MLB Grind Down: Friday, July 3rd - Page Three
Minnesota at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| Minnesota | Kansas City | ||||||||
| Tommy Milone | | Jeremy Guthrie | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-146) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.222 | 0.643 | 0.287 | 0.111 | SP vs. Left | 0.308 | 0.868 | 0.379 | 0.145 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.274 | 0.779 | 0.342 | 0.159 | SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.618 | 0.276 | 0.124 |
| Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tommy Milone : FD: $6,800 — DK: $6,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 171.2 — SIERA: 4.58 — K%: 14.8% — BB%: 7.4% — FB Rate: 39.6% — HR/FB: 10.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 4.03 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 5.6% — FB Rate: 36.8% — HR/FB: 8.6%
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 15.4% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 17.9% (Rank: 9)
Pitchers per PA: 3.67 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Milone has been good, but not great this season, posting a 4.03 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.6% over the last month. He draws a very difficult matchup tonight against the Royals, who are ranked 16th in wOBA (.307) and first in strikeout rate (15.4%) against left-handed pitching this season. The strikeout potential just isn’t there tonight; Milone should be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:44.4
Jeremy Guthrie : FD: $5,700 — DK: $4,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 285.0 — SIERA: 4.52 — K%: 13.6% — BB%: 5.9% — FB Rate: 36.9% — HR/FB: 9.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.1 — SIERA: 3.83 — K%: 18.6% — BB%: 4.8% — FB Rate: 31.6% — HR/FB: 6.7%
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 12)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Guthrie has been better in his recent starts, but he’s still not a reliable pitching option. He has an above-average SIERA with a below-average strikeout rate. Even in a favorable matchup against a right-handed heavy lineup of the Twins, I will be avoiding Guthrie tonight. There are safer options for cash games and pitchers with more upside for tournaments.
Pitcher Rating:52.5
Batter Grind Down
Minnesota
The Twins may not hit right-handed pitching well, but they draw a favorable matchup tonight against Jeremy Guthrie, who has given up a .379 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Joe Mauer and Eddie Rosario could both make a rare appearance in some of my lineups tonight.
Elite Plays:
Joe Mauer : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 544 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 148
Secondary Plays:
Eddie Rosario : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 125 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 102
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.292 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 84
Kansas City
The Royals draw a favorable matchup tonight against Tommy Milone at home. Since the start of last season, Milone has given up a .342 wOBA to right-handed hitters. The left-handed bats in this lineup are also in play, but the right-handed hitters are the preferred targets in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 243 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 145
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 159
Kendrys Morales : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 266 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 94
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 142
Secondary Plays:
Salvador Perez : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 229 — wOBA: 0.276 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 73
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.245 — ISO: 0.244 — wRC+: 51
Alcides Escobar : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 242 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.101 — wRC+: 98
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.041 — wRC+: 90
San Diego at St. Louis – 8:15 PM EST
| San Diego | St. Louis | ||||||||
| Andrew Cashner | | Michael Wacha | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (-163) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.259 | 0.782 | 0.338 | 0.193 | SP vs. Left | 0.215 | 0.595 | 0.268 | 0.201 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.245 | 0.629 | 0.278 | 0.2 | SP vs. Right | 0.243 | 0.656 | 0.29 | 0.202 |
| Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Andrew Cashner : FD: $7,200 — DK: $7,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 219.1 — SIERA: 3.67 — K%: 19.7% — BB%: 6.3% — FB Rate: 31.8% — HR/FB: 9.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.1 — SIERA: 5.06 — K%: 13.2% — BB%: 10.9% — FB Rate: 30.9% — HR/FB: 10.3%
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 22.5% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Cashner has been awful over the last month, posting a 5.06 SIERA with a 13.2% strikeout rate. We never like to target pitchers in bad form and that’s not going to change tonight for Cashner. He should be avoided against the Cardinals, who are ranked sixth in wOBA (.323) and ninth in strikeout rate (19.0%) against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating:52.8
Michael Wacha : FD: $8,600 — DK: $9,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 201.1 — SIERA: 3.74 — K%: 20.1% — BB%: 6.6% — FB Rate: 33.5% — HR/FB: 6.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 2.91 — K%: 25.0% — BB%: 3.9% — FB Rate: 27.0% — HR/FB: 4.2%
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.292 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.285 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 27)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Wacha has been outstanding over the last month, posting a 2.91 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.0%. He has improved his command during that stretch and he has a great chance for another productive outing tonight. On the season, the Padres are ranked 26th in wOBA (.292) and 26th in strikeout rate (22.2%) against right-handed pitching. Dollar for dollar, Wacha is arguably the top pitching option on the board tonight.
Pitcher Rating:83.5
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
The Padres’ offense inspires little confidence right now. They have not hit right-handed pitching well on the season and they are ranked 24th in wOBA over the last 14 days. They can safely be avoided tonight against Michael Wacha, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .290 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite / Secondary Plays:
NONE
St. Louis
The Cardinals are actually in a good spot tonight against the struggling Andrew Cashner. The Cardinals hit right-handed pitching well as a team and Cashner has really struggled with left-handed hitters throughout his career. Hot-hitting Jason Heyward is my favorite play here, but Matt Carpenter and Kolten Wong are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Jason Heyward : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 709 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.468 — ISO: 0.280 — wRC+: 205
Secondary Plays:
Matt Carpenter : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 712 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 132
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.279 — ISO: 0.029 — wRC+: 76
Kolten Wong : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 591 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 149
Seattle at Oakland – 9:05 PM EST
| Seattle | Oakland | ||||||||
| J.A. Happ | | Jesse Chavez | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| OAK (-130) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.271 | 0.811 | 0.354 | 0.252 | SP vs. Left | 0.251 | 0.671 | 0.298 | 0.193 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.261 | 0.738 | 0.323 | 0.176 | SP vs. Right | 0.240 | 0.664 | 0.294 | 0.244 |
| Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
J.A. Happ : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 243.2 — SIERA: 3.95 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 7.1% — FB Rate: 38.0% — HR/FB: 10.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.1 — SIERA: 3.92 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 7.8% — FB Rate: 36.1% — HR/FB: 6.7%
Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 17.7% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 15.7% (Rank: 1)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Happ is one of those pitchers whose numbers check out, but you never really feel confident in rostering (similar to Ubaldo Jimenez). He has a 3.95 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.3% over the last two season, but he does struggle to keep the ball in the park at times. He’s an easy pitcher to avoid tonight, as he squares off against a pesky A’s offense that takes a ton of pitches and rarely strikes out.
Pitcher Rating:51.9
Jesse Chavez : FD: $8,700 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 235.1 — SIERA: 3.65 — K%: 21.6% — BB%: 7.3% — FB Rate: 35.6% — HR/FB: 9.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.2 — SIERA: 3.71 — K%: 20.3% — BB%: 6.3% — FB Rate: 31.9% — HR/FB: 10.0%
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.289 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 22.6% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.274 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 19)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Chavez has pitched well over the last month, posting a 3.71 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.3%. He has moved from a starter to a bullpen guy and back to a starter, but with his recent performances, he should stick in the rotation. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Mariners, who are ranked 28th in wOBA (.289) and 27th in strikeout rate (22.6%) against right-handed pitching this season. If you need a cheap SP2 tonight on DraftKings, give Chavez a look.
Pitcher Rating:77.5
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
The Mariners are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball. They don’t hit left or right-handed pitching well and they strike out at a high rate. At this point, they should not be on your radar, especially in a tough matchup against Jesse Chavez.
Elite / Secondary Plays:
NONE
Oakland
The A’s draw a decent matchup against J.A. Happ, who has given up a .323+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. They may not have as high of a team total as some other teams on the board, but the A’s can put up big offensive numbers against anyone, especially at home.
Elite Plays:
Josh Phegley : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.423 — ISO: 0.302 — wRC+: 178
Last 14 Days: PA: 25 — wOBA: 0.410 — ISO: 0.391 — wRC+: 170
Secondary Plays:
Ben Zobrist : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 233 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.126 — wRC+: 147
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.430 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 184
Stephen Vogt : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 152
Colorado at Arizona – 9:40 PM EST
| Colorado | Arizona | ||||||||
| Kyle Kendrick | | Chase Anderson | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ARI (-165) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.284 | 0.857 | 0.371 | 0.151 | SP vs. Left | 0.228 | 0.686 | 0.303 | 0.171 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.266 | 0.772 | 0.338 | 0.115 | SP vs. Right | 0.283 | 0.8 | 0.347 | 0.199 |
| Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | Batter Splits | ARI BvP | ARI vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Kyle Kendrick : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 295.1 — SIERA: 4.65 — K%: 13.1% — BB%: 6.7% — FB Rate: 36.2% — HR/FB: 13.4%
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 4.88 — K%: 12.3% — BB%: 5.4% — FB Rate: 43.3% — HR/FB: 17.8%
Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.67 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Kendrick has not pitched well in his short time with the Rockies. A fly-ball pitcher should never purposely make Coors Field his home ballpark. It’s just not going to work out. If Coors Field could talk, it would say, “”(player-popup)Kyle Kendrick”:/players/kyle-kendrick-10697, it’s not you, it’s me.” Even though tonight’s game is not in Coors, Chase Field isn’t that much better. Avoid Kendrick in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:32.6
Chase Anderson : FD: $6,200 — DK: $5,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 205.1 — SIERA: 4.01 — K%: 18.7% — BB%: 7.1% — FB Rate: 34.5% — HR/FB: 11.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 4.81 — K%: 11.3% — BB%: 5.7% — FB Rate: 35.4% — HR/FB: 20.0%
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Anderson takes the mound tonight for the Diamondbacks in what is expected to be one of the highest scoring games of the night. Anderson has struggled in his recent starts, posting a 4.81 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 11.3%. He should be avoided tonight against the Rockies, who are ranked second in wOBA (.333) against right-handed pitching this season (and yes, I know that their numbers are inflated by Coors Field).
Pitcher Rating:52.7
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
The Rockies may not be the same offense away from Coors Field, but they still have a favorable matchup in a hitter-friendly ballpark tonight. Since the start of last season, Chase Anderson has given up a .347 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Nolan Arenado and Troy Tulowitzki have the splits in their favor, but the left-handed bats in this lineup are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 590 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.521 — ISO: 0.569 — wRC+: 224
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 494 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 121
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.073 — wRC+: 138
Secondary Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 742 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 138
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 411 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.218 — wRC+: 101
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.253 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 40
Ben Paulsen : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 179 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 115
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 88
Arizona
The Diamondbacks have the highest team total on the board at close to five runs. They are facing a fly-ball pitcher in Kyle Kendrick that has given up 2.15 home runs per nine innings this season. Basically, the entire Diamondbacks’ lineup should be considered tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
David Peralta : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 465 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 128
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.261 — wRC+: 165
Jake Lamb : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 208 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 97
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.258 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 56
Secondary Plays:
Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $5,200 — DK: $6,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 651 — wOBA: 0.412 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 162
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.109 — wRC+: 137
A.J. Pollock : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 485 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 119
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 116
Jarrod Saltalamacchia : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 415 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 90
Last 14 Days: PA: 17 — wOBA: 0.414 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 163
NY Mets at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST
| NY Mets | LA Dodgers | ||||||||
| Noah Syndergaard | | Clayton Kershaw | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-237) | 6 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.237 | 0.635 | 0.274 | 0.173 | SP vs. Left | 0.211 | 0.556 | 0.247 | 0.319 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.277 | 0.722 | 0.316 | 0.299 | SP vs. Right | 0.200 | 0.555 | 0.247 | 0.323 |
| Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs L | Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Noah Syndergaard : FD: $8,200 — DK: $8,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 52.2 — SIERA: 3.11 — K%: 24.0% — BB%: 4.5% — FB Rate: 33.6% — HR/FB: 7.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.0 — SIERA: 3.36 — K%: 21.4% — BB%: 5.1% — FB Rate: 31.4% — HR/FB: 9.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.341 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 17)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: The final game of the night should be a good one. We have an up-and-coming pitcher in Syndergaard going up against the best pitcher in baseball in Clayton Kershaw. Syndergaard has a 3.11 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.0% on the season. The issue here is twofold. First off, the Dodgers are the best offense in baseball against right-handed pitching. And second, Syndergaard may literally have zero run support.
Pitcher Rating:68.4
Clayton Kershaw : FD: $12,300 — DK: $13,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 305.1 — SIERA: 2.15 — K%: 32.3% — BB%: 4.8% — FB Rate: 28.0% — HR/FB: 10.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.2 — SIERA: 1.91 — K%: 38.2% — BB%: 6.1% — FB Rate: 34.3% — HR/FB: 16.7%
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 23.8% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.234 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Kershaw is the chalk play in cash games tonight, although there are a few other options that will hopefully bring his ownership level down a little bit. Kershaw has been dominant over the last month, posting a 1.91 SIERA with an incredible strikeout rate of 38.2%. He should mow through this Mets’ offense that is one of the worst in baseball. A complete game shutout is not out of the question tonight for Kershaw. This is a special occasion, as Kershaw is the first pitcher of the season to receive the elusive pitcher rating of 100.
Pitcher Rating:100.0
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
Do you like winning your daily fantasy contests? If so, avoid the Mets tonight.
Elite / Secondary Plays:
NONE
LA Dodgers
The Dodgers draw a tough matchup against Noah Syndergaard, who has actually had reverse-splits in his first season in the majors. Even though they are favored to win tonight, there are better matchups to target for hitters.
Elite / Secondary Plays:
NONE