MLB First Look: Friday, September 22nd
The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.
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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Away | Pitcher | Home | Pitcher | Vegas Line | Run Total | Ballpark | LHB Rating | RHB Rating | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | Michael Wacha – R | at | Pittsburgh Pirates | Ivan Nova – R | STL-135 | 8.5 | PNC Park | 86 | 82 | 7:05 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | Alex Cobb – R | at | Baltimore Orioles | Ubaldo Jimenez – R | BAL-100 | 9.5 | Camden Yards | 87 | 91 | 7:05 PM |
| New York Yankees | Masahiro Tanaka – R | at | Toronto Blue Jays | Marco Estrada – R | NYY-150 | 8.5 | Rogers Centre | 90 | 90 | 7:07 PM |
| Boston Red Sox | Rick Porcello – R | at | Cincinnati Reds | Sal Romano – R | BOS-125 | 9.5 | Great American Park | 94 | 90 | 7:10 PM |
| Minnesota Twins | Kyle Gibson – R | at | Detroit Tigers | Daniel Norris – L | MIN-137 | 10.0 | Comerica Park | 94 | 93 | 7:10 PM |
| Washington Nationals | Edwin Jackson – R | at | New York Mets | Robert Gsellman – R | WAS-125 | 9.0 | Citi Field | 84 | 87 | 7:10 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | John Lackey – R | at | Milwaukee Brewers | Brandon Woodruff – R | MIL-101 | 9.0 | Miller Park | 97 | 90 | 7:35 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | Ben Lively – R | at | Atlanta Braves | Sean Newcomb – L | ATL-126 | 9.5 | SunTrust Park | 93 | 83 | 7:35 PM |
| Kansas City Royals | Jason Hammel – R | at | Chicago White Sox | Reynaldo Lopez – R | KC -116 | 9.5 | U.S. Cellular Field | 97 | 89 | 8:10 PM |
| LA Angels of Anaheim | Garrett Richards – R | at | Houston Astros | Justin Verlander – R | HOU-166 | 8.0 | Minute Maid Park | 83 | 84 | 8:10 PM |
| Miami Marlins | Adam Conley – L | at | Arizona Diamondbacks | Zack Greinke – R | ARI-240 | 9.0 | Chase Field | 90 | 100 | 9:40 PM |
| Texas Rangers | Nick Martinez – R | at | Oakland Athletics | Kendall Graveman – R | OAK-117 | 9.5 | O.co Coliseum | 80 | 85 | 10:05 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | Trevor Bauer – R | at | Seattle Mariners | Erasmo Ramirez – R | CLE-120 | 9.0 | Safeco Field | 89 | 88 | 10:10 PM |
| Colorado Rockies | Jon Gray – R | at | San Diego Padres | Jordan Lyles – R | COL-150 | 8.5 | Petco Park | 77 | 86 | 10:10 PM |
| San Francisco Giants | Jeff Samardzija – R | at | Los Angeles Dodgers | Rich Hill – L | LAD-230 | 7.5 | Dodger Stadium | 92 | 84 | 10:10 PM |
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | Team | Matchup | Opp. K% | Line | FD | DK | FDRFT | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | SS% | GB% | HC% | HR/FB | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | HOU | LAA | 19.6% | -166 | $10,800 | $12,600 | $24,400 | 4.14 | 3.50 | 25.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 33.7% | 35.4% | 11.4% | 8:10 PM |
| Zack Greinke | ARI | MIA | 20.8% | -240 | $10,100 | $12,100 | $23,400 | 3.40 | 2.87 | 27.4% | 5.4% | 12.5% | 47.0% | 35.0% | 12.0% | 9:40 PM |
| Rich Hill | LAD | SF | 19.2% | -230 | $9,500 | $9,400 | $18,000 | 3.72 | 3.60 | 29.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 38.4% | 30.2% | 14.1% | 10:10 PM |
| Masahiro Tanaka | NYY | at TOR | 21.0% | -150 | $9,300 | $10,300 | $20,000 | 3.63 | 4.73 | 24.6% | 5.4% | 15.0% | 49.2% | 30.9% | 20.4% | 7:07 PM |
| Jon Gray | COL | at SD | 25.1% | -150 | $9,000 | $8,900 | $17,400 | 3.83 | 3.75 | 23.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 48.9% | 28.5% | 11.4% | 10:10 PM |
| Trevor Bauer | CLE | at SEA | 20.8% | -120 | $8,800 | $9,000 | $17,600 | 3.83 | 4.41 | 26.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 45.9% | 34.7% | 16.7% | 10:10 PM |
| Jeff Samardzija | SF | at LAD | 22.6% | 230 | $8,600 | $7,600 | $15,000 | 3.57 | 4.42 | 24.5% | 3.6% | 10.1% | 42.3% | 29.4% | 14.0% | 10:10 PM |
| John Lackey | CHC | at MIL | 25.7% | 101 | $8,500 | $7,300 | $14,400 | 4.38 | 4.62 | 21.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 41.4% | 33.7% | 18.4% | 7:35 PM |
| Rick Porcello | BOS | at CIN | 21.0% | -125 | $8,400 | $7,900 | $15,300 | 4.27 | 4.46 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 39.2% | 38.8% | 14.2% | 7:10 PM |
| Michael Wacha | STL | at PIT | 19.4% | -135 | $8,200 | $8,200 | $16,000 | 4.21 | 4.02 | 22.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 47.2% | 27.9% | 11.7% | 7:05 PM |
| Kyle Gibson | MIN | at DET | 22.0% | -137 | $7,800 | $8,500 | $16,400 | 4.79 | 5.07 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 50.6% | 36.0% | 17.1% | 7:10 PM |
| Marco Estrada | TOR | NYY | 22.0% | 150 | $7,700 | $7,100 | $14,000 | 4.64 | 4.84 | 22.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 29.7% | 27.3% | 11.1% | 7:07 PM |
| Alex Cobb | TB | at BAL | 22.3% | -100 | $7,300 | $7,500 | $14,800 | 4.48 | 3.63 | 17.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 47.7% | 36.5% | 13.0% | 7:05 PM |
| Sal Romano | CIN | BOS | 19.6% | 125 | $7,200 | $6,600 | $13,200 | 4.69 | 4.07 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 51.5% | 32.4% | 11.4% | 7:10 PM |
| Sean Newcomb | ATL | PHI | 21.3% | -126 | $7,100 | $6,900 | $13,800 | 4.73 | 4.32 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 43.2% | 29.1% | 12.0% | 7:35 PM |
| Garrett Richards | LAA | at HOU | 17.3% | 166 | $7,000 | $6,400 | $12,600 | 2.93 | 2.00 | 25.7% | 4.3% | 12.5% | 64.6% | 30.6% | 9.1% | 8:10 PM |
| Ivan Nova | PIT | STL | 21.7% | 135 | $6,900 | $6,700 | $13,200 | 4.38 | 4.20 | 16.9% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 45.4% | 34.7% | 16.4% | 7:05 PM |
| Kendall Graveman | OAK | TEX | 24.1% | -117 | $6,800 | $6,800 | $13,600 | 4.75 | 4.39 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 50.0% | 31.1% | 11.4% | 10:05 PM |
| Ubaldo Jimenez | BAL | TB | 25.0% | 100 | $6,700 | $6,200 | $12,300 | 4.48 | 6.57 | 21.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 43.2% | 36.5% | 20.3% | 7:05 PM |
| Ben Lively | PHI | at ATL | 19.4% | 126 | $6,500 | $7,200 | $14,400 | 5.24 | 3.94 | 14.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 37.0% | 31.9% | 9.4% | 7:35 PM |
| Reynaldo Lopez | CWS | KC | 19.5% | 116 | $6,400 | $6,000 | $12,000 | 5.56 | 4.84 | 15.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 28.8% | 26.3% | 8.3% | 8:10 PM |
| Erasmo Ramirez | SEA | CLE | 19.1% | 120 | $6,300 | $6,100 | $12,000 | 4.22 | 4.56 | 19.9% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 45.4% | 38.6% | 16.0% | 10:10 PM |
| Brandon Woodruff | MIL | CHC | 22.4% | -101 | $6,200 | $6,300 | $12,400 | 4.42 | 3.28 | 19.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 48.1% | 29.9% | 8.6% | 7:35 PM |
| Edwin Jackson | WAS | at NYM | 19.7% | -125 | $6,100 | $6,500 | $12,900 | 5.15 | 4.96 | 16.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 38.3% | 32.9% | 17.8% | 7:10 PM |
| Robert Gsellman | NYM | WAS | 20.9% | 125 | $6,100 | $5,600 | $11,100 | 4.87 | 5.22 | 14.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 50.5% | 30.7% | 15.5% | 7:10 PM |
| Jason Hammel | KC | at CWS | 23.7% | -116 | $6,000 | $5,700 | $11,200 | 4.72 | 5.05 | 17.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 37.1% | 31.3% | 10.1% | 8:10 PM |
| Adam Conley | MIA | at ARI | 24.7% | 240 | $5,900 | $5,100 | $10,000 | 5.15 | 5.20 | 16.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 39.6% | 38.1% | 13.3% | 9:40 PM |
| Jordan Lyles | SD | COL | 22.6% | 150 | $5,800 | $5,200 | $10,400 | 4.41 | 7.35 | 15.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 51.2% | 35.6% | 22.0% | 10:10 PM |
| Nick Martinez | TEX | at OAK | 24.7% | 117 | $5,600 | $5,600 | $11,200 | 5.11 | 5.47 | 13.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 40.5% | 29.8% | 19.0% | 10:05 PM |
| Daniel Norris | DET | MIN | 20.6% | 137 | $5,500 | $5,200 | $10,200 | 4.91 | 5.38 | 19.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 38.5% | 41.4% | 9.7% | 7:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the pitching table are from the 2017 season.
Offenses
| Offense | IRT | RPG | +/- | Opp. Pitcher | L/R | P vs. LHB | P vs. RHB | T-wOBA | T-ISO | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 5.31 | 4.93 | 0.37 | Adam Conley | LEFT | 0.341 | 0.349 | 0.303 | 0.168 | 9:40 PM |
| Minnesota Twins | 5.22 | 4.99 | 0.23 | Daniel Norris | LEFT | 0.391 | 0.356 | 0.317 | 0.147 | 7:10 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | 4.90 | 4.57 | 0.33 | Ben Lively | RIGHT | 0.349 | 0.326 | 0.312 | 0.148 | 7:35 PM |
| Boston Red Sox | 4.90 | 4.86 | 0.04 | Sal Romano | RIGHT | 0.320 | 0.344 | 0.314 | 0.150 | 7:10 PM |
| Oakland Athletics | 4.85 | 4.61 | 0.25 | Nick Martinez | RIGHT | 0.357 | 0.346 | 0.331 | 0.204 | 10:05 PM |
| Kansas City Royals | 4.85 | 4.38 | 0.47 | Reynaldo Lopez | RIGHT | 0.353 | 0.274 | 0.315 | 0.161 | 8:10 PM |
| Detroit Tigers | 4.78 | 4.63 | 0.16 | Kyle Gibson | RIGHT | 0.355 | 0.349 | 0.314 | 0.155 | 7:10 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 4.76 | 4.22 | 0.54 | Ubaldo Jimenez | RIGHT | 0.406 | 0.343 | 0.319 | 0.188 | 7:05 PM |
| Baltimore Orioles | 4.74 | 4.66 | 0.08 | Alex Cobb | RIGHT | 0.289 | 0.312 | 0.319 | 0.179 | 7:05 PM |
| Chicago White Sox | 4.65 | 4.39 | 0.26 | Jason Hammel | RIGHT | 0.324 | 0.327 | 0.307 | 0.161 | 8:10 PM |
| Washington Nationals | 4.65 | 5.11 | -0.46 | Robert Gsellman | RIGHT | 0.344 | 0.348 | 0.331 | 0.186 | 7:10 PM |
| Texas Rangers | 4.65 | 5.09 | -0.44 | Kendall Graveman | RIGHT | 0.305 | 0.362 | 0.325 | 0.197 | 10:05 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | 4.62 | 5.05 | -0.43 | Erasmo Ramirez | RIGHT | 0.354 | 0.282 | 0.335 | 0.194 | 10:10 PM |
| Cincinnati Reds | 4.60 | 4.73 | -0.12 | Rick Porcello | RIGHT | 0.353 | 0.334 | 0.329 | 0.183 | 7:10 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 4.60 | 4.25 | 0.34 | Sean Newcomb | LEFT | 0.350 | 0.340 | 0.300 | 0.162 | 7:35 PM |
| New York Yankees | 4.54 | 5.34 | -0.79 | Marco Estrada | RIGHT | 0.299 | 0.354 | 0.339 | 0.187 | 7:07 PM |
| Colorado Rockies | 4.54 | 5.05 | -0.50 | Jordan Lyles | RIGHT | 0.444 | 0.345 | 0.327 | 0.163 | 10:10 PM |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 4.51 | 4.55 | -0.04 | John Lackey | RIGHT | 0.359 | 0.304 | 0.322 | 0.186 | 7:35 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 4.50 | 4.72 | -0.22 | Jeff Samardzija | RIGHT | 0.324 | 0.292 | 0.326 | 0.184 | 10:10 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | 4.49 | 5.07 | -0.58 | Brandon Woodruff | RIGHT | 0.348 | 0.228 | 0.330 | 0.189 | 7:35 PM |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 4.46 | 4.78 | -0.33 | Ivan Nova | RIGHT | 0.350 | 0.306 | 0.327 | 0.166 | 7:05 PM |
| Houston Astros | 4.38 | 5.41 | -1.03 | Garrett Richards | RIGHT | 0.172 | 0.272 | 0.348 | 0.197 | 8:10 PM |
| Seattle Mariners | 4.38 | 4.64 | -0.26 | Trevor Bauer | RIGHT | 0.356 | 0.321 | 0.324 | 0.166 | 10:10 PM |
| New York Mets | 4.35 | 4.59 | -0.24 | Edwin Jackson | RIGHT | 0.339 | 0.408 | 0.325 | 0.187 | 7:10 PM |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 4.04 | 4.02 | 0.02 | Michael Wacha | RIGHT | 0.312 | 0.323 | 0.303 | 0.140 | 7:05 PM |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 3.96 | 4.25 | -0.29 | Masahiro Tanaka | RIGHT | 0.327 | 0.332 | 0.311 | 0.174 | 7:07 PM |
| San Diego Padres | 3.96 | 3.80 | 0.15 | Jon Gray | RIGHT | 0.310 | 0.321 | 0.300 | 0.162 | 10:10 PM |
| Miami Marlins | 3.69 | 4.68 | -0.98 | Zack Greinke | RIGHT | 0.270 | 0.266 | 0.324 | 0.170 | 9:40 PM |
| LA Angels of Anaheim | 3.62 | 4.38 | -0.76 | Justin Verlander | RIGHT | 0.308 | 0.273 | 0.316 | 0.168 | 8:10 PM |
| San Francisco Giants | 3.00 | 3.94 | -0.94 | Rich Hill | LEFT | 0.369 | 0.266 | 0.295 | 0.121 | 10:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the team offense table are from the 2017, season with the exception of the pitcher splits by handedness. They are from the last two seasons combined.
First Look Legend
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| LHB Rating | The ballpark rating for left-handed hitters |
| RHB Rating | The ballpark rating for left-handed hitters |
| Opp. K% | Strikeout rate of the opposing offense against the handedness of the pitcher |
| SIERA | Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average – A good predictor of future ERA |
| ERA | Earned Run Average |
| K% | Percentage of batters a pitcher strikes out |
| BB% | Percentage of batters that a pitcher walks |
| SS% | Swinging Strike Percentage |
| GB% | Ground Ball Percentage |
| HC% | Hard Contact Percentage |
| HR/FB | Percentage of fly balls a pitcher gives up a home run |
| IRT | Implied run total based on the Vegas line and over/under |
| RPG | Average runs scored per game |
| +/- | The difference between a team’s implied run total and their average runs scored per game |
| P vs. LHB | The wOBA a pitcher allows to left-handed hitters |
| P vs. RHB | The wOBA a pitcher allows to right-handed hitters |
| T-wOBA | A team’s wOBA vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |
| T-ISO | A team’s ISO vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |