MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 1st
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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Arizona at Colorado – 8:40 PM EST
| Arizona | Colorado | ||||||||
 | Patrick Corbin |  | Yohan Flande | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| COL (-140) | 11.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.200 | 0.651 | 0.281 | 0.265 | SP vs. Left | 0.191 | 0.6 | 0.269 | 0.142 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.273 | 0.802 | 0.346 | 0.242 | SP vs. Right | 0.272 | 0.809 | 0.346 | 0.147 |
| Batter Splits | ARI BvP | Batter Splits | COL BvP | ||||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Patrick Corbin : FD: $6,400 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 50.0 — SIERA: 3.21 — ERA: 3.78 — K%: 24.8% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.0 — SIERA: 3.53 — ERA: 4.50 — K%: 23.5% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 0.8
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.288 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Corbin has had a nice season for the Diamondbacks, but he will take his turn in the rotation in Coors Field. The total for this game is set at 11 runs, which is the highest total on the schedule today. Even though the Rockies haven’t fared well against southpaws this season, Corbin is an easy avoid in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 52.3
Yohan Flande : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 109.2 — SIERA: 3.83 — ERA: 4.68 — K%: 14.6% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.2 — SIERA: 4.06 — ERA: 4.40 — K%: 15.1% — BB%: 8.4% — HR/9: 2.8
Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 17)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: Flande has been in decent form recently, but the Diamondbacks have the highest team total on the board today. On the season, Arizona is ranked ninth in team wOBA against left-handed pitching and Flande has to face them at home in the hitter’s dream that is Coors Field. Avoid Flande in what is expected to be a shootout.
Pitcher Rating: 46.4
Batter Grind Down
Arizona
The Diamondbacks draw a terrific matchup today against Yohan Flande in the hitter-friendly Coors Field. If you are playing in the all-day slate of games, you should try to get as much exposure to the Diamondbacks as possible. Since the start of last season, Flande has given up a .346 wOBA to right-handed hitters.
Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $5,600 — DK: $6,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 218 — wOBA: 0.467 — ISO: 0.243 — wRC+: 199
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 113
Welington Castillo : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 180 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 132
Last 30 Days: PA: 89 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.275 — wRC+: 112
Elite Plays:
A.J. Pollock : FD: $5,100 — DK: $6,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 172 — wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.410 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 160
Aaron Hill : FD: $3,000 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 234 — wOBA: 0.279 — ISO: 0.101 — wRC+: 70
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.289 — ISO: 0.093 — wRC+: 76
Secondary Plays:
Colorado
The Rockies find themselves in a fairly difficult matchup in the first game of this doubleheader. Patrick Corbin has really pitched well this season, but he has given up a .346 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $4,500 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 238 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 105
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 94
Secondary Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,500 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 294 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 70
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.178 — wRC+: 96
Jose Reyes : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 297 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.119 — wRC+: 92
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 79
Tampa Bay at Baltimore – 7:05 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Baltimore | ||||||||
 | Drew Smyly |  | Chris Tillman | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BAL (-125) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.176 | 0.496 | 0.219 | 28.7% | SP vs. Left | 0.250 | 0.670 | 0.299 | 17.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.261 | 0.775 | 0.338 | 19.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.237 | 0.733 | 0.320 | 16.40% |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs R | Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Drew Smyly : FD: $7,400 — DK: $6,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 183.2 — SIERA: 3.64 — ERA: 3.33 — K%: 22.0% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 14.0 — SIERA: 4.65 — ERA: 5.14 — K%: 16.2% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 1.9
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.269 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 25.0% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Smyly has not pitched well since coming back from injury, posting a 4.65 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.2% over the last month of play. He draws a decent matchup tonight against the Orioles, but unfortunately, he has to face them on the road in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. At this point, we should continue to avoid Smyly until he shows us better form.
Pitcher Rating: 62.9
Chris Tillman : FD: $6,800 — DK: $5,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 343.0 — SIERA: 4.41 — ERA: 3.83 — K%: 16.8% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.0 — SIERA: 4.74 — ERA: 5.73 — K%: 12.6% — BB%: 6.3% — HR/9: 2.1
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 10)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Tillman has not pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 4.74 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 12.6%. While he does draw a favorable matchup against the Rays, his upside is somewhat limited thanks to his low strikeout rate. The good news is that he is cheap and that he is a small favorite at home. Tillman makes a decent SP2 on multi-pitcher sites, but with a full slate of games tonight, I will likely be looking elsewhere.
Pitcher Rating: 56.3
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
The Rays have not hit right-handed pitching well this season, but they do draw a decent matchup tonight against Chris Tillman in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. I hesitate to list any Rays’ hitters as elite plays, but Logan Forsythe and John Jaso are both viable secondary options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 541 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.079 — wRC+: 89
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 105
John Jaso : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 446 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 79 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 125
Baltimore
The Orioles are small favorites tonight at home against Drew Smyly, who has given up a .338 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Adam Jones is currently discounted and makes for a nice play in the outfield. Since the start of last season, he has a .409 wOBA and a .252 ISO.
Elite Plays:
Adam Jones : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 285 — wOBA: 0.409 — ISO: 0.252 — wRC+: 164
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 97
Secondary Plays:
Manny Machado : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 234 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 129 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 107
Steve Pearce : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 195 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.287 — wRC+: 160
Last 30 Days: PA: 25 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.273 — wRC+: 126
Cleveland at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST
| Cleveland | Toronto | ||||||||
 | Cody Anderson |  | Marco Estrada | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-202) | 9.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.256 | 0.766 | 0.327 | 10.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.215 | 0.676 | 0.297 | 19.00% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.229 | 0.626 | 0.274 | 12.3% | SP vs. Right | 0.233 | 0.723 | 0.317 | 20.50% |
| Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | Batter Splits | TOR vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Cody Anderson : FD: $6,300 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 52.1 — SIERA: 4.71 — ERA: 4.30 — K%: 11.4% — BB%: 4.8% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 13.2 — SIERA: 4.57 — ERA: 7.24 — K%: 17.5% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 1.3
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.412 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 15.2% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Anderson may have a 4.30 ERA on the season, but that’s about all that he has going in his favor. He has one of the lowest strikeout rates (11.4%) of starting pitcher and he has struggled to keep the ball in the park. In case you haven’t noticed, the Blue Jays have been hitting home runs left and right recently. Anderson should not be on anyone’s radar tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 28.8
Marco Estrada : FD: $8,800 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 286.0 — SIERA: 4.16 — ERA: 3.81 — K%: 19.7% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.69 — ERA: 2.05 — K%: 20.2% — BB%: 9.2% — HR/9: 1.2
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.347 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Estrada may have a 2.05 ERA over the last month of play, but during that same stretch, he has a 4.69 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.2%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Indians, who are ranked 13th in team wOBA and seventh in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. There are better pitching options at his price point.
Pitcher Rating: 61.4
Batter Grind Down
Cleveland
The Indians picked up a rare win in Toronto last night. They will look for two in a row tonight against Marco Estrada, who hasn’t been particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate. With a sizable ballpark boost, the left and right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play tonight.
Elite Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $4,600 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 756 — wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 159
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.468 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 207
Secondary Plays:
Jason Kipnis : FD: $3,600 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 704 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 133
Last 30 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.296 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 88
Francisco Lindor : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 196 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 123
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 164
Lonnie Chisenhall : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 628 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 75 — wOBA: 0.433 — ISO: 0.152 — wRC+: 183
Toronto
The Blue Jays don’t have the highest team total on the board (that honor goes to the Diamondbacks), but they are close. They draw a terrific matchup against Cody Anderson at home. After only scoring two runs last night, they should be able to bounce back in a big way tonight.
Elite Plays:
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $5,300 — DK: $5,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 832 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.292 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.557 — ISO: 0.524 — wRC+: 266
Ben Revere : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 801 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.062 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.032 — wRC+: 102
Secondary Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $6,000 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 972 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.465 — ISO: 0.396 — wRC+: 202
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,500 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 957 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 147
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.432 — ISO: 0.366 — wRC+: 179
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 653 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 84
Philadelphia at NY Mets – 7:10 PM EST
| Philadelphia | NY Mets | ||||||||
 | Aaron Harang |  | Jonathon Niese | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-210) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.284 | 0.775 | 0.341 | 14.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.261 | 0.715 | 0.313 | 18.80% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.256 | 0.726 | 0.317 | 19.0% | SP vs. Right | 0.265 | 0.745 | 0.328 | 16.10% |
| Batter Splits | PHI vs L | Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Aaron Harang : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 343.1 — SIERA: 4.44 — ERA: 4.06 — K%: 16.7% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.0 — SIERA: 6.20 — ERA: 8.04 — K%: 7.6% — BB%: 10.6% — HR/9: 2.3
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.392 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 16.3% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Harang may be in the worst form of any pitcher in baseball. Over the last month of play, he has a 6.20 SIERA (8.04 ERA) with a strikeout rate of only 7.6%. To make matters worse, he has to face a red-hot Mets’ offense that is ranked second in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. Harang is an easy avoid in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 33.1
Jon Niese : FD: $7,800 — DK: $6,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 340.1 — SIERA: 3.94 — ERA: 3.65 — K%: 16.7% — BB%: 6.3% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.1 — SIERA: 4.01 — ERA: 5.17 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 1.4
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Niese has been a serviceable starter for the Mets over the last two seasons, posting a 3.94 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.7%. He has had his struggles on the road, but he has been a nice value play at home in the pitcher-friendly Citi Field. He is a monster favorite tonight at home against the Phillies, who are an average offense against left-handed pitching. Niese is cheap and he should be able to pick up a win.
Pitcher Rating: 73.7
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies draw a tough matchup tonight against Jon Niese in the pitcher-friendly Citi Field. Andres Blanco and Darin Ruf have both hit left-handed pitching well this season and both are viable punt plays at their respective positions. The rest of the Phillies can be avoided.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Andres Blanco : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.411 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 163
Last 30 Days: PA: 70 — wOBA: 0.434 — ISO: 0.254 — wRC+: 179
Darin Ruf : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 161 — wOBA: 0.415 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 167
Last 30 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.270 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 67
NY Mets
The Mets are large favorites tonight at home against Aaron Harang, who has been giving up runs in bunches recently. Harang hasn’t been particularly effective against left or right-handed hitters, which puts bats from both sides of the plate in play tonight.
Elite Plays:
Curtis Granderson : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 913 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.252 — wRC+: 152
Secondary Plays:
Yoenis Cespedes : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 912 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 131
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.276 — wRC+: 148
Daniel Murphy : FD: $4,100 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 806 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.223 — wRC+: 143
Kelly Johnson : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 500 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 67 — wOBA: 0.296 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 90
Miami at Atlanta – 7:10 PM EST
| Miami | Atlanta | ||||||||
 | Justin Nicolino |  | Manny Banuelos | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ATL (-105) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.242 | 0.700 | 0.306 | 16.7% | SP vs. Left | 0.250 | 0.700 | 0.330 | 20.00% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.267 | 0.769 | 0.330 | 5.3% | SP vs. Right | 0.230 | 0.686 | 0.304 | 16.20% |
| Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs L | Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Justin Nicolino : FD: $5,400 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 5.42 — ERA: 3.65 — K%: 8.0% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.0 — SIERA: 5.40 — ERA: 3.46 — K%: 7.5% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 0.7
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 22)
Pitches per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Nicolino has not pitched well in his first 37 innings of major league action. He owns a 5.42 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 8.0%. When a pitcher has such a low strikeout rate, he needs a near perfect outing to pay off his salary in daily fantasy. While the Braves do struggle against left-handed pitching, the risk greatly outweighs the potential reward with Nicolino tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 36.7
Manuel Banuelos : FD: $5,700 — DK: $5,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 21.2 — SIERA: 4.82 — ERA: 2.49 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 10.8% — HR/9: 0.8
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 17.1% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Banuelos has had a decent stint in the majors this season, posting a 4.82 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.2%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Marlins, who are ranked eighth in team wOBA and 15th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Banuelos is cheap, but he’s not on my radar tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 48.9
Batter Grind Down
Miami
The Marlins may not have a ton of power in their lineup, but they are still one of the best hitting teams against left-handed pitching this season. The right-handed bats of Martin Prado and Cole Gillespie are both in play against Manny Banuelos.
Elite Plays:
Martin Prado : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 220 — wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 141
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.119 — wRC+: 95
Secondary Plays:
Cole Gillespie : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.060 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 64 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 127
Atlanta
The Braves were a big disappointment last night, but they draw an equally favorable matchup tonight against Justin Nicolino, who is a low-strikeout pitcher that has given up a .330 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Adonis Garcia and Pedro Ciriaco are both viable punt plays at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Adonis Garcia : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 28 — wOBA: 0.499 — ISO: 0.464 — wRC+: 224
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 102
Pedro Ciriaco : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.185 — ISO: 0.044 — wRC+: 10
Last 30 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.278 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 73
NY Yankees at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| NY Yankees | Boston | ||||||||
 | Michael Pineda |  | Rick Porcello | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYY (-120) | 9.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.234 | 0.650 | 0.281 | 21.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.280 | 0.781 | 0.339 | 15.60% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.259 | 0.685 | 0.296 | 23.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.269 | 0.709 | 0.311 | 17.70% |
| Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Michael Pineda : FD: $8,600 — DK: $8,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 198.2 — SIERA: 3.14 — ERA: 3.31 — K%: 22.4% — BB%: 2.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 4.1 — SIERA: 3.72 — ERA: 10.38 — K%: 15.8% — BB%: 5.3% — HR/9: 2.1
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 17.2% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 21)
Pitches per PA: 3.97 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Pineda did not fare well in his first start back from injury and he will likely be in for another rough outing tonight. When the Yankees and Red Sox meet up, there are usually a lot of runs scored. On the season, Boston is ranked tenth in team wOBA and second in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Pineda is overpriced for tonight’s game in Fenway.
Pitcher Rating: 71.1
Rick Porcello : FD: $7,000 — DK: $5,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 326.1 — SIERA: 3.93 — ERA: 4.19 — K%: 16.5% — BB%: 5.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 7.0 — SIERA: 3.34 — ERA: 0.00 — K%: 19.2% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 0.0
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Porcello pitched well in his first start back from injury, but overall, he has had a disappointing season for the Red Sox. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Yankees, who are ranked third in team wOBA and 11th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Even at his discounted price point, Porcello can be avoided in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 55.4
Batter Grind Down
NY Yankees
The Yankees are small favorites tonight against the Red Sox in a game that features a total of 9.0 runs. They draw a favorable matchup against Rick Porcello, who has given up a .339 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Brian McCann : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 720 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 94
Last 30 Days: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.301 — wRC+: 127
Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 683 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 100
Secondary Plays:
Chase Headley : FD: $3,700 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 753 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 139
Brett Gardner : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 831 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.256 — ISO: 0.050 — wRC+: 57
Boston
The Red Sox may not have the best matchup on paper, but Michael Pineda is only making his second start back from injury and Vegas is projecting Boston’s offense to have some success in this one. David Ortiz remains an elite play at first base, while Travis Shaw is an interesting tournament play at third base.
Elite Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 759 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.270 — wRC+: 144
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.448 — ISO: 0.352 — wRC+: 188
Secondary Plays:
Travis Shaw : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 72 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.215 — wRC+: 131
Last 30 Days: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.426 — ISO: 0.321 — wRC+: 173