MLB Grind Down: Monday, August 3rd - Page Two
Houston at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| Houston | Texas | ||||||||
 | Lance McCullers |  | Colby Lewis | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| HOU (-127) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.19 | 0.537 | 0.244 | 0.29 | SP vs. Left | 0.293 | 0.812 | 0.352 | 0.147 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.224 | 0.675 | 0.297 | 0.207 | SP vs. Right | 0.263 | 0 | 0.329 | 0.22 |
| Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs R | Batter Splits | TEX vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Lance McCullers : FD: $6,700 — DK: $8,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 76.1 — SIERA: 3.43 — ERA: 2.48 — K%: 25.0% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 23.0 — SIERA: 3.75 — ERA: 3.13 — K%: 20.8% — BB%: 9.4% — HR/9: 0.4
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 15)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 16)
Analysis: McCullers has had a tremendous rookie season, posting a 2.48 ERA (3.43 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of 25.0%. He does walk a lot of batters, but we can live with it as long as he is striking out one in every four batters that he faces. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Rangers, who are ranked eighth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. The price point may be appealing, but he has to face a capable offense in a hitter-friendly ballpark.
Pitcher Rating:72.7
Colby Lewis : FD: $7,000 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 302.2 — SIERA: 4.15 — ERA: 4.85 — K%: 17.8% — BB%: 5.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 3.83 — ERA: 5.34 — K%: 20.2% — BB%: 3.7% — HR/9: 1.4
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 24.4% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.371 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 16.8% (Rank: 4)
Pitchers per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 9)
Analysis: Lewis hasn’t been as bad as his 5.34 ERA over the last month would suggest, but he’s still not a pitcher that should be on our radar anytime soon. He has struggled with hitters from both sides of the plate this season and tonight he faces an Astros’ offense that leads the majors in home runs. Lewis is an easy pitcher to avoid in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating:47.9
Batter Grind Down
Houston
As mentioned above, the Astros lead the majors in home runs this season. They could add to that total tonight, as Colby Lewis has given up 1.2 home runs per nine innings over the last two seasons. Lewis has also given up a .329+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters during that stretch, which puts batters from both sides of the plate in play here.
Elite Plays:
Carlos Correa : FD: $4,500 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 130 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 140
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.479 — ISO: 0.381 — wRC+: 214
Preston Tucker : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 177 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.272 — wRC+: 157
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.461 — ISO: 0.405 — wRC+: 202
Secondary Plays:
Jose Altuve : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 838 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 108
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.118 — wRC+: 125
Evan Gattis : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 583 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.225 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 140
Luis Valbuena : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 703 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.215 — wRC+: 117
Last 14 Days: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.275 — ISO: 0.061 — wRC+: 73
Texas
The sample size is still relatively small, but Lance McCullers has held left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA this season. While this may not be the best matchup on the board, the Rangers do get to face McCullers in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park. Prince Fielder, Mitch Moreland, Adrian Beltre are all secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 380 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 139
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 118
Mitch Moreland : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 369 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 126
Last 14 Days: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.107 — wRC+: 87
Adrian Beltre : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 696 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 112
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.100 — wRC+: 104
San Diego at Milwaukee – 8:10 PM EST
| San Diego | Milwaukee | ||||||||
 | Tyson Ross |  | Wily Peralta | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-108) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.236 | 0.674 | 0.305 | 0.241 | SP vs. Left | 0.298 | 0.828 | 0.361 | 0.174 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.23 | 0.619 | 0.28 | 0.25 | SP vs. Right | 0.23 | 0.643 | 0.291 | 0.178 |
| Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tyson Ross : FD: $8,600 — DK: $9,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 323.1 — SIERA: 3.26 — ERA: 3.03 — K%: 24.5% — BB%: 9.8% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.0 — SIERA: 2.66 — ERA: 2.42 — K%: 26.0% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 0.4
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.273 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Ross has pitched well in his recent starts, posting a 2.66 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.0% over the last month of play. He had a thigh injury that shortened his last start, but it sounds like he should be ready to go for tonight’s game against the Brewers. The Brewers have been a subpar offense all season long and that’s only going to get worse now that they have traded away Carlos Gomez and Gerardo Parra. Ross has good strikeout upside in this matchup and he makes an excellent tournament play on both FanDuel and DraftKings.
Pitcher Rating:80.4
Wily Peralta : FD: $6,800 — DK: $5,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 258.2 — SIERA: 3.80 — ERA: 3.62 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 6.0 — SIERA: 4.05 — ERA: 3.00 — K%: 13.0% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.0
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 17)
Pitchers per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Peralta has been a good starter for the Brewers over the last two seasons, posting a 3.80 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.6%. The biggest problem with Peralta is that he is a fly-ball pitcher that struggles to keep the ball in the park. The good news is that the Padres don’t hit a ton of home runs and they strikeout at the fifth-highest rate against right-handed pitching this season. This is the perfect matchup for Peralta, but this is only his second start in over a month, so rust could be an issue.
Pitcher Rating:58.1
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
The Padres’ offense has been a little better recently, but they are still one of the worst hitting teams against right-handed pitching. They see a favorable ballpark shift playing in Miller Park, but their matchup against Wily Peralta is mediocre at best. The Padres should be considered secondary options tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Matt Kemp : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 778 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 128
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 149
Will Venable : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 630 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.119 — wRC+: 94
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.255 — ISO: 0.028 — wRC+: 63
Yonder Alonso : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 465 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 108
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.220 — wRC+: 136
Milwaukee
The Brewers draw a difficult matchup against Tyson Ross, who has really pitched well over the last month of play. Ross has held left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. Adam Lind is the only fantasy option on my radar here, and he is a secondary option tonight at first base.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Adam Lind : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 593 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 154
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.231 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 39
Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox – 8:10 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Chicago White Sox | ||||||||
 | Nate Karns |  | Jose Quintana | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHW (-123) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.237 | 0.646 | 0.292 | 0.268 | SP vs. Left | 0.242 | 0.653 | 0.287 | 0.219 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.205 | 0.681 | 0.296 | 0.176 | SP vs. Right | 0.268 | 0.708 | 0.311 | 0.209 |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs L | Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Nate Karns : FD: $7,700 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 127.0 — SIERA: 3.77 — ERA: 3.47 — K%: 22.5% — BB%: 8.3% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.0 — SIERA: 3.33 — ERA: 3.75 — K%: 23.2% — BB%: 4.2% — HR/9: 1.1
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.365 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 24.1% (Rank: 28)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Karns has pitched well in his recent starts, posting a 3.33 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.2%. He has improved his command as the season has progressed and he has kept his strikeout rate well above the 20% mark that we like to see from our starting pitchers. The issue here is his matchup. After three months of disappointment, the White Sox offense has caught fire recently, ranking third in team wOBA over the last 14 days. If this game was at home, it would be another story, but I will avoid Karns on the road tonight against a red-hot White Sox offense.
Pitcher Rating:63.0
Jose Quintana : FD: $8,400 — DK: $8,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 335.2 — SIERA: 3.49 — ERA: 3.41 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 5.8% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.0 — SIERA: 2.52 — ERA: 2.75 — K%: 23.0% — BB%: 1.4% — HR/9: 0.8
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 22.3% (Rank: 24)
Pitchers per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: There are quite a few aces on the mound tonight, but none of them have a matchup that makes them a must start. If you want to go the contrarian route in cash games or in tournaments, Quintana is a great alternative. He has really pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 2.52 SIERA with a 23.0% strikeout rate. The Rays have hit left-handed pitching well this season, but we have seen Quintana dominate lineups that are much more talented than Tampa Bay’s. He is a strong play tonight at his price point.
Pitcher Rating:76.2
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
The Rays hit left-handed pitching well as a team, but they draw a difficult matchup against Jose Quintana, who has been very sharp in his recent starts. Quintana has held both left and right-handed hitters in check in his career, which makes the Rays secondary options at best tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 271 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.228 — wRC+: 129
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.282 — wRC+: 181
Evan Longoria : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 273 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 139
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.217 — wRC+: 127
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox offense has been scoring runs in bunches recently, but their matchup against Nate Karns is mediocre at best. Karns has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA. Melky Cabrera, Jose Abreu, and Adam Eaton are all in play, but they are a bit over-priced for their matchup tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Melky Cabrera : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 784 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 119
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.544 — ISO: 0.377 — wRC+: 256
Jose Abreu : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 790 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 147
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.453 — ISO: 0.306 — wRC+: 193
Adam Eaton : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 708 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 125
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.506 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 229
Seattle at Colorado – 8:40 PM EST
| Seattle | Colorado | ||||||||
 | Felix Hernandez |  | Eddie Butler | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SEA (-160) | 9.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.206 | 0.562 | 0.252 | 0.232 | SP vs. Left | 0.34 | 1.046 | 0.444 | 0.086 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.209 | 0.596 | 0.265 | 0.294 | SP vs. Right | 0.285 | 0.815 | 0.355 | 0.12 |
| Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Felix Hernandez : FD: $11,000 — DK: $9,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 373.0 — SIERA: 2.75 — ERA: 2.46 — K%: 25.9% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 3.38 — ERA: 2.94 — K%: 21.5% — BB%: 6.3% — HR/9: 0.8
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.344 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.359 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: It’s funny how big of an impact a ballpark can have on pitching. If this game was being played in Safeco Field, Hernandez would be the chalk play in cash games tonight. With this game being played in Coors Field, he is a tournament play at best. We never like to target pitchers in Coors Field, especially in cash games. Even though Hernandez can dominate any lineup, I will not be targeting him tonight in a game that features a total of 9.5 runs.
Pitcher Rating:80.3
Eddie Butler : FD: $5,100 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 81.1 — SIERA: 5.36 — ERA: 5.20 — K%: 10.3% — BB%: 11.4% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 11.0 — SIERA: 5.12 — ERA: 4.91 — K%: 14.9% — BB%: 12.8% — HR/9: 1.6
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.340 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 15)
Pitchers per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Butler has not pitched well for the Rockies, posting a 5.36 SIERA with a walk rate (11.4%) that is higher than his strikeout rate (10.3%). He is a hittable pitcher facing a good offense in the best hitter’s park in baseball. If he is on your radar tonight, let me point you in the direction of RotoAcademy, because you have some things to learn.
Pitcher Rating:27.3
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
The Mariners are the top offense to target tonight. They have the highest team total on the board, as they square off against Eddie Butler in the hitter’s paradise that is Coors Field. Since the start of the 2014 season, Butler has given up a .355+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters. Get as many Mariners’ hitters into your lineups as you can tonight.
Elite Plays:
Nelson Cruz : FD: $5,400 — DK: $5,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 853 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 137
Last 14 Days: PA: 67 — wOBA: 0.504 — ISO: 0.403 — wRC+: 235
Robinson Cano : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 717 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 137
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 174
Kyle Seager : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 729 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.193 — wRC+: 128
Last 14 Days: PA: 67 — wOBA: 0.287 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 83
Seth Smith : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 740 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 128
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 92
Secondary Plays:
Austin Jackson : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 713 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.090 — wRC+: 75
Last 14 Days: PA: 65 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 106
Ketel Marte : FD: $3,400 — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 5 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 102
Last 14 Days: PA: 9 — wOBA: 0.174 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 5
Colorado
Coors Field is one of the few ballparks in all of baseball where we can actively target hitters against a pitcher the caliber of Felix Hernandez. He may not give up a high wOBA to left or right-handed hitters, but this is still Coors Field that we are talking about. The Rockies have the sixth-highest team total on the board tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 819 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 117
Last 14 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 110
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $4,600 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 482 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.270 — wRC+: 130
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.601 — ISO: 0.581 — wRC+: 281
Ben Paulsen : FD: $3,600 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 243 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.206 — wRC+: 119
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.411 — ISO: 0.308 — wRC+: 149
Baltimore at Oakland – 10:05 PM EST
| Baltimore | Oakland | ||||||||
 | Tyler Wilson |  | Jesse Chavez | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| OAK (-108) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.289 | 0.713 | 0.305 | 0.026 | SP vs. Left | 0.262 | 0.713 | 0.315 | 0.185 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.269 | 0.73 | 0.324 | 0.103 | SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.657 | 0.29 | 0.249 |
| Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs R | Batter Splits | OAK vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tyler Wilson : FD: $5,200 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 17.0 — SIERA: 4.97 — ERA: 2.12 — K%: 5.9% — BB%: 4.4% — HR/9: 0.0
Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.266 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 16.2% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Wilson will be making his second career start tonight. Since his major league sample is so small, let’s take a look at how well he performed in the minors. In 16 starts at the Triple-A level this season, Wilson posted a 3.76 FIP with a strikeout rate of 15.7%. Those numbers aren’t terrible, but they aren’t anything to write home about either (do we say text home about these days? Tweet home about?). I like to take a wait-and-see approach with most young pitchers and that’s exactly what I will do with Wilson.
Pitcher Rating:45.5
Jesse Chavez : FD: $7,600 — DK: $6,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 260.2 — SIERA: 3.70 — ERA: 3.49 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.1 — SIERA: 4.06 — ERA: 5.33 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.4
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 22.3% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Chavez has not been sharp in his recent outings, posting a 5.33 ERA (4.06 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of 19.0%. He draws a favorable strikeout matchup against the Orioles, but they are a top ten team in terms of wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. I see Chavez as a boom or bust fantasy option tonight, which means we can avoid him in cash games and throw him out there as a flier in tournaments.
Pitcher Rating:66.2
Batter Grind Down
Baltimore
The Orioles would be much better fantasy options if this game was being played in Camden Yards. Unfortunately, that’s not the case. The total for this game is set at only 7.5 runs, which says a lot given the two starting pitchers. The Orioles should be considered secondary options tonight against Jesse Chavez.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Manny Machado : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 602 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 140
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 119
Chris Davis : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 665 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 108
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.453 — ISO: 0.408 — wRC+: 194
Matt Wieters : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 190 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 121
Last 14 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 125
Oakland
The A’s draw a decent matchup tonight against Tyler Wilson, who is making his second career major league start. The A’s offense has really struggled to score runs recently, but maybe they can get it going tonight against the young, right-hander. Billy Burns, Stephen Vogt, and Ike Davis are all secondary fantasy options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Billy Burns : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 235 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 94
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.266 — ISO: 0.024 — wRC+: 69
Stephen Vogt : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 516 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 128
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.090 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -54
Ike Davis : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 582 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 23 — wOBA: 0.208 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 28