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MLB First Look: Saturday, September 3rd

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The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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First Look Legend

Term Description
SIERA Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average – A good predictor of future ERA
K% Percentage of batters a pitcher strikes out
BB% Percentage of batters that a pitcher walks
O-wOBA The opposing team’s wOBA (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher
O-K% The opposing team’s strikeout rate (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher
T-Total The number of runs a team is projected to score
T-wOBA A team’s wOBA (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing
T-ISO A team’s ISO (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing

MLB Schedule & Lines

Road Team Home Team A-Pitcher H-Pitcher Ballpark Vegas Line Run Total Time (ET)
San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs Madison Bumgarner – L Jake Arrieta – R Wrigley Field CHC -145 7.0 2:20 PM
Houston Astros at Texas Rangers Joe Musgrove – R Derek Holland – L Rangers Ballpark HOU -123 9.5 4:05 PM
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Jaime Garcia – L Dan Straily – R Great American Park STL -125 9.0 4:10 PM
Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays Marco Estrada – R Blake Snell – L Tropicana Field TOR -120 8.0 6:10 PM
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Blair – R Vince Velasquez – R Citizens Bank Park PHI -141 8.5 7:05 PM
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Jimmy Nelson – R Ivan Nova – R PNC Park PIT -180 8.5 7:05 PM
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles CC Sabathia – L Kevin Gausman – R Camden Yards BAL -140 9.0 7:05 PM
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins James Shields – R Hector Santiago – L Target Field MIN -130 10.0 7:10 PM
Miami Marlins at Cleveland Indians Jose Fernandez – R Trevor Bauer – R Progressive Field MIA -111 7.5 7:10 PM
Washington Nationals at New York Mets Tanner Roark – R Robert Gsellman – R Citi Field WAS -126 7.5 7:10 PM
Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Michael Fulmer – R Yordano Ventura – R Kauffman Stadium KC -110 8.0 7:15 PM
Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Braden Shipley – R Tyler Chatwood – R Coors Field COL -145 12.0 8:10 PM
Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics Rick Porcello – R Zach Neal – R O.co Coliseum BOS -180 8.0 9:05 PM
LA Angels of Anaheim at Seattle Mariners Tyler Skaggs – L Taijuan Walker – R Safeco Field SEA -115 8.5 9:10 PM
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Luis Perdomo – R Rich Hill – L Dodger Stadium LAD -200 7.5 9:10 PM

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitcher Team FD Salary DK Salary SIERA (15-16) K% (15-16) BB% (15-16) Opp. Line O-wOBA O-K% Time (ET)
Jose Fernandez MIA $10,900 $12,000 2.75 33.5% 7.0% at CLE -111 0.329 20.5% 7:10 PM
Rich Hill LAD $8,700 $11,700 3.20 29.3% 7.5% SD -200 0.331 24.8% 9:10 PM
Vince Velasquez PHI $8,400 $8,300 3.69 26.7% 8.7% ATL -141 0.300 19.3% 7:05 PM
Madison Bumgarner SF $10,200 $10,200 3.20 27.2% 5.4% at CHC 145 0.349 19.7% 2:20 PM
Rick Porcello BOS $10,000 $11,700 3.76 20.6% 4.5% at OAK -180 0.300 18.9% 9:05 PM
Jaime Garcia STL $7,800 $7,000 3.70 19.3% 6.7% at CIN -125 0.299 22.9% 4:10 PM
Kevin Gausman BAL $8,700 $8,500 3.74 22.9% 6.3% NYY -140 0.313 19.7% 7:05 PM
Jake Arrieta CHC $10,300 $9,200 3.26 25.8% 7.3% SF -145 0.319 17.2% 2:20 PM
Ivan Nova PIT $7,300 $8,900 4.21 16.8% 6.2% MIL -180 0.309 25.8% 7:05 PM
Michael Fulmer DET $8,500 $9,600 4.00 20.6% 6.5% at KC 110 0.300 20.3% 7:15 PM
Joe Musgrove HOU $7,300 $6,300 3.54 23.5% 4.4% at TEX -123 0.321 20.0% 4:05 PM
Trevor Bauer CLE $8,200 $8,100 4.25 21.9% 9.8% MIA 111 0.314 18.7% 7:10 PM
CC Sabathia NYY $7,400 $7,300 4.21 19.4% 7.7% at BAL 140 0.295 21.9% 7:05 PM
Yordano Ventura KC $8,700 $6,700 4.14 20.3% 8.8% DET -110 0.329 21.2% 7:15 PM
Marco Estrada TOR $8,000 $8,600 4.48 20.0% 8.0% at TB -120 0.317 23.7% 6:10 PM
Dan Straily CIN $6,900 $8,100 4.63 19.8% 8.7% STL 125 0.336 21.0% 4:10 PM
Tanner Roark WAS $8,700 $9,100 4.22 17.7% 6.9% at NYM -126 0.307 21.8% 7:10 PM
Tyler Skaggs LAA $6,600 $8,800 4.43 21.9% 10.0% at SEA 115 0.315 21.4% 9:10 PM
Taijuan Walker SEA $7,000 $6,300 3.85 21.5% 5.6% LAA -115 0.316 15.9% 9:10 PM
Luis Perdomo SD $6,600 $7,700 4.14 16.1% 8.0% at LAD 200 0.327 20.9% 9:10 PM
Blake Snell TB $7,600 $5,700 4.68 23.2% 12.9% TOR 120 0.334 19.8% 6:10 PM
Jimmy Nelson MIL $6,200 $4,700 4.46 18.5% 9.4% at PIT 180 0.310 20.9% 7:05 PM
Robert Gsellman NYM $5,500 $4,200 4.84 17.5% 10.0% WAS 126 0.321 19.3% 7:10 PM
James Shields CWS $6,400 $5,000 4.33 20.8% 9.4% at MIN 130 0.316 21.7% 7:10 PM
Derek Holland TEX $6,900 $5,000 4.81 15.6% 7.1% HOU 123 0.321 23.1% 4:05 PM
Aaron Blair ATL $4,100 $4,000 5.81 12.4% 11.2% at PHI 141 0.296 22.0% 7:05 PM
Hector Santiago MIN $7,500 $4,300 4.68 20.1% 9.6% CWS -130 0.327 21.6% 7:10 PM
Tyler Chatwood COL $6,000 $5,700 4.79 16.2% 10.7% ARI -145 0.312 22.5% 8:10 PM
Zach Neal OAK $5,200 $4,100 4.31 9.1% 1.1% BOS 180 0.350 18.2% 9:05 PM
Braden Shipley ARI $5,500 $4,000 5.60 13.0% 10.2% at COL 145 0.342 20.5% 8:10 PM

Team Run Totals

Team Opposing Pitcher Handedness Ballpark T-Total P vs. LHB P vs. RHB T-wOBA T-ISO Time (ET)
Colorado Rockies Braden Shipley RIGHT Coors Field 6.26 0.336 0.397 0.342 0.190 8:10 PM
Arizona Diamondbacks Tyler Chatwood RIGHT Coors Field 5.74 0.311 0.313 0.312 0.156 8:10 PM
Minnesota Twins James Shields RIGHT Target Field 5.18 0.375 0.335 0.316 0.163 7:10 PM
Houston Astros Derek Holland LEFT Rangers Ballpark 4.89 0.279 0.342 0.321 0.183 4:05 PM
Chicago White Sox Hector Santiago LEFT Target Field 4.82 0.308 0.330 0.327 0.161 7:10 PM
Baltimore Orioles CC Sabathia LEFT Camden Yards 4.73 0.259 0.345 0.295 0.153 7:05 PM
Pittsburgh Pirates Jimmy Nelson RIGHT PNC Park 4.71 0.358 0.298 0.310 0.139 7:05 PM
St. Louis Cardinals Dan Straily RIGHT Great American Park 4.65 0.304 0.304 0.336 0.200 4:10 PM
Texas Rangers Joe Musgrove RIGHT Rangers Ballpark 4.61 0.341 0.328 0.321 0.171 4:05 PM
Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Blair RIGHT Citizens Bank Park 4.49 0.438 0.357 0.296 0.159 7:05 PM
Boston Red Sox Zach Neal RIGHT O.co Coliseum 4.46 0.343 0.323 0.350 0.185 9:05 PM
Cincinnati Reds Jaime Garcia LEFT Great American Park 4.35 0.299 0.292 0.299 0.156 4:10 PM
Seattle Mariners Tyler Skaggs LEFT Safeco Field 4.34 0.320 0.330 0.315 0.166 9:10 PM
Los Angeles Dodgers Luis Perdomo RIGHT Dodger Stadium 4.33 0.358 0.370 0.327 0.175 9:10 PM
New York Yankees Kevin Gausman RIGHT Camden Yards 4.27 0.283 0.360 0.313 0.158 7:05 PM
LA Angels of Anaheim Taijuan Walker RIGHT Safeco Field 4.16 0.308 0.318 0.316 0.145 9:10 PM
Toronto Blue Jays Blake Snell LEFT Tropicana Field 4.12 0.290 0.340 0.334 0.178 6:10 PM
Kansas City Royals Michael Fulmer RIGHT Kauffman Stadium 4.06 0.266 0.287 0.300 0.129 7:15 PM
Atlanta Braves Vince Velasquez RIGHT Citizens Bank Park 4.01 0.328 0.321 0.300 0.132 7:05 PM
Detroit Tigers Yordano Ventura RIGHT Kauffman Stadium 3.94 0.320 0.302 0.329 0.172 7:15 PM
Washington Nationals Robert Gsellman RIGHT Citi Field 3.90 0.401 0.285 0.321 0.168 7:10 PM
Tampa Bay Rays Marco Estrada RIGHT Tropicana Field 3.88 0.273 0.284 0.317 0.192 6:10 PM
Miami Marlins Trevor Bauer RIGHT Progressive Field 3.82 0.310 0.305 0.314 0.133 7:10 PM
Milwaukee Brewers Ivan Nova RIGHT PNC Park 3.79 0.371 0.314 0.309 0.156 7:05 PM
Chicago Cubs Madison Bumgarner LEFT Wrigley Field 3.76 0.247 0.272 0.349 0.190 2:20 PM
Cleveland Indians Jose Fernandez RIGHT Progressive Field 3.68 0.314 0.229 0.329 0.182 7:10 PM
New York Mets Tanner Roark RIGHT Citi Field 3.60 0.316 0.295 0.307 0.168 7:10 PM
Oakland Athletics Rick Porcello RIGHT O.co Coliseum 3.54 0.309 0.316 0.300 0.147 9:05 PM
San Francisco Giants Jake Arrieta RIGHT Wrigley Field 3.24 0.230 0.242 0.319 0.146 2:20 PM
San Diego Padres Rich Hill LEFT Dodger Stadium 3.17 0.189 0.250 0.331 0.176 9:10 PM

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious