Sign In $

NFL DFS First Look: Week 1

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2023-09-05 13:59:36

christian-mccaffrey-800x480

The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the upcoming week.

Click here to follow Notorious on Twitter.

NFL DFS First Look: Week 1 Odds and Matchup Preview

Football is back! As we progress through the season, I will be adding statistics and more matchup data to the NFL First Look. The DVOA, DVP, and pace statistics in the tables below are all from the 2022 season. While there is some carry-over between seasons, there is so much turnover when it comes to rosters, coaching, and strategies year-to-year. Personally, I’m not going to be looking at too much matchup data for Week 1. If you are interested in more in-depth NFL analysis, we would love to have you join RotoGrinders Premium.

NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team Home Team Favorite Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
Detroit Lions Kansas City Chiefs KCC -6.5 54.5 Thursday 8:20 pm SDTh
Carolina Panthers Atlanta Falcons ATL -3.5 39.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Houston Texans Baltimore Ravens BAL -10.0 43.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals Cleveland Browns CIN -2.5 47.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts JAC -4.5 45.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Minnesota Vikings MIN -6.0 45.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Tennessee Titans New Orleans Saints NOS -3.0 41.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers Pittsburgh Steelers SFO -2.5 40.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals Washington Commanders WAS -7.0 38.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears CHI -1.0 43.5 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Las Vegas Raiders Denver Broncos DEN -4.0 44.0 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Miami Dolphins Los Angeles Chargers LAC -3.0 50.5 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Philadelphia Eagles New England Patriots PHI -3.5 45.0 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams Seattle Seahawks SEA -5.5 45.5 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Dallas Cowboys New York Giants DAL -3.5 46.5 Sunday 8:20 pm SDSu
Buffalo Bills New York Jets BUF -2.5 46.5 Monday 8:15 pm SDMo

Implied Team Totals and DVOA Matchups

Offense Spread Total Opp DVOA vs. Pass vs. Run TIME (ET) SLATE
Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 30.5 vs DET 28 23 26 8:20 pm SDTh
Detroit Lions 6.5 24.0 at KCC 17 20 15 8:20 pm SDTh
Atlanta Falcons -3.5 21.5 vs CAR 25 27 18 1:00 pm Main
Carolina Panthers 3.5 18.0 at ATL 30 29 24 1:00 pm Main
Baltimore Ravens -10.0 26.8 vs HOU 22 14 27 1:00 pm Main
Houston Texans 10.0 16.8 at BAL 7 11 7 1:00 pm Main
Cleveland Browns 2.5 22.5 vs CIN 11 12 14 1:00 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 25.0 at CLE 23 16 28 1:00 pm Main
Indianapolis Colts 4.5 20.5 vs JAC 26 30 11 1:00 pm Main
Jacksonville Jaguars -4.5 25.0 at IND 14 18 16 1:00 pm Main
Minnesota Vikings -6.0 25.8 vs TBB 13 15 13 1:00 pm Main
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6.0 19.8 at MIN 27 26 19 1:00 pm Main
New Orleans Saints -3.0 22.3 vs TEN 19 28 1 1:00 pm Main
Tennessee Titans 3.0 19.3 at NOS 8 6 17 1:00 pm Main
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.5 19.0 vs SFO 1 5 2 1:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers -2.5 21.5 at PIT 12 19 6 1:00 pm Main
Washington Commanders -7.0 22.8 vs ARI 24 21 22 1:00 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 7.0 15.8 at WAS 9 13 8 1:00 pm Main
Chicago Bears -1.0 22.3 vs GBP 20 8 31 4:25 pm Main
Green Bay Packers 1.0 21.3 at CHI 32 32 30 4:25 pm Main
Denver Broncos -4.0 24.0 vs LVR 31 31 23 4:25 pm Main
Las Vegas Raiders 4.0 20.0 at DEN 10 7 20 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Chargers -3.0 26.8 vs MIA 15 25 4 4:25 pm Main
Miami Dolphins 3.0 23.8 at LAC 16 10 29 4:25 pm Main
New England Patriots 3.5 20.8 vs PHI 6 1 21 4:25 pm Main
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 24.3 at NEP 3 2 9 4:25 pm Main
Seattle Seahawks -5.5 25.5 vs LAR 18 24 12 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams 5.5 20.0 at SEA 21 17 25 4:25 pm Main
New York Giants 3.5 21.5 vs DAL 2 3 5 8:20 pm SDSu
Dallas Cowboys -3.5 25.0 at NYG 29 22 32 8:20 pm SDSu
New York Jets 2.5 22.0 vs BUF 4 9 3 8:15 pm SDMo
Buffalo Bills -2.5 24.5 at NYJ 5 4 10 8:15 pm SDMo
Stats credit: Football Outsiders

Adjusted Sack Rates

Defense ASR Rank Opp O-Line ASR Rank D/ST DraftKings FanDuel Opp Sack Potential Time (ET) Slate
Kansas City Chiefs 8.9% 2 Detroit Lions 4.2% 2 KCC $3,300 $9,000 vs DET 15 8:20 pm SDTh
Detroit Lions 6.9% 17 Kansas City Chiefs 4.8% 5 DET $2,200 $7,500 at KCC 28 8:20 pm SDTh
Atlanta Falcons 4.0% 32 Carolina Panthers 7.7% 18 ATL $3,200 $4,500 vs CAR 26 1:00 pm Main
Carolina Panthers 6.1% 25 Atlanta Falcons 8.7% 27 CAR $2,600 $4,100 at ATL 12 1:00 pm Main
Baltimore Ravens 8.2% 6 Houston Texans 6.4% 13 BAL $4,000 $5,000 vs HOU 9 1:00 pm Main
Houston Texans 6.9% 17 Baltimore Ravens 8.1% 22 HOU $2,100 $3,000 at BAL 11 1:00 pm Main
Cleveland Browns 7.0% 15 Cincinnati Bengals 7.0% 15 CLE $2,600 $3,900 vs CIN 12 1:00 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals 5.7% 28 Cleveland Browns 7.7% 18 CIN $2,900 $3,900 at CLE 25 1:00 pm Main
Indianapolis Colts 7.8% 9 Jacksonville Jaguars 4.7% 3 IND $2,400 $3,600 vs JAC 24 1:00 pm Main
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5% 29 Indianapolis Colts 9.2% 28 JAC $3,500 $4,400 at IND 17 1:00 pm Main
Minnesota Vikings 6.1% 25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3.4% 1 MIN $3,900 $4,800 vs TBB 32 1:00 pm Main
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.9% 8 Minnesota Vikings 6.6% 14 TBB $2,200 $3,100 at MIN 10 1:00 pm Main
New Orleans Saints 8.7% 4 Tennessee Titans 9.5% 29 NOS $3,400 $4,300 vs TEN 1 1:00 pm Main
Tennessee Titans 6.3% 24 New Orleans Saints 7.7% 18 TEN $2,600 $3,800 at NOS 20 1:00 pm Main
Pittsburgh Steelers 7.2% 14 San Francisco 49ers 6.3% 10 PIT $3,000 $3,800 vs SFO 18 1:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 7.0% 15 Pittsburgh Steelers 6.3% 10 SFO $3,800 $4,700 at PIT 20 1:00 pm Main
Washington Commanders 8.0% 7 Arizona Cardinals 7.0% 15 WAS $2,800 $4,900 vs ARI 8 1:00 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 6.1% 25 Washington Commanders 8.2% 23 ARI $2,500 $3,700 at WAS 18 1:00 pm Main
Chicago Bears 4.8% 31 Green Bay Packers 5.9% 6 CHI $2,900 $4,000 vs GBP 31 4:25 pm Main
Green Bay Packers 6.9% 17 Chicago Bears 13.0% 32 GBP $2,800 $4,100 at CHI 6 4:25 pm Main
Denver Broncos 6.6% 23 Las Vegas Raiders 5.9% 6 DEN $3,600 $4,000 vs LVR 29 4:25 pm Main
Las Vegas Raiders 4.9% 30 Denver Broncos 10.0% 30 LVR $2,300 $3,700 at DEN 15 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Chargers 7.7% 11 Miami Dolphins 6.3% 10 LAC $3,100 $3,400 vs MIA 14 4:25 pm Main
Miami Dolphins 6.8% 20 Los Angeles Chargers 6.0% 9 MIA $2,500 $3,300 at LAC 26 4:25 pm Main
New England Patriots 8.5% 5 Philadelphia Eagles 7.7% 18 NEP $2,700 $3,500 vs PHI 5 4:25 pm Main
Philadelphia Eagles 11.2% 1 New England Patriots 8.4% 24 PHI $3,700 $4,600 at NEP 2 4:25 pm Main
Seattle Seahawks 7.8% 9 Los Angeles Rams 10.6% 31 SEA $3,300 $4,200 vs LAR 4 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams 7.5% 13 Seattle Seahawks 8.6% 26 LAR $2,700 $3,200 at SEA 7 4:25 pm Main
New York Giants 6.7% 21 Dallas Cowboys 4.7% 3 NYG $2,900 vs DAL 30 8:20 pm SDSu
Dallas Cowboys 8.9% 2 New York Giants 8.4% 24 DAL $3,600 at NYG 3 8:20 pm SDSu
New York Jets 7.7% 11 Buffalo Bills 5.9% 6 NYJ $2,800 vs BUF 20 8:15 pm SDMo
Buffalo Bills 6.7% 21 New York Jets 7.0% 15 BUF $3,200 at NYJ 23 8:15 pm SDMo
Stats credit: Football Outsiders

Adjusted Line Yards

Offense ALY Rank Op D-Line ALY Rank Offense Run Potential Time (ET) Slate
Kansas City Chiefs 4.82 3 Detroit Lions 4.39 18 KCC 6 8:20 pm SDTh
Detroit Lions 4.66 6 Kansas City Chiefs 4.47 21 DET 6 8:20 pm SDTh
Atlanta Falcons 4.68 5 Carolina Panthers 4.21 9 ATL 14 1:00 pm Main
Carolina Panthers 4.56 9 Atlanta Falcons 4.98 31 CAR 3 1:00 pm Main
Baltimore Ravens 4.34 21 Houston Texans 4.77 27 BAL 13 1:00 pm Main
Houston Texans 3.90 31 Baltimore Ravens 4.28 13 HOU 28 1:00 pm Main
Cleveland Browns 4.41 14 Cincinnati Bengals 4.33 15 CLE 18 1:00 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals 4.38 16 Cleveland Browns 4.89 28 CIN 9 1:00 pm Main
Indianapolis Colts 4.32 22 Jacksonville Jaguars 4.01 5 IND 27 1:00 pm Main
Jacksonville Jaguars 4.06 29 Indianapolis Colts 4.02 6 JAC 31 1:00 pm Main
Minnesota Vikings 4.24 24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4.17 8 MIN 25 1:00 pm Main
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4.07 28 Minnesota Vikings 4.34 16 TBB 23 1:00 pm Main
New Orleans Saints 4.50 12 Tennessee Titans 3.43 1 NOS 22 1:00 pm Main
Tennessee Titans 4.37 18 New Orleans Saints 4.44 20 TEN 17 1:00 pm Main
Pittsburgh Steelers 4.56 9 San Francisco 49ers 3.78 2 PIT 21 1:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 4.70 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 4.22 11 SFO 12 1:00 pm Main
Washington Commanders 4.29 23 Arizona Cardinals 4.42 19 WAS 20 1:00 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 4.22 27 Washington Commanders 4.03 7 ARI 29 1:00 pm Main
Chicago Bears 4.52 11 Green Bay Packers 5.11 32 CHI 4 4:25 pm Main
Green Bay Packers 4.85 2 Chicago Bears 4.74 26 GBP 1 4:25 pm Main
Denver Broncos 4.35 20 Las Vegas Raiders 4.54 22 DEN 16 4:25 pm Main
Las Vegas Raiders 4.93 1 Denver Broncos 4.69 24 LVR 2 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Chargers 4.24 24 Miami Dolphins 3.87 4 LAC 29 4:25 pm Main
Miami Dolphins 4.61 8 Los Angeles Chargers 4.93 29 MIA 4 4:25 pm Main
New England Patriots 4.36 19 Philadelphia Eagles 4.54 22 NEP 15 4:25 pm Main
Philadelphia Eagles 4.66 6 New England Patriots 4.35 17 PHI 10 4:25 pm Main
Seattle Seahawks 4.04 30 Los Angeles Rams 4.29 14 SEA 25 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams 4.39 15 Seattle Seahawks 4.70 25 LAR 11 4:25 pm Main
New York Giants 4.24 24 Dallas Cowboys 4.21 9 NYG 24 8:20 pm SDSu
Dallas Cowboys 4.38 16 New York Giants 4.96 30 DAL 8 8:20 pm SDSu
New York Jets 3.81 32 Buffalo Bills 3.79 3 NYJ 32 8:15 pm SDMo
Buffalo Bills 4.42 13 New York Jets 4.24 12 BUF 19 8:15 pm SDMo
Stats credit: Football Outsiders

Pace of Play

Offense Sec/Play Sit Neut Opp Sec/Play Sit Neut Offense Pace Potential TIME (ET) SLATE
Kansas City Chiefs 14 3 vs DET 8 8 KCC 3 8:20 pm SDTh
Detroit Lions 8 8 at KCC 14 3 DET 3 8:20 pm SDTh
Atlanta Falcons 26 27 vs CAR 22 23 ATL 27 1:00 pm Main
Carolina Panthers 22 23 at ATL 26 27 CAR 27 1:00 pm Main
Baltimore Ravens 27 24 vs HOU 19 16 BAL 23 1:00 pm Main
Houston Texans 19 16 at BAL 27 24 HOU 23 1:00 pm Main
Cleveland Browns 17 21 vs CIN 21 14 CLE 17 1:00 pm Main
Cincinnati Bengals 21 14 at CLE 17 21 CIN 17 1:00 pm Main
Indianapolis Colts 10 12 vs JAC 12 9 IND 7 1:00 pm Main
Jacksonville Jaguars 12 9 at IND 10 12 JAC 7 1:00 pm Main
Minnesota Vikings 3 4 vs TBB 1 6 MIN 1 1:00 pm Main
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1 6 at MIN 3 4 TBB 1 1:00 pm Main
New Orleans Saints 23 29 vs TEN 29 32 NOS 31 1:00 pm Main
Tennessee Titans 29 32 at NOS 23 29 TEN 31 1:00 pm Main
Pittsburgh Steelers 16 19 vs SFO 31 26 PIT 25 1:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 31 26 at PIT 16 19 SFO 25 1:00 pm Main
Washington Commanders 25 30 vs ARI 2 10 WAS 15 1:00 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 2 10 at WAS 25 30 ARI 15 1:00 pm Main
Chicago Bears 30 22 vs GBP 32 28 CHI 29 4:25 pm Main
Green Bay Packers 32 28 at CHI 30 22 GBP 29 4:25 pm Main
Denver Broncos 11 13 vs LVR 24 25 DEN 17 4:25 pm Main
Las Vegas Raiders 24 25 at DEN 11 13 LVR 17 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Chargers 5 5 vs MIA 20 17 LAC 13 4:25 pm Main
Miami Dolphins 20 17 at LAC 5 5 MIA 13 4:25 pm Main
New England Patriots 18 18 vs PHI 9 1 NEP 11 4:25 pm Main
Philadelphia Eagles 9 1 at NEP 18 18 PHI 11 4:25 pm Main
Seattle Seahawks 13 11 vs LAR 28 31 SEA 21 4:25 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams 28 31 at SEA 13 11 LAR 21 4:25 pm Main
New York Giants 15 20 vs DAL 6 2 NYG 7 8:20 pm SDSu
Dallas Cowboys 6 2 at NYG 15 20 DAL 7 8:20 pm SDSu
New York Jets 4 15 vs BUF 7 7 NYJ 3 8:15 pm SDMo
Buffalo Bills 7 7 at NYJ 4 15 BUF 3 8:15 pm SDMo
Stats credit: Football Outsiders

Projected Starters — Quarterbacks

Player Team Opp Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Opp DvP Time (ET) Slate
Patrick Mahomes KCC vs DET -6.5 30.5 $8,100 $18,000 DET 32 8:20 pm SDTh
Jared Goff DET at KCC 6.5 24.0 $6,000 $15,500 KCC 31 8:20 pm SDTh
Desmond Ridder ATL vs CAR -3.5 21.5 $4,900 $6,500 CAR 21 1:00 pm Main
Bryce Young CAR at ATL 3.5 18.0 $5,500 $6,500 ATL 19 1:00 pm Main
Lamar Jackson BAL vs HOU -10.0 26.8 $8,000 $8,900 HOU 2 1:00 pm Main
C.J. Stroud HOU at BAL 10.0 16.8 $5,400 $6,300 BAL 17 1:00 pm Main
Deshaun Watson CLE vs CIN 2.5 22.5 $6,000 $7,400 CIN 6 1:00 pm Main
Joe Burrow CIN at CLE -2.5 25.0 $7,100 $7,900 CLE 1 1:00 pm Main
Anthony Richardson IND vs JAC 4.5 20.5 $5,600 $6,700 JAC 27 1:00 pm Main
Trevor Lawrence JAC at IND -4.5 25.0 $6,500 $8,000 IND 23 1:00 pm Main
Kirk Cousins MIN vs TBB -6.0 25.8 $6,300 $7,500 TBB 18 1:00 pm Main
Baker Mayfield TBB at MIN 6.0 19.8 $4,900 $6,300 MIN 28 1:00 pm Main
Derek Carr NOS vs TEN -3.0 22.3 $5,300 $7,000 TEN 30 1:00 pm Main
Ryan Tannehill TEN at NOS 3.0 19.3 $5,200 $6,500 NOS 3 1:00 pm Main
Kenny Pickett PIT vs SFO 2.5 19.0 $5,200 $6,600 SFO 11 1:00 pm Main
Brock Purdy SFO at PIT -2.5 21.5 $5,400 $6,900 PIT 20 1:00 pm Main
Sam Howell WAS vs ARI -7.0 22.8 $4,900 $7,100 ARI 24 1:00 pm Main
Joshua Dobbs ARI at WAS 7.0 15.8 $4,600 $6,100 WAS 14 1:00 pm Main
Justin Fields CHI vs GBP -1.0 22.3 $7,700 $8,300 GBP 7 4:25 pm Main
Jordan Love GBP at CHI 1.0 21.3 $5,000 $6,400 CHI 26 4:25 pm Main
Russell Wilson DEN vs LVR -4.0 24.0 $5,900 $7,300 LVR 24 4:25 pm Main
Jimmy Garoppolo LVR at DEN 4.0 20.0 $5,300 $6,600 DEN 3 4:25 pm Main
Justin Herbert LAC vs MIA -3.0 26.8 $6,900 $8,100 MIA 29 4:25 pm Main
Tua Tagovailoa MIA at LAC 3.0 23.8 $6,700 $7,700 LAC 12 4:25 pm Main
Mac Jones NEP vs PHI 3.5 20.8 $5,100 $6,400 PHI 9 4:25 pm Main
Jalen Hurts PHI at NEP -3.5 24.3 $7,800 $9,000 NEP 22 4:25 pm Main
Geno Smith SEA vs LAR -5.5 25.5 $6,100 $7,200 LAR 9 4:25 pm Main
Matthew Stafford LAR at SEA 5.5 20.0 $5,700 $6,800 SEA 16 4:25 pm Main
Daniel Jones NYG vs DAL 3.5 21.5 $5,800 DAL 14 8:20 pm SDSu
Dak Prescott DAL at NYG -3.5 25.0 $6,600 NYG 13 8:20 pm SDSu
Aaron Rodgers NYJ vs BUF 2.5 22.0 $6,200 BUF 7 8:15 pm SDMo
Josh Allen BUF at NYJ -2.5 24.5 $7,900 NYJ 5 8:15 pm SDMo
P Yards = Passing Yards, Y/ATT = Yards per Attempt, Air = Air Yards, P TDs = Passing TDs, R Yards = Rushing Yards, R TDs = Rushing TDs, FPPG = Fantasy Points Per Game

Projected Starters — Running Backs

Player Team Opp Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Opp DvP Time (ET) Slate
Isiah Pacheco KCC vs DET -6.5 30.5 $5,900 $11,500 DET 7 8:20 pm SDTh
Jerick McKinnon KCC vs DET -6.5 30.5 $5,100 $9,000 DET 7 8:20 pm SDTh
Jahmyr Gibbs DET at KCC 6.5 24.0 $6,100 $11,000 KCC 18 8:20 pm SDTh
David Montgomery DET at KCC 6.5 24.0 $5,700 $13,000 KCC 18 8:20 pm SDTh
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CAR -3.5 21.5 $8,000 $7,800 CAR 14 1:00 pm Main
Tyler Allgeier ATL vs CAR -3.5 21.5 $5,400 $5,400 CAR 14 1:00 pm Main
Miles Sanders CAR at ATL 3.5 18.0 $5,600 $6,900 ATL 15 1:00 pm Main
Chuba Hubbard CAR at ATL 3.5 18.0 $5,000 $5,300 ATL 15 1:00 pm Main
J.K. Dobbins BAL vs HOU -10.0 26.8 $6,600 $6,500 HOU 32 1:00 pm Main
Gus Edwards BAL vs HOU -10.0 26.8 $4,500 $5,200 HOU 32 1:00 pm Main
Dameon Pierce HOU at BAL 10.0 16.8 $5,800 $6,200 BAL 11 1:00 pm Main
Devin Singletary HOU at BAL 10.0 16.8 $4,700 $5,100 BAL 11 1:00 pm Main
Nick Chubb CLE vs CIN 2.5 22.5 $8,200 $8,600 CIN 8 1:00 pm Main
Jerome Ford CLE vs CIN 2.5 22.5 $4,200 $5,100 CIN 8 1:00 pm Main
Joe Mixon CIN at CLE -2.5 25.0 $6,800 $7,500 CLE 27 1:00 pm Main
Chris Evans CIN at CLE -2.5 25.0 $4,300 $4,200 CLE 27 1:00 pm Main
Deon Jackson IND vs JAC 4.5 20.5 $4,100 $5,600 JAC 21 1:00 pm Main
Evan Hull IND vs JAC 4.5 20.5 $4,000 $5,100 JAC 21 1:00 pm Main
Travis Etienne JAC at IND -4.5 25.0 $6,900 $7,700 IND 25 1:00 pm Main
Tank Bigsby JAC at IND -4.5 25.0 $5,000 $5,000 IND 25 1:00 pm Main
Alexander Mattison MIN vs TBB -6.0 25.8 $6,500 $7,300 TBB 6 1:00 pm Main
Ty Chandler MIN vs TBB -6.0 25.8 $4,600 $4,900 TBB 6 1:00 pm Main
Rachaad White TBB at MIN 6.0 19.8 $5,500 $6,400 MIN 21 1:00 pm Main
Sean Tucker TBB at MIN 6.0 19.8 $4,300 $4,200 MIN 21 1:00 pm Main
Jamaal Williams NOS vs TEN -3.0 22.3 $5,100 $6,800 TEN 2 1:00 pm Main
Kendre Miller NOS vs TEN -3.0 22.3 $4,300 $5,200 TEN 2 1:00 pm Main
Derrick Henry TEN at NOS 3.0 19.3 $7,800 $8,500 NOS 10 1:00 pm Main
Tyjae Spears TEN at NOS 3.0 19.3 $4,900 $5,300 NOS 10 1:00 pm Main
Najee Harris PIT vs SFO 2.5 19.0 $6,100 $6,700 SFO 1 1:00 pm Main
Jaylen Warren PIT vs SFO 2.5 19.0 $4,600 $5,100 SFO 1 1:00 pm Main
Christian McCaffrey SFO at PIT -2.5 21.5 $8,700 $9,200 PIT 9 1:00 pm Main
Elijah Mitchell SFO at PIT -2.5 21.5 $5,000 $5,500 PIT 9 1:00 pm Main
Brian Robinson WAS vs ARI -7.0 22.8 $5,100 $6,400 ARI 30 1:00 pm Main
Antonio Gibson WAS vs ARI -7.0 22.8 $5,200 $5,800 ARI 30 1:00 pm Main
James Conner ARI at WAS 7.0 15.8 $6,400 $6,700 WAS 3 1:00 pm Main
Keaontay Ingram ARI at WAS 7.0 15.8 $4,600 $5,300 WAS 3 1:00 pm Main
Khalil Herbert CHI vs GBP -1.0 22.3 $5,300 $6,100 GBP 23 4:25 pm Main
D’Onta Foreman CHI vs GBP -1.0 22.3 $5,500 $5,800 GBP 23 4:25 pm Main
Aaron Jones GBP at CHI 1.0 21.3 $6,300 $7,200 CHI 31 4:25 pm Main
AJ Dillon GBP at CHI 1.0 21.3 $5,200 $6,100 CHI 31 4:25 pm Main
Javonte Williams DEN vs LVR -4.0 24.0 $5,700 $6,500 LVR 29 4:25 pm Main
Samaje Perine DEN vs LVR -4.0 24.0 $5,100 $6,000 LVR 29 4:25 pm Main
Josh Jacobs LVR at DEN 4.0 20.0 $7,700 $8,400 DEN 24 4:25 pm Main
Zamir White LVR at DEN 4.0 20.0 $4,800 $5,700 DEN 24 4:25 pm Main
Austin Ekeler LAC vs MIA -3.0 26.8 $8,400 $9,000 MIA 19 4:25 pm Main
Joshua Kelley LAC vs MIA -3.0 26.8 $4,900 $5,200 MIA 19 4:25 pm Main
Raheem Mostert MIA at LAC 3.0 23.8 $5,400 $5,900 LAC 26 4:25 pm Main
Devon Achane MIA at LAC 3.0 23.8 $4,900 $4,600 LAC 26 4:25 pm Main
Rhamondre Stevenson NEP vs PHI 3.5 20.8 $7,000 $7,000 PHI 17 4:25 pm Main
Ezekiel Elliott NEP vs PHI 3.5 20.8 $5,200 $5,400 PHI 17 4:25 pm Main
D’Andre Swift PHI at NEP -3.5 24.3 $5,400 $6,300 NEP 5 4:25 pm Main
Kenneth Gainwell PHI at NEP -3.5 24.3 $4,200 $4,900 NEP 5 4:25 pm Main
Kenneth Walker SEA vs LAR -5.5 25.5 $6,000 $7,100 LAR 19 4:25 pm Main
Zach Charbonnet SEA vs LAR -5.5 25.5 $4,800 $4,800 LAR 19 4:25 pm Main
Cam Akers LAR at SEA 5.5 20.0 $6,200 $6,600 SEA 28 4:25 pm Main
Kyren Williams LAR at SEA 5.5 20.0 $4,100 $5,000 SEA 28 4:25 pm Main
Saquon Barkley NYG vs DAL 3.5 21.5 $8,100 DAL 4 8:20 pm SDSu
Matt Breida NYG vs DAL 3.5 21.5 $4,800 DAL 4 8:20 pm SDSu
Tony Pollard DAL at NYG -3.5 25.0 $7,500 NYG 15 8:20 pm SDSu
Rico Dowdle DAL at NYG -3.5 25.0 $4,700 NYG 15 8:20 pm SDSu
Breece Hall NYJ vs BUF 2.5 22.0 $6,000 BUF 11 8:15 pm SDMo
Dalvin Cook NYJ vs BUF 2.5 22.0 $5,900 BUF 11 8:15 pm SDMo
James Cook BUF at NYJ -2.5 24.5 $5,700 NYJ 13 8:15 pm SDMo
Damien Harris BUF at NYJ -2.5 24.5 $5,300 NYJ 13 8:15 pm SDMo
Opps = Rushes + Targets, R Att = Rushing Attempts, Tar = Targets, Rec = Receptions, FPPG = Fantasy Points Per Game

Projected Starters — Wide Receivers

Player Team Opp Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel OPP DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Kadarius Toney KCC vs DET -6.5 30.5 $5,100 $9,500 DET 29 8:20 pm SDTh
Skyy Moore KCC vs DET -6.5 30.5 $4,300 $8,000 DET 29 8:20 pm SDTh
Marquez Valdes-Scantling KCC vs DET -6.5 30.5 $4,500 $10,000 DET 29 8:20 pm SDTh
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET at KCC 6.5 24.0 $7,500 $13,500 KCC 25 8:20 pm SDTh
Marvin Jones DET at KCC 6.5 24.0 $4,200 $10,500 KCC 25 8:20 pm SDTh
Josh Reynolds DET at KCC 6.5 24.0 $3,300 $8,000 KCC 25 8:20 pm SDTh
Drake London ATL vs CAR -3.5 21.5 $5,400 $6,200 CAR 29 1:00 pm Main
Mack Hollins ATL vs CAR -3.5 21.5 $3,900 $5,400 CAR 29 1:00 pm Main
Khadarel Hodge ATL vs CAR -3.5 21.5 $3,000 $4,700 CAR 29 1:00 pm Main
Adam Thielen CAR at ATL 3.5 18.0 $4,600 $6,000 ATL 20 1:00 pm Main
DJ Chark CAR at ATL 3.5 18.0 $3,900 $5,600 ATL 20 1:00 pm Main
Jonathan Mingo CAR at ATL 3.5 18.0 $3,200 $4,500 ATL 20 1:00 pm Main
Rashod Bateman BAL vs HOU -10.0 26.8 $5,300 $6,100 HOU 4 1:00 pm Main
Zay Flowers BAL vs HOU -10.0 26.8 $4,000 $5,500 HOU 4 1:00 pm Main
Odell Beckham BAL vs HOU -10.0 26.8 $5,000 $5,700 HOU 4 1:00 pm Main
Nico Collins HOU at BAL 10.0 16.8 $4,700 $5,800 BAL 22 1:00 pm Main
Robert Woods HOU at BAL 10.0 16.8 $5,000 $5,400 BAL 22 1:00 pm Main
Tank Dell HOU at BAL 10.0 16.8 $3,000 $4,900 BAL 22 1:00 pm Main
Amari Cooper CLE vs CIN 2.5 22.5 $5,800 $6,700 CIN 9 1:00 pm Main
Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE vs CIN 2.5 22.5 $4,300 $5,900 CIN 9 1:00 pm Main
Elijah Moore CLE vs CIN 2.5 22.5 $3,800 $5,700 CIN 9 1:00 pm Main
Ja’Marr Chase CIN at CLE -2.5 25.0 $8,100 $8,500 CLE 5 1:00 pm Main
Tee Higgins CIN at CLE -2.5 25.0 $6,800 $7,400 CLE 5 1:00 pm Main
Tyler Boyd CIN at CLE -2.5 25.0 $4,100 $5,400 CLE 5 1:00 pm Main
Michael Pittman IND vs JAC 4.5 20.5 $6,200 $6,600 JAC 13 1:00 pm Main
Alec Pierce IND vs JAC 4.5 20.5 $3,800 $5,200 JAC 13 1:00 pm Main
Josh Downs IND vs JAC 4.5 20.5 $3,100 $4,900 JAC 13 1:00 pm Main
Calvin Ridley JAC at IND -4.5 25.0 $6,500 $7,000 IND 10 1:00 pm Main
Christian Kirk JAC at IND -4.5 25.0 $5,600 $6,900 IND 10 1:00 pm Main
Zay Jones JAC at IND -4.5 25.0 $4,500 $5,600 IND 10 1:00 pm Main
Justin Jefferson MIN vs TBB -6.0 25.8 $8,800 $9,500 TBB 24 1:00 pm Main
K.J. Osborn MIN vs TBB -6.0 25.8 $4,300 $5,100 TBB 24 1:00 pm Main
Jordan Addison MIN vs TBB -6.0 25.8 $5,100 $5,500 TBB 24 1:00 pm Main
Mike Evans TBB at MIN 6.0 19.8 $6,300 $6,500 MIN 31 1:00 pm Main
Chris Godwin TBB at MIN 6.0 19.8 $5,900 $6,800 MIN 31 1:00 pm Main
Trey Palmer TBB at MIN 6.0 19.8 $3,000 $4,400 MIN 31 1:00 pm Main
Chris Olave NOS vs TEN -3.0 22.3 $6,500 $7,300 TEN 32 1:00 pm Main
Michael Thomas NOS vs TEN -3.0 22.3 $5,100 $6,000 TEN 32 1:00 pm Main
Rashid Shaheed NOS vs TEN -3.0 22.3 $3,700 $5,400 TEN 32 1:00 pm Main
DeAndre Hopkins TEN at NOS 3.0 19.3 $6,900 $7,500 NOS 10 1:00 pm Main
Treylon Burks TEN at NOS 3.0 19.3 $5,000 $5,700 NOS 10 1:00 pm Main
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN at NOS 3.0 19.3 $3,200 $4,900 NOS 10 1:00 pm Main
Diontae Johnson PIT vs SFO 2.5 19.0 $5,300 $6,400 SFO 28 1:00 pm Main
George Pickens PIT vs SFO 2.5 19.0 $5,000 $5,800 SFO 28 1:00 pm Main
Allen Robinson PIT vs SFO 2.5 19.0 $3,700 $5,100 SFO 28 1:00 pm Main
Deebo Samuel SFO at PIT -2.5 21.5 $5,500 $7,000 PIT 13 1:00 pm Main
Brandon Aiyuk SFO at PIT -2.5 21.5 $4,900 $6,600 PIT 13 1:00 pm Main
Jauan Jennings SFO at PIT -2.5 21.5 $3,300 $4,700 PIT 13 1:00 pm Main
Terry McLaurin WAS vs ARI -7.0 22.8 $6,400 $6,900 ARI 8 1:00 pm Main
Jahan Dotson WAS vs ARI -7.0 22.8 $5,000 $6,100 ARI 8 1:00 pm Main
Curtis Samuel WAS vs ARI -7.0 22.8 $4,200 $5,300 ARI 8 1:00 pm Main
Marquise Brown ARI at WAS 7.0 15.8 $5,200 $6,500 WAS 16 1:00 pm Main
Rondale Moore ARI at WAS 7.0 15.8 $4,200 $5,600 WAS 16 1:00 pm Main
Michael Wilson ARI at WAS 7.0 15.8 $3,000 $4,100 WAS 16 1:00 pm Main
D.J. Moore CHI vs GBP -1.0 22.3 $6,100 $6,300 GBP 12 4:25 pm Main
Darnell Mooney CHI vs GBP -1.0 22.3 $4,500 $5,900 GBP 12 4:25 pm Main
Chase Claypool CHI vs GBP -1.0 22.3 $3,400 $5,300 GBP 12 4:25 pm Main
Christian Watson GBP at CHI 1.0 21.3 $6,000 $6,300 CHI 18 4:25 pm Main
Romeo Doubs GBP at CHI 1.0 21.3 $4,400 $5,300 CHI 18 4:25 pm Main
Jayden Reed GBP at CHI 1.0 21.3 $3,000 $5,000 CHI 18 4:25 pm Main
Courtland Sutton DEN vs LVR -4.0 24.0 $5,200 $5,900 LVR 19 4:25 pm Main
Marvin Mims DEN vs LVR -4.0 24.0 $3,000 $4,700 LVR 19 4:25 pm Main
Brandon Johnson DEN vs LVR -4.0 24.0 $3,000 $4,200 LVR 19 4:25 pm Main
Davante Adams LVR at DEN 4.0 20.0 $7,900 $8,200 DEN 3 4:25 pm Main
Jakobi Meyers LVR at DEN 4.0 20.0 $4,800 $5,700 DEN 3 4:25 pm Main
Hunter Renfrow LVR at DEN 4.0 20.0 $4,600 $5,300 DEN 3 4:25 pm Main
Keenan Allen LAC vs MIA -3.0 26.8 $7,300 $8,000 MIA 15 4:25 pm Main
Mike Williams LAC vs MIA -3.0 26.8 $5,700 $7,100 MIA 15 4:25 pm Main
Quentin Johnston LAC vs MIA -3.0 26.8 $4,400 $5,100 MIA 15 4:25 pm Main
Tyreek Hill MIA at LAC 3.0 23.8 $8,200 $8,800 LAC 7 4:25 pm Main
Jaylen Waddle MIA at LAC 3.0 23.8 $7,100 $7,900 LAC 7 4:25 pm Main
Braxton Berrios MIA at LAC 3.0 23.8 $3,000 $4,800 LAC 7 4:25 pm Main
JuJu Smith-Schuster NEP vs PHI 3.5 20.8 $4,800 $5,800 PHI 6 4:25 pm Main
DeVante Parker NEP vs PHI 3.5 20.8 $4,100 $5,200 PHI 6 4:25 pm Main
Kendrick Bourne NEP vs PHI 3.5 20.8 $3,300 $4,900 PHI 6 4:25 pm Main
A.J. Brown PHI at NEP -3.5 24.3 $7,600 $8,100 NEP 20 4:25 pm Main
DeVonta Smith PHI at NEP -3.5 24.3 $7,200 $7,200 NEP 20 4:25 pm Main
Olamide Zaccheaus PHI at NEP -3.5 24.3 $3,000 $4,600 NEP 20 4:25 pm Main
D.K. Metcalf SEA vs LAR -5.5 25.5 $7,000 $7,700 LAR 22 4:25 pm Main
Tyler Lockett SEA vs LAR -5.5 25.5 $6,700 $6,800 LAR 22 4:25 pm Main
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs LAR -5.5 25.5 $4,900 $5,300 LAR 22 4:25 pm Main
Cooper Kupp LAR at SEA 5.5 20.0 $8,400 $9,300 SEA 2 4:25 pm Main
Van Jefferson LAR at SEA 5.5 20.0 $4,700 $5,500 SEA 2 4:25 pm Main
Ben Skowronek LAR at SEA 5.5 20.0 $3,200 $5,100 SEA 2 4:25 pm Main
Darius Slayton NYG vs DAL 3.5 21.5 $4,200 DAL 27 8:20 pm SDSu
Isaiah Hodgins NYG vs DAL 3.5 21.5 $4,800 DAL 27 8:20 pm SDSu
Parris Campbell NYG vs DAL 3.5 21.5 $3,400 DAL 27 8:20 pm SDSu
CeeDee Lamb DAL at NYG -3.5 25.0 $7,800 NYG 17 8:20 pm SDSu
Brandin Cooks DAL at NYG -3.5 25.0 $5,000 NYG 17 8:20 pm SDSu
Michael Gallup DAL at NYG -3.5 25.0 $4,100 NYG 17 8:20 pm SDSu
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF 2.5 22.0 $7,400 BUF 26 8:15 pm SDMo
Allen Lazard NYJ vs BUF 2.5 22.0 $5,200 BUF 26 8:15 pm SDMo
Mecole Hardman NYJ vs BUF 2.5 22.0 $3,900 BUF 26 8:15 pm SDMo
Stefon Diggs BUF at NYJ -2.5 24.5 $7,700 NYJ 1 8:15 pm SDMo
Gabriel Davis BUF at NYJ -2.5 24.5 $5,300 NYJ 1 8:15 pm SDMo
Trent Sherfield BUF at NYJ -2.5 24.5 $3,000 NYJ 1 8:15 pm SDMo
Snap% = Snap share, Tar % = Share of Team Targets, Air = Air Yards, Air % = Share of Team Air Yards, FPPG = Fantasy Points Per Game

Projected Starters — Tight Ends

Player Team Opp Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel OPP DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Travis Kelce KCC vs DET -6.5 30.5 $7,400 $15,000 DET 24 8:20 pm SDTh
Sam LaPorta DET at KCC 6.5 24.0 $3,800 $6,500 KCC 19 8:20 pm SDTh
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CAR -3.5 21.5 $4,500 $6,000 CAR 10 1:00 pm Main
Hayden Hurst CAR at ATL 3.5 18.0 $3,000 $5,000 ATL 27 1:00 pm Main
Mark Andrews BAL vs HOU -10.0 26.8 $6,200 $8,000 HOU 14 1:00 pm Main
Dalton Schultz HOU at BAL 10.0 16.8 $4,600 $5,200 BAL 8 1:00 pm Main
David Njoku CLE vs CIN 2.5 22.5 $4,200 $5,600 CIN 20 1:00 pm Main
Irv Smith CIN at CLE -2.5 25.0 $3,600 $4,900 CLE 7 1:00 pm Main
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs JAC 4.5 20.5 $2,500 $4,600 JAC 26 1:00 pm Main
Evan Engram JAC at IND -4.5 25.0 $4,700 $5,800 IND 15 1:00 pm Main
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs TBB -6.0 25.8 $5,900 $7,200 TBB 25 1:00 pm Main
Cade Otton TBB at MIN 6.0 19.8 $3,300 $4,900 MIN 15 1:00 pm Main
Juwan Johnson NOS vs TEN -3.0 22.3 $3,900 $5,100 TEN 30 1:00 pm Main
Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN at NOS 3.0 19.3 $3,800 $5,100 NOS 1 1:00 pm Main
Pat Freiermuth PIT vs SFO 2.5 19.0 $4,100 $5,700 SFO 8 1:00 pm Main
George Kittle SFO at PIT -2.5 21.5 $5,700 $6,600 PIT 17 1:00 pm Main
Logan Thomas WAS vs ARI -7.0 22.8 $3,200 $4,900 ARI 32 1:00 pm Main
Zach Ertz ARI at WAS 7.0 15.8 $3,400 $5,000 WAS 5 1:00 pm Main
Cole Kmet CHI vs GBP -1.0 22.3 $4,400 $5,200 GBP 6 4:25 pm Main
Luke Musgrave GBP at CHI 1.0 21.3 $2,900 $4,500 CHI 4 4:25 pm Main
Greg Dulcich DEN vs LVR -4.0 24.0 $4,000 $5,300 LVR 21 4:25 pm Main
Austin Hooper LVR at DEN 4.0 20.0 $3,000 $4,800 DEN 28 4:25 pm Main
Gerald Everett LAC vs MIA -3.0 26.8 $4,300 $5,500 MIA 29 4:25 pm Main
Durham Smythe MIA at LAC 3.0 23.8 $2,800 $4,600 LAC 11 4:25 pm Main
Hunter Henry NEP vs PHI 3.5 20.8 $3,500 $5,100 PHI 13 4:25 pm Main
Dallas Goedert PHI at NEP -3.5 24.3 $5,000 $6,400 NEP 18 4:25 pm Main
Noah Fant SEA vs LAR -5.5 25.5 $3,100 $5,000 LAR 12 4:25 pm Main
Tyler Higbee LAR at SEA 5.5 20.0 $4,800 $5,300 SEA 31 4:25 pm Main
Darren Waller NYG vs DAL 3.5 21.5 $5,100 DAL 2 8:20 pm SDSu
Jake Ferguson DAL at NYG -3.5 25.0 $3,200 NYG 21 8:20 pm SDSu
Tyler Conklin NYJ vs BUF 2.5 22.0 $3,400 BUF 3 8:15 pm SDMo
Dawson Knox BUF at NYJ -2.5 24.5 $2,900 NYJ 23 8:15 pm SDMo
Snap% = Snap share, Tar % = Share of Team Targets, Air = Air Yards, Air % = Share of Team Air Yards, FPPG = Fantasy Points Per Game
Cover Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious