy53: Evan Gattis
Stevietpfl: Ozzie Albies
SBK: Justin Bour
What’s your favorite overall team stack?
Notorious: SEA
Meansy53: SEA
Stevietpfl: ATL
SBK: SEA
What’s your favorite sneaky team stack?
Notorious: SD
Meansy53: SD
Stevietpfl: SD
SBK: TEX
Which useful trend or statistic stuck out most during your research?
Notorious: Andrew Cashner’s biggest strength last season was his high ground ball rate, but it’s below 40% in 2018. He still has one of the lowest strikeout rates in baseball and has allowed a .360+ xwOBA to both left and right-handed hitters. This is a great spot for the Mariners’ offense.
Meansy53: Against lefties this season, Blake Snell has allowed only a .171 wOBA while posting a 31.7% K% and 43.1% GB%.
Stevietpfl: There is not a lot of value on DraftKings tonight, and it might make for a more balanced approach. There is a ton of value on FanDuel, and it’s going to be a completely different lineup build on there tonight. If you play on both sites, take the time that is needed today.
SBK: Andrew Cashner was an arm we’d typically target with LHBs in years past, but Cashner has been friendly to anyone holding a bat this season. He owns a miniscule 14.0% K-rate against RHBs and has not been able to keep the ball in the yard with a 1.64 HR/9 allowed to LHs and a 1.42 mark to RHs. Seattle also gets a modest park bump.
What is your hot take of the day?
Notorious: Hunter Renfroe and Wil Myers both homer.
Meansy53: The Padres score the second most runs on the slate.
Stevietpfl: Atlanta hits 4 home runs and scores 10+ runs.
SBK: Nelson Cruz homers twice
Who is your top overall pitcher (when considering price, matchup, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?
Notorious: Justin Verlander – This is one of the weaker slates for pitching, so it makes sense to take the safety/upside combination with Verlander. In 16 starts this season, he owns a 2.95 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 32%. Tonight he’s pitching at home against the Blue Jays, who have struggled a bit on the road this season.
Meansy53: Justin Verlander – Despite a huge price tag, Verlander will be a tough fade on this slate due to how much better he is than the other guys taking the hill tonight. Out of the 20 options available, he has the highest K% (32%), highest SwStr% (13.1%), lowest BB% (5.2%), second lowest SIERA (2.97), and lowest amount of hard contact allowed (26%). Facing a Blue Jays team taking on a negative park shift only adds to the intrigue.
Stevietpfl: Justin Verlander – On FanDuel, it’s really easy to fit in Verlander, but it’s a lot harder on DraftKings. I’m looking to pair him with a cheap pitcher on DraftKings because I think he’s by far the safest option on this slate. Not only do the Blue Jays strike out a lot, they strike out even more against sliders, and Verlander uses his slider a lot against right-handed hitters.
SBK: Justin Verlander – He’s just head and shoulders above the rest of the field. Foltynewicz, Clevinger, Happ and Snell are either too expensive or stuck in tough match-ups, so despite a lack of value on DraftKings especially I’ll be doing what I can to pay for Verlander. He’s much easier to afford on FanDuel.
Who is your top overall hitter (when considering price, matchup, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?
Notorious: Hunter Renfroe – The Padres finally have a decent lineup to throw out there against southpaws. Renfroe, Wil Myers, Christian Villanueva, and Jose Pirela all hit left-handed pitching well. San Diego sees a massive ballpark boost playing in Texas and they draw an exploitable matchup against Cole Hamels. On the season, Hamels has allowed a .357 xwOBA and a 48% hard contact rate to right-handed hitters.
Meansy53: Wil Myers – The Padres are getting a huge positive park shift in addition to the positive league shift, and Myers will be leading off for them against Cole Hamels. Hamels has seen his K% gradually decline as the season has progressed, and it currently sits at only 23.4%. However, the hard hits have remained elevated the whole year, and that is especially so against righties (47.6% Hard%). A road leadoff hitter in this ballpark with the platoon edge is going to be too much for me to pass up. The price tag on FD is especially egregious.
Stevietpfl: Freddie Freeman – I absolutely love the Braves tonight, and will have plenty of stacks with them. Tyler Mahle has struggled with left-handed hitters this season, and this is a really good ballpark for left-handed hitters. Mahle has a .402 wOBA with a .295 ISO and a 47.7% hard hit against lefties. He’s also more of a fly ball pitcher against lefties. Freeman has a .207 ISO with a .504 CXwOBA and a 48.7% hard hit rate against righties this season.
SBK: Nelson Cruz – Not only does Cruz have a solid history against Cashner to this point in their careers, but Cashner isn’t missing bats which allievates some concern over Ks for Cruz, and if he’s able to make hard contact a few times we should be rewarded.
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