MLB Grind Down: Thursday, August 20th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2015-12-16 19:32:08

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.

Note: For more info on DFS MLB scoring systems on the two largest sites, check out our DraftKings review and FanDuel review.

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Cleveland at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Cleveland					NY Yankees
			Josh Tomlin					Ivan Nova
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			NYY (-162)					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.252	0.741	0.316	20.8%	SP vs. Left	0.298	0.771	0.338	8.00%
SP vs. Right	0.300	0.812	0.354	21.4%	SP vs. Right	0.246	0.826	0.358	21.30%
Batter Splits	CLE BvP		CLE vs R		Batter Splits	NYY BvP		NYY vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Josh Tomlin : FD: $5,400 — DK: $5,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 110.1 — SIERA: 3.26 — ERA: 4.65 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 3.0% — HR/9: 1.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 6.1 — SIERA: 3.01 — ERA: 2.84 — K%: 20.8% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 2.8

New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.279 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 21)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)

Analysis: Tomlin is coming off of a strong start against the Twins, striking out five batters over six and one-third innings of work. While his numbers over the last two seasons are more than respectable, he can safely be avoided tonight in New York. On the season, the Yankees are ranked fifth in team wOBA and eighth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.

Pitcher Rating: 51.4

Ivan Nova : FD: $6,700 — DK: $7,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 73.2 — SIERA: 4.34 — ERA: 4.89 — K%: 14.5% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.89 — ERA: 3.68 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 8.3% — HR/9: 0.6

Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)

Analysis: Nova has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.89 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.2%. While it’s a good sign for Yankee fans, we shouldn’t trust Nova in daily fantasy just yet. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Indians, who are ranked 15th in team wOBA and sixth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. There is more risk than potential reward tonight for Nova.

Pitcher Rating: 58.0

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

The Indians’ offense has been very good in recent weeks, ranking in the top half of the majors in both team wOBA and strikeout rate. They draw a favorable matchup tonight against Ivan Nova, who has given up a .338+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The Indians also see a nice ballpark boost playing in Yankee Stadium.

Elite Plays:

Michael Brantley : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,100

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 723 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 157
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.436 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 185

Lonnie Chisenhall : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 600 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.166 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.413 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 169

Secondary Plays:

Carlos Santana : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 761 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 105

Francisco Lindor : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 163 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.124 — wRC+: 96
Last 30 Days: PA: 125 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 134

NY Yankees

The Yankees have a high team total tonight, as they square off against Josh Tomlin at home. Tomlin has given up a higher wOBA to right-handed hitters, but left-handed bats are also in play against him. Load up on Yankees’ hitters tonight in both cash games and tournaments.

Elite Plays:

Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 650 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 100
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.288 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 79

Brett Gardner : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 794 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 119
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.270 — ISO: 0.051 — wRC+: 67

Gregory Bird : FD: $3,000 — DK: $2,000

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 17 — wOBA: 0.441 — ISO: 0.375 — wRC+: 186
Last 30 Days: PA: 19 — wOBA: 0.461 — ISO: 0.389 — wRC+: 200

Secondary Plays:

Alex Rodriguez : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 338 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 114

Brian McCann : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 683 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 94
Last 30 Days: PA: 85 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 115

Chase Headley : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 719 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 100
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 149

Minnesota at Baltimore – 7:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Minnesota					Baltimore
			Tyler Duffey					Miguel Gonzalez
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BAL (-147)					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.167	0.630	0.300	13.3%	SP vs. Left	0.261	0.792	0.345	16.40%
SP vs. Right	0.235	0.969	0.413	28.6%	SP vs. Right	0.251	0.738	0.325	18.30%
Batter Splits	MIN BvP		MIN vs R		Batter Splits			BAL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Tyler Duffey : FD: $5,400 — DK: $4,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 8.0 — SIERA: 5.51 — ERA: 6.75 — K%: 22.2% — BB%: 19.4% — HR/9: 2.3

Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 18)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 14)

Analysis: Duffey has not had the ideal start to his major league career. In his first two starts, he has a 5.51 SIERA with a walk rate that is nearly as high as his strikeout rate. Tonight he has to go on the road to face the Orioles, who have a very potent offense. On the season, Baltimore is ranked eighth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. Duffey should be avoided in daily fantasy until further notice.

Pitcher Rating: 41.8

Miguel Gonzalez : FD: $7,100 — DK: $6,400

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 285.1 — SIERA: 4.34 — ERA: 3.75 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.0 — SIERA: 4.23 — ERA: 4.91 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 1.4

Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 20)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 15)

Analysis: Gonzalez has been in Gonzalez-like form recently. He always seems to give his team a chance to win, but he doesn’t have enough strikeout potential to really stand out as an elite play in daily fantasy. Since the start of last season, Gonzalez owns a 4.34 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.3%. He draws a decent matchup against the Twins, but he is not on my radar tonight. There are better pitching options in both cash games and tournaments.

Pitcher Rating: 59.7

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

The Twins are not as good of an offense on the road as they are at home, but they draw a nice matchup against Miguel Gonzalez in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. Since the start of the 2014 season, Gonzalez has given up a .325+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Elite Plays:

Miguel Sano : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.448 — ISO: 0.326 — wRC+: 192
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.287 — wRC+: 155

Secondary Plays:

Brian Dozier : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 865 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.278 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 73

Joe Mauer : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 668 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 75

Baltimore

The Orioles have a high team total tonight, as they square off against rookie Tyler Duffey at home. Duffey has not pitched well in his first two major league starts and both left and right-handed hitters are in play here. Tonight is a night where we don’t necessarily have to load up on hitters in Coors Field, as they are a few matchups that are just as enticing.

Elite Plays:

Chris Davis : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 712 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.501 — ISO: 0.485 — wRC+: 228

Gerardo Parra : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 814 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 158

Secondary Plays:

Manny Machado : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 660 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 141
Last 30 Days: PA: 127 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 135

Adam Jones : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,800

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 876 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.261 — wRC+: 121

Jonathan Schoop : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 454 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 94
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 113

San Francisco at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
San Francisco					Pittsburgh
			Jake Peavy					Charlie Morton
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			PIT (-123)					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.243	0.759	0.331	17.8%	SP vs. Left	0.258	0.740	0.328	18.20%
SP vs. Right	0.261	0.718	0.316	18.8%	SP vs. Right	0.239	0.667	0.299	17.90%
Batter Splits	SFG BvP		SF vs R		Batter Splits	PIT BvP		PIT vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jake Peavy : FD: $7,200 — DK: $6,700

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 258.2 — SIERA: 4.16 — ERA: 3.83 — K%: 18.3% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 4.07 — ERA: 3.86 — K%: 17.6% — BB%: 4.9% — HR/9: 1.0

Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.365 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 15)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)

Analysis: Peavy has pitched well since coming back from injury, but he’s not a pitcher that usually stands out as a must start in daily fantasy. He has a mediocre SIERA with a below-average strikeout rate. He also draws a difficult matchup against the Pirates, who are ranked second in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. Peavy is not the worst pitching option on the board, but it won’t hurt to avoid him in both cash games and tournaments.

Pitcher Rating: 52.6

Charlie Morton : FD: $6,700 — DK: $7,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 246.0 — SIERA: 3.76 — ERA: 3.95 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.2 — SIERA: 3.67 — ERA: 4.66 — K%: 20.6% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 1.0

San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 18)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 25)

Analysis: Morton has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.67 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.6%. He has pitched well at home throughout his career, but I’m not the biggest fan of his matchup tonight against the Giants. On the season, San Francisco is ranked fourth in team wOBA and fifth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. I prefer Morton over Jake Peavy, but both pitchers can easily be avoided in tonight’s 11-game slate.

Pitcher Rating: 65.8

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

The Giants hit right-handed pitching well as a team, but they have a low team total tonight. Charlie Morton has pitched well recently, but he has given up a .328 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Brandon Belt is the only fantasy option on my radar here.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Brandon Belt : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 509 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 137
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.273 — wRC+: 156

Pittsburgh

The Pirates are small favorites tonight in a game that features a respectable total of 8.0 runs. Jake Peavy hasn’t been particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate. Gregory Polanco has been swinging a hot bat and is a borderline elite play tonight. The right-handed bats of Andrew McCutchen, Jung-Ho Kang, and Starling Marte are better secondary options.

Elite Plays:

Gregory Polanco : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 612 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 108
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 143

Secondary Plays:

Andrew McCutchen : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 937 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.224 — wRC+: 163
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.401 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 162

Jung-Ho Kang : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 295 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 131
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.237 — wRC+: 157

Starling Marte : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 821 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 131

Texas at Detroit – 7:08 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Texas					Detroit
			Martin Perez					Alfredo Simon
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			DET (-105)					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.234	0.621	0.278	24.4%	SP vs. Left	0.272	0.796	0.345	14.20%
SP vs. Right	0.296	0.780	0.343	12.1%	SP vs. Right	0.233	0.656	0.291	16.90%
Batter Splits	TEX BvP		TEX vs R		Batter Splits	DET BvP		DET vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Martin Perez : FD: $5,900 — DK: $4,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 83.2 — SIERA: 4.01 — ERA: 4.73 — K%: 15.0% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 0.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.1 — SIERA: 3.82 — ERA: 5.29 — K%: 12.1% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 0.0

Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.348 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 24.6% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 11)

Analysis: Perez has been a serviceable starter for the Rangers over the last two seasons, posting a 4.01 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.0%. He doesn’t have the type of upside or matchup that we are looking for. Tonight he has to face a potent Tigers’ offense in the hitter-friendly Comerica Park. On the season, Detroit is ranked second in team wOBA against southpaws. Crazy things happen in baseball, but it would surprise me if this game didn’t turn into a shootout.

Pitcher Rating: 46.6

Alfredo Simon : FD: $7,400 — DK: $5,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 324.2 — SIERA: 4.37 — ERA: 3.99 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 5.64 — ERA: 5.90 — K%: 8.7% — BB%: 11.1% — HR/9: 1.2

Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 17.4% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 16)

Analysis: Simon has been in awful form recently, posting a 5.64 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 8.7% over the last month of play. Throw in a matchup against a talented Rangers’ offense and we have ourselves a land mine ready to explode. Simon should be avoided in all league formats tonight.

Pitcher Rating: 42.4

Batter Grind Down

Texas

The Rangers are one of the top offenses to target tonight. They have been terrific against right-handed pitching this season and they get to face Alfredo Simon, who has given up a .345 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. All of the lefties (plus Adrian Beltre) are in play tonight.

Elite Plays:

Prince Fielder : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 427 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 137
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 105

Mitch Moreland : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 417 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 124
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 122

Secondary Plays:

Adrian Beltre : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 747 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 119

Shin-Soo Choo : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 666 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 119
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.445 — ISO: 0.274 — wRC+: 185

Detroit

The Tigers are coming off of a huge offensive outburst against the Cubs last night. They should be able to keep things rolling tonight, as they face Martin Perez at home. Perez is a low strikeout pitcher that has given up a .343 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. This is yet another offense that is in a great spot tonight.

Elite Plays:

J.D. Martinez : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 237 — wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.290 — wRC+: 156
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 149

Rajai Davis : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 276 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 137
Last 30 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.257 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 57

Secondary Plays:

Miguel Cabrera : FD: $5,300 — DK: $5,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 255 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.244 — wRC+: 161
Last 30 Days: PA: 26 — wOBA: 0.519 — ISO: 0.300 — wRC+: 240

Ian Kinsler : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 296 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.422 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 173

Victor Martinez : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 239 — wOBA: 0.443 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 189
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.251 — ISO: 0.127 — wRC+: 53

Nick Castellanos : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 259 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.166 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.303 — wRC+: 152

Arizona at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM EST

Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%	Stats	Avg	OPS	wOBA	K%
Arizona					Cincinnati
			Patrick Corbin					John Lamb
			LEFT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			ARI (-126)					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.219	0.712	0.312	22.2%	SP vs. Left	0.200	1.133	0.461	50.00%
SP vs. Right	0.246	0.739	0.320	25.2%	SP vs. Right	0.368	0.844	0.361	20.00%
Batter Splits	ARI BvP		ARI vs L		Batter Splits	CIN BvP		CIN vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Patrick Corbin : FD: $6,700 — DK: $9,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 42.0 — SIERA: 3.17 — ERA: 3.43 — K%: 24.6% — BB%: 6.3% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 3.14 — ERA: 2.81 — K%: 26.1% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 0.8

Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.285 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 23.9% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 22)

Analysis: Corbin has been in great form recently, posting a 3.14 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.1% over the last month of play. He draws a difficult matchup tonight though, as the Reds are ranked eighth in team wOBA and ninth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. It also doesn’t help that Corbin has yet to throw more than 91 pitches in any single start this season.

Pitcher Rating: 72.5

John Lamb : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,500

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 6.0 — SIERA: 3.42 — ERA: 7.50 — K%: 26.9% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 1.5

Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 13)
Pitches per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 28)

Analysis: Lamb may have given up five runs in his first major league start, but he struck out seven batters in a tough matchup against the Dodgers. Lamb was terrific in his 20 minor league starts earlier this season and he is a very sneaky play tonight against the Diamondbacks. There is obviously a lot of risk attached to this pick though, which is why he should only be targeted in tournaments.

Pitcher Rating: 59.3

Batter Grind Down

Arizona

The Diamondbacks draw a decent matchup tonight against John Lamb, who is only making his second career major league start. It’s always difficult to predict how the first few starts for a pitcher are going to go, but the Diamondbacks hit left-handed pitching well as a team. The right-handed bats in this lineup are in play in the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.

Elite Plays:

Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $4,500 — DK: $5,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 208 — wOBA: 0.469 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 200
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 128

Welington Castillo : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 171 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 140
Last 30 Days: PA: 78 — wOBA: 0.415 — ISO: 0.418 — wRC+: 163

Secondary Plays:

A.J. Pollock : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,800

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 161 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 142
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 153

Aaron Hill : FD: $2,400 — DK: $2,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 224 — wOBA: 0.284 — ISO: 0.106 — wRC+: 74
Last 30 Days: PA: 69 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.102 — wRC+: 97

Cincinnati

The Reds draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Patrick Corbin, who has really pitched well in his last five starts. They do get to face him at home, but there are teams with better matchups tonight. The Reds’ hitters are secondary options at their respective positions.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Joey Votto : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 214 — wOBA: 0.419 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 168
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.504 — ISO: 0.297 — wRC+: 226

Todd Frazier : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 267 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.274 — wRC+: 131
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.245 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 49