MLB First Look: Tuesday, May 15th
The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.
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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Away | Pitcher | Home | Pitcher | Vegas Line | Run Total | Ballpark | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | German Marquez – R | at | San Diego Padres | Jordan Lyles – R | SD -100 | 7.5 | Petco Park | 3:40 PM |
| Chicago White Sox | Reynaldo Lopez – R | at | Pittsburgh Pirates | Trevor Williams – R | PIT-140 | 9.0 | PNC Park | 7:05 PM |
| New York Yankees | Masahiro Tanaka – R | at | Washington Nationals | Gio Gonzalez – L | NYY-117 | 8.5 | Nationals Park | 7:05 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | Nick Pivetta – R | at | Baltimore Orioles | Andrew Cashner – R | PHI-105 | 10.5 | Camden Yards | 7:05 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | Josh Tomlin – R | at | Detroit Tigers | Francisco Liriano – L | CLE-122 | 9.5 | Comerica Park | 7:10 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Alex Wood – L | at | Miami Marlins | Wei-Yin Chen – L | LAD-160 | 7.5 | Marlins Park | 7:10 PM |
| Oakland Athletics | Daniel Mengden – R | at | Boston Red Sox | Eduardo Rodriguez – L | BOS-190 | 10.0 | Fenway Park | 7:10 PM |
| Toronto Blue Jays | Jaime Garcia – L | at | New York Mets | Noah Syndergaard – R | NYM-150 | 7.5 | Citi Field | 7:10 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | Yu Darvish – R | at | Atlanta Braves | Mike Foltynewicz – R | CHC-115 | 9.0 | SunTrust Park | 7:35 PM |
| St. Louis Cardinals | Jack Flaherty – R | at | Minnesota Twins | Jose Berrios – R | MIN-118 | 9.0 | Target Field | 8:10 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | Anthony Banda – L | at | Kansas City Royals | Ian Kennedy – R | KC -106 | 9.5 | Kauffman Stadium | 8:15 PM |
| Milwaukee Brewers | Jhoulys Chacin – R | at | Arizona Diamondbacks | Zack Greinke – R | ARI-160 | 8.0 | Chase Field | 9:40 PM |
| Houston Astros | Gerrit Cole – R | at | LA Angels of Anaheim | Jaime Barria – R | HOU-155 | 8.0 | Angel Stadium | 10:07 PM |
| Texas Rangers | Mike Minor – L | at | Seattle Mariners | Mike Leake – R | SEA-135 | 8.5 | Safeco Field | 10:10 PM |
| Cincinnati Reds | Tyler Mahle – R | at | San Francisco Giants | Ty Blach – L | SF -122 | 8.0 | AT&T Park | 10:15 PM |
Ballpark Ratings
Implied Run Totals
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | Team | Matchup | Opp. K% | Line | FD | DK | FDRFT | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | SS% | GB% | HC% | FBv | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | HOU | at LAA | 19.4% | -155 | $11,800 | $13,900 | $26,400 | 3.57 | 3.64 | 26.7% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 43.4% | 31.8% | 96.0 | 10:07 PM |
| Noah Syndergaard | NYM | TOR | 24.4% | -150 | $10,000 | $10,800 | $21,200 | 2.98 | 3.04 | 27.5% | 4.1% | 14.2% | 50.9% | 27.0% | 97.7 | 7:10 PM |
| Zack Greinke | ARI | MIL | 24.5% | -160 | $9,500 | $11,800 | $23,100 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 26.9% | 5.1% | 12.5% | 46.1% | 36.4% | 90.6 | 9:40 PM |
| Gio Gonzalez | WAS | NYY | 23.7% | 117 | $8,900 | $8,700 | $17,100 | 4.29 | 2.82 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 47.1% | 29.5% | 89.7 | 7:05 PM |
| Alex Wood | LAD | at MIA | 20.3% | -160 | $8,600 | $10,000 | $19,600 | 3.55 | 2.92 | 24.3% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 52.4% | 29.4% | 91.4 | 7:10 PM |
| Masahiro Tanaka | NYY | at WAS | 19.8% | -117 | $8,300 | $8,400 | $16,100 | 3.54 | 4.73 | 25.4% | 5.4% | 14.8% | 48.1% | 32.0% | 92.1 | 7:05 PM |
| Mike Foltynewicz | ATL | CHC | 20.6% | 115 | $8,000 | $8,500 | $15,900 | 4.46 | 4.45 | 21.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 39.2% | 29.9% | 95.5 | 7:35 PM |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | BOS | OAK | 23.4% | -190 | $7,800 | $9,200 | $17,700 | 3.95 | 4.28 | 26.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 36.8% | 30.9% | 93.2 | 7:10 PM |
| Yu Darvish | CHC | at ATL | 20.3% | -115 | $7,700 | $7,800 | $15,200 | 3.77 | 4.15 | 27.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 40.4% | 32.5% | 94.1 | 7:35 PM |
| Reynaldo Lopez | CWS | at PIT | 19.8% | 140 | $7,600 | $7,500 | $14,600 | 5.38 | 3.62 | 15.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 30.1% | 30.1% | 94.6 | 7:05 PM |
| Jose Berrios | MIN | STL | 23.3% | -118 | $7,500 | $7,600 | $14,900 | 4.19 | 4.04 | 22.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 39.7% | 27.2% | 93.4 | 8:10 PM |
| Tyler Mahle | CIN | at SF | 25.5% | 122 | $7,400 | $9,000 | $17,600 | 4.52 | 3.50 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 42.6% | 32.3% | 92.7 | 10:15 PM |
| Ian Kennedy | KC | TB | 21.6% | -106 | $7,300 | $6,100 | $12,200 | 4.73 | 5.22 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 35.1% | 41.6% | 91.9 | 8:15 PM |
| Francisco Liriano | DET | CLE | 19.8% | 122 | $7,200 | $6,300 | $13,000 | 5.11 | 4.98 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 45.6% | 29.3% | 92.6 | 7:10 PM |
| Nick Pivetta | PHI | at BAL | 24.1% | -105 | $7,100 | $7,200 | $14,700 | 4.14 | 5.60 | 24.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 43.7% | 33.1% | 94.4 | 7:05 PM |
| German Marquez | COL | at SD | 26.8% | -100 | $6,900 | N/A | N/A | 4.31 | 4.57 | 21.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 45.2% | 33.7% | 95.0 | 3:40 PM |
| Daniel Mengden | OAK | at BOS | 18.9% | 190 | $6,800 | $4,700 | $9,500 | 4.39 | 3.61 | 17.4% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 39.0% | 32.9% | 92.1 | 7:10 PM |
| Trevor Williams | PIT | CWS | 23.7% | -140 | $6,600 | $7,200 | $14,900 | 4.80 | 3.85 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 45.8% | 28.8% | 91.7 | 7:05 PM |
| Mike Minor | TEX | at SEA | 18.5% | 135 | $6,500 | $6,000 | $12,200 | 3.53 | 3.29 | 25.3% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 40.1% | 33.0% | 93.7 | 10:10 PM |
| Mike Leake | SEA | TEX | 27.2% | -135 | $6,400 | $5,800 | $11,000 | 4.32 | 4.27 | 16.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 51.4% | 33.8% | 89.9 | 10:10 PM |
| Andrew Cashner | BAL | PHI | 26.6% | 105 | $6,300 | $5,000 | $10,200 | 5.37 | 3.71 | 14.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 46.7% | 29.2% | 93.2 | 7:05 PM |
| Jaime Barria | LAA | HOU | 21.7% | 155 | $6,200 | $5,400 | $11,100 | 4.90 | 2.45 | 16.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 41.1% | 30.4% | 91.5 | 10:07 PM |
| Jhoulys Chacin | MIL | at ARI | 25.6% | 160 | $6,100 | $5,200 | $10,300 | 4.78 | 3.91 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 47.6% | 31.4% | 91.1 | 9:40 PM |
| Ty Blach | SF | CIN | 20.8% | -122 | $6,000 | $5,300 | $9,900 | 5.21 | 4.65 | 10.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 49.2% | 32.0% | 90.0 | 10:15 PM |
| Jaime Garcia | TOR | at NYM | 26.8% | 150 | $5,900 | $5,500 | $11,000 | 4.58 | 4.59 | 19.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 52.5% | 32.4% | 90.4 | 7:10 PM |
| Jack Flaherty | STL | at MIN | 22.0% | 118 | $5,800 | $7,300 | $14,700 | 4.44 | 5.46 | 23.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 48.9% | 37.5% | 92.4 | 8:10 PM |
| Jordan Lyles | SD | COL | 24.4% | 100 | $5,700 | N/A | N/A | 4.30 | 6.58 | 18.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 46.8% | 36.2% | 93.9 | 3:40 PM |
| Josh Tomlin | CLE | at DET | 20.7% | -122 | $5,600 | $4,400 | $8,700 | 4.39 | 5.45 | 17.3% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 36.9% | 37.7% | 87.5 | 7:10 PM |
| Anthony Banda | TB | at KC | 23.8% | 106 | $5,500 | $5,500 | $11,100 | 4.42 | 5.96 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 36.5% | 39.0% | 94.2 | 8:15 PM |
| Wei-Yin Chen | MIA | LAD | 22.2% | 160 | $5,500 | $4,300 | $8,200 | 5.24 | 5.56 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 34.6% | 32.4% | 90.8 | 7:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the pitching table are from the 2017 and 2018 seasons.
Offenses
| Offense | Run Total | RPG | +/- | Opp. Pitcher | P vs. LHB | P vs. RHB | L/R | Team wOBA | Team ISO | Team BB% | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 5.52 | 5.45 | 0.07 | Daniel Mengden | 0.338 | 0.373 | RIGHT | 0.351 | 0.202 | 0.0% | 7:10 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 5.28 | 4.72 | 0.57 | Andrew Cashner | 0.393 | 0.409 | RIGHT | 0.317 | 0.161 | 9.5% | 7:05 PM |
| Baltimore Orioles | 5.22 | 4.22 | 1.00 | Nick Pivetta | 0.429 | 0.254 | RIGHT | 0.299 | 0.166 | 9.1% | 7:05 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | 4.88 | 4.87 | 0.01 | Francisco Liriano | 0.281 | 0.409 | LEFT | 0.335 | 0.186 | 8.0% | 7:10 PM |
| Kansas City Royals | 4.79 | 4.10 | 0.69 | Anthony Banda | LEFT | 0.320 | 0.146 | 8.6% | 8:15 PM | ||
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 4.73 | 5.03 | -0.29 | Reynaldo Lopez | 0.375 | 0.370 | RIGHT | 0.320 | 0.157 | 8.1% | 7:05 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 4.71 | 4.26 | 0.45 | Ian Kennedy | 0.372 | 0.399 | RIGHT | 0.313 | 0.125 | 8.3% | 8:15 PM |
| Detroit Tigers | 4.62 | 4.44 | 0.18 | Josh Tomlin | 0.495 | 0.461 | RIGHT | 0.314 | 0.155 | 9.3% | 7:10 PM |
| Minnesota Twins | 4.61 | 4.39 | 0.22 | Jack Flaherty | 0.393 | 0.296 | RIGHT | 0.312 | 0.167 | 8.5% | 8:10 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | 4.59 | 5.41 | -0.81 | Mike Foltynewicz | 0.330 | 0.315 | RIGHT | 0.332 | 0.168 | 7.9% | 7:35 PM |
| Oakland Athletics | 4.48 | 4.50 | -0.02 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.287 | 0.285 | LEFT | 0.322 | 0.154 | 10.1% | 7:10 PM |
| Seattle Mariners | 4.46 | 4.69 | -0.24 | Mike Minor | 0.237 | 0.369 | LEFT | 0.343 | 0.161 | 7.0% | 10:10 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | 4.41 | 5.46 | -1.05 | Yu Darvish | 0.345 | 0.384 | RIGHT | 0.331 | 0.169 | 8.6% | 7:35 PM |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 4.39 | 4.29 | 0.10 | Jose Berrios | 0.295 | 0.310 | RIGHT | 0.308 | 0.153 | 7.8% | 8:10 PM |
| New York Yankees | 4.35 | 5.78 | -1.42 | Gio Gonzalez | 0.213 | 0.312 | LEFT | 0.330 | 0.199 | 8.2% | 7:05 PM |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.35 | 4.10 | 0.25 | Jhoulys Chacin | 0.391 | 0.323 | RIGHT | 0.294 | 0.151 | 7.6% | 9:40 PM |
| Houston Astros | 4.32 | 4.81 | -0.49 | Jaime Barria | 0.285 | 0.390 | RIGHT | 0.325 | 0.150 | 11.3% | 10:07 PM |
| Chicago White Sox | 4.27 | 3.97 | 0.29 | Trevor Williams | 0.353 | 0.348 | RIGHT | 0.323 | 0.174 | 7.4% | 7:05 PM |
| Washington Nationals | 4.15 | 4.50 | -0.35 | Masahiro Tanaka | 0.296 | 0.327 | RIGHT | 0.329 | 0.179 | 9.2% | 7:05 PM |
| San Francisco Giants | 4.13 | 3.93 | 0.20 | Tyler Mahle | 0.405 | 0.283 | RIGHT | 0.308 | 0.141 | 9.3% | 10:15 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 4.10 | 4.28 | -0.18 | Wei-Yin Chen | 0.350 | 0.405 | LEFT | 0.289 | 0.128 | 7.8% | 7:10 PM |
| Texas Rangers | 4.04 | 3.88 | 0.16 | Mike Leake | 0.437 | 0.432 | RIGHT | 0.297 | 0.158 | 7.2% | 10:10 PM |
| New York Mets | 4.04 | 4.14 | -0.09 | Jaime Garcia | 0.403 | 0.344 | LEFT | 0.255 | 0.080 | 9.4% | 7:10 PM |
| Cincinnati Reds | 3.87 | 4.10 | -0.23 | Ty Blach | 0.306 | 0.360 | LEFT | 0.334 | 0.165 | 8.3% | 10:15 PM |
| Colorado Rockies | 3.76 | 4.02 | -0.27 | Jordan Lyles | 0.322 | 0.295 | RIGHT | 0.293 | 0.163 | 10.2% | 3:40 PM |
| San Diego Padres | 3.74 | 3.71 | 0.03 | German Marquez | 0.333 | 0.315 | RIGHT | 0.287 | 0.118 | 8.8% | 3:40 PM |
| LA Angels of Anaheim | 3.68 | 5.05 | -1.37 | Gerrit Cole | 0.213 | 0.273 | RIGHT | 0.334 | 0.182 | 11.5% | 10:07 PM |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 3.65 | 3.90 | -0.25 | Zack Greinke | 0.326 | 0.303 | RIGHT | 0.314 | 0.151 | 6.7% | 9:40 PM |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 3.46 | 4.83 | -1.37 | Noah Syndergaard | 0.280 | 0.275 | RIGHT | 0.325 | 0.202 | 10.2% | 7:10 PM |
| Miami Marlins | 3.40 | 3.45 | -0.05 | Alex Wood | 0.244 | 0.276 | LEFT | 0.308 | 0.124 | 8.2% | 7:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the team offense table are from the 2017 and 2018 seasons.
First Look Legend
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| Opp. K% | Strikeout rate of the opposing offense against the handedness of the pitcher |
| SIERA | Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average – A good predictor of future ERA |
| ERA | Earned Run Average |
| K% | Percentage of batters a pitcher strikes out |
| BB% | Percentage of batters that a pitcher walks |
| SS% | Swinging Strike Percentage |
| GB% | Ground Ball Percentage |
| HC% | Hard Contact Percentage |
| FBv | Average Fastball Velocity |
| Run Total | Implied run total based on the Vegas line and over/under |
| RPG | Average runs scored per game this season |
| +/- | The difference between a team’s implied run total and their average runs scored per game |
| P vs. LHB | The xwOBA a pitcher allows to left-handed hitters |
| P vs. RHB | The xwOBA a pitcher allows to right-handed hitters |
| Team wOBA | The team’s average wOBA against the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |
| Team ISO | The team’s average ISO against the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |