MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, July 22nd - Page Two
Texas at Colorado – 3:10 PM EST
| Texas | Colorado | ||||||||
 | Martin Perez |  | Jorge De La Rosa | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| COL (-142) | 11 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.245 | 0.69 | 0.306 | 0.25 | SP vs. Left | 0.223 | 0.631 | 0.281 | 0.244 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.297 | 0.81 | 0.357 | 0.136 | SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.753 | 0.331 | 0.18 |
| Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs L | Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Martin Perez : FD: $5,600 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 56.1 — SIERA: 4.16 — ERA: 4.47 — K%: 16.2% — BB%: 9.2% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 4.67 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 9.1% — BB%: 9.1% — HR/9: 0.0
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 24.6% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.387 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 27)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: I was disappointed to see that this game wasn’t included in the early slate on FanDuel, but with a five hour time difference from the first game, it may have been a smart move, as the lineups for this game probably won’t be out by the time leagues lock. Matt Harrison had success against the Rockies in Coors last night, but that doesn’t mean that Martin Perez will have any success today. Expect the Rockies to bounce back in a big way.
Pitcher Rating:36.0
Jorge De La Rosa : FD: $6,700 — DK: $6,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 266.0 — SIERA: 4.05 — ERA: 4.16 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 4.24 — ERA: 3.44 — K%: 19.9% — BB%: 11.6% — HR/9: 1.9
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 23.6% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 9)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: De La Rosa is the ace of this Rockies’ pitching staff and while he somehow has decent numbers at Coors Field in his career, he is not a recommended fantasy option. This game has the highest run total on the board for a reason.
Pitcher Rating:48.8
Batter Grind Down
Texas
The Rangers put up nine runs in a win over the Rockies last night as Shin-Soo Choo hit for the cycle. They will look to continue their offensive onslaught today against Jorge De La Rosa, who has given up a .331 wOBA to right-handed hitters this season. Load up on Rangers in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Delino Deshields Jr. : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.283 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 73
Adrian Beltre : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 252 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 142
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 157
Secondary Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 213 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 107
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.108 — wRC+: 74
Rougned Odor : FD: $3,900 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 187 — wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.096 — wRC+: 77
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 159
Colorado
Even though they put up a zero last night at home, the Rockies are still the top offense to target in today’s slate of games. They draw a terrific matchup against Martin Perez and they get to face him at home. Since the start of last season, Perez has given up a .357 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Load up on the right-handed bats in this lineup and don’t be afraid to target Charlie Blackmon against the southpaw as well.
Elite Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 202 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.236 — wRC+: 124
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 99
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $4,600 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 170 — wOBA: 0.504 — ISO: 0.336 — wRC+: 212
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.437 — ISO: 0.310 — wRC+: 167
Wilin Rosario : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 162 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 130
Last 14 Days: PA: 19 — wOBA: 0.246 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 36
DJ LeMahieu : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 212 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.031 — wRC+: 78
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.448 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 174
Secondary Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 258 — wOBA: 0.293 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 68
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.471 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 190
Drew Stubbs : FD: $3,300 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 184 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 129
Last 14 Days: PA: 17 — wOBA: 0.769 — ISO: 1.000 — wRC+: 395
San Francisco at San Diego – 3:40 PM EST
| San Francisco | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Matt Cain |  | James Shields | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-111) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.25 | 0.763 | 0.338 | 0.189 | SP vs. Left | 0.266 | 0.767 | 0.336 | 0.198 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.237 | 0.744 | 0.32 | 0.191 | SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.702 | 0.308 | 0.239 |
| Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs R | Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Matt Cain : FD: $7,300 — DK: $7,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 106.1 — SIERA: 4.10 — ERA: 4.32 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 8.6% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 16.0 — SIERA: 4.05 — ERA: 5.06 — K%: 20.3% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 1.7
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Cain has been good, but not great in his first three starts coming back from injury. He owns a 4.05 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.3%. I doubt that he will ever be the same pitcher that he was a few years back, but he can still be a quality starter in the majors. He has a good chance to post his best outing of the season today, as he takes on the Padres in Petco Park. On the season, San Diego is ranked 28th in wOBA (.291) and 25th in strikeout rate (22.0%) against right-handed pitching. I wish Cain was a little cheaper, but he still deserves consideration as an SP2 in the early slate.
Pitcher Rating:57.5
James Shields : FD: $9,300 — DK: $9,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 348.2 — SIERA: 3.47 — ERA: 3.46 — K%: 21.8% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 4.23 — ERA: 4.76 — K%: 22.0% — BB%: 12.7% — HR/9: 1.1
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 18.0% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.340 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Shields has not pitched well recently, posting a 4.23 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.0% over the last month of play. What may be most alarming is his 12.7% walk rate during that stretch. His command is not where he wants it to be, which could cause big problems against a team like the Giants that rarely swings at bad pitches. The appeal of pitching at Petco is there, but Shields is a bit overpriced for his matchup. I’d rather target Noah Syndergaard or Jordan Zimmermann.
Pitcher Rating:70.7
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
Even though I will have zero shares of James Shields tonight, I will not be targeting many hitters against him either. The Giants are playing in the worst ballpark for offensive production and they are facing an All-Star caliber type of pitcher. They could score some runs here, but why take the chance when there is a game in Coors Field?
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
San Diego
The Padres inspire very little confidence at this point in the season. We all thought that they’d eventually turn it around (at least against left-handed pitching), but we may be waiting for a rescue boat that’s never going to come. I have zero interest in the Padres today, as they square off against Matt Cain at home.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Baltimore at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM EST
| Baltimore | NY Yankees | ||||||||
 | Kevin Gausman |  | Ivan Nova | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYY (-122) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.261 | 0.728 | 0.322 | 0.181 | SP vs. Left | 0.33 | 0.816 | 0.357 | 0.091 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.642 | 0.284 | 0.203 | SP vs. Right | 0.291 | 0 | 0.434 | 0.161 |
| Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs R | Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Kevin Gausman : FD: $6,200 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 140.1 — SIERA: 4.03 — ERA: 3.85 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 15.0 — SIERA: 4.01 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 0.6
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Gausman is awfully cheap on DraftKings tonight ($4,000), but he’s still nothing more than a deep tournament option against the Yankees. He has a decent strikeout rate, but the Yankees are one of the best offenses in baseball. On the season, they are ranked fourth in wOBA (.328) and eighth in strikeout rate (18.9%) against right-handed pitching. It doesn’t help that he has to face them in the hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.
Pitcher Rating:45.6
Ivan Nova : FD: $6,800 — DK: $5,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 44.1 — SIERA: 4.58 — ERA: 5.68 — K%: 12.2% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 1.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 23.2 — SIERA: 4.74 — ERA: 3.42 — K%: 11.9% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.1
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 22.4% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Nova may have a 3.42 ERA over the last month, but his indicators leave us with some red flags. His SIERA is close to 5.00, while his strikeout rate is sitting at 11.9%. That’s not going to get it done in the American League East. He draws a plus-matchup against the Orioles in terms of strikeout potential, but Baltimore has a ton of power in their lineup. Nova should be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating:49.2
Batter Grind Down
Baltimore
The Orioles draw a favorable matchup against Ivan Nova, who has not been sharp in his recent starts. Nova has given up a career .378 wOBA to left-handed hitters, making Chris Davis and Matt Wieters both strong plays at their respective positions. Adam Jones and Manny Machado are also in play, as they have both been swinging hot bats recently.
Elite Plays:
Chris Davis : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 623 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.217 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 30 — wOBA: 0.282 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 76
Matt Wieters : FD: $2,600 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 161 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 133
Last 14 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.269 — ISO: 0.038 — wRC+: 66
Secondary Plays:
Adam Jones : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 778 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 101
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.475 — ISO: 0.429 — wRC+: 211
Manny Machado : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 552 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 140
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.427 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 177
NY Yankees
Since the game in Coors Field is in the early slate, we should see a much wider variety of picks at position players tonight. The Yankees’ offense is a good one to target, as they have plenty of left-handed hitters to throw at Kevin Gausman. Since the start of last season, Gausman has given up a .322 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
Brett Gardner : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 709 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 125
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.118 — wRC+: 148
Mark Teixeira : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 604 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 119
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.294 — wRC+: 160
Secondary Plays:
Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 566 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.118 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.244 — ISO: 0.088 — wRC+: 48
Brian McCann : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 616 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 95
Last 14 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 92
Seattle at Detroit – 7:08 PM EST
| Seattle | Detroit | ||||||||
 | Mike Montgomery |  | Anibal Sanchez | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| DET (-131) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.255 | 0.721 | 0.322 | 0.226 | SP vs. Left | 0.212 | 0.605 | 0.268 | 0.223 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.205 | 0.57 | 0.255 | 0.159 | SP vs. Right | 0.25 | 0.721 | 0.315 | 0.181 |
| Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Michael Montgomery : FD: $7,800 — DK: $7,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 61.0 — SIERA: 4.07 — ERA: 2.51 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.2 — SIERA: 3.37 — ERA: 2.34 — K%: 22.3% — BB%: 5.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.339 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 23.6% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 24)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Montgomery has had a much lower ERA than SIERA this season, which is usually something to monitor in DFS, but the SIERA has improved in his recent starts. Over the last month of play, Mongomery has a 3.37 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.3%. The big issue here is his matchup against the Tigers. On the season, Detroit is ranked second in wOBA (.339) and 25th in strikeout rate (23.6%) against left-handed pitching.
Pitcher Rating:53.5
Anibal Sanchez : FD: $8,700 — DK: $9,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 250.2 — SIERA: 3.75 — ERA: 3.99 — K%: 20.5% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 4.46 — ERA: 4.28 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 1.6
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 15)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Sanchez has struggled in his recent starts, posting a 4.46 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.1% over the last month of play. If this game was being played a month ago, Sanchez would be a viable pitching option tonight. The problem is that the Mariners have shown signs of life recently. They are ranked seventh in wOBA (.335) over the last 14 days. Sanchez can safely be avoided in what is expected to be a high-scoring game.
Pitcher Rating:64.5
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
The Mariners are facing Anibal Sanchez at the perfect time. Not only is their offense finally starting to put some runs on the board, but Sanchez is in less than stellar form recently. Sanchez has given up a higher wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons, but I still favor the bats from the left side of the plate in this matchup.
Elite Plays:
Robinson Cano : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 687 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 134
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.326 — wRC+: 158
Secondary Plays:
Nelson Cruz : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 808 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 130
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.057 — wRC+: 143
Seth Smith : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 708 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 129
Last 14 Days: PA: 23 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 168
Detroit
The Tigers have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight, as they take on Mike Montgomery at home. Montgomery has pitched well this season, but again, the Tigers are one of the best hitting teams against left-handed pitching. All of the right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play tonight.
Elite Plays:
J.D. Martinez : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 207 — wOBA: 0.402 — ISO: 0.291 — wRC+: 160
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 115
Secondary Plays:
Ian Kinsler : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 261 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 97
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.477 — ISO: 0.343 — wRC+: 213
Victor Martinez : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 212 — wOBA: 0.475 — ISO: 0.284 — wRC+: 211
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.316 — wRC+: 157
Rajai Davis : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 236 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.199 — wRC+: 153
Last 14 Days: PA: 17 — wOBA: 0.178 — ISO: 0.059 — wRC+: 3
St. Louis at Chicago White Sox – 8:10 PM EST
| St. Louis | Chicago White Sox | ||||||||
 | Lance Lynn |  | John Danks | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (-137) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.231 | 0.68 | 0.305 | 0.189 | SP vs. Left | 0.24 | 0.685 | 0.306 | 0.119 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.24 | 0.641 | 0.286 | 0.253 | SP vs. Right | 0.283 | 0.838 | 0.364 | 0.164 |
| Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs L | Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Lance Lynn : FD: $9,600 — DK: $9,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 307.0 — SIERA: 3.67 — ERA: 2.76 — K%: 22.5% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.0 — SIERA: 3.16 — ERA: 2.10 — K%: 27.9% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 0.6
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.283 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: Lynn has been sharp since returning from injury, posting a 3.16 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27.9%. He walks a few too many batters for my liking, but the high strikeout rate more than makes up for it. He draws a nice matchup tonight against ths White Sox, who are ranked 24th in wOBA (.297) and 13th in strikeout rate (19.6%) against right-handed pitching this season. Lynn should be considered in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating:82.0
John Danks : FD: $6,200 — DK: $5,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 291.1 — SIERA: 4.58 — ERA: 4.82 — K%: 15.3% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.2 — SIERA: 4.79 — ERA: 4.37 — K%: 15.2% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 1.2
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.289 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 24.0% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 16)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Danks is an automatic avoid every time he takes the mound. He may have a quality start every now and then, but he has trouble with right-handed hitters and almost every team in baseball has at least a couple of quality right-handed bats. The matchup against the Cardinals is a favorable one, but I want no part of Danks tonight or anytime in the future.
Pitcher Rating:41.6
Batter Grind Down
St. Louis
As mentioned above, John Danks does not fare well against right-handed hitters. Since the start of last season, he has given up a .367 wOBA to hitters from the right side of the plate. Jhonny Peralta and Matt Holliday are both excellent targets tonight, while Randal Grichuck and Yadier Molina are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Jhonny Peralta : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 234 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 141
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.401 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 160
Matt Holliday : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 222 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 171
Last 14 Days: PA: 7 — wOBA: 0.181 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 8
Secondary Plays:
Randal Grichuk : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 203 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 129
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.457 — ISO: 0.316 — wRC+: 199
Yadier Molina : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 589 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 96
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.229 — ISO: 0.023 — wRC+: 42
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox put up five runs last night, but they are still slumping offensively. They draw a very tough matchup against Lance Lynn, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Sox can be avoided tonight in all league formats.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE