MLB Grind Down: Monday, September 21st - Page Two

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM EST

Milwaukee Chicago Cubs
milwaukeemlb Wily Peralta cubsmlb Jason Hammel
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CHC (-199) 8
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.3 0.841 0.365 0.16 SP vs. Left 0.23 0.684 0.3 0.218
SP vs. Right 0.238 0.668 0.3 0.169 SP vs. Right 0.235 0.703 0.304 0.245
Batter Splits MIL BvP MIL vs R Batter Splits CHC BvP CHC vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Wily Peralta : FD: $5,600 — DK: $4,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 302.2 — SIERA: 4.04 — ERA: 3.84 — K%: 16.4% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.2 — SIERA: 5.01 — ERA: 4.15 — K%: 11.5% — BB%: 8.3% — HR/9: 1.3

Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 24.1% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.346 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 24.5% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.98 (Rank: 1)

Analysis: Peralta has not pitched well recently, posting a 5.01 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 11.5% over the last month of play. This is an awful matchup for him, as he gives up much higher splits to left-handed hitters than he does to right-handed hitters. This Cubs’ lineup is full of talented left-handed bats.

Pitcher Rating: 45.8


Jason Hammel : FD: $8,000 — DK: $7,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 333.0 — SIERA: 3.48 — ERA: 3.59 — K%: 23.3% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.0 — SIERA: 3.85 — ERA: 5.54 — K%: 24.4% — BB%: 9.6% — HR/9: 1.0

Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 24.8% (Rank: 27)
Pitches per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 25)

Analysis: Hammel has not had luck on his side this season, especially over the last month of play. During that stretch, he has a 3.85 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 24.4%, but his ERA is at 5.54. Hammel is a large favorite tonight at home and the wind is not blowing out at Wrigley Field, which helps his fantasy appeal. Hammel deserves strong consideration as an SP2 on multi-pitcher sites. Take advantage of the cheap price tag tonight against the Brewers.

Pitcher Rating: 83.9

Batter Grind Down

Milwaukee

The Brewers draw a difficult matchup tonight against Jason Hammel, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 wOBA over the last two seasons. Adam Lind and Scooter Gennett are both secondary options here, but they are not must-starts at their respective positions by any means.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Adam Lind : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 703 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 151
Last 30 Days: PA: 88 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 131

Scooter Gennett : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 741 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 106
Last 30 Days: PA: 75 — wOBA: 0.294 — ISO: 0.110 — wRC+: 79


Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are one of my favorite offenses to target tonight. There are a number of favorable matchups on the board, which should lead to a lower ownership for the Cubs’ offense. They draw a favorable matchup against Wily Peralta, who has given up a .365 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Elite Plays:

Anthony Rizzo : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,000

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 905 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 123

Dexter Fowler : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 877 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.152 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 119

Secondary Plays:

Kyle Schwarber : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: C/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 169 — wOBA: 0.430 — ISO: 0.338 — wRC+: 175
Last 30 Days: PA: 83 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 87

Chris Coghlan : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 749 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 126

Miguel Montero : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 762 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 84 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 148


LA Angels at Houston – 8:10 PM EST

LA Angels Houston
laangelsmlb Jered Weaver houstonmlb Dallas Keuchel
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
HOU (-187) 8
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.259 0.751 0.329 0.177 SP vs. Left 0.207 0.538 0.239 0.252
SP vs. Right 0.23 0.671 0.295 0.153 SP vs. Right 0.24 0.641 0.284 0.197
Batter Splits LAA BvP ANA vs L Batter Splits HOU BvP HOU vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jered Weaver : FD: $7,400 — DK: $6,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 355.2 — SIERA: 4.44 — ERA: 4.05 — K%: 16.7% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.1 — SIERA: 5.66 — ERA: 6.35 — K%: 12.4% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.3

Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 23.9% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.343 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 17.7% (Rank: 1)
Pitches per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)

Analysis: Weaver has not pitched well since coming back from injury. Over the last month of play, he owns a 5.66 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 12.4%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Astros, who are ranked fifth in team wOBA and first in strikeout rate over the last two weeks. Given his limited upside, it would take a near perfect outing to pay off his salary. I don’t see that happening tonight in Houston.

Pitcher Rating: 38.5


Dallas Keuchel : FD: $11,100 — DK: $11,400

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 411.1 — SIERA: 2.96 — ERA: 2.74 — K%: 20.9% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 2.41 — ERA: 3.58 — K%: 31.1% — BB%: 3.8% — HR/9: 1.9

LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 14)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 20)

Analysis: Keuchel is coming off of his worst start of possibly the entire season. He allowed nine runs against the Rangers in a series where the Astros just didn’t look like themselves. I fully expect him to bounce back tonight at home against the Angels, who have the fourth-lowest team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. Keuchel has an elite strikeout rate this season and he is a large favorite at home. He is a strong play in all league formats tonight.

Pitcher Rating: 86.6

Batter Grind Down

LA Angels

The Angels may see a small ballpark boost tonight playing in Minute Maid Park, but they draw a difficult matchup against Dallas Keuchel. Since the start of last season, Keuchel has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .285 wOBA. Mike Trout is the only fantasy option of note here.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Mike Trout : FD: $4,700 — DK: $5,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 327 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.265 — wRC+: 168
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.297 — wRC+: 161


Houston

The Astros draw a favorable matchup tonight against Jered Weaver. While the left-handed hitters have the splits in their favor, don’t count out the right-handed bats in this lineup. George Springer finally appears to be heating up and he is still underpriced on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Elite Plays:

George Springer : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 496 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 64 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.055 — wRC+: 72

Secondary Plays:

Carlos Correa : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 252 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.144 — wRC+: 93

Jose Altuve : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 982 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.107 — wRC+: 108
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 155

Colby Rasmus : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 595 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 103
Last 30 Days: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 100


Cincinnati at St. Louis – 8:15 PM EST

Cincinnati St. Louis
cincinnatimlb John Lamb stlouismlb Jaime Garcia
LEFT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
STL (-181) 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.304 1.057 0.449 0.276 SP vs. Left 0.276 0.715 0.317 0.217
SP vs. Right 0.304 0.818 0.354 0.256 SP vs. Right 0.205 0.57 0.253 0.186
Batter Splits CIN BvP CIN vs L Batter Splits STL BvP STL vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

John Lamb : FD: $5,300 — DK: $6,800

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 3.55 — ERA: 5.35 — K%: 25.9% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 3.95 — ERA: 4.91 — K%: 24.3% — BB%: 9.9% — HR/9: 1.1

St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 23.4% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 25.3% (Rank: 28)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 15)

Analysis: Lamb has shown great potential in his first stint in the major leagues. In his first 37 innings of work, he owns a 3.55 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.9%. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Cardinals, who are ranked 26th in team wOBA and 29th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Vegas doesn’t love Lamb in this matchup, but he could be a very sneaky tournament play. He offers great upside at his price point.

Pitcher Rating: 69.7


Jaime Garcia : FD: $8,700 — DK: $10,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 154.1 — SIERA: 3.25 — ERA: 2.97 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 5.4% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.0 — SIERA: 3.87 — ERA: 4.50 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 5.4% — HR/9: 0.3

Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 22.9% (Rank: 22)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 18)

Analysis: Garcia has not been very sharp recently, although most pitchers would take a 3.87 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 16.9% over the course of a month. He draws a mediocre matchup tonight against the Reds, who are ranked 13th in team wOBA and tenth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Garcia should be in line for the win in this one, but there are better pitching options on the board tonight.

Pitcher Rating: 75.6

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

The Reds played well against Jaime Garcia in their last meeting, although this time they have to face him in St. Louis. Garcia has been tough on right-handed hitters, holding them to a .253 wOBA. Todd Frazier is still in play on FanDuel though, as he is still underpriced on FanDuel — $7,900 — and he has a .357 wOBA over the last month of play.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Todd Frazier : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 294 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.270 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 124


St. Louis

Looking at the splits, the Cardinals draw a favorable matchup against John Lamb, who has allowed a .354+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters this season. While that’s true, Lamb’s indicators suggest that he is actually pitching much better than his ERA would suggest. The Cardinals are in a decent spot here, but let’s not go overboard.

Elite Plays:

Thomas Pham : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 78 — wOBA: 0.442 — ISO: 0.275 — wRC+: 186

Jhonny Peralta : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 305 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.218 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.230 — ISO: 0.022 — wRC+: 41

Secondary Plays:

Matt Carpenter : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 413 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 105
Last 30 Days: PA: 127 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.264 — wRC+: 134

Stephen Piscotty : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 148
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.152 — wRC+: 116


Pittsburgh at Colorado – 8:40 PM EST

Pittsburgh Colorado
pittsburghmlb A.J. Burnett coloradomlb Jon Gray
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT (-132) 10.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.247 0.751 0.336 0.182 SP vs. Left 0.296 0.783 0.337 0.235
SP vs. Right 0.27 0.714 0.314 0.221 SP vs. Right 0.293 0.832 0.352 0.2
Batter Splits PIT BvP PIT vs R Batter Splits COL BvP COL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

A.J. Burnett : FD: $8,200 — DK: $8,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 359.1 — SIERA: 3.84 — ERA: 4.01 — K%: 20.2% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 10.1 — SIERA: 3.19 — ERA: 4.35 — K%: 23.3% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 0.9

Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.265 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 25.7% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 26)

Analysis: Burnett has pitched well in his first two starts since coming back from injury, but he has the unfortunate task of pitching in Coors Field tonight. The Rockies are ranked second in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season and Coors Field is the best hitter’s park in all of baseball.

Pitcher Rating: 52.1


Jonathan Gray : FD: $5,300 — DK: $5,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 36.0 — SIERA: 3.93 — ERA: 5.00 — K%: 21.7% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.0 — SIERA: 4.08 — ERA: 6.86 — K%: 20.6% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 0.4

Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 22)

Analysis: The Rockies have high hopes for Gray. While he does have a 5.00 ERA on the season, his 3.93 SIERA and strikeout rate of 21.7% show some promise. The issue tonight is that he is pitching at home in the hitter-friendly Coors Field. There is more risk than potential reward with Gray tonight.

Pitcher Rating: 46.0

Batter Grind Down

Pittsburgh

The Pirates have the highest team total on the board tonight, as they take on Jon Gray in Coors Field. Gray has allowed a .337+ wOBA to both left and right-handed this season. The breakdown here is pretty simple. Basically, any hitter in this Pirates’ lineup deserves consideration tonight.

Elite Plays:

Andrew McCutchen : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1026 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 156
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 150

Gregory Polanco : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 699 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 106
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.279 — ISO: 0.131 — wRC+: 76

Neil Walker : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 912 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 102

Secondary Plays:

Starling Marte : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,100

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 897 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.260 — ISO: 0.104 — wRC+: 64

Aramis Ramirez : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 783 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 82 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 119

Francisco Cervelli : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 470 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.094 — wRC+: 118
Last 30 Days: PA: 86 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.043 — wRC+: 101


Colorado

The Rockies have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight, as they host A.J. Burnett. Burnett has allowed a .336 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons, but since this is in Coors Field, the right-handed bats in this lineup are also in play.

Elite Plays:

Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 962 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 91

Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 598 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.298 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.310 — wRC+: 100

Justin Morneau : FD: $3,900 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 525 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 38 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.152 — wRC+: 118

Secondary Plays:

Nolan Arenado : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 812 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.268 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.408 — ISO: 0.322 — wRC+: 144

Corey Dickerson : FD: $3,800 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 521 — wOBA: 0.407 — ISO: 0.265 — wRC+: 145
Last 30 Days: PA: 28 — wOBA: 0.282 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 58

DJ LeMahieu : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 848 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.097 — wRC+: 81
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.081 — wRC+: 75


Arizona at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST

Arizona LA Dodgers
arizonamlb Jhoulys Chacin ladodgersmlb Brett Anderson
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD (-175) 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.256 0.784 0.345 0.11 SP vs. Left 0.276 0.661 0.296 0.172
SP vs. Right 0.247 0.746 0.326 0.204 SP vs. Right 0.265 0.715 0.311 0.16
Batter Splits ARI BvP ARI vs L Batter Splits LAD BvP LA vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jhoulys Chacin : FD: $5,600 — DK: $6,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 81.2 — SIERA: 4.62 — ERA: 4.85 — K%: 16.2% — BB%: 9.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 18.1 — SIERA: 4.10 — ERA: 2.95 — K%: 19.2% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.5

Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 22.4% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)

Analysis: Chacin has been a below-average starter over the last two seasons, posting a 4.62 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.2%. He is an easy avoid tonight against the Dodgers, who are ranked third in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Chacin is a large underdog on the road tonight for a reason.

Pitcher Rating: 49.2


Brett Anderson : FD: $7,200 — DK: $7,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 207.1 — SIERA: 3.49 — ERA: 3.26 — K%: 16.3% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.16 — ERA: 2.76 — K%: 17.7% — BB%: 5.0% — HR/9: 0.9

Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 23.4% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 28)

Analysis: Anderson is starting to recover his early season form, posting a 3.16 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.7% over the last month of play. He draws a mediocre matchup tonight against the Diamondbacks, but he deserves consideration at his price point. Not only is he pitching at home, but the Diamondbacks average the third-fewest pitches per plate appearance this season. If he pitches well, he should pitch deep into this one.

Pitcher Rating: 70.8

Batter Grind Down

Arizona

The Diamondbacks draw a difficult matchup tonight against Brett Anderson, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .315 wOBA over the last two seasons. Paul Goldschmidt and Welington Castillo are both tournament plays, but the rest of the lineup can be avoided.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 228 — wOBA: 0.473 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 202
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.272 — wRC+: 145

Welington Castillo : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 190 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.233 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 71 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 124


LA Dodgers

The Dodgers draw a favorable matchup tonight against Jhoulys Chacin, who has allowed a .325+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Corey Seager is one of the hottest hitters in baseball and FanDuel has yet to adjust his price — $3,100. The rest of the left-handed hitters in this lineup are also in play tonight at home.

Elite Plays:

Corey Seager : FD: $3,100 — DK: $5,900

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.553 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 264
Last 30 Days: PA: 65 — wOBA: 0.473 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 209

Andre Ethier : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,900

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 691 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 133

Secondary Plays:

Chase Utley : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,000

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 730 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.144 — wRC+: 99
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 92

Carl Crawford : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,900

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 435 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.281 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 78


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious