NFL DFS First Look: Week 13

The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, EPA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the coming week.

NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team R-Total Home Team H-Total Favorite Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
Seattle Seahawks 19.3 Dallas Cowboys 28.3 DAL -9.0 47.5 Thursday 9:15 pm SDThu
Los Angeles Chargers 23.8 New England Patriots 17.8 LAC -6.0 41.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Atlanta Falcons 18.5 New York Jets 15.5 ATL -3.0 34.0 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Indianapolis Colts 22.0 Tennessee Titans 20.5 IND -1.5 42.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Detroit Lions 25.0 New Orleans Saints 20.5 DET -4.5 45.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 18.0 Pittsburgh Steelers 23.5 PIT -5.5 41.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Miami Dolphins 29.5 Washington Commanders 20.0 MIA -9.5 49.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Denver Broncos 22.0 Houston Texans 25.5 HOU -3.5 47.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Carolina Panthers 15.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.0 TBB -5.5 36.5 Sunday 4:05 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 24.5 Philadelphia Eagles 22.0 SFO -2.5 46.5 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Cleveland Browns 18.0 Los Angeles Rams 21.5 LAR -3.5 39.5 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Kansas City Chiefs 24.3 Green Bay Packers 18.3 KCC -6.0 42.5 Sunday 8:20 pm SDSun
Cincinnati Bengals 15.0 Jacksonville Jaguars 23.5 JAC -8.5 38.5 Monday 8:15 pm SDMon

Implied Team Totals & Matchup Chart (DVOA, EPA, DvP)

DVOA stats courtesy of FTN data
Offense Spread Total Matchup tDVOA totEPA pDVOA pasEPA rDVOA rusEPA QB DvP RB DvP WR DvP TE DvP TIME (ET) SLATE
Dallas Cowboys -9.0 28.3 vs SEA 22 20 23 14 18 25 19 29 22 11 9:15 pm SDThu
Seattle Seahawks 9.0 19.3 at DAL 3 3 6 3 9 9 6 4 3 15 9:15 pm SDThu
New England Patriots 6.0 17.8 vs LAC 28 27 27 26 26 21 30 25 30 28 1:00 pm Main
Los Angeles Chargers -6.0 23.8 at NEP 12 17 25 28 5 1 6 16 24 3 1:00 pm Main
New York Jets 3.0 15.5 vs ATL 27 12 29 23 16 2 22 2 8 29 1:00 pm Main
Atlanta Falcons -3.0 18.5 at NYJ 4 9 4 12 17 8 9 27 1 15 1:00 pm Main
Tennessee Titans 1.5 20.5 vs IND 11 13 10 9 24 23 15 26 15 24 1:00 pm Main
Indianapolis Colts -1.5 22.0 at TEN 24 28 30 31 2 9 12 13 27 2 1:00 pm Main
New Orleans Saints 4.5 20.5 vs DET 10 18 13 21 7 11 27 3 26 20 1:00 pm Main
Detroit Lions -4.5 25.0 at NOS 13 7 11 11 22 6 12 10 5 19 1:00 pm Main
Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 23.5 vs ARI 30 31 31 30 30 30 26 31 18 11 1:00 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 5.5 18.0 at PIT 7 6 7 7 14 16 10 16 20 8 1:00 pm Main
Washington Commanders 9.5 20.0 vs MIA 15 10 12 6 21 25 20 6 23 22 1:00 pm Main
Miami Dolphins -9.5 29.5 at WAS 31 32 32 32 12 13 32 20 31 13 1:00 pm Main
Houston Texans -3.5 25.5 vs DEN 32 30 28 29 31 28 25 32 7 32 1:00 pm Main
Denver Broncos 3.5 22.0 at HOU 20 22 26 24 10 5 22 16 13 31 1:00 pm Main
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 21.0 vs CAR 29 29 22 18 32 32 1 30 4 10 4:05 pm Main
Carolina Panthers 5.5 15.5 at TBB 16 24 20 27 13 3 29 5 29 25 4:05 pm Main
Philadelphia Eagles 2.5 22.0 vs SFO 6 4 5 5 20 24 4 8 19 4 4:25 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers -2.5 24.5 at PHI 17 23 21 20 4 17 31 1 32 27 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams -3.5 21.5 vs CLE 1 1 2 1 3 14 3 12 2 1 4:25 pm Main
Cleveland Browns 3.5 18.0 at LAR 21 19 14 19 23 19 17 7 12 23 4:25 pm Main
Green Bay Packers 6.0 18.3 vs KCC 8 5 3 4 27 31 5 14 9 6 8:20 pm SDSun
Kansas City Chiefs -6.0 24.3 at GBP 18 15 17 17 19 20 8 22 10 14 8:20 pm SDSun
Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5 23.5 vs CIN 26 26 19 22 29 27 24 19 17 30 8:15 pm SDMon
Cincinnati Bengals 8.5 15.0 at JAC 5 11 8 8 1 15 28 15 25 21 8:15 pm SDMon

Note: tDVOA = total defensive DVOA, totEPA = total defensive EPA, pDVOA = DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = EPA against the pass, rDVOA = DVOA against the run, rusEPA = EPA against the run, DvP = defense vs. position. Blue and green cells mark favorable matchups for the offense in the first column.

D-Line vs. O-Line – Pressures & Sacks

Defense Spread DraftKings FanDuel Press PrROE Sacks/G Matchup Opp Total O Press O PrROE O Sacks/G Defense Sack Pot Time (ET) Slate
Cowboys -9.0 $3,800 $5,000 1 1 4 vs SEA 19.3 28 25 19 Cowboys 2 9:15 pm SDThu
Seahawks 9.0 $2,600 $3,200 9 12 11 at DAL 28.3 5 7 8 Seahawks 18 9:15 pm SDThu
Patriots 6.0 $2,400 $3,900 18 23 23 vs LAC 23.8 17 19 11 Patriots 17 1:00 pm Main
Chargers -6.0 $4,000 $4,600 22 26 6 at NEP 17.8 9 15 11 Chargers 21 1:00 pm Main
Jets 3.0 $3,500 $4,400 3 4 18 vs ATL 18.5 11 16 22 Jets 7 1:00 pm Main
Falcons -3.0 $3,400 $4,700 24 29 28 at NYJ 15.5 30 31 30 Falcons 9 1:00 pm Main
Titans 1.5 $2,800 $3,400 25 27 17 vs IND 22.0 14 17 9 Titans 23 1:00 pm Main
Colts -1.5 $3,200 $4,500 26 19 6 at TEN 20.5 16 21 28 Colts 12 1:00 pm Main
Saints 4.5 $2,700 $3,600 28 30 30 vs DET 25.0 6 5 4 Saints 26 1:00 pm Main
Lions -4.5 $3,000 $4,300 8 16 26 at NOS 20.5 2 3 11 Lions 22 1:00 pm Main
Steelers -5.5 $3,800 $4,900 10 9 11 vs ARI 18.0 24 28 23 Steelers 5 1:00 pm Main
Cardinals 5.5 $2,900 $3,100 30 25 15 at PIT 23.5 24 26 11 Cardinals 18 1:00 pm Main
Commanders 9.5 $2,300 $3,000 13 17 10 vs MIA 29.5 1 2 3 Commanders 24 1:00 pm Main
Dolphins -9.5 $3,900 $5,000 6 6 2 at WAS 20.0 20 22 31 Dolphins 1 1:00 pm Main
Texans -3.5 $3,300 $3,500 14 10 23 vs DEN 22.0 31 30 26 Texans 6 1:00 pm Main
Broncos 3.5 $2,700 $4,000 15 22 26 at HOU 25.5 15 8 19 Broncos 15 1:00 pm Main
Buccaneers -5.5 $3,600 $4,800 12 13 14 vs CAR 15.5 27 29 29 Buccaneers 4 4:05 pm Main
Panthers 5.5 $2,500 $3,200 32 31 30 at TBB 21.0 13 14 17 Panthers 25 4:05 pm Main
Eagles 2.5 $2,800 $3,800 15 11 11 vs SFO 24.5 23 23 4 Eagles 11 4:25 pm Main
49ers -2.5 $3,000 $4,200 4 3 9 at PHI 22.0 26 20 21 49ers 3 4:25 pm Main
Rams -3.5 $3,700 $3,700 23 24 22 vs CLE 18.0 21 18 26 Rams 10 4:25 pm Main
Browns 3.5 $3,100 $4,100 2 2 8 at LAR 21.5 10 10 6 Browns 8 4:25 pm Main
Packers 6.0 $2,500 $3,300 17 15 20 vs KCC 24.3 22 12 2 Packers 12 8:20 pm SDSun
Chiefs -6.0 $3,300 $5,000 11 8 4 at GBP 18.3 4 1 6 Chiefs 15 8:20 pm SDSun
Jaguars -8.5 $3,400 $4,400 20 20 23 vs CIN 15.0 8 13 24 Jaguars 20 8:15 pm SDMon
Bengals 8.5 $2,600 $3,900 5 7 18 at JAC 23.5 3 9 11 Bengals 14 8:15 pm SDMon

Note: Press is pressure % on the opposing quarterback, PrROE is pressure rate over expectations, and sacks/g is sacks per game. The stats with O in front are for the opposing offensive line. Blue and green cells mark favorable stats for the defense in the first column.

Offense vs. Defense – Rushing & Passing Potential

Offense Spread Total pDVOA pEPA rDVOA rEPA Matchup pDVOA dEPA rDVOA rEPA Offense P-POT R-POT Time (ET) Slate
Cowboys -9.0 28.3 7 2 21 11 vs SEA 23 14 18 25 Cowboys 5 8 9:15 pm SDThu
Seahawks 9.0 19.3 15 20 22 13 at DAL 6 3 9 9 Seahawks 21 22 9:15 pm SDThu
Patriots 6.0 17.8 28 30 14 15 vs LAC 27 26 26 21 Patriots 16 6 1:00 pm Main
Chargers -6.0 23.8 6 8 23 25 at NEP 25 28 5 1 Chargers 4 24 1:00 pm Main
Jets 3.0 15.5 31 32 32 29 vs ATL 29 23 16 2 Jets 19 26 1:00 pm Main
Falcons -3.0 18.5 24 23 9 19 at NYJ 4 12 17 8 Falcons 25 17 1:00 pm Main
Titans 1.5 20.5 21 19 16 12 vs IND 10 9 24 23 Titans 20 5 1:00 pm Main
Colts -1.5 22.0 19 17 6 22 at TEN 30 31 2 9 Colts 6 21 1:00 pm Main
Saints 4.5 20.5 22 21 10 14 vs DET 13 21 7 11 Saints 15 17 1:00 pm Main
Lions -4.5 25.0 9 13 4 4 at NOS 11 11 22 6 Lions 12 3 1:00 pm Main
Steelers -5.5 23.5 20 25 8 10 vs ARI 31 30 30 30 Steelers 10 1 1:00 pm Main
Cardinals 5.5 18.0 27 29 15 9 at PIT 7 7 14 16 Cardinals 26 10 1:00 pm Main
Commanders 9.5 20.0 23 22 18 23 vs MIA 12 6 21 25 Commanders 22 12 1:00 pm Main
Dolphins -9.5 29.5 4 3 2 2 at WAS 32 32 12 13 Dolphins 1 3 1:00 pm Main
Texans -3.5 25.5 3 6 27 24 vs DEN 28 29 31 28 Texans 2 12 1:00 pm Main
Broncos 3.5 22.0 12 15 12 15 at HOU 26 24 10 5 Broncos 8 20 1:00 pm Main
Buccaneers -5.5 21.0 18 11 26 26 vs CAR 22 18 32 32 Buccaneers 11 10 4:05 pm Main
Panthers 5.5 15.5 30 27 28 27 at TBB 20 27 13 3 Panthers 17 24 4:05 pm Main
Eagles 2.5 22.0 8 5 5 5 vs SFO 5 5 20 24 Eagles 13 2 4:25 pm Main
49ers -2.5 24.5 1 1 3 7 at PHI 21 20 4 17 49ers 3 7 4:25 pm Main
Rams -3.5 21.5 16 16 11 8 vs CLE 2 1 3 14 Rams 22 16 4:25 pm Main
Browns 3.5 18.0 29 28 20 17 at LAR 14 19 23 19 Browns 24 12 4:25 pm Main
Packers 6.0 18.3 10 9 25 21 vs KCC 3 4 27 31 Packers 14 9 8:20 pm SDSun
Chiefs -6.0 24.3 5 7 17 18 at GBP 17 17 19 20 Chiefs 6 15 8:20 pm SDSun
Jaguars -8.5 23.5 11 10 24 30 vs CIN 19 22 29 27 Jaguars 9 17 8:15 pm SDMon
Bengals 8.5 15.0 17 18 19 20 at JAC 8 8 1 15 Bengals 17 23 8:15 pm SDMon

Note: pDVOA = DVOA against the pass, pEPA = EPA against the pass, rDVOA = DVOA against the run, rEPA = EPA against the run, P-POT = offensive passing potential, R-POT = offensive rushing potential.

Projected Starters — Quarterback

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel PaY/G PaT/G RuY/G RuT/G Int/G QBR Opp pDVOA pasEPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Dak Prescott DAL -9.0 28.3 $7,200 $8,500 266.8 2.1 13.7 0.2 0.5 107.4 vs SEA 23 14 19 9:15 pm SDThu
Geno Smith SEA 9.0 19.3 $5,400 $6,600 234.9 1.1 7.8 0.0 0.7 88.2 at DAL 6 3 6 9:15 pm SDThu
Bailey Zappe NEP 6.0 17.8 $4,800 $6,600 39.5 0.0 0.5 38.2 vs LAC 27 26 30 1:00 pm Main
Justin Herbert LAC -6.0 23.8 $8,000 $8,200 256.9 1.8 21.2 0.3 0.5 96.9 at NEP 25 28 6 1:00 pm Main
Tim Boyle NYJ 3.0 15.5 $4,800 $6,300 106.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 55.9 vs ATL 29 23 22 1:00 pm Main
Desmond Ridder ATL -3.0 18.5 $5,000 $6,500 190.8 0.7 18.0 0.4 0.8 82.4 at NYJ 4 12 9 1:00 pm Main
Will Levis TEN 1.5 20.5 $5,200 $6,600 208.4 1.2 2.4 0.0 0.4 88.2 vs IND 10 9 15 1:00 pm Main
Gardner Minshew IND -1.5 22.0 $5,300 $6,800 197.2 0.8 5.0 0.3 0.7 81.4 at TEN 30 31 12 1:00 pm Main
Derek Carr NOS 4.5 20.5 $5,600 $7,000 230.5 0.9 3.6 0.0 0.5 88.5 vs DET 13 21 27 1:00 pm Main
Jared Goff DET -4.5 25.0 $6,500 $7,600 279.5 1.6 2.1 0.2 0.7 96.9 at NOS 11 11 12 1:00 pm Main
Kenny Pickett PIT -5.5 23.5 $5,100 $6,700 181.8 0.5 4.6 0.1 0.4 81.2 vs ARI 31 30 26 1:00 pm Main
Kyler Murray ARI 5.5 18.0 $7,000 $7,700 239.7 0.7 28.7 1.0 0.7 79.9 at PIT 7 7 10 1:00 pm Main
Sam Howell WAS 9.5 20.0 $6,200 $7,500 278.2 1.5 18.5 0.3 1.1 87.3 vs MIA 12 6 20 1:00 pm Main
Tua Tagovailoa MIA -9.5 29.5 $7,900 $8,400 288.8 2.0 3.6 0.0 0.9 103.7 at WAS 32 32 32 1:00 pm Main
C.J. Stroud HOU -3.5 25.5 $8,100 $8,000 296.9 1.7 12.0 0.3 0.5 100.8 vs DEN 28 29 25 1:00 pm Main
Russell Wilson DEN 3.5 22.0 $5,700 $7,400 199.9 1.8 24.2 0.1 0.4 103.4 at HOU 26 24 22 1:00 pm Main
Baker Mayfield TBB -5.5 21.0 $5,500 $6,800 235.3 1.5 13.9 0.0 0.6 91.6 vs CAR 22 18 1 4:05 pm Main
Bryce Young CAR 5.5 15.5 $4,900 $6,500 187.7 0.9 16.1 0.0 0.8 74.9 at TBB 20 27 29 4:05 pm Main
Jalen Hurts PHI 2.5 22.0 $8,200 $9,000 245.2 1.6 37.3 1.0 0.9 94.9 vs SFO 5 5 4 4:25 pm Main
Brock Purdy SFO -2.5 24.5 $6,100 $7,800 261.0 1.7 11.1 0.2 0.5 112.3 at PHI 21 20 31 4:25 pm Main
Matthew Stafford LAR -3.5 21.5 $5,900 $6,900 248.9 1.3 7.1 0.0 0.9 84.8 vs CLE 2 1 3 4:25 pm Main
Joe Flacco CLE 3.5 18.0 $4,600 $6,000 at LAR 14 19 17 4:25 pm Main
Jordan Love GBP 6.0 18.3 $5,800 $7,300 236.3 1.7 20.1 0.2 0.9 87.7 vs KCC 3 4 5 8:20 pm SDSun
Patrick Mahomes KCC -6.0 24.3 $7,800 $8,300 265.2 1.9 27.7 0.0 0.8 96.3 at GBP 17 17 8 8:20 pm SDSun
Trevor Lawrence JAC -8.5 23.5 $6,600 $7,900 249.6 1.1 21.8 0.3 0.6 92.0 vs CIN 19 22 24 8:15 pm SDMon
Jake Browning CIN 8.5 15.0 $5,100 $6,500 98.3 0.7 16.0 0.0 0.3 93.0 at JAC 8 8 28 8:15 pm SDMon

Note: PaY/G = passing yards per game, PaT/G = passing touchdowns per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, RuT/G = rushing touchdowns per game, Int/G = interceptions per game, QBR = quarterback rating, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Running Back

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Att/G RuY/G Tar/G ReY/G Tar % Rte % Opp rDVOA rusEPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Tony Pollard DAL -9.0 28.3 $6,800 $7,600 14.5 60.8 4.2 21.2 12% 51% vs SEA 18 25 29 9:15 pm SDThu
Rico Dowdle DAL -9.0 28.3 $4,800 $4,900 5.3 22.4 1.0 6.3 3% 12% vs SEA 18 25 29 9:15 pm SDThu
Zach Charbonnet SEA 9.0 19.3 $5,300 $5,900 6.7 30.8 2.6 10.3 7% 40% at DAL 9 9 4 9:15 pm SDThu
DeeJay Dallas SEA 9.0 19.3 $4,400 $4,600 0.7 2.5 0.6 2.4 2% 8% at DAL 9 9 4 9:15 pm SDThu
Rhamondre Stevenson NEP 6.0 17.8 $6,000 $7,300 13.4 52.7 4.5 21.6 13% 53% vs LAC 26 21 25 1:00 pm Main
Ezekiel Elliott NEP 6.0 17.8 $4,500 $5,300 8.6 34.3 2.2 10.4 6% 23% vs LAC 26 21 25 1:00 pm Main
Austin Ekeler LAC -6.0 23.8 $8,300 $8,000 14.0 53.5 5.1 35.8 14% 54% at NEP 5 1 16 1:00 pm Main
Joshua Kelley LAC -6.0 23.8 $4,900 $6,000 8.0 32.7 0.7 1.5 2% 26% at NEP 5 1 16 1:00 pm Main
Breece Hall NYJ 3.0 15.5 $6,400 $6,700 11.3 51.7 4.3 29.1 13% 38% vs ATL 16 2 2 1:00 pm Main
Dalvin Cook NYJ 3.0 15.5 $4,400 $4,800 4.5 14.7 1.5 6.0 4% 14% vs ATL 16 2 2 1:00 pm Main
Bijan Robinson ATL -3.0 18.5 $6,700 $8,100 12.8 63.9 4.3 21.8 14% 63% at NYJ 17 8 27 1:00 pm Main
Tyler Allgeier ATL -3.0 18.5 $4,500 $5,500 12.3 42.4 1.5 7.5 5% 16% at NYJ 17 8 27 1:00 pm Main
Derrick Henry TEN 1.5 20.5 $6,800 $8,200 16.0 67.2 2.1 15.2 7% 25% vs IND 24 23 26 1:00 pm Main
Tyjae Spears TEN 1.5 20.5 $4,400 $4,900 4.5 23.1 3.5 16.3 12% 43% vs IND 24 23 26 1:00 pm Main
Zack Moss IND -1.5 22.0 $4,600 $5,600 14.1 67.2 2.2 13.8 6% 35% at TEN 2 9 13 1:00 pm Main
Trey Sermon IND -1.5 22.0 $4,000 $4,200 1.1 3.4 0.4 0.6 1% 7% at TEN 2 9 13 1:00 pm Main
Alvin Kamara NOS 4.5 20.5 $8,200 $8,300 14.9 57.1 7.6 44.4 19% 54% vs DET 7 11 3 1:00 pm Main
Jamaal Williams NOS 4.5 20.5 $4,300 $5,000 6.7 19.6 1.3 4.0 3% 19% vs DET 7 11 3 1:00 pm Main
Jahmyr Gibbs DET -4.5 25.0 $6,700 $7,700 12.1 62.9 5.7 30.9 15% 57% at NOS 22 6 10 1:00 pm Main
David Montgomery DET -4.5 25.0 $6,500 $7,800 16.6 81.0 1.4 11.0 4% 25% at NOS 22 6 10 1:00 pm Main
Jaylen Warren PIT -5.5 23.5 $5,400 $6,500 8.5 49.3 3.9 22.5 12% 37% vs ARI 30 30 31 1:00 pm Main
Najee Harris PIT -5.5 23.5 $5,200 $7,200 13.0 54.4 2.3 10.5 7% 32% vs ARI 30 30 31 1:00 pm Main
James Conner ARI 5.5 18.0 $5,800 $6,300 13.0 65.8 2.1 4.5 7% 34% at PIT 14 16 16 1:00 pm Main
Michael Carter ARI 5.5 18.0 $4,200 $5,100 1.2 5.7 2.4 8.3 7% 29% at PIT 14 16 16 1:00 pm Main
Brian Robinson WAS 9.5 20.0 $6,100 $6,800 12.8 50.9 2.8 27.1 7% 31% vs MIA 21 25 6 1:00 pm Main
Antonio Gibson WAS 9.5 20.0 $4,500 $5,300 3.3 14.4 3.5 25.9 9% 43% vs MIA 21 25 6 1:00 pm Main
Raheem Mostert MIA -9.5 29.5 $7,300 $8,400 13.7 71.4 2.5 14.4 7% 38% at WAS 12 13 20 1:00 pm Main
Jeff Wilson MIA -9.5 29.5 $4,600 $5,500 4.5 21.3 2.5 16.8 7% 18% at WAS 12 13 20 1:00 pm Main
Devin Singletary HOU -3.5 25.5 $5,900 $7,000 10.9 44.5 2.0 10.3 6% 42% vs DEN 31 28 32 1:00 pm Main
Dameon Pierce HOU -3.5 25.5 $5,100 $5,900 14.3 42.6 1.6 11.0 5% 25% vs DEN 31 28 32 1:00 pm Main
Javonte Williams DEN 3.5 22.0 $5,700 $6,600 14.0 53.8 3.2 13.1 11% 25% at HOU 10 5 16 1:00 pm Main
Samaje Perine DEN 3.5 22.0 $4,800 $5,700 3.3 15.7 3.3 30.6 11% 36% at HOU 10 5 16 1:00 pm Main
Rachaad White TBB -5.5 21.0 $6,300 $7,500 14.2 50.8 4.2 33.1 12% 60% vs CAR 32 32 30 4:05 pm Main
Chase Edmonds TBB -5.5 21.0 $4,300 $4,700 2.7 6.9 0.9 3.4 2% 11% vs CAR 32 32 30 4:05 pm Main
Chuba Hubbard CAR 5.5 15.5 $5,300 $6,200 10.7 41.2 2.8 15.0 8% 42% at TBB 13 3 5 4:05 pm Main
Miles Sanders CAR 5.5 15.5 $4,300 $5,600 9.7 30.2 3.1 12.0 8% 33% at TBB 13 3 5 4:05 pm Main
D’Andre Swift PHI 2.5 22.0 $6,600 $6,700 14.6 70.0 3.5 18.3 11% 41% vs SFO 20 24 8 4:25 pm Main
Kenneth Gainwell PHI 2.5 22.0 $4,500 $4,900 5.7 20.2 2.2 8.8 7% 30% vs SFO 20 24 8 4:25 pm Main
Christian McCaffrey SFO -2.5 24.5 $9,000 $9,800 17.5 85.4 4.9 35.4 18% 68% at PHI 4 17 1 4:25 pm Main
Elijah Mitchell SFO -2.5 24.5 $4,300 $4,700 5.1 17.0 0.8 -0.1 3% 8% at PHI 4 17 1 4:25 pm Main
Kyren Williams LAR -3.5 21.5 $7,200 $8,500 16.1 85.6 4.1 23.7 11% 70% vs CLE 3 14 12 4:25 pm Main
Royce Freeman LAR -3.5 21.5 $4,500 $5,400 9.0 41.7 0.1 0.0 0% 18% vs CLE 3 14 12 4:25 pm Main
Jerome Ford CLE 3.5 18.0 $5,500 $6,400 13.2 57.1 3.7 14.8 11% 45% at LAR 23 19 7 4:25 pm Main
Kareem Hunt CLE 3.5 18.0 $4,700 $5,800 9.9 31.8 1.3 6.6 4% 21% at LAR 23 19 7 4:25 pm Main
AJ Dillon GBP 6.0 18.3 $5,400 $6,500 11.9 40.7 2.0 16.7 6% 38% vs KCC 27 31 14 8:20 pm SDSun
Patrick Taylor GBP 6.0 18.3 $4,000 $4,800 2.8 8.4 2.2 6.4 7% 33% vs KCC 27 31 14 8:20 pm SDSun
Isiah Pacheco KCC -6.0 24.3 $6,500 $7,500 14.4 60.8 3.1 17.8 8% 36% at GBP 19 20 22 8:20 pm SDSun
Jerick McKinnon KCC -6.0 24.3 $4,700 $5,000 1.3 3.0 2.6 15.5 7% 31% at GBP 19 20 22 8:20 pm SDSun
Travis Etienne JAC -8.5 23.5 $7,000 $8,700 17.6 66.0 3.9 28.4 11% 52% vs CIN 29 27 19 8:15 pm SDMon
D’Ernest Johnson JAC -8.5 23.5 $4,300 $5,500 2.4 7.8 0.7 10.8 2% 9% vs CIN 29 27 19 8:15 pm SDMon
Joe Mixon CIN 8.5 15.0 $6,200 $7,200 14.6 56.5 3.6 21.1 10% 48% at JAC 1 15 15 8:15 pm SDMon
Trayveon Williams CIN 8.5 15.0 $4,000 $4,500 1.1 5.4 0.6 0.8 2% 17% at JAC 1 15 15 8:15 pm SDMon

Note: Att/G = rushing attempts per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, Tar/G = targets per game, ReY/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, rDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the run, rusEPA = opponent’s ERA against the run, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Wide Receiver

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % Opp pDVOA pasEPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
CeeDee Lamb DAL -9.0 28.3 $8,900 $8,800 9.3 7.1 96.9 26% 35% 87% vs SEA 23 14 22 9:15 pm SDThu
Brandin Cooks DAL -9.0 28.3 $4,900 $6,000 4.8 3.3 45.2 14% 20% 74% vs SEA 23 14 22 9:15 pm SDThu
Michael Gallup DAL -9.0 28.3 $3,600 $5,000 4.2 2.5 32.5 12% 16% 61% vs SEA 23 14 22 9:15 pm SDThu
D.K. Metcalf SEA 9.0 19.3 $6,500 $6,800 7.7 4.3 67.8 22% 43% 81% at DAL 6 3 3 9:15 pm SDThu
Tyler Lockett SEA 9.0 19.3 $5,900 $6,500 6.9 4.9 52.3 20% 32% 83% at DAL 6 3 3 9:15 pm SDThu
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA 9.0 19.3 $4,000 $5,300 5.2 3.5 36.9 15% 13% 70% at DAL 6 3 3 9:15 pm SDThu
Demario Douglas NEP 6.0 17.8 $4,300 $6,200 5.4 3.6 41.0 15% 17% 51% vs LAC 27 26 30 1:00 pm Main
DeVante Parker NEP 6.0 17.8 $3,300 $5,300 3.8 2.3 25.0 12% 16% 71% vs LAC 27 26 30 1:00 pm Main
JuJu Smith-Schuster NEP 6.0 17.8 $3,200 $5,400 4.1 2.7 17.7 12% 9% 45% vs LAC 27 26 30 1:00 pm Main
Keenan Allen LAC -6.0 23.8 $9,000 $9,000 11.6 8.8 101.5 32% 38% 89% at NEP 25 28 24 1:00 pm Main
Jalen Guyton LAC -6.0 23.8 $3,300 $5,300 4.7 1.7 15.0 12% 29% 74% at NEP 25 28 24 1:00 pm Main
Quentin Johnston LAC -6.0 23.8 $4,000 $5,700 3.4 1.9 17.3 9% 15% 54% at NEP 25 28 24 1:00 pm Main
Garrett Wilson NYJ 3.0 15.5 $6,000 $6,900 9.8 5.8 63.2 29% 49% 91% vs ATL 29 23 8 1:00 pm Main
Xavier Gipson NYJ 3.0 15.5 $3,100 $5,000 1.0 0.6 7.5 3% 4% 35% vs ATL 29 23 8 1:00 pm Main
Jason Brownlee NYJ 3.0 15.5 $3,000 $5,100 0.7 0.7 6.7 2% 2% 45% vs ATL 29 23 8 1:00 pm Main
Drake London ATL -3.0 18.5 $4,900 $6,500 6.7 4.5 56.5 22% 29% 81% at NYJ 4 12 1 1:00 pm Main
Khadarel Hodge ATL -3.0 18.5 $3,000 $4,900 1.4 1.0 18.1 4% 9% 30% at NYJ 4 12 1 1:00 pm Main
Van Jefferson ATL -3.0 18.5 $3,100 $5,000 2.8 1.3 14.9 8% 18% 59% at NYJ 4 12 1 1:00 pm Main
DeAndre Hopkins TEN 1.5 20.5 $6,100 $7,000 7.2 4.1 63.5 25% 41% 77% vs IND 10 9 15 1:00 pm Main
Treylon Burks TEN 1.5 20.5 $3,400 $5,000 3.6 1.6 24.4 12% 25% 63% vs IND 10 9 15 1:00 pm Main
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN 1.5 20.5 $3,200 $5,500 3.2 2.2 25.5 11% 14% 56% vs IND 10 9 15 1:00 pm Main
Michael Pittman IND -1.5 22.0 $7,100 $7,900 9.6 6.9 71.3 28% 32% 91% at TEN 30 31 27 1:00 pm Main
Josh Downs IND -1.5 22.0 $5,100 $6,100 6.4 4.4 51.5 18% 21% 67% at TEN 30 31 27 1:00 pm Main
Alec Pierce IND -1.5 22.0 $3,300 $5,300 3.5 2.0 26.5 10% 21% 81% at TEN 30 31 27 1:00 pm Main
A.T. Perry NOS 4.5 20.5 $3,300 $5,700 1.5 0.8 11.3 4% 6% 50% vs DET 13 21 26 1:00 pm Main
Lynn Bowden NOS 4.5 20.5 $3,000 $5,200 0.4 0.1 1.3 1% 2% 12% vs DET 13 21 26 1:00 pm Main
Keith Kirkwood NOS 4.5 20.5 $3,000 $4,900 0.9 0.4 2.6 2% 3% 11% vs DET 13 21 26 1:00 pm Main
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET -4.5 25.0 $8,500 $8,500 10.6 8.2 99.3 28% 33% 88% at NOS 11 11 5 1:00 pm Main
Jameson Williams DET -4.5 25.0 $3,600 $5,200 3.3 1.7 26.3 8% 22% 43% at NOS 11 11 5 1:00 pm Main
Josh Reynolds DET -4.5 25.0 $3,400 $5,600 3.5 2.5 39.8 10% 17% 68% at NOS 11 11 5 1:00 pm Main
Diontae Johnson PIT -5.5 23.5 $5,000 $6,800 7.9 4.3 55.0 24% 41% 80% vs ARI 31 30 18 1:00 pm Main
George Pickens PIT -5.5 23.5 $4,800 $6,600 6.5 3.6 60.2 21% 40% 89% vs ARI 31 30 18 1:00 pm Main
Allen Robinson PIT -5.5 23.5 $3,000 $5,000 3.1 2.1 16.8 10% 10% 69% vs ARI 31 30 18 1:00 pm Main
Marquise Brown ARI 5.5 18.0 $5,200 $6,800 7.8 4.3 47.8 24% 38% 88% at PIT 7 7 20 1:00 pm Main
Michael Wilson ARI 5.5 18.0 $3,200 $5,300 4.4 3.1 48.3 13% 25% 78% at PIT 7 7 20 1:00 pm Main
Rondale Moore ARI 5.5 18.0 $3,400 $5,000 3.7 2.3 21.2 11% 8% 72% at PIT 7 7 20 1:00 pm Main
Terry McLaurin WAS 9.5 20.0 $5,500 $6,700 7.8 5.0 57.8 19% 31% 82% vs MIA 12 6 23 1:00 pm Main
Jahan Dotson WAS 9.5 20.0 $4,600 $5,900 5.5 3.5 36.3 14% 19% 83% vs MIA 12 6 23 1:00 pm Main
Curtis Samuel WAS 9.5 20.0 $4,100 $6,200 5.5 4.3 40.3 14% 13% 54% vs MIA 12 6 23 1:00 pm Main
Tyreek Hill MIA -9.5 29.5 $9,600 $10,000 10.6 8.0 120.4 31% 43% 77% at WAS 32 32 31 1:00 pm Main
Jaylen Waddle MIA -9.5 29.5 $7,600 $7,800 7.5 5.2 69.1 21% 28% 67% at WAS 32 32 31 1:00 pm Main
Braxton Berrios MIA -9.5 29.5 $3,000 $4,700 2.6 2.0 19.4 8% 8% 49% at WAS 32 32 31 1:00 pm Main
Tank Dell HOU -3.5 25.5 $7,400 $8,200 7.5 4.7 70.9 21% 33% 72% vs DEN 28 29 7 1:00 pm Main
Nico Collins HOU -3.5 25.5 $6,800 $7,600 7.3 5.0 80.0 21% 28% 71% vs DEN 28 29 7 1:00 pm Main
Robert Woods HOU -3.5 25.5 $3,900 $5,200 6.2 3.3 36.2 17% 20% 67% vs DEN 28 29 7 1:00 pm Main
Courtland Sutton DEN 3.5 22.0 $5,400 $6,900 6.2 4.4 50.9 21% 39% 81% at HOU 26 24 13 1:00 pm Main
Jerry Jeudy DEN 3.5 22.0 $4,700 $6,000 5.2 3.7 44.0 18% 32% 80% at HOU 26 24 13 1:00 pm Main
Marvin Mims DEN 3.5 22.0 $3,300 $4,800 1.9 1.4 25.6 7% 17% 38% at HOU 26 24 13 1:00 pm Main
Mike Evans TBB -5.5 21.0 $7,700 $8,300 8.1 4.9 77.3 23% 41% 76% vs CAR 22 18 4 4:05 pm Main
Chris Godwin TBB -5.5 21.0 $6,300 $6,300 7.4 4.8 55.1 21% 25% 81% vs CAR 22 18 4 4:05 pm Main
Trey Palmer TBB -5.5 21.0 $3,200 $5,200 3.7 2.3 20.6 11% 15% 66% vs CAR 22 18 4 4:05 pm Main
Adam Thielen CAR 5.5 15.5 $6,600 $7,000 9.1 7.0 66.2 24% 29% 88% at TBB 20 27 29 4:05 pm Main
Jonathan Mingo CAR 5.5 15.5 $3,300 $5,400 5.5 2.8 28.6 15% 25% 81% at TBB 20 27 29 4:05 pm Main
DJ Chark CAR 5.5 15.5 $3,200 $5,600 4.1 2.2 29.2 11% 25% 74% at TBB 20 27 29 4:05 pm Main
A.J. Brown PHI 2.5 22.0 $8,800 $8,400 9.4 6.6 95.5 29% 47% 86% vs SFO 5 5 19 4:25 pm Main
DeVonta Smith PHI 2.5 22.0 $7,300 $7,700 6.7 5.0 67.1 21% 33% 91% vs SFO 5 5 19 4:25 pm Main
Julio Jones PHI 2.5 22.0 $3,100 $4,800 1.4 1.0 3.2 5% 2% 41% vs SFO 5 5 19 4:25 pm Main
Deebo Samuel SFO -2.5 24.5 $6,200 $7,300 5.3 3.8 52.7 19% 19% 75% at PHI 21 20 32 4:25 pm Main
Brandon Aiyuk SFO -2.5 24.5 $7,200 $8,000 6.5 4.5 88.1 24% 44% 84% at PHI 21 20 32 4:25 pm Main
Jauan Jennings SFO -2.5 24.5 $3,500 $4,800 2.3 1.4 19.6 8% 12% 49% at PHI 21 20 32 4:25 pm Main
Cooper Kupp LAR -3.5 21.5 $7,800 $7,100 6.9 3.9 56.1 22% 34% 78% vs CLE 2 1 2 4:25 pm Main
Puka Nacua LAR -3.5 21.5 $7,000 $7,200 9.8 6.6 84.0 28% 34% 88% vs CLE 2 1 2 4:25 pm Main
Tutu Atwell LAR -3.5 21.5 $3,800 $5,800 5.4 3.3 42.5 16% 24% 80% vs CLE 2 1 2 4:25 pm Main
Amari Cooper CLE 3.5 18.0 $5,700 $6,700 7.6 4.3 69.5 22% 40% 82% at LAR 14 19 12 4:25 pm Main
Elijah Moore CLE 3.5 18.0 $3,500 $6,000 6.5 3.9 38.0 18% 23% 83% at LAR 14 19 12 4:25 pm Main
Cedric Tillman CLE 3.5 18.0 $3,100 $5,300 1.5 0.9 8.1 4% 7% 44% at LAR 14 19 12 4:25 pm Main
Christian Watson GBP 6.0 18.3 $4,600 $6,000 5.5 2.6 43.9 16% 34% 70% vs KCC 3 4 9 8:20 pm SDSun
Jayden Reed GBP 6.0 18.3 $4,400 $6,100 5.2 3.3 45.2 15% 19% 62% vs KCC 3 4 9 8:20 pm SDSun
Romeo Doubs GBP 6.0 18.3 $4,800 $5,900 6.2 3.7 39.4 18% 26% 74% vs KCC 3 4 9 8:20 pm SDSun
Rashee Rice KCC -6.0 24.3 $5,600 $6,100 5.1 4.0 47.9 13% 11% 42% at GBP 17 17 10 8:20 pm SDSun
Justin Watson KCC -6.0 24.3 $3,500 $5,300 3.8 2.0 33.2 10% 30% 47% at GBP 17 17 10 8:20 pm SDSun
Skyy Moore KCC -6.0 24.3 $3,000 $4,900 3.2 1.8 21.7 8% 12% 49% at GBP 17 17 10 8:20 pm SDSun
Calvin Ridley JAC -8.5 23.5 $6,400 $7,400 6.8 4.3 60.3 20% 37% 81% vs CIN 19 22 17 8:15 pm SDMon
Christian Kirk JAC -8.5 23.5 $5,800 $6,900 7.3 5.1 69.2 21% 29% 81% vs CIN 19 22 17 8:15 pm SDMon
Zay Jones JAC -8.5 23.5 $3,700 $5,300 4.8 2.6 21.6 13% 20% 59% vs CIN 19 22 17 8:15 pm SDMon
Ja’Marr Chase CIN 8.5 15.0 $8,100 $7,900 10.0 6.8 83.1 27% 40% 93% at JAC 8 8 25 8:15 pm SDMon
Tee Higgins CIN 8.5 15.0 $6,300 $6,200 7.1 3.9 46.9 19% 36% 75% at JAC 8 8 25 8:15 pm SDMon
Tyler Boyd CIN 8.5 15.0 $4,200 $5,500 6.4 4.5 42.0 17% 19% 82% at JAC 8 8 25 8:15 pm SDMon

Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Tight End

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % Opp pDVOA pasEPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Jake Ferguson DAL -9.0 28.3 $4,000 $5,600 5.1 3.6 38.3 14% 12% 69% vs SEA 23 14 11 9:15 pm SDThu
Noah Fant SEA 9.0 19.3 $2,700 $4,700 2.2 1.7 23.7 6% 6% 45% at DAL 6 3 15 9:15 pm SDThu
Hunter Henry NEP 6.0 17.8 $3,100 $5,100 4.1 2.7 27.1 12% 15% 61% vs LAC 27 26 28 1:00 pm Main
Gerald Everett LAC -6.0 23.8 $3,500 $5,000 3.4 2.8 23.3 10% 5% 46% at NEP 25 28 3 1:00 pm Main
Tyler Conklin NYJ 3.0 15.5 $3,000 $4,900 4.3 3.5 37.6 13% 12% 60% vs ATL 29 23 29 1:00 pm Main
Kyle Pitts ATL -3.0 18.5 $3,800 $5,300 5.3 3.4 40.1 17% 24% 70% at NYJ 4 12 15 1:00 pm Main
Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN 1.5 20.5 $3,100 $4,800 4.4 2.9 22.8 15% 12% 60% vs IND 10 9 24 1:00 pm Main
Mo Alie-Cox IND -1.5 22.0 $2,500 $4,400 0.9 0.5 9.3 3% 4% 17% at TEN 30 31 2 1:00 pm Main
Taysom Hill NOS 4.5 20.5 $5,200 $6,500 2.7 2.2 19.5 7% 5% 36% vs DET 13 21 20 1:00 pm Main
Sam LaPorta DET -4.5 25.0 $5,600 $7,000 7.0 5.0 49.0 19% 21% 72% at NOS 11 11 19 1:00 pm Main
Pat Freiermuth PIT -5.5 23.5 $4,300 $5,800 4.2 3.0 30.0 13% 14% 57% vs ARI 31 30 11 1:00 pm Main
Trey McBride ARI 5.5 18.0 $4,900 $6,700 5.3 4.0 43.4 16% 14% 53% at PIT 7 7 8 1:00 pm Main
Logan Thomas WAS 9.5 20.0 $3,600 $5,200 5.6 4.1 38.5 14% 13% 69% vs MIA 12 6 22 1:00 pm Main
Durham Smythe MIA -9.5 29.5 $2,500 $4,600 2.4 1.8 17.8 7% 6% 58% at WAS 32 32 13 1:00 pm Main
Dalton Schultz HOU -3.5 25.5 $5,000 $6,200 5.3 3.6 41.4 15% 15% 64% vs DEN 28 29 32 1:00 pm Main
Adam Trautman DEN 3.5 22.0 $2,900 $4,600 2.0 1.5 11.4 7% 7% 62% at HOU 26 24 31 1:00 pm Main
Cade Otton TBB -5.5 21.0 $3,200 $5,100 4.5 3.5 31.6 13% 9% 79% vs CAR 22 18 10 4:05 pm Main
Tommy Tremble CAR 5.5 15.5 $2,600 $4,700 1.4 1.2 7.6 4% 3% 28% at TBB 20 27 25 4:05 pm Main
Dallas Goedert PHI 2.5 22.0 $4,800 $5,500 5.8 4.2 45.6 17% 11% 80% vs SFO 5 5 4 4:25 pm Main
George Kittle SFO -2.5 24.5 $6,200 $7,400 5.5 4.2 60.6 19% 24% 80% at PHI 21 20 27 4:25 pm Main
Tyler Higbee LAR -3.5 21.5 $3,700 $5,400 4.4 2.9 30.2 13% 11% 77% vs CLE 2 1 1 4:25 pm Main
David Njoku CLE 3.5 18.0 $4,100 $5,600 6.8 4.6 44.7 19% 10% 75% at LAR 14 19 23 4:25 pm Main
Tucker Kraft GBP 6.0 18.3 $3,000 $4,800 0.7 0.6 5.3 2% 1% 21% vs KCC 3 4 6 8:20 pm SDSun
Travis Kelce KCC -6.0 24.3 $8,000 $8,000 8.7 7.0 73.2 23% 25% 68% at GBP 17 17 14 8:20 pm SDSun
Evan Engram JAC -8.5 23.5 $4,500 $5,600 7.2 5.8 47.6 21% 14% 80% vs CIN 19 22 30 8:15 pm SDMon
Tanner Hudson CIN 8.5 15.0 $2,700 $4,700 4.3 3.7 32.2 12% 10% 42% at JAC 8 8 21 8:15 pm SDMon

Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Cover Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious