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MLB First Look: Sunday, August 14th

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The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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First Look Legend

Term Description
SIERA Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average – A good predictor of future ERA
K% Percentage of batters a pitcher strikes out
BB% Percentage of batters that a pitcher walks
O-wOBA The opposing team’s wOBA (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher
O-K% The opposing team’s strikeout rate (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher
T-Total The number of runs a team is projected to score
T-wOBA A team’s wOBA (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing
T-ISO A team’s ISO (2016) vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing

MLB Schedule & Lines

Road Team Home Team A-Pitcher H-Pitcher Ballpark Vegas Line Run Total Time (ET)
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Jake Odorizzi – R Luis Severino – R Yankee Stadium NYY -110 8.5 1:05 PM
Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays Mike Fiers – R Marcus Stroman – R Rogers Centre TOR -155 9.0 1:07 PM
Chicago White Sox at Miami Marlins Chris Sale – L Tom Koehler – R Marlins Park CWS -120 7.0 1:10 PM
LA Angels of Anaheim at Cleveland Indians Jered Weaver – R Trevor Bauer – R Progressive Field CLE -185 9.5 1:10 PM
San Diego Padres at New York Mets Clayton Richard – L Steven Matz – L Citi Field NYM -175 8.5 1:10 PM
Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox Zack Greinke – R Rick Porcello – R Fenway Park BOS -150 9.0 1:35 PM
Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals Tyrell Jenkins – R Tanner Roark – R Nationals Park WAS -215 8.5 1:35 PM
Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies Tyler Chatwood – R Adam Morgan – L Citizens Bank Park COL -133 9.0 1:35 PM
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Cody Reed – L Wily Peralta – R Miller Park MIL -115 9.5 2:10 PM
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Edinson Volquez – R Hector Santiago – L Target Field MIN -120 9.0 2:10 PM
Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers Michael Fulmer – R A.J. Griffin – R Rangers Ballpark TEX -105 9.5 3:05 PM
Baltimore Orioles at San Francisco Giants Wade Miley – L Johnny Cueto – R AT&T Park SF -150 7.5 4:05 PM
Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics Wade LeBlanc – L Zach Neal – R O.co Coliseum SEA -110 8.5 4:05 PM
Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers Chad Kuhl – R Brett Anderson – L Dodger Stadium LAD -150 8.5 4:10 PM
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs Mike Leake – R John Lackey – R Wrigley Field CHC -190 8.5 8:05 PM

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitcher Team FD Salary DK Salary SIERA (15-16) K% (15-16) BB% (15-16) Opp. Line O-wOBA O-K% Time (ET)
Chris Sale CWS $10,500 $12,000 2.94 29.0% 5.2% at MIA -120 0.323 22.4% 1:10 PM
Zack Greinke ARI $9,600 $9,200 3.47 22.5% 4.7% at BOS 150 0.350 18.0% 1:35 PM
Steven Matz NYM $9,600 $8,800 3.62 22.5% 5.9% SD -175 0.343 24.2% 1:10 PM
Rick Porcello BOS $9,400 $11,400 3.78 20.3% 4.8% ARI -150 0.310 23.1% 1:35 PM
Tanner Roark WAS $8,900 $9,800 4.11 18.0% 6.7% ATL -215 0.293 19.7% 1:35 PM
Jake Odorizzi TB $8,700 $8,200 3.99 21.7% 6.8% at NYY 110 0.303 19.4% 1:05 PM
Trevor Bauer CLE $8,000 $7,700 4.27 22.0% 10.2% LAA -185 0.317 15.3% 1:10 PM
Hector Santiago MIN $8,000 $7,000 4.60 20.8% 9.9% KC -120 0.321 19.3% 2:10 PM
Mike Fiers HOU $7,700 $7,900 4.05 21.1% 7.2% at TOR 155 0.327 22.6% 1:07 PM
Marcus Stroman TOR $7,500 $9,000 3.55 18.8% 6.1% HOU -155 0.315 24.2% 1:07 PM
Tom Koehler MIA $7,500 $8,600 4.76 17.6% 10.0% CWS 120 0.305 21.0% 1:10 PM
Edinson Volquez KC $7,100 $4,200 4.42 17.8% 8.6% at MIN 120 0.320 21.6% 2:10 PM
Tyler Chatwood COL $7,100 $8,900 4.87 15.4% 10.8% at PHI -133 0.297 21.4% 1:35 PM
Luis Severino NYY $6,700 $6,500 3.87 20.9% 7.9% TB -110 0.308 23.9% 1:05 PM
Tyrell Jenkins ATL $6,300 $4,100 6.33 10.5% 14.8% at WAS 215 0.317 19.5% 1:35 PM
Jered Weaver LAA $6,200 $4,000 5.17 12.8% 5.5% at CLE 185 0.331 20.5% 1:10 PM
Wily Peralta MIL $5,900 $4,400 4.84 13.0% 8.1% CIN -115 0.305 21.5% 2:10 PM
Cody Reed CIN $5,700 $6,300 4.04 19.3% 7.3% at MIL 115 0.330 24.4% 2:10 PM
Adam Morgan PHI $5,500 $4,000 4.62 16.0% 5.0% COL 133 0.335 23.4% 1:35 PM
Clayton Richard SD $5,500 $4,000 3.56 11.7% 5.5% at NYM 175 0.318 22.2% 1:10 PM
Johnny Cueto SF $10,400 $11,100 3.70 21.4% 5.2% BAL -150 0.341 22.0% 4:05 PM
John Lackey CHC $8,900 $10,900 3.82 21.8% 6.4% STL -190 0.339 20.1% 8:05 PM
Wade Miley BAL $7,000 $7,500 4.31 17.7% 7.4% at SF 150 0.320 18.6% 4:05 PM
Brett Anderson LAD $6,800 $7,400 3.46 15.5% 6.1% PIT -150 0.336 24.0% 4:10 PM
Mike Leake STL $6,700 $4,200 4.00 16.0% 5.0% at CHC 190 0.327 22.7% 8:05 PM
Wade LeBlanc SEA $6,200 $6,100 4.32 18.0% 3.9% at OAK -110 0.311 17.9% 4:05 PM
Chad Kuhl PIT $6,000 $6,600 5.01 16.1% 6.2% at LAD 150 0.319 20.9% 4:10 PM
Zach Neal OAK $5,600 $4,000 4.04 10.3% 1.0% SEA 110 0.330 20.2% 4:05 PM
Michael Fulmer DET $8,000 3.94 21.2% 7.2% at TEX 105 0.320 19.9% 3:05 PM
A.J. Griffin TEX $6,100 4.73 19.7% 9.2% DET -105 0.331 21.4% 3:05 PM

Team Run Totals

Team Opposing Pitcher Handedness Ballpark T-Total P vs. LHB P vs. RHB T-wOBA T-ISO Time (ET)
Cleveland Indians Jered Weaver RIGHT Progressive Field 5.24 0.340 0.346 0.331 0.188 1:10 PM
Washington Nationals Tyrell Jenkins RIGHT Nationals Park 4.91 0.361 0.365 0.317 0.166 1:35 PM
Milwaukee Brewers Cody Reed LEFT Miller Park 4.84 0.347 0.401 0.330 0.148 2:10 PM
Toronto Blue Jays Mike Fiers RIGHT Rogers Centre 4.82 0.300 0.334 0.327 0.187 1:07 PM
Boston Red Sox Zack Greinke RIGHT Fenway Park 4.79 0.267 0.235 0.350 0.186 1:35 PM
Texas Rangers Michael Fulmer RIGHT Rangers Ballpark 4.78 0.258 0.292 0.320 0.170 3:05 PM
Chicago Cubs Mike Leake RIGHT Wrigley Field 4.77 0.318 0.297 0.327 0.164 8:05 PM
Detroit Tigers A.J. Griffin RIGHT Rangers Ballpark 4.72 0.376 0.257 0.331 0.172 3:05 PM
Colorado Rockies Adam Morgan LEFT Citizens Bank Park 4.69 0.304 0.378 0.335 0.177 1:35 PM
New York Mets Clayton Richard LEFT Citi Field 4.68 0.298 0.352 0.318 0.173 1:10 PM
Cincinnati Reds Wily Peralta RIGHT Miller Park 4.66 0.385 0.386 0.305 0.158 2:10 PM
Minnesota Twins Edinson Volquez RIGHT Target Field 4.62 0.315 0.315 0.320 0.167 2:10 PM
Los Angeles Dodgers Chad Kuhl RIGHT Dodger Stadium 4.54 0.353 0.276 0.319 0.165 4:10 PM
Kansas City Royals Hector Santiago LEFT Target Field 4.38 0.298 0.323 0.321 0.152 2:10 PM
New York Yankees Jake Odorizzi RIGHT Yankee Stadium 4.31 0.265 0.332 0.303 0.146 1:05 PM
Seattle Mariners Zach Neal RIGHT O.co Coliseum 4.31 0.409 0.268 0.330 0.176 4:05 PM
Philadelphia Phillies Tyler Chatwood RIGHT Citizens Bank Park 4.31 0.303 0.325 0.297 0.158 1:35 PM
LA Angels of Anaheim Trevor Bauer RIGHT Progressive Field 4.26 0.310 0.310 0.317 0.139 1:10 PM
Arizona Diamondbacks Rick Porcello RIGHT Fenway Park 4.21 0.317 0.324 0.310 0.158 1:35 PM
Tampa Bay Rays Luis Severino RIGHT Yankee Stadium 4.19 0.313 0.338 0.308 0.183 1:05 PM
Oakland Athletics Wade LeBlanc LEFT O.co Coliseum 4.19 0.318 0.333 0.311 0.159 4:05 PM
Houston Astros Marcus Stroman RIGHT Rogers Centre 4.18 0.319 0.300 0.315 0.166 1:07 PM
San Francisco Giants Wade Miley LEFT AT&T Park 4.04 0.295 0.339 0.320 0.146 4:05 PM
Pittsburgh Pirates Brett Anderson LEFT Dodger Stadium 3.96 0.308 0.320 0.336 0.172 4:10 PM
San Diego Padres Steven Matz LEFT Citi Field 3.82 0.330 0.295 0.343 0.182 1:10 PM
St. Louis Cardinals John Lackey RIGHT Wrigley Field 3.73 0.317 0.272 0.339 0.197 8:05 PM
Chicago White Sox Tom Koehler RIGHT Marlins Park 3.62 0.331 0.312 0.305 0.147 1:10 PM
Atlanta Braves Tanner Roark RIGHT Nationals Park 3.59 0.302 0.307 0.293 0.123 1:35 PM
Baltimore Orioles Johnny Cueto RIGHT AT&T Park 3.46 0.276 0.293 0.341 0.195 4:05 PM
Miami Marlins Chris Sale LEFT Marlins Park 3.38 0.274 0.282 0.323 0.141 1:10 PM

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious