MLB Grind Down: Thursday, July 30th - Page Two
Chicago White Sox at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| Chicago White Sox | Boston | ||||||||
 | Chris Sale |  | Steven Wright | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHW (-168) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.194 | 0.473 | 0.221 | 0.353 | SP vs. Left | 0.26 | 0.719 | 0.317 | 0.193 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.212 | 0.606 | 0.268 | 0.304 | SP vs. Right | 0.245 | 0.741 | 0.324 | 0.15 |
| Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs R | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Sale : FD: $11,800 — DK: $13,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 306.2 — SIERA: 2.45 — ERA: 2.47 — K%: 31.2% — BB%: 5.2% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.1 — SIERA: 2.55 — ERA: 2.41 — K%: 27.5% — BB%: 2.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.273 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 10)
Pitchers per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Sale is the chalk play in cash games tonight. He has been absolutely dominant over the last two seasons, posting a 2.45 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 31.2%. He draws a favorable matchup against a reeling Red Sox team that has not hit left-handed pitching well this season. The fact that this game is being played in Fenway Park may scare some people off, but a favorable ballpark isn’t going to help the Red Sox avoid striking out. Sale has double-digit strikeout potential every time he takes the mound and the White Sox offense is finally giving their pitching staff some run support.
Pitcher Rating:97.3
Steven Wright : FD: $5,700 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 73.2 — SIERA: 4.00 — ERA: 4.15 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 9.1 — SIERA: 5.06 — ERA: 7.71 — K%: 15.6% — BB%: 11.1% — HR/9: 2.9
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 24.4% (Rank: 26)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Wright is an average-right-handed pitcher that has to face a red-hot White Sox offense in a hitter-friendly ballpark. The White Sox have put up runs in bunches in this series and who’s to say that they can’t continue their offensive onslaught tonight? Wright is a large underdog tonight and he has very limited upside. He can be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:43.7
Batter Grind Down
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have scored 28 runs in the first three games of this series, and no, that is not a typo. Their offense has feasted on the Red Sox pitching staff. They should be able to get to Steven Wright early, and if so, they will get to face a very tired bullpen. The usual cast of characters is in play tonight in Fenway.
Elite Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $3,900 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 769 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 143
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 133
Melky Cabrera : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 761 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 114
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.482 — ISO: 0.327 — wRC+: 213
Secondary Plays:
Adam Eaton : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 688 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.463 — ISO: 0.244 — wRC+: 201
Tyler Saladino : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.073 — wRC+: 94
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 109
Boston
The Red Sox draw the worst matchup on the board tonight. In addition to an elite strikeout rate, Chris Sale has held left and right-handed hitters under a .270 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM EST
| Pittsburgh | Cincinnati | ||||||||
 | A.J. Burnett |  | David Holmberg | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PIT (-139) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.244 | 0.747 | 0.335 | 0.182 | SP vs. Left | 0.269 | 0.958 | 0.425 | 0.152 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.266 | 0.701 | 0.309 | 0.221 | SP vs. Right | 0.225 | 0.817 | 0.356 | 0.125 |
| Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs L | Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
A.J. Burnett : FD: $8,800 — DK: $8,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 344.2 — SIERA: 3.78 — ERA: 3.86 — K%: 20.2% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 3.81 — ERA: 4.68 — K%: 16.3% — BB%: 4.8% — HR/9: 0.8
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.347 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 18.6% (Rank: 11)
Pitchers per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Burnett has not been in the best of form recently, posting a 4.68 ERA (3.81 SIERA) with a low strikeout rate of 16.3% over the last month of play. He draws a difficult matchup against the Reds, who are ranked sixth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Burnett may be a favorite tonight, but he’s a bit overpriced for his matchup. He’s a deep tournament play at best.
Pitcher Rating:67.1
David Holmberg : FD: N/A — DK: $4,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 30.0 — SIERA: 5.32 — ERA: 4.80 — K%: 13.1% — BB%: 11.7% — HR/9: 2.4
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 23.5% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 28.1% (Rank: 30)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Holmberg has 30 major league innings under his belt in his career. Over that stretch, he has a 5.32 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 13.1%. He has similar numbers in his minor league starts, which makes him an easy target tonight. He should be avoided in all league formats, while the Pirates are one of the top offenses on the board.
Pitcher Rating:45.2
Batter Grind Down
Pittsburgh
The Pirates draw a favorable matchup tonight against David Holmberg in the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. It’s expected to be a warm night in Cincinnati and it looks like there will be a helping wind out to center field. All of the right-handed hitters in the Pirates lineup are in play tonight against the young southpaw.
Elite Plays:
Andrew McCutchen : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 190 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 151
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.286 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 82
Jung-Ho Kang : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 144
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.491 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 224
Secondary Plays:
Starling Marte : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 165 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 142
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 157
Neil Walker : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 181 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.085 — wRC+: 94
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.286 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 82
Francisco Cervelli : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 147
Last 14 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 143
Cincinnati
The Reds draw an average matchup against A.J. Burnett tonight at home. If you are targeting any hitters in this lineup, target the ones that can hit from the left side of the plate. Burnett has given up a .335 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Joey Votto : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 499 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 146
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.659 — ISO: 0.390 — wRC+: 336
Colorado at St. Louis – 7:15 PM EST
| Colorado | St. Louis | ||||||||
 | Chris Rusin |  | Carlos Martinez | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (-218) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.271 | 0.72 | 0.312 | 0.152 | SP vs. Left | 0.258 | 0.784 | 0.339 | 0.176 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.312 | 0.861 | 0.372 | 0.151 | SP vs. Right | 0.227 | 0.593 | 0.266 | 0.284 |
| Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Rusin : FD: $5,500 — DK: $4,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 78.0 — SIERA: 3.94 — ERA: 4.62 — K%: 15.1% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.1 — SIERA: 3.62 — ERA: 3.16 — K%: 16.4% — BB%: 5.0% — HR/9: 1.4
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.292 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 23.6% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 16.8% (Rank: 4)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Rusin has actually pitched well recently with a 3.62 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 16.4% over the last month of play. Unfortunately, that shouldn’t be enough to persuade us into targeting him tonight. The Rockies are one of the largest underdogs on the schedule. The Cardinals may not hit left-handed pitching well, but Rusin hasn’t been very effective against hitters from either side of the plate. Avoid Rusin in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating:44.7
Carlos Martinez : FD: $10,100 — DK: $10,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 208.2 — SIERA: 3.43 — ERA: 3.06 — K%: 23.4% — BB%: 9.6% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 3.80 — ERA: 0.84 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 9.4% — HR/9: 0.3
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.342 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.363 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: Martinez is one of the top pitching options on the board tonight. If you want to take a different route than Chris Sale or need a reliable SP2, Martinez is a great option. He has a 3.43 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.4% over the last two seasons. He pitches well at home and he gets to face a Rockies’ offense that is not the same away from Coors Field. The price is expensive, but given the matchup, you can easily justify targeting him in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating:81.8
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
The Rockies may have Jose Reyes in their lineup, but they are going to miss Troy Tulowitzki, especially when they are playing in pitcher-friendly ballparks. They draw a difficult matchup tonight against Carlos Martinez, who is quickly becoming one of the Cardinals best pitchers. Martinez has given up a .339 wOBA to left-handed hitters though, making Charlie Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez secondary options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 794 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 108
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 458 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.249 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.606 — ISO: 0.595 — wRC+: 284
St. Louis
The Cardinals draw a favorable matchup tonight against Chris Rusin, who has given up a .372 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Jhonny Peralta, Randal Grichuk, and Yadier Molina are all in play tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
Jhonny Peralta : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 250 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 136
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.235 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 46
Secondary Plays:
Randal Grichuk : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 140 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.462 — ISO: 0.394 — wRC+: 202
Yadier Molina : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 201 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.106 — wRC+: 97
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 103
NY Yankees at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| NY Yankees | Texas | ||||||||
 | Michael Pineda |  | Yovani Gallardo | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYY (-139) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.234 | 0.653 | 0.283 | 0.21 | SP vs. Left | 0.233 | 0.658 | 0.294 | 0.171 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.254 | 0.672 | 0.292 | 0.241 | SP vs. Right | 0.266 | 0.701 | 0.311 | 0.172 |
| Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Michael Pineda : FD: $9,600 — DK: $8,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 194.1 — SIERA: 3.04 — ERA: 3.15 — K%: 22.6% — BB%: 2.8% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.1 — SIERA: 2.82 — ERA: 3.24 — K%: 22.7% — BB%: 2.3% — HR/9: 1.1
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 12)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 16)
Analysis: Pineda is not priced to match the type of production that he has put up over the last two seasons. During that stretch, he has a 3.04 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.6%, yet he is still only $8,100 on DraftKings. His matchup against the Rangers is a difficult one though, as they are ranked seventh in team wOBA against right-handed pitching and second in team wOBA over the last 14 days of action. I love taking advantage of mis-priced players, but the tough matchup makes it tough to do in anything other than a tournament.
Pitcher Rating:68.3
Yovani Gallardo : FD: $7,600 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 313.2 — SIERA: 4.01 — ERA: 3.39 — K%: 17.2% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 5.80 — ERA: 3.74 — K%: 11.2% — BB%: 13.2% — HR/9: 0.3
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 18.3% (Rank: 9)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Gallardo had that long stretch without giving up a run, but since then he has really hit a wall. Over the last month, he has a 5.80 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 11.2%. Tonight he draws one of the worst matchups on the board, as the Yankees are ranked fifth in team wOBA and eighth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. There is downside than upside tonight with Gallardo.
Pitcher Rating:40.1
Batter Grind Down
NY Yankees
The Yankees draw a favorable matchup against Yovani Gallardo in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park. New York was only able to muster up two runs last night, but they had 21 the evening before. Left and right-handed hitters are both in play here.
Elite Plays:
Brett Gardner : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 725 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 119
Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 583 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.124 — wRC+: 104
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.215 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 28
Secondary Plays:
Alex Rodriguez : FD: $4,500 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 270 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 142
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.462 — ISO: 0.487 — wRC+: 201
Chase Headley : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 660 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 99
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 174
Brian McCann : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 629 — wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 91
Last 14 Days: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.240 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 45
Carlos Beltran : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 496 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 26 — wOBA: 0.271 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 67
Texas
The Rangers have been one of the hottest offenses in baseball recently, but they run into an equally hot pitcher in Michael Pineda. Since the start of the 2014 season, Pineda has held left and right-handed hitters under a .295 wOBA. The Rangers are secondary options at best tonight and should only be targeted in tournaments.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 362 — wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 139
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 114
Josh Hamilton : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 340 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 100
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 74
Seattle at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Seattle | Minnesota | ||||||||
 | J.A. Happ |  | Phil Hughes | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIN (-139) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.273 | 0.807 | 0.352 | 0.25 | SP vs. Left | 0.254 | 0.665 | 0.29 | 0.183 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.261 | 0.743 | 0.325 | 0.172 | SP vs. Right | 0.29 | 0.767 | 0.333 | 0.191 |
| Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
J.A. Happ : FD: $6,500 — DK: $5,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 262.1 — SIERA: 4.03 — ERA: 4.25 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 4.80 — ERA: 5.96 — K%: 15.5% — BB%: 10.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.284 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 22.7% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Happ is one of the most hittable left-handed pitchers in baseball. Over the last month of play, he has a 5.96 ERA (4.80 SIERA) with a walk rate that is nearly as high as his strikeout rate. The Twins may not be the best offense in baseball, but they are more than adequate against left-handed pitching. Happ is cheap, but as often the case in life, you get what you pay for.
Pitcher Rating:44.9
Phil Hughes : FD: $7,600 — DK: $6,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 340.1 — SIERA: 3.59 — ERA: 3.68 — K%: 18.7% — BB%: 2.0% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 4.72 — ERA: 3.09 — K%: 11.4% — BB%: 2.3% — HR/9: 1.7
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Hughes has been very difficult to predict recently. He’ll have a good outing one night and then get lit up in his next start. We like to see consistency from our starting pitchers and that’s just not what Hughes brings to the table. He should be avoided against the Mariners, who are ranked eighth in team wOBA over the last 14 days.
Pitcher Rating:58.5
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
Robinson Cano is not expected to be in the lineup tonight, but the Mariners are still in a good spot. They draw a favorable matchup against Phil Hughes, who is an extreme fly-ball pitcher. Hughes is also a reverse-splits pitcher, so give the advantage to the hitters than can hit from the right side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
Nelson Cruz : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 835 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 134
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.441 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 191
Kyle Seager : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 713 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 132
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 140
Secondary Plays:
Austin Jackson : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 697 — wOBA: 0.275 — ISO: 0.084 — wRC+: 74
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.287 — ISO: 0.078 — wRC+: 84
Mark Trumbo : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 505 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 84
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 113
Minnesota
The Twins are small favorites tonight in what is expected to be a high-scoring game. They draw a favorable matchup against J.A. Happ, who has given up a .325+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Brian Dozier : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 336 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 134
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 115
Secondary Plays:
Aaron Hicks : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 137 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 144
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 132
Miguel Sano : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 22 — wOBA: 0.200 — ISO: 0.050 — wRC+: 19
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.292 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 83