RotoGrinders NFL Grind Down: Week 7

by Justin Van Zuiden (stlcardinals84) Last Updated 2016-10-24 02:50:10

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Welcome to the RotoGrinders NFL Grind Down, an all-encompassing preview of the week ahead in the NFL from a daily fantasy sports perspective. We’ll provide all the statistics, insights and analysis you need to set your lineups for this week’s contests.

Every game will be broken down statistically, with several key elements highlighted in our charts. Vegas lines are broken down to show projected team totals, to give you an idea of who is favored to win, and often more importantly, how many points they’re expected to score. We also provide a look at how each team fares against opposing offenses from a fantasy points allowed perspective and include some statistics for key players on each team as well.

Each contest is then analyzed team-by-team, with a focus on finding matchups to exploit and trends to follow. These breakdowns now feature “Matchup Rating,” which factors in projected point totals, pace, and offense versus defense data to compile an all-around rating that helps determine how favorable of a fantasy matchup each team has this week.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code to get started.

INJURIES – I will update all notable injuries/suspensions on Saturday morning after we have final injury reports

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Chicago Bears						Green Bay Packers
Vegas Odds		Spread	Total	Proj.Pts		Vegas Odds		Spread	Total	Proj.Pts
		8	45.5	18.75				-8	45.5	26.75
Tm Stats	PPG	Scoring	Pass	Rush		Tm Stats	PPG	Scoring	Pass	Rush
Offense	16.8	31	4	23		Offense	22.8	17	28	16
Opp. Defense	22.6	16	23	2		Opp. Defense	23.8	19	11	19
Opp. Def vs. Pos	QB	RB	WR	TE		Opp. Def vs. Pos	QB	RB	WR	TE
Green Bay Packers	22	1	29	24		Chicago Bears	13	12	19	13
Rec. Stats	Targets	Receptions	TDs	Yards		Rec. Stats	Targets	Receptions	TDs	Yards
Jeffery	44	29	0	487		Nelson	47	26	5	312
Royal	37	29	2	338		Cobb	40	28	1	293
Meredith	35	26	1	295		Adams	27	15	3	218
Miller	39	31	3	265		Cook	11	6	0	53

Notable injuries and suspensions: Jay Cutler (CHI QB) – Doubtful (Thumb) / Jeremy Langford (CHI RB) – Doubtful (Ankle) / Ka’Deem Carey (CHI RB) – Questionable (Hamstring) / Zach Miller (CHI TE) – Questionable (Ribs) / Eddie Royal (CHI WR) – Out (Toe) / Eddie Lacy (GB RB) – Out (Ankle) / James Starks (GB RB) – Out (Knee) / Davante Adams (GB WR) – Questionable (Concussion) / Jared Abbrederis (GB WR) – Out (Quadriceps)

CHI Matchup Rating: 6.0
GB Matchup Rating: 7.0

Chicago Bears

Quarterback: The Chicago sports talk radio stations are adamant that this job belongs to Jay Cutler if and when he gets healthy again, for the sole reason that he can “make plays” that Brian Hoyer cannot make. While that may be true, that perspective sells Hoyer short from a fantasy perspective. Hoyer has now started four consecutive games, and he has thrown for 300+ yards in all of them. He still hasn’t thrown an interception, but that is perhaps one indicator that he is playing it too safe on the field. He may be focusing more on not losing games than on winning them for his team. I can see that argument. Nonetheless, the Bears are not hesitating to let him air it out, as he has attempted at least 36 passes in every start. The Bears are underdogs by over a touchdown in this game, so Hoyer should be put to the task again this week. I don’t mind the play, especially on the shorter slates that don’t go through the whole week of games. Green Bay can be exposed via the pass.

Running Backs: Green Bay’s previously stout rush defense finally had to face a good run game in Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys last week, and they were finally gashed by an opposing back. They had been allowing less than 50 yards per game, but those games came against T.J. Yeldon, Adrian Peterson in the game where he got hurt, Theo Riddick, and some combination of Orleans Darkwa and Bobby Rainey. Yeah, that’s not exactly an imposing group. Of course, the Bears don’t have a run game anywhere near the caliber of Dallas. Jordan Howard was surprisingly ineffective last week against the Jaguars, though he did salvage a decent fantasy day thanks to a short touchdown run. His snap rate decreased to just under 70% after being over 90% in the two previous weeks. Ka’Deem Carey was mixed in more often. Perhaps the Bears were planning for a short week, but a lot of it might be due to Howard’s struggles against Jacksonville. This probably isn’t the week to take a chance on Howard, as there are game flow and snap count worries. Green Bay’s defense is also still an above average unit against the run, too, even though they struggled against Dallas.

Pass Catchers: Alshon Jeffery was finally a focal point of the game plan for the Bears last week, and he saw 13 targets from Brian Hoyer. He caught seven of them for 93 yards, but he still took a back seat to Cameron Meredith. The burgeoning wideout had a massive 11/113 line on 15 targets, and Hoyer apparently loves throwing the ball to him. Meredith’s price tag remains ridiculously cheap on both FanDuel and DraftKings, and he is virtually a must play on your Thursday lock cash games. If you want to play the game theory angle, you can try a GPP fade. Just be aware that it didn’t work last week, and there’s plenty of risk involved given how cheap Meredith is and how popular he is going to be. The matchup is a good one. Jeffery would be your possible GPP swerve. I won’t touch a banged up Zach Miller, who averaged just 3.6 yards per target last week (six catches for 36 yards on 10 targets).

WEDNESDAY NIGHT UPDATE – Eddie Royal has been ruled out for this week, so a slight bump goes out to Jeffery, Meredith, and Miller as each is likely to see another target or two.

The Takeaway: Cameron Meredith is the obvious play for the Bears, as he is a key target for Brian Hoyer and remains massively under-priced on both sites. Alshon Jeffery is still a bit too expensive, but he looked better a week ago, and you can make a case for him in GPPs at low ownership. Brian Hoyer remains a viable play in all formats, though he doesn’t top my list this week. I will likely avoid Jordan Howard given that there is a bit of uncertainty surrounding this matchup and his role now that Ka’Deem Carey appears to be close to 100% again.

Green Bay Packers

Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers just isn’t right. Whether he has just fallen off a cliff, or whether it’s his receivers, or whether it’s his offensive line, or whether it’s the team’s inability to establish the run, or whether it’s a combination of all these things, the facts remain the same. Over the last 16 games, Rodgers has been a decidedly average (or worse) NFL quarterback. His PFF player grade last week was by far the worst grade on the entire Green Bay offense. He threw another interception at home. He lost a fumble. He missed open receivers. Yet, his DFS price tag remains one of the most expensive ones on the board. You simply can’t pay that premium for his name brand thinking that he is “due” for success. That isn’t going to make you a winner at DFS long-term, even if it would happen to work out on this one occasion.

Running Backs: James Starks is going to miss about a month with a knee injury, and Eddie Lacy is going to miss significant time with an ankle injury. Desperate for help in the backfield, Green Bay traded a draft pick to the Chiefs for Knile Davis, who might start this game despite not being acquired until Tuesday. There’s no way he will get to know the entire playbook. Most importantly, you will not be able to play Davis as a member of the Packers on most sites. He will be listed as a Chief since he was not acquired by Green Bay until after this slate was posted, so don’t be fooled into rostering him unless you get CLEAR direction from a given site that his points will count. The Packers are going to have to get creative, and they can do that with some of their wide receivers.

Pass Catchers: Both Ty Montgomery and Randall Cobb have experience at the running back position, and they will both likely receive carries in this game. Both were heavily involved against Dallas last week in the short passing game, which the Packers used as an extension of their run game. The two receivers saw a combined 23 targets and caught 17 of them. They will likely see more traditional carries in this one, too. Montgomery basically costs the minimum on almost every site and is one of the better value plays of the week, while Cobb is a fine mid-range play. Jordy Nelson is more of a risk/reward option, as there is always upside with him, but he doesn’t look 100% healthy right now. I will likely stick with Montgomery and Cobb.

The Takeaway: There literally isn’t a Green Bay running back you can choose this week, and Aaron Rodgers isn’t worth the high salary tag right now. Focus on the wide receivers that might be forced into some running back duty in Randall Cobb and Ty Montgomery. They were both heavily involved last week and should be once again here. Montgomery is a great value play, and both players can be used in any format given their relative price tags.

New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams

New York Giants						Los Angeles Rams
Vegas Odds		Spread	Total	Proj.Pts		Vegas Odds		Spread	Total	Proj.Pts
		-2.5	44	23.25				2.5	44	20.75
Tm Stats	PPG	Scoring	Pass	Rush		Tm Stats	PPG	Scoring	Pass	Rush
Offense	19.3	25	3	30		Offense	18.3	28	27	28
Opp. Defense	22.8	17	14	23		Opp. Defense	21.8	14	20	12
Opp. Def vs. Pos	QB	RB	WR	TE		Opp. Def vs. Pos	QB	RB	WR	TE
Los Angeles Rams	20	14	30	11		New York Giants	9	16	20	10
Rec. Stats	Targets	Receptions	TDs	Yards		Rec. Stats	Targets	Receptions	TDs	Yards
Beckham	61	35	3	581		Britt	40	30	2	492
Shepard	41	26	2	302		Austin	49	26	1	242
Cruz	33	19	1	276		Quick	23	16	3	265
Donnell	18	14	1	84		Kendricks	31	18	1	186

Notable injuries and suspensions: None

NYG Matchup Rating: 6.5
LA Matchup Rating: 3.5

New York Giants

Quarterback: Well, we have another London game here this week with the Rams foregoing a home game to take on the Giants at Twickenham Stadium. (Is that really the name of a place? It feels like something I would see on a FOX animated show like The Simpsons or Family Guy). In any case, the enigmatic Eli Manning continues to spear-head the New York attack. A week after flopping in a favorable matchup against the Green Bay secondary, he actually looked good against the Ravens in Week 6. Of course, a lot of that was attributable to two long touchdown passes to Odell Beckham, Jr. — but production is production. The Rams rank just 18th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA (Defensive Adjusted Value Over Average) against the pass this year, suggesting they can be exploited in that department. The Giants have a fairly high implied team total of 23 points in this one, and Manning is a reasonable play with his price firmly in the mid range.

Running Backs: We might be starting to see a little more clarity with the running back situation in New York, as the snap count last week was 34 for Rashad Jennings, 25 for Bobby Rainey, 7 for Paul Perkins, and zero for Orleans Darkwa. Unfortunately, the Giants simply abandoned the run for long stretches despite being involved in a competitive game throughout. Jennings had just nine carries for 15 yards in the game. This is a hands-off spot against a decent Los Angeles rush defense.

Pass Catchers: Odell Beckham Jr., Victor Cruz, and Sterling Shepard continue to dominate snaps as the Giants play with three wide sets with extreme regularity. All three players have been in on 96%+ of the New York offensive snaps this season. The production, as expected, has started to shift in Beckham’s favor. The superstar receiving caught eight of his ten targets, turning them into 222 yards and two touchdowns against the Ravens. Cruz and Shepard combined for just 56 receiving yards in the game. Beckham is a weekly top-end receiving target who will surely be highly owned this week, Cruz and Shepard will have their moments, but they will be extremely unpredictable. As such, they can only be played as value fliers in GPP contests, while Beckham is viable in any format.

The Takeaway: You don’t want to target the New York rushing attack right now, especially against a decent run defense. The passing game is where it’s at. Expect Odell Beckham, Jr. to be very highly owned after his big game last week, while Eli Manning is a reasonable QB option in this matchup. Victor Cruz and Sterling Shepard are GPP options given their unpredictability, but at least we know they will be on the field.

Los Angeles Rams

Quarterback: I have disparaged Case Keenum many times, but I must give him some credit today. He was very good against the Lions for much of the game, and at one point he had completed 26 of 28 passes in the game. Of course, the Lions have a terrible defense, and Keenum finished the game by going just 1-for-4 with a crucial game-ending interception. Therefore, it’s not all roses. He threw for 321 yards and three scores, but this will likely be his best line of the year. The Giants can be had via the air, but I would rather have Eli Manning if I had to choose a quarterback in this game.

Running Backs: Benny Cunningham is back in the mix, and that is not good for Todd Gurley, because we all know that Jeff Fisher has an irrational fascination with Benny Cunningham. He will likely play on most passing downs and two minute situations, and Gurley’s workload will be in jeopardy if the Rams happen to fall way behind. The good news is that Gurley was still somewhat involved in the passing game last week, grabbing four balls for 39 yards. He was bottled up in the run game, and that is a risk once again here against a Giants team that quietly ranks 9th in DVOA against the run. I will be avoiding Gurley this week.

Pass Catchers: Somewhat surprisingly, Kenny Britt is establishing fantasy relevance in Los Angeles. He has posted lines of 5/75 and 7/136/2 in the last two weeks, catching all but two of his targets in the process. He has gone over 65 yards in all but one game this season. He is clearly the #1 receiver in Los Angeles, especially given the inconsistency of the always over-rated Tavon Austin. If you are looking for one target on the Rams this week, Britt is definitely your guy. The matchup is favorable, and he is way too cheap at $4,300 on DraftKings and $6,200 on FanDuel. That DK price is especially intriguing.

The Takeaway: Don’t chase last week’s points with Case Keenum, as a lot of quarterbacks are going to put up nice lines against the Lions. This isn’t the best matchup for Todd Gurley, either. If I go anywhere, it will be to the suddenly relevant Kenny Britt, who has looked very good over the last handful of weeks.

New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs

New Orleans Saints						Kansas City Chiefs
Vegas Odds		Spread	Total	Proj.Pts		Vegas Odds		Spread	Total	Proj.Pts
		7	50.5	21.75				-7	50.5	28.75
Tm Stats	PPG	Scoring	Pass	Rush		Tm Stats	PPG	Scoring	Pass	Rush
Offense	31.0	2	1	29		Offense	21.8	18	18	14
Opp. Defense	20.4	10	10	24		Opp. Defense	33.6	32	31	26
Opp. Def vs. Pos	QB	RB	WR	TE		Opp. Def vs. Pos	QB	RB	WR	TE
Kansas City Chiefs	11	19	22	8		New Orleans Saints	26	32	26	18
Rec. Stats	Targets	Receptions	TDs	Yards		Rec. Stats	Targets	Receptions	TDs	Yards
Cooks	41	25	3	428		Maclin	40	23	1	293
Snead	25	19	2	296		Conley	27	18	0	198
Thomas	36	26	3	307		Wilson	17	11	0	90
Fleener	35	19	2	237		Kelce	32	25	2	252

Notable injuries and suspensions: Jamaal Charles (KC RB) – Questionable (Knee)

NO Matchup Rating: 7.0
KC Matchup Rating: 8.5

New Orleans Saints

Quarterback: The fantastic fantasy season for Drew Brees continues, as he threw for a massive 465 yards last week against Carolina. Given the struggles of the New Orleans defense, Brees is going to have to continue to chuck the ball 45 times a game in order to keep the Saints competitive. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him drop some passing records (including some of his own) this year. Of course, we all know the narrative that he is better at home, and this isn’t the easiest matchup against a Chiefs team that always has a hostile home crowd. The Chiefs rank 6th in DVOA against the pass, compared to just 23rd against the run, so perhaps this is the game where the Saints try to establish Mark Ingram. Brees is a decent option, but he is far from a must play in this matchup. I will likely avoid him at his high price tags across the DFS landscape.

Running Backs: In last week’s back-and-forth shootout with Carolina, the backfield was basically a 60/40 split with Mark Ingram and Travaris Cadet, with Cadet playing on most of the passing down situations. The carry split was 16 to 1 in favor of Ingram. I expect the Saints to use this as a week to try and establish the run game early, which means plenty of usage for Ingram if the game stays close. The problem is that he is not involved in the passing game very much, and this could turn into a Cadet game if the Saints fall behind, something that is always a risk with their woeful defense. That diminishes Ingram’s value on DraftKings in the full PPR setting, and the risk makes him a GPP-only option. So, consider Ingram for your FanDuel GPP’s is basically my conclusion here. The matchup is right, but the game flow is a concern.

Pass Catchers: Even though Drew Brees puts up massive numbers week in and week out, there isn’t a pass catcher we can truly trust in New Orleans. Ten different guys caught passes last week, with six of them seeing at least five targets. Brees does a fantastic job of spreading the ball around. Brandin Cooks is the most explosive of the bunch, and he can easily turn any play into an 80+ yard touchdown, as he has done twice already this year. The problem is that his game logs are poor outside of those two big games with the long touchdowns. Contrary to what a lot of folks will have you believe, he’s not a reliable cash game option, especially at his elevated price point. Michael Thomas appears to have as big of a role as Willie Snead right now, and he is also cheaper, so I prefer him if you are looking to take a cheaper guy. Coby Fleener caught and ran for a touchdown last week while putting up six grabs for 74 yards, and he remains far too cheap on most sites.

The Takeaway: This could be a game where the Saints choose to establish the run, but risk of game flow and loss of passing down work renders Mark Ingram a GPP-only option. Week 7 does not set up as the best week for Drew Brees, but he always seems to get his numbers. His phenomenal use of spreading the ball around hurts his pass catchers from a fantasy perspective, and it only takes one look at Brandin Cooks game logs to notice this. If I had to rank them this week, I prefer Cooks in GPPs and Michael Thomas and Coby Fleener in cash games. However, I expect the Saints to be over-owned a bit. You can likely get by with limited or no New Orleans exposure in any format, as their team total is lower than it is most weeks in this tough road matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs

Quarterback: Whenever the Chiefs are presented with a game flow situation which allows Alex Smith to be a game manager, they are happy to take it. The Chiefs led for most of last week’s contest against the Raiders, cruising to a 26-10 victory by the time all was said and done. Smith was asked to throw just 22 passes in the game, and he completed all but three of them. His numbers ended up at a pedestrian 224 yards with zero touchdowns, as all three Kansas City scores were via the ground game. This game should present a completely different scenario. The New Orleans defense is atrocious, but the Saints are going to score points. Even Alex Smith should be able to do damage against this secondary, which is still without key corner Delvin Breaux. It’s never fun to trust Alex Smith, and there are certainly other options you can use, but he is cheap and facing the Saints. A 275-300 yard, multiple touchdown day is certainly not out of the question, and that will pay off his reasonable salary in DFS.

Running Backs: We know the Saints are horrible defensively, and they rank 30th in DVOA against the run this year. The question becomes which running back we like in Kansas City. Despite previous reports to the contrary, Spencer Ware remains the head of the back. He saw 39 snaps last week compared to 15 for Jamaal Charles and nine for Charcandrick West. Andy Reid came out after the game and said Charles is “not yet ready” for a full complement of touches. Even if that wasn’t true, Ware has clearly earned himself at least a 50/50 split of the market share. He ran for 131 yards on 24 carries against the Raiders, scored a touchdown, and caught a pair of passes for 32 yards. Charles will be involved, and he is capable of doing things against the Saints, but Ware is the logical target since he only costs $100 more than Charles on DraftKings and $200 more than Charles on FanDuel.

SATURDAY UPDATE – With Charles questionable for this game, Ware gets an even larger boost. It appears Charles is nowhere close to 100%.

Pass Catchers: None of the Kansas City receivers did anything last week, as evidenced by Alex Smith 19 completions and zero touchdowns. Jeremy Maclin continued his disappointing year, though he was the “leading” receiver with just 49 yards in the game. It’s likely that either Maclin or Travis Kelce has a solid game here, but it’s not like these guys have 220 yard upside like Odell Beckham. They make fine pairings with Smith in a GPP setting if you are feeling frisky, or perhaps you could take a shot on the super cheap Chris Conley, who burned a few folks last week. There’s risk/reward potential in this receiving corps thanks to the matchup, but nobody is safe on a weekly basis.

The Takeaway: Kansas City has the second highest team total on the board this week behind only the Falcons, so there should be some fantasy production here. In addition, none of their players are overly expensive. Spencer Ware is my preferred target, as he maintains the lead back status amongst the running backs. Alex Smith, Jeremy Maclin, and Travis Kelce are also in play, though I would caution against using TOO many Kansas City players in this one. Remember, we have a full slate to attack!

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

Indianapolis Colts						Tennessee Titans
Vegas Odds		Spread	Total	Proj.Pts		Vegas Odds		Spread	Total	Proj.Pts
		3	48.5	22.75				-3	48.5	25.75
Tm Stats	PPG	Scoring	Pass	Rush		Tm Stats	PPG	Scoring	Pass	Rush
Offense	26.7	7	8	17		Offense	20.0	22	30	3
Opp. Defense	21.2	12	13	7		Opp. Defense	29.0	28	29	25
Opp. Def vs. Pos	QB	RB	WR	TE		Opp. Def vs. Pos	QB	RB	WR	TE
Tennessee Titans	6	6	14	12		Indianapolis Colts	24	31	11	22
Rec. Stats	Targets	Receptions	TDs	Yards		Rec. Stats	Targets	Receptions	TDs	Yards
Hilton	64	38	3	556		Matthews	27	19	2	282
Dorsett	26	13	1	253		Sharpe	39	18	0	189
Bray	4	3	0	36		Wright	13	11	1	156
Allen	27	18	2	192		Walker	29	17	2	246

Notable injuries and suspensions: Donte Moncrief (IND WR) – Out (Shoulder) / Dwayne Allen (IND TE) – Out (Ankle)

IND Matchup Rating: 5.0
TEN Matchup Rating: 7.5

Indianapolis Colts

Quarterback: The Colts are coming off a devastating loss to the Texans in a game where they held a two touchdown lead with under five minutes to go. They ended up losing in overtime, and now they have to come back on a semi-shortened week after the Sunday night game against Houston. The offensive line is still a mess, and it has affected Andrew Luck decision-making. He didn’t look comfortable against the Texans and threw a costly interception in plus territory. This isn’t an easy road game, and Luck is far too expensive for my liking. He’s an easy pass in this spot.

Running Backs: Frank Gore has done it! He had the first 100 yard game from an Indianapolis running back in almost 3 1/2 seasons against Houston, and the team still lost the game. Don’t expect lightning to strike twice, and you can safely ignore the low-upside Gore against a vastly under-rated Tennessee defense that ranks 10th in DVOA against both the run and the pass.

Pass Catchers: If you can’t tell, I really don’t like this spot for the Colts. There is extreme risk of a let down spot after that tough loss in Houston, the offensive line is just a mess, and I don’t think they are a particularly good team. They have lost all three of their road games this season. T.Y. Hilton is a fantastic athlete, but teams can start to key on shutting him down, as the Texans did. Phillip Dorsett is a one trick, deep threat pony. Starting tight end Dwayne Allen has an ankle injury that will likely keep him out this week, which makes Jack Doyle a very interesting value play at tight end.

The Takeaway: Jack Doyle is a great value option at tight end should Dwayne Allen sit out. He was playing almost 50% of the snaps even with Allen active, and Doyle seems to be the better pass catcher of the two. He caught all four of his targets and scored last week, so fire him up as a fine play if we get confirmation that Allen will set. That’s as far as my Indianapolis interest goes this week.

Tennessee Titans

Quarterback: Will the real Marcus Mariota please stand up? He looked like the rising young quarterback that we all expected coming into the year in last week’s win over the admittedly terrible Browns. In that game, he threw for 284 yards and three scores while adding another 64 yards on the ground. That’s what kind of fantasy upside he can bring to the table. Another favorable matchup awaits with the Colts, who rank near the bottom statistically in almost every category. Mariota seems over-priced at $7,900 on FanDuel, but I don’t mind him as a tournament target at $6,000 on DraftKings. If he can continue to chip in with around 40 rushing yards per game, his value gets a nice spike.

Running Backs: DeMarco Murray was a bit disappointing in the Week 6 game, as he barely topped three yards per carry against the Browns and failed to catch a pass for the first time this year. He did salvage his fantasy day with a touchdown, but the overall output was decidedly average. The good news is that he still out-snapped Derrick Henry 59 to 9 and is the clear-cut top back here. Perhaps people will shy away from him after last week’s game, but I don’t mind climbing back on the horse against a feeble Colts defense that ranks dead last in DVOA against the run and had no answer for Lamar Miller a few days ago. Murray is easily a top five option at the RB position once again in this game.

Pass Catchers: Kendall Wright played on just 22 offensive snaps last week and ran just 14 pass routhes, but he somehow turned that into eight catches for 133 yards and a touchdown. That is some of the most amazing efficiency on a per snap basis, and don’t expect lightning to strike twice. He played fewer snaps than Rishard Matthews, Andre Johnson, and Tajae Sharpe. Of course, don’t forget that Delanie Walker is a primary target as well. This is a tough spot to peg with snap counts up in the air now that Wright has had a good game. I will likely settle on Walker or nobody in this spot, and the Colts can be susceptible to tight ends. They allowed a combined nine catches for 116 yards and a touchdown to a less formidable duo of C.J. Fiedorowicz and Ryan Griffin in Week 6.

The Takeaway: DeMarco Murray is an elite play at the running back position in a matchup that is just as favorable as the one he had last week. As long as he continues to play on 80-85% of the offensive snaps, we can continue to target him. Marcus Mariota could have another solid game and is a fine GPP target on DraftKings where he remains cheap. The receiving corps is muddled outside of a possible tight end pick with Delanie Walker, and I won’t target the mess of wide receivers.

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