MLB Grind Down: Friday, July 10th - Page Two
Oakland at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST
| Oakland | Cleveland | ||||||||
 | Kendall Graveman |  | Danny Salazar | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CLE (-151) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.265 | 0.714 | 0.32 | 0.118 | SP vs. Left | 0.24 | 0.717 | 0.314 | 0.293 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.259 | 0.701 | 0.306 | 0.166 | SP vs. Right | 0.265 | 0.748 | 0.326 | 0.251 |
| Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Kendall Graveman : FD: $5,400 — DK: $6,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 81.2 — SIERA: 4.32 — K%: 14.2% — BB%: 7.0% — FB Rate: 27.9% — HR/FB: 10.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.0 — SIERA: 4.16 — K%: 15.1% — BB%: 5.0% — FB Rate: 31.8% — HR/FB: 8.6%
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.287 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.93 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Graveman has pitched better since being called back up from the minors, but he is a low strikeout pitcher with a bad matchup tonight against the Indians. Cleveland is ranked seventh in strikeout rate (18.9%) against right-handed pitching and third in pitches per plate appearance this season. Graveman is an easy avoid tonight in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:40.3
Danny Salazar : FD: $8,700 — DK: $8,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 200.0 — SIERA: 3.11 — K%: 26.9% — BB%: 7.1% — FB Rate: 39.8% — HR/FB: 12.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.1 — SIERA: 3.58 — K%: 22.7% — BB%: 6.7% — FB Rate: 41.5% — HR/FB: 11.8%
Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 17.7% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Salazar is a high-strikeout pitcher with a bad strikeout matchup. The A’s are ranked tenth in wOBA (.320) and fourth in strikeout rate (17.5%) against right-handed pitching this season. The A’s also take a ton of pitches, which drives up pitch counts. Salazar’s price has come down across the industry though, which does improve his fantasy appeal tonight. I’d still rather target a safer pick in cash games (i.e. Madison Bumgarner or Cole Hamels), but Salazar is a decent play at his price point.
Pitcher Rating:84.2
Batter Grind Down
Oakland
The A’s draw a tough matchup against Danny Salazar, but his splits against left and right-handed hitters haven’t exactly been dominant. Since the start of last season, he has given up a .314 wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Stephen Vogt : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 471 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 138
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.193 — ISO: 0.020 — wRC+: 18
Josh Reddick : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 528 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 149
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.272 — ISO: 0.075 — wRC+: 73
Cleveland
The Indians have not had nearly as much success on offense as they did earlier in the season. While they do draw a favorable matchup against Kendall Graveman, none of their hitters stand out as elite options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 630 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 154
Last 14 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 113
David Murphy : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 554 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 143
NY Yankees at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| NY Yankees | Boston | ||||||||
 | Michael Pineda |  | Clay Buchholz | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BOS (-113) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.229 | 0.641 | 0.278 | 0.22 | SP vs. Left | 0.264 | 0.726 | 0.322 | 0.199 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.251 | 0.654 | 0.284 | 0.246 | SP vs. Right | 0.265 | 0.697 | 0.309 | 0.197 |
| Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Michael Pineda : FD: $9,700 — DK: $8,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 176.0 — SIERA: 3.00 — K%: 23.3% — BB%: 2.8% — FB Rate: 35.6% — HR/FB: 7.7%
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.24 — K%: 23.4% — BB%: 4.8% — FB Rate: 34.9% — HR/FB: 10.0%
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 16.3% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 17.9% (Rank: 7)
Pitchers per PA: 3.98 (Rank: 1)
Analysis: Pineda is having a great season, but there are very few times when I will target a pitcher against the Red Sox in Fenway. Tonight is not one of them. The Red Sox are ranked tenth in wOBA (.320) and second in strikeout rate (16.3%) against right-handed pitching this season. They also average the most pitches per plate appearance of any team in baseball. There is more risk than potential reward tonight with Pineda.
Pitcher Rating:70.6
Clay Buchholz : FD: $8,600 — DK: $6,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 280.1 — SIERA: 3.69 — K%: 19.8% — BB%: 6.5% — FB Rate: 32.7% — HR/FB: 7.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 3.09 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 2.1% — FB Rate: 30.8% — HR/FB: 0.0%
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.285 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 18)
Pitchers per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Buchholz has really pitched well recently, posting a 3.09 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.1%. Much like Michael Pineda, the problem is the matchup. The Yankees are ranked fifth in wOBA (.328) and seventh in strikeout rate (18.9%) against right-handed pitching this season. The Yankees also average the fifth-most pitches per plate appearance. Both of these pitchers should be avoided tonight, as there is usually a lot of runs scored between these two teams.
Pitcher Rating:68.4
Batter Grind Down
NY Yankees
The Yankees are one of the best offenses in baseball against right-handed pitching and they are only going to get better now that Jacoby Ellsbury is back in the mix. Target the left-handed bats in this one, as Clay Buchholz has given up a .322 wOBA to hitters from the left side of the plate over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Brett Gardner : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 698 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.430 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 178
Secondary Plays:
Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 554 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 104
Last 14 Days: PA: 9 — wOBA: 0.273 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 68
Brian McCann : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 604 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 95
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.281 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 74
Boston
Even though I expect the Red Sox to score some runs tonight against Michael Pineda, there aren’t any individual hitters that stand out as elite plays at their respective positions. Pineda has held left and right-handed hitters under a .280 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Mookie Betts : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 433 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 122
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 109
David Ortiz : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 645 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 136
Last 14 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 159
Cincinnati at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| Cincinnati | Miami | ||||||||
 | Mike Leake |  | David Phelps | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CIN (-111) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.283 | 0.797 | 0.349 | 0.142 | SP vs. Left | 0.231 | 0.684 | 0.307 | 0.193 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.238 | 0.673 | 0.295 | 0.2 | SP vs. Right | 0.28 | 0.761 | 0.335 | 0.157 |
| Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs R | Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Mike Leake : FD: $6,100 — DK: $6,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 321.0 — SIERA: 3.66 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 5.9% — FB Rate: 25.3% — HR/FB: 14.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 3.42 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 5.3% — FB Rate: 14.5% — HR/FB: 12.5%
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.277 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: Leake has been very up and down this season. He’ll follow up a terrific outing with a terrible one and then he’ll bounce back in his next start. It’s hard to trust him in cash games at this point, even in a favorable matchup against the Marlins. He does see a strikeout-boost in this matchup though and his price point is very affordable on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He’s more of a tournament play, but he could make an interesting SP2 if you want to load up on hitters on DraftKings.
Pitcher Rating:64.1
David Phelps : FD: $6,100 — DK: $4,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 195.2 — SIERA: 4.21 — K%: 17.5% — BB%: 8.0% — FB Rate: 34.4% — HR/FB: 9.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.0 — SIERA: 4.01 — K%: 17.0% — BB%: 6.0% — FB Rate: 38.9% — HR/FB: 7.1%
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 18.1% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 15.5% (Rank: 1)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Phelps is like the kid at prom that was too shy to ask any of the girls to dance. In other words, he doesn’t see any action. He is rarely on anyone’s radar in daily fantasy and that’s not going to change tonight against the Reds, who are a competent offense. Like the wallflower, Phelps will go unnoticed tonight against Cincinnati.
Pitcher Rating:50.3
Batter Grind Down
Cincinnati
David Phelps is a reverse-splits pitcher, hitters from both sides of the plate are in play against him. The problem here is the ballpark. There are teams with much higher totals tonight, which leaves the Reds as secondary plays tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Todd Frazier : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 784 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 133
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.228 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 38
Joey Votto : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 455 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 134
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.109 — wRC+: 74
Miami
Since the start of the 2014 season, Mike Leake has given up a .352 wOBA to hitters from the left side of the plate. While the Marlins are still missing their best hitter in Giancarlo Stanton, they have quite a few left-handed bats to throw at Leake tonight.
Elite Plays:
Dee Gordon : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 768 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.087 — wRC+: 102
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 75
Justin Bour : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 227 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.441 — ISO: 0.424 — wRC+: 186
Secondary Plays:
Christian Yelich : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 692 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.485 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 215
Derek Dietrich : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 208 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.183 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 28 — wOBA: 0.278 — ISO: 0.040 — wRC+: 73
San Diego at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| San Diego | Texas | ||||||||
 | Ian Kennedy |  | Wandy Rodriguez | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TEX (-123) | 9.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.237 | 0.727 | 0.317 | 0.243 | SP vs. Left | 0.299 | 0.85 | 0.366 | 0.144 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.263 | 0.763 | 0.335 | 0.232 | SP vs. Right | 0.278 | 0.836 | 0.36 | 0.182 |
| Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs L | Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Ian Kennedy : FD: $7,300 — DK: $7,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 281.0 — SIERA: 3.53 — K%: 23.7% — BB%: 7.9% — FB Rate: 37.6% — HR/FB: 11.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 3.67 — K%: 20.6% — BB%: 5.0% — FB Rate: 39.0% — HR/FB: 15.4%
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Kennedy has pitched well over the last two seasons, posting a 3.53 SIERA with a high strikeout rate of 23.7%. His ERA is much higher than his SIERA, which keeps his price tag at an affordable place on both FanDuel and DraftKings. The only issue with Kennedy is his matchup. The Rangers are ranked seventh in wOBA (.321) against right-handed pitching and he has to face them in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park. He should FINALLY get run support tonight, but he’ll likely give up a few runs of his own.
Pitcher Rating:59.6
Wandy Rodriguez : FD: $6,400 — DK: $5,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 105.1 — SIERA: 4.31 — K%: 17.4% — BB%: 8.2% — FB Rate: 35.9% — HR/FB: 14.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.0 — SIERA: 4.92 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 10.0% — FB Rate: 35.8% — HR/FB: 11.8%
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 24.6% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.274 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Rodriguez is a fly-ball pitcher with an above-average HR/FB rate. He also gives up a high wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. How on Earth does he not give up ten runs a game? Even though the Padres’ offense has been downright awful this season, they “should” be able to get it going tonight. Avoid Rodriguez in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:50.9
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
The Padres draw a terrific matchup against Wandy Rodriguez in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park. Since the start of last season, Rodriguez has given up a .360+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. This may be the first time in months that I am going to recommend loading up on Padres in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Matt Kemp : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 241 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 105
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 100
Derek Norris : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 245 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 139
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.265 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 70
Secondary Plays:
Jedd Gyorko : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 160 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 113
Yangervis Solarte : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 242 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 104
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.308 — wRC+: 153
Texas
The Rangers hit right-handed pitching well as a team and they draw a decent matchup at home against Ian Kennedy, who has given up a .317+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Both offenses are strong targets in what is expected to be one of the highest scoring games of the night.
Elite Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 328 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 148
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 151
Adrian Beltre : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 644 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.142 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.257 — ISO: 0.061 — wRC+: 55
Secondary Plays:
Delino Deshields Jr. : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.112 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 14 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 97
Shin-Soo Choo : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 575 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 85
Detroit at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Detroit | Minnesota | ||||||||
 | Justin Verlander |  | Ervin Santana | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIN (-135) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.242 | 0.713 | 0.315 | 0.188 | SP vs. Left | 0.277 | 0.758 | 0.33 | 0.189 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.311 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.149 | SP vs. Right | 0.223 | 0.663 | 0.296 | 0.258 |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Justin Verlander : FD: $7,300 — DK: $6,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 228.2 — SIERA: 4.30 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 7.5% — FB Rate: 41.0% — HR/FB: 8.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.2 — SIERA: 5.43 — K%: 11.4% — BB%: 9.5% — FB Rate: 44.3% — HR/FB: 17.1%
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.329 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 12)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: After Verlander’s disappointing 2014 campaign, Kate Upton knew when to jump ship. Losing your pitching form and your girl is not a contrarian play that is not going to pay off my friend. Verlander has been very hittable this season and that should continue tonight against the Twins, who have the sixth-highest team wOBA (.329) over the last two weeks of play.
Pitcher Rating:40.1
Ervin Santana : FD: $7,300 — DK: $7,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 204.0 — SIERA: 3.63 — K%: 22.1% — BB%: 7.8% — FB Rate: 33.0% — HR/FB: 9.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 8.0 — SIERA: 3.45 — K%: 27.6% — BB%: 10.3% — FB Rate: 47.1% — HR/FB: 12.5%
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.390 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 11)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Santana looked great in his first start of the season, striking out eight batters while only giving up a single run in eight innings of work. He’s a pitcher that can string together dominant performances. The price point is very appealing, I just wish he wasn’t facing the Tigers. Detroit is ranked second in wOBA (.331) against right-handed pitching and first in wOBA (.390) over the last 14 days.
Pitcher Rating:65.7
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
The Tigers face Ervin Santana, who is making his second start of the season. Santana gave up a .333 wOBA to left-handed hitters last season, so if you are targeting any of the hitters here, target the ones that can hit from the left side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
Alex Avila : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 415 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 25 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 132
Secondary Plays:
Victor Martinez : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 642 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 127
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 142
Minnesota
Justin Verlander has really struggled in his first few starts this season. The Twins’ offense is a very sneaky stack tonight and I don’t mind targeting a few of their hitters in cash games as well. The right-handed bats have the splits in their favor, as Verlander has some serious reverse-splits.
Elite Plays:
Brian Dozier : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 758 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 119
Last 14 Days: PA: 65 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.254 — wRC+: 114
Miguel Sano : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 15 — wOBA: 0.610 — ISO: 0.308 — wRC+: 306
Last 14 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.467 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 205
Secondary Plays:
Torii Hunter : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 642 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.375 — wRC+: 143
Trevor Plouffe : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 639 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 108
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 132