MLB Grind Down: Thursday, July 9th - Page Two
Cincinnati at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| Cincinnati | Miami | ||||||||
 | Michael Lorenzen |  | Jose Fernandez | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIA (-151) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.298 | 0.964 | 0.413 | 15.5% | SP vs. Left | 0.275 | 0.744 | 0.329 | 27.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.219 | 0.709 | 0.309 | 14.5% | SP vs. Right | 0.120 | 0.367 | 0.160 | 39.30% |
| Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs R | Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Michael Lorenzen : FD: $5,300 — DK: $4,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 65.1 — SIERA: 5.20 — K%: 14.9% — BB%: 12.4% — FB Rate: 33.5% — HR/FB: 17.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 4.93 — K%: 15.7% — BB%: 10.7% — FB Rate: 37.2% — HR/FB: 18.8%
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.271 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 27)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: Lorenzen is an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy baseball. He has an above-average SIERA and walk rate with a below-average strikeout rate. That’s not a good combination for a pitcher. He draws a favorable matchup against the Marlins, but I’ll give the edge to Miami in this matchup. Lorenzen’s biggest struggle this season has been left-handed hitters and the Marlins have a few talented lefties in their lineup.
Pitcher Rating:41.0
Jose Fernandez : FD: $9,900 — DK: $9,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 57.2 — SIERA: 2.21 — K%: 33.0% — BB%: 5.7% — FB Rate: 32.1% — HR/FB: 11.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 6.0 — SIERA: 2.13 — K%: 24.0% — BB%: 0.0% — FB Rate: 15.8% — HR/FB: 33.3%
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 18.1% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 15.8% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Fernandez was a little shaky at the start of his first outing back, but he quickly turned it around. He finished with six strikeouts, as well as a home run in the Marlins win over the Giants. When healthy, Fernandez is one of the best pitchers in baseball and he’s not going to be priced under $10,000 for much longer. Take advantage of the cheap price tag while you still can, even in a somewhat difficult matchup against the Reds.
Pitcher Rating:92.5
Batter Grind Down
Cincinnati
The Reds draw a difficult matchup against Jose Fernandez, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .275 wOBA in his career. Rust could still be an issue for Fernandez, but the Reds shouldn’t be targeted outside of tournament play. There are better matchups on the board tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Joey Votto : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 455 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 134
Last 14 Days: PA: 63 — wOBA: 0.274 — ISO: 0.077 — wRC+: 70
Miami
The Marlins draw a favorable matchup against Michael Lorenzen, who has given up a .413 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich, and Justin Bour are all in play tonight and I don’t mind using them together in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Dee Gordon : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 768 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.087 — wRC+: 102
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.255 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 57
Secondary Plays:
Christian Yelich : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 692 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.497 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 224
Justin Bour : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 227 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.433 — wRC+: 169
Houston at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST
| Houston | Cleveland | ||||||||
 | Brett Oberholtzer |  | Cody Anderson | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CLE (-123) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.303 | 0.787 | 0.344 | 0.166 | SP vs. Left | 0.135 | 0.389 | 0.167 | 0.135 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.281 | 0.75 | 0.329 | 0.149 | SP vs. Right | 0.196 | 0.452 | 0.2 | 0.106 |
| Batter Splits | HOU vs R | Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Brett Oberholtzer : FD: $5,600 — DK: $5,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 177.0 — SIERA: 4.33 — K%: 15.3% — BB%: 5.7% — FB Rate: 41.1% — HR/FB: 6.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.1 — SIERA: 4.36 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 9.9% — FB Rate: 36.9% — HR/FB: 12.5%
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.93 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Oberholtzer is a low-strikeout pitcher with an average SIERA. He has struggled with his command a bit this season, walking nearly 10% of the batters that he has faced. He draws a bad matchup tonight against the Indians, who are ranked seventh in wOBA (.318) and third in strikeout rate (17.5%) against left-handed pitching this season. The Indians also average the third-most pitches per plate appearance.
Pitcher Rating:42.3
Cody Anderson : FD: $6,400 — DK: $6,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 23.2 — SIERA: 3.97 — K%: 11.9% — BB%: 1.2% — FB Rate: 30.6% — HR/FB: 4.5%
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 25.9% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 25.7% (Rank: 29)
Pitchers per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Anderson has pitched well in his first stint in the majors, posting a 3.97 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 11.9% in his first three starts. He has never been a high-strikeout pitcher in the minor leagues though, which will limit his fantasy appeal moving forward. He is a boom or bust option tonight against the Astros, who have a ton of pop in their lineup, but also strike out at the highest rate of any team against right-handed pitching. Restrict your exposure of Anderson to tournaments tonight.
Pitcher Rating:58.2
Batter Grind Down
Houston
The Astros are an interesting offense to target tonight, especially in tournaments. Not only do they lead the majors in home runs, but they are facing a rookie pitcher that is only making his fourth career start. I’ll likely avoid the Astros’ hitters in cash games, but they deserve consideration in GPPs.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Jose Altuve : FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 775 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.108 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 173
Preston Tucker : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 145
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 113
Cleveland
The Indians draw a favorable matchup against Brett Oberholtzer, who has given up a .329+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The right-handed bats obviously have the splits in their favor against the southpaw, but Michael Brantley is also a strong play, as he hits left-handed pitching well.
Elite Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 372 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 127
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.096 — wRC+: 114
Carlos Santana : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 336 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 122
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.279 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 78
Ryan Raburn : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 252 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 14 — wOBA: 0.499 — ISO: 0.400 — wRC+: 232
Secondary Plays:
Yan Gomes : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 203 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 128
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 101
Francisco Lindor : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.210 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 30
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.249 — ISO: 0.082 — wRC+: 57
Detroit at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Detroit | Minnesota | ||||||||
 | David Price |  | Mike Pelfrey | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| DET (-141) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.258 | 0.656 | 0.29 | 0.228 | SP vs. Left | 0.246 | 0.742 | 0.334 | 0.116 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.649 | 0.284 | 0.264 | SP vs. Right | 0.331 | 0 | 0.367 | 0.099 |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
David Price : FD: $11,000 — DK: $10,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 365.1 — SIERA: 2.93 — K%: 25.5% — BB%: 4.0% — FB Rate: 37.9% — HR/FB: 8.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 2.67 — K%: 25.2% — BB%: 1.5% — FB Rate: 30.9% — HR/FB: 10.3%
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Price has faced the Twins two times this season, having drastically different results. In their first meeting, he was one out away from a complete-game shutout. In their next meeting, the Twins scored three runs and got him out of the game in the sixth inning. Price is a high-strikeout pitcher that throws a ton of strikes. That helps keep his pitch count low and his strikeout total high, but there isn’t a ton of guesswork on the part of the opposing offense. Price may have a little more upside, but Zack Greinke is a much safer pitching option tonight.
Pitcher Rating:85.0
Mike Pelfrey : FD: $6,100 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 115.0 — SIERA: 5.03 — K%: 10.7% — BB%: 9.7% — FB Rate: 27.0% — HR/FB: 9.4%
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.1 — SIERA: 5.18 — K%: 9.2% — BB%: 10.8% — FB Rate: 21.5% — HR/FB: 10.0%
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.380 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 14)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Pelfrey is one of the worst starting pitchers in all of baseball. Since the start of last season, he has a 5.03 SIERA with a strikeout rate (10.7%) that is nearly as low as his walk rate (9.7%). While that’s a huge red flag, it’s great news for Pelfrey’s opponents. The Tigers are the hottest offense in baseball right now and they should have a field day tonight against Pelfrey.
Pitcher Rating:29.2
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
The Tigers are the top offense to target outside of Coors Field. They draw a terrific matchup against Mike Pelfrey, who has given up a .334+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The hottest offense in baseball should keep thing rolling tonight in Minnesota.
Elite Plays:
J.D. Martinez : FD: $4,600 — DK: $5,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 616 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.244 — wRC+: 149
Last 14 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.562 — ISO: 0.531 — wRC+: 271
Victor Martinez : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 642 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 127
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 149
Secondary Plays:
Yoenis Cespedes : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 763 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.193 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.278 — ISO: 0.218 — wRC+: 73
Ian Kinsler : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 833 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 98
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 88
Nick Castellanos : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 663 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 85
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 175
Minnesota
The Twins had success against David Price in their last meeting, but that doesn’t mean that we should go out of our way to target them tonight. Price is one of the best pitchers in baseball. Brian Dozier and Miguel Sano are intriguing tournament plays, but they should be avoided in cash games.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Brian Dozier : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 318 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 130
Last 14 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 120
Miguel Sano : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 9 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 153
Last 14 Days: PA: 24 — wOBA: 0.528 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 249
Atlanta at Colorado – 8:40 PM EST
| Atlanta | Colorado | ||||||||
 | Alex Wood |  | Kyle Kendrick | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ATL (-111) | 10.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.251 | 0.638 | 0.285 | 0.24 | SP vs. Left | 0.288 | 0.867 | 0.375 | 0.15 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.255 | 0.696 | 0.309 | 0.211 | SP vs. Right | 0.265 | 0.767 | 0.336 | 0.12 |
| Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs R | Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Alex Wood : FD: $8,000 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 271.1 — SIERA: 3.48 — K%: 21.8% — BB%: 6.5% — FB Rate: 33.1% — HR/FB: 8.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 3.84 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 6.4% — FB Rate: 32.7% — HR/FB: 12.5%
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.289 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 24.7% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 18.4% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Wood has pitched well in his recent outings, posting a 3.84 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.3%. Unfortunately, his run will likely come to an end tonight, as he takes his turn in the rotation at Coors Field. The Rockies have not hit left-handed pitching well this season, but the Rockies’ high team total trumps their bad numbers against southpaws.
Pitcher Rating:53.8
Kyle Kendrick : FD: $4,900 — DK: $4,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 301.0 — SIERA: 4.61 — K%: 13.3% — BB%: 6.6% — FB Rate: 36.1% — HR/FB: 13.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 4.56 — K%: 13.9% — BB%: 4.6% — FB Rate: 42.2% — HR/FB: 18.6%
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 16.9% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Kendrick has given up more home runs than any other pitcher in baseball this season. He has given up 23 long balls in only 17 starts. The Braves don’t hit a ton of home runs, but they do hit a lot of line drives, which should turn into a lot of doubles and triples in Coors Field. Kendrick should be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:36.6
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
The Braves have the highest team total on the board tonight. They draw a favorable matchup against Kyle Kendrick and they get to face him in Coors Field. The best part about the Braves is that they are very affordable tonight (with the exception of Cameron Maybin). Load up on Atlanta in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Kelly Johnson : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 403 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 95
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.088 — wRC+: 109
A.J. Pierzynski : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 450 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 101
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.411 — ISO: 0.244 — wRC+: 166
Nick Markakis : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 772 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.060 — wRC+: 90
Secondary Plays:
Cameron Maybin : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 405 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 150
Juan Uribe : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 487 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 115
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.453 — ISO: 0.361 — wRC+: 195
Jace Peterson : FD: $3,700 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 308 — wOBA: 0.286 — ISO: 0.097 — wRC+: 81
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.196 — ISO: 0.080 — wRC+: 18
Colorado
The Rockies may not hit left-handed pitching well as a team, but they are still in a great spot tonight against Alex Wood. They are one of the best hitting teams at home and they have a few hitters in their lineup that feast on southpaws.
Elite Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 199 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 124
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.362 — wRC+: 109
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 167 — wOBA: 0.514 — ISO: 0.343 — wRC+: 219
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.416 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 152
Wilin Rosario : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 159 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.077 — wRC+: 101
Secondary Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 252 — wOBA: 0.287 — ISO: 0.123 — wRC+: 64
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 111
DJ LeMahieu : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 207 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.032 — wRC+: 80
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.246 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 36
LA Angels at Seattle – 10:10 PM EST
| LA Angels | Seattle | ||||||||
 | Garrett Richards |  | Felix Hernandez | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SEA (-125) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.205 | 0.549 | 0.248 | 0.228 | SP vs. Left | 0.202 | 0.557 | 0.25 | 0.233 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.214 | 0.582 | 0.267 | 0.215 | SP vs. Right | 0.202 | 0.578 | 0.257 | 0.3 |
| Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs R | Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Garrett Richards : FD: $9,000 — DK: $9,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 262.2 — SIERA: 3.48 — K%: 22.2% — BB%: 7.9% — FB Rate: 28.7% — HR/FB: 5.7%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 3.47 — K%: 18.6% — BB%: 5.7% — FB Rate: 24.0% — HR/FB: 8.0%
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.292 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 22.3% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 11)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Richards is still searching for his 2014 form. He is slowly improving, as he had a 3.47 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 18.6% over the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Mariners, who are ranked 26th in wOBA (.292) and 27th in strikeout rate (22.3%) against right-handed pitching this season. This is a matchup that should suit him well, as he has left-handed hitters to a .246 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Pitcher Rating:67.8
Felix Hernandez : FD: $11,400 — DK: $11,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 346.1 — SIERA: 2.69 — K%: 26.2% — BB%: 5.9% — FB Rate: 25.4% — HR/FB: 11.4%
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.0 — SIERA: 3.68 — K%: 20.5% — BB%: 8.2% — FB Rate: 27.9% — HR/FB: 8.3%
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 9)
Pitchers per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Hernandez hasn’t been as sharp over the last month of play, but he is still one of the best pitchers in all of baseball. He has a high strikeout rate and a decent matchup against the Angels, who are ranked 18th in wOBA (.310) and strikeout rate (19.3%) against right-handed pitching this season. The Angels’ offense has been red-hot recently, but some of that is inflated by their series in Coors Field.
Pitcher Rating:83.1
Batter Grind Down
LA Angels
Since the start of the 2014 seasons, Felix Hernandez has held left and right-handed hitters under a .260 wOBA. The Angels should be avoided in cash games, but Mike Trout deserves a look in tournaments.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $5,400 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 805 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 170
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.466 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 211
Seattle
The Mariners draw a difficult matchup against Garrett Richards, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .270 wOBA over the last two seasons. Nelson Cruz and Robinson Cano are both secondary options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Nelson Cruz : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 790 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 129
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 124
Robinson Cano : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 669 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 132
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 142
Philadelphia at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST
| Philadelphia | LA Dodgers | ||||||||
 | Severino Gonzalez |  | Zack Greinke | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-340) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.479 | 1.218 | 0.52 | 0.148 | SP vs. Left | 0.231 | 0.606 | 0.269 | 0.229 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.258 | 0 | 0.303 | 0.266 | SP vs. Right | 0.226 | 0.623 | 0.275 | 0.253 |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | Batter Splits | LA vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Severino Gonzalez : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 25.0 — SIERA: 3.50 — K%: 21.2% — BB%: 4.2% — FB Rate: 36.9% — HR/FB: 12.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.1 — SIERA: 2.53 — K%: 29.2% — BB%: 4.2% — FB Rate: 40.0% — HR/FB: 33.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.340 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 22.4% (Rank: 24)
Pitchers per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Gonzalez is the biggest underdog on the board tonight. He has decent peripheral statistics this season, but he is facing a Dodgers’ offense that is ranked first in wOBA (.340) against right-handed pitching this season. He should be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:54.0
Zack Greinke : FD: $11,200 — DK: $11,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 317.2 — SIERA: 3.01 — K%: 24.2% — BB%: 5.0% — FB Rate: 30.7% — HR/FB: 9.7%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.2 — SIERA: 3.07 — K%: 22.9% — BB%: 3.1% — FB Rate: 35.8% — HR/FB: 2.9%
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.285 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 9)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Clayton Kershaw was the chalk play in cash games last night and Zack Greinke is the chalk play in cash games tonight. He has pitched well recently with a 3.07 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 22.9% over the last month. He also draws a terrific matchup against the Phillies, who are ranked 29th in wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Don’t try to outsmart everyone by fading Greinke in cash games.
Pitcher Rating:93.3
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies’ offense has been better recently, but they are still ranked 29th in wOBA against right-handed pitching. They should be avoided tonight against Zack Greinke, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .280 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
LA Dodgers
The Dodgers draw a favorable matchup against Severino Gonzalez, who has given up a .520 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Obviously the sample size is small, but it does make the lefties in this lineup very strong plays tonight.
Elite Plays:
Adrian Gonzalez : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 756 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 153
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.302 — wRC+: 146
Yasmani Grandal : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 562 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.237 — wRC+: 141
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.489 — ISO: 0.438 — wRC+: 222
Joc Pederson : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 312 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 146
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.238 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 50
Secondary Plays:
Justin Turner : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 399 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 178
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 139
Howie Kendrick : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 775 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.110 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.440 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 189
Andre Ethier : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 561 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 120
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 164