MLB First Look: Tuesday, May 1st
The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.
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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Away | Pitcher | Home | Pitcher | Vegas Line | Run Total | Ballpark | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | Doug Fister – R | at | Cleveland Indians | Mike Clevinger – R | CLE-190 | 9.5 | Progressive Field | 6:10 PM |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Chad Kuhl – R | at | Washington Nationals | Max Scherzer – R | WAS-240 | 7.5 | Nationals Park | 7:05 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | Mike Soroka – R | at | New York Mets | Noah Syndergaard – R | NYM-170 | 7.5 | Citi Field | 7:10 PM |
| Kansas City Royals | Jakob Junis – R | at | Boston Red Sox | Chris Sale – L | BOS-300 | 8.0 | Fenway Park | 7:10 PM |
| Milwaukee Brewers | Chase Anderson – R | at | Cincinnati Reds | Homer Bailey – R | MIL-110 | 9.5 | Great American Park | 7:10 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | Zach Eflin – R | at | Miami Marlins | Jarlin Garcia – L | MIA-105 | 8.5 | Marlins Park | 7:10 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | Chris Archer – R | at | Detroit Tigers | Matt Boyd – L | TB -132 | 8.5 | Comerica Park | 7:10 PM |
| Colorado Rockies | Jon Gray – R | at | Chicago Cubs | Kyle Hendricks – R | CHC-170 | 11.0 | Wrigley Field | 8:05 PM |
| New York Yankees | Jordan Montgomery – L | at | Houston Astros | Justin Verlander – R | HOU-170 | 8.5 | Minute Maid Park | 8:10 PM |
| Toronto Blue Jays | Marco Estrada – R | at | Minnesota Twins | Kyle Gibson – R | MIN-135 | 9.0 | Target Field | 8:10 PM |
| Chicago White Sox | James Shields – R | at | St. Louis Cardinals | Michael Wacha – R | STL-230 | 9.0 | Busch Stadium | 8:15 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Clayton Kershaw – L | at | Arizona Diamondbacks | Matt Koch – R | LAD-180 | 7.5 | Chase Field | 9:40 PM |
| Baltimore Orioles | Alex Cobb – R | at | LA Angels of Anaheim | Nick Tropeano – R | LAA-175 | 9.0 | Angel Stadium | 10:07 PM |
| Oakland Athletics | Andrew Triggs – R | at | Seattle Mariners | Felix Hernandez – R | SEA-113 | 8.5 | Safeco Field | 10:10 PM |
| San Diego Padres | Tyson Ross – R | at | San Francisco Giants | Andrew Suarez – L | SF -125 | 7.5 | AT&T Park | 10:15 PM |
Ballpark Ratings
Implied Run Totals
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | Team | Matchup | Opp. K% | Line | FD | DK | FDRFT | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | SS% | GB% | HC% | FBv | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | WAS | PIT | 19.7% | -240 | $11,500 | $12,700 | $24,900 | 2.87 | 2.37 | 35.0% | 6.9% | 16.0% | 36.8% | 27.3% | 94.0 | 7:05 PM |
| Chris Sale | BOS | KC | 25.4% | -300 | $11,300 | $12,400 | $23,900 | 2.60 | 2.82 | 35.7% | 5.2% | 15.0% | 38.0% | 29.3% | 94.0 | 7:10 PM |
| Clayton Kershaw | LAD | at ARI | 26.1% | -180 | $11,100 | $11,900 | $22,800 | 3.06 | 2.41 | 29.2% | 4.7% | 13.7% | 47.6% | 27.6% | 92.4 | 9:40 PM |
| Justin Verlander | HOU | NYY | 23.2% | -170 | $10,800 | $11,700 | $22,800 | 3.87 | 3.04 | 26.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 32.8% | 33.2% | 95.2 | 8:10 PM |
| Noah Syndergaard | NYM | ATL | 20.8% | -170 | $10,600 | $10,800 | $21,200 | 2.58 | 2.91 | 30.3% | 3.0% | 14.7% | 51.4% | 27.0% | 97.8 | 7:10 PM |
| Chris Archer | TB | at DET | 19.5% | -132 | $8,700 | $9,200 | $18,000 | 3.48 | 4.43 | 28.5% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 42.6% | 39.3% | 95.4 | 7:10 PM |
| Mike Clevinger | CLE | TEX | 24.6% | -190 | $8,400 | N/A | N/A | 4.28 | 2.99 | 25.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 41.4% | 32.7% | 92.5 | 6:10 PM |
| Jakob Junis | KC | at BOS | 17.8% | 300 | $8,200 | $6,900 | $13,900 | 4.42 | 4.06 | 19.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 40.2% | 35.8% | 91.1 | 7:10 PM |
| Chase Anderson | MIL | at CIN | 21.1% | -110 | $8,000 | $7,000 | $13,700 | 4.25 | 2.76 | 22.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 39.6% | 31.0% | 92.9 | 7:10 PM |
| Kyle Gibson | MIN | TOR | 23.9% | -135 | $7,800 | $6,500 | $12,700 | 4.60 | 4.82 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 50.3% | 35.8% | 92.0 | 8:10 PM |
| Andrew Triggs | OAK | at SEA | 20.4% | 113 | $7,600 | $6,000 | $12,100 | 4.38 | 4.38 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 50.5% | 28.5% | 89.1 | 10:10 PM |
| Jordan Montgomery | NYY | at HOU | 24.0% | 170 | $7,500 | $6,100 | $12,300 | 4.38 | 3.86 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 41.5% | 26.7% | 91.7 | 8:10 PM |
| Tyson Ross | SD | at SF | 24.2% | 125 | $7,500 | $7,200 | $14,500 | 5.24 | 6.18 | 18.6% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 47.0% | 32.2% | 91.6 | 10:15 PM |
| Jon Gray | COL | at CHC | 21.2% | 170 | $7,400 | $7,100 | $14,100 | 3.71 | 4.15 | 24.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 47.0% | 29.2% | 95.9 | 8:05 PM |
| Kyle Hendricks | CHC | COL | 23.9% | -170 | $7,300 | $7,800 | $15,300 | 4.04 | 3.04 | 21.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 50.4% | 29.7% | 86.0 | 8:05 PM |
| Marco Estrada | TOR | at MIN | 23.4% | 135 | $7,200 | $6,200 | $12,300 | 4.69 | 5.11 | 21.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 30.0% | 27.6% | 89.8 | 8:10 PM |
| Chad Kuhl | PIT | at WAS | 20.5% | 240 | $7,100 | $5,600 | $11,300 | 4.68 | 4.38 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 40.7% | 35.7% | 95.4 | 7:05 PM |
| Michael Wacha | STL | CWS | 23.2% | -230 | $7,000 | $8,000 | $15,200 | 4.19 | 4.06 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 47.1% | 29.7% | 94.8 | 8:15 PM |
| Doug Fister | TEX | at CLE | 24.3% | 190 | $6,700 | N/A | N/A | 4.44 | 4.72 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 49.8% | 34.1% | 89.6 | 6:10 PM |
| Matt Koch | ARI | LAD | 21.2% | 180 | $6,400 | $5,200 | $10,400 | 4.25 | 3.86 | 20.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 53.8% | 35.9% | 92.1 | 9:40 PM |
| Nick Tropeano | LAA | BAL | 25.8% | -175 | $6,300 | $6,400 | $12,600 | 4.49 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 35.4% | 43.8% | 89.6 | 10:07 PM |
| Matt Boyd | DET | TB | 23.9% | 132 | $6,200 | $5,700 | $11,000 | 4.97 | 4.90 | 17.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 37.1% | 33.6% | 91.6 | 7:10 PM |
| Jarlin Garcia | MIA | PHI | 25.0% | -105 | $6,100 | $4,900 | $9,400 | 4.47 | 3.47 | 19.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 41.4% | 29.1% | 93.4 | 7:10 PM |
| Homer Bailey | CIN | MIL | 23.7% | 110 | $6,000 | $4,600 | $9,500 | 5.16 | 5.82 | 15.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 43.6% | 34.1% | 93.2 | 7:10 PM |
| Felix Hernandez | SEA | OAK | 23.7% | -113 | $5,900 | $6,600 | $12,600 | 4.31 | 4.53 | 20.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 44.4% | 31.0% | 90.1 | 10:10 PM |
| Zach Eflin | PHI | at MIA | 25.3% | 105 | $5,800 | $5,300 | $10,400 | 5.08 | 6.16 | 12.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 44.1% | 33.3% | 92.7 | 7:10 PM |
| Andrew Suarez | SF | SD | 26.3% | -125 | $5,700 | $5,400 | $11,000 | 1.71 | 6.75 | 35.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 61.5% | 53.9% | 91.0 | 10:15 PM |
| James Shields | CWS | at STL | 23.1% | 230 | $5,500 | $4,200 | $8,400 | 5.18 | 5.41 | 18.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 38.3% | 33.8% | 89.9 | 8:15 PM |
| Alex Cobb | BAL | at LAA | 20.2% | 175 | $5,500 | $4,300 | $8,200 | 4.55 | 4.24 | 16.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 47.6% | 37.1% | 91.6 | 10:07 PM |
| Mike Soroka | ATL | at NYM | 21.8% | 170 | N/A | $4,000 | $8,000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 7:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the pitching table are from the 2017 and 2018 seasons.
Offenses
| Offense | Run Total | RPG | +/- | Opp. Pitcher | P vs. LHB | P vs. RHB | L/R | Team wOBA | Team ISO | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 5.91 | 5.76 | 0.14 | Jon Gray | 0.313 | 0.305 | RIGHT | 0.335 | 0.172 | 8:05 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | 5.27 | 3.50 | 1.77 | Doug Fister | 0.348 | 0.315 | RIGHT | 0.304 | 0.176 | 6:10 PM |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 5.25 | 5.00 | 0.25 | James Shields | 0.388 | 0.352 | RIGHT | 0.315 | 0.156 | 8:15 PM |
| Boston Red Sox | 5.15 | 5.70 | -0.55 | Jakob Junis | 0.336 | 0.358 | RIGHT | 0.370 | 0.203 | 7:10 PM |
| Colorado Rockies | 5.09 | 4.27 | 0.83 | Kyle Hendricks | 0.326 | 0.299 | RIGHT | 0.273 | 0.135 | 8:05 PM |
| LA Angels of Anaheim | 4.93 | 5.00 | -0.07 | Alex Cobb | 0.340 | 0.338 | RIGHT | 0.314 | 0.167 | 10:07 PM |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 4.81 | 4.20 | 0.61 | Homer Bailey | 0.366 | 0.390 | RIGHT | 0.304 | 0.143 | 7:10 PM |
| Minnesota Twins | 4.71 | 4.00 | 0.71 | Marco Estrada | 0.279 | 0.337 | RIGHT | 0.321 | 0.171 | 8:10 PM |
| Cincinnati Reds | 4.69 | 3.50 | 1.19 | Chase Anderson | 0.268 | 0.303 | RIGHT | 0.295 | 0.110 | 7:10 PM |
| Houston Astros | 4.66 | 4.88 | -0.23 | Jordan Montgomery | 0.296 | 0.312 | LEFT | 0.327 | 0.182 | 8:10 PM |
| Washington Nationals | 4.56 | 4.52 | 0.04 | Chad Kuhl | 0.357 | 0.333 | RIGHT | 0.324 | 0.157 | 7:05 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 4.44 | 4.36 | 0.07 | Matt Boyd | 0.297 | 0.336 | LEFT | 0.355 | 0.189 | 7:10 PM |
| Seattle Mariners | 4.33 | 4.17 | 0.16 | Andrew Triggs | 0.343 | 0.308 | RIGHT | 0.325 | 0.193 | 10:10 PM |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 4.29 | 5.35 | -1.05 | Kyle Gibson | 0.328 | 0.380 | RIGHT | 0.322 | 0.203 | 8:10 PM |
| Miami Marlins | 4.28 | 3.38 | 0.91 | Zach Eflin | 0.381 | 0.341 | RIGHT | 0.263 | 0.084 | 7:10 PM |
| Texas Rangers | 4.23 | 3.62 | 0.61 | Mike Clevinger | 0.351 | 0.287 | RIGHT | 0.304 | 0.146 | 6:10 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 4.22 | 5.00 | -0.78 | Jarlin Garcia | 0.291 | 0.354 | LEFT | 0.317 | 0.132 | 7:10 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 4.21 | 4.52 | -0.31 | Matt Koch | 0.540 | 0.244 | RIGHT | 0.328 | 0.158 | 9:40 PM |
| Oakland Athletics | 4.17 | 5.12 | -0.95 | Felix Hernandez | 0.409 | 0.329 | RIGHT | 0.342 | 0.184 | 10:10 PM |
| New York Mets | 4.16 | 4.68 | -0.53 | Mike Soroka | RIGHT | 0.328 | 0.163 | 7:10 PM | ||
| Baltimore Orioles | 4.07 | 3.21 | 0.86 | Nick Tropeano | 0.369 | 0.438 | RIGHT | 0.284 | 0.148 | 10:07 PM |
| Detroit Tigers | 4.06 | 5.00 | -0.94 | Chris Archer | 0.323 | 0.291 | RIGHT | 0.317 | 0.169 | 7:10 PM |
| San Francisco Giants | 3.90 | 3.17 | 0.73 | Tyson Ross | 0.363 | 0.329 | RIGHT | 0.308 | 0.144 | 10:15 PM |
| New York Yankees | 3.84 | 6.17 | -2.33 | Justin Verlander | 0.300 | 0.317 | RIGHT | 0.354 | 0.210 | 8:10 PM |
| Chicago White Sox | 3.75 | 3.67 | 0.08 | Michael Wacha | 0.332 | 0.306 | RIGHT | 0.327 | 0.166 | 8:15 PM |
| San Diego Padres | 3.60 | 3.81 | -0.21 | Andrew Suarez | 0.143 | 0.344 | LEFT | 0.307 | 0.183 | 10:15 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | 3.34 | 5.52 | -2.18 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.264 | 0.263 | RIGHT | 0.330 | 0.163 | 7:10 PM |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 3.29 | 4.61 | -1.32 | Clayton Kershaw | 0.314 | 0.257 | LEFT | 0.321 | 0.207 | 9:40 PM |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 2.94 | 5.08 | -2.14 | Max Scherzer | 0.284 | 0.204 | RIGHT | 0.313 | 0.142 | 7:05 PM |
| Kansas City Royals | 2.85 | 3.27 | -0.42 | Chris Sale | 0.259 | 0.250 | LEFT | 0.312 | 0.144 | 7:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the team offense table are from the 2017 and 2018 seasons.
First Look Legend
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| Opp. K% | Strikeout rate of the opposing offense against the handedness of the pitcher |
| SIERA | Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average – A good predictor of future ERA |
| ERA | Earned Run Average |
| K% | Percentage of batters a pitcher strikes out |
| BB% | Percentage of batters that a pitcher walks |
| SS% | Swinging Strike Percentage |
| GB% | Ground Ball Percentage |
| HC% | Hard Contact Percentage |
| FBv | Average Fastball Velocity |
| Run Total | Implied run total based on the Vegas line and over/under |
| RPG | Average runs scored per game this season |
| +/- | The difference between a team’s implied run total and their average runs scored per game |
| P vs. LHB | The xwOBA a pitcher allows to left-handed hitters |
| P vs. RHB | The xwOBA a pitcher allows to right-handed hitters |
| Team wOBA | The team’s average wOBA against the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |
| Team ISO | The team’s average ISO against the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |