MLB Grind Down: Thursday, June 18th

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.

Note: For more info on DFS MLB scoring systems on the two largest sites, check out our DraftKings review and FanDuel review.

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Baltimore at Philadelphia – 1:05 PM EST

Baltimore Philadelphia
baltimoremlb Bud Norris philadelphiamlb Sean O’Sullivan
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BAL (-170) 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.277 0.814 0.357 19.3% SP vs. Left 0.353 1.084 0.453 8.00%
SP vs. Right 0.227 0.679 0.302 19.7% SP vs. Right 0.248 0.680 0.300 10.70%
Batter Splits BAL BvP BAL vs R Batter Splits PHI BvP PHI vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Bud Norris : FD: $6,800 — DK: $7,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 203.1 — SIERA: 3.98 — K%: 19.5% — BB%: 7.7% — FB Rate: 36.6% — HR/FB: 11.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 10.2 — SIERA: 2.80 — K%: 25.5% — BB%: 4.3% — FB Rate: 28.1% — HR/FB: 11.1%

Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.272 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.278 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 9)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)

Analysis: After a rough start to the season, Norris has bounced back nicely since returning from the DL. In those two starts, he has a 2.80 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.5%. I’ll side with the larger sample size, but in a matchup against the Phillies, he could certainly post a quality start. The Phillies are ranked dead last in wOBA (.272) against right-handed pitching, they are ranked 27th in wOBA (.278) over the last 14 days, and they average the fifth-fewest pitches per plate appearance. Pitching is scarce in the early slate of games, making Norris a viable SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.

Pitcher Rating:59.6


Sean O’Sullivan : FD: $4,900 — DK: $4,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 64.0 — SIERA: 5.03 — K%: 9.6% — BB%: 6.1% — FB Rate: 35.3% — HR/FB: 15.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 5.59 — K%: 6.9% — BB%: 6.9% — FB Rate: 36.4% — HR/FB: 10.6%

Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 22.6% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 22.7% (Rank: 26)
Pitchers per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 17)

Analysis: O’Sullivan has been downright awful over the last month of play, posting a 5.59 SIERA with a strikeout rate (6.9%) that mirrors his walk rate (6.9%). Anytime a pitcher is giving up more walks than strikeouts, he should automatically be avoided in daily fantasy baseball. The surging Orioles’ offense will likely have yet another field day against this Phillies’ pitching staff.

Pitcher Rating:40.2

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

Manny Machado : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 461 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 126
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 164

Analysis: Machado was hitless in last night’s win, but he still has a .406 wOBA and a .192 ISO over the last 14 days. He has good numbers against right-handed pitching and he is swinging one of the hottest bats in baseball. He draws a favorable matchup today against Sean O’Sullivan. Even though there is a game in Coors Field, the Orioles should be considered one of the top offenses to target in the early slate of games.

Chris Davis

Salaries: FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 551 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.210 — wRC+: 102

Travis Snider

Salaries: FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 441 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 104

J.J. Hardy

Salaries: FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 524 — wOBA: 0.304 — ISO: 0.097 — wRC+: 92

Chris Parmelee

Salaries: FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 194 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 90


Philadelphia

The Phillies are still the worst offense against right-handed pitching this season. While the matchup against Bud Norris is appealing, the Phillies are secondary fantasy options in the early slate. There is such little upside with this offense right now.

Ben Revere

Salaries: FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 639 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.059 — wRC+: 87

Chase Utley

Salaries: FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 618 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 94


St. Louis at Minnesota – 1:10 PM EST

St. Louis Minnesota
stlouismlb Jaime Garcia minnesotamlb Mike Pelfrey
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
STL (-135) 8.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.304 0.818 0.361 27.4% SP vs. Left 0.221 0.674 0.308 11.30%
SP vs. Right 0.199 0.576 0.255 18.5% SP vs. Right 0.332 0.860 0.378 9.80%
Batter Splits STL BvP STL vs R Batter Splits MIN BvP MIN vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jaime Garcia : FD: $7,600 — DK: $9,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 78.2 — SIERA: 2.84 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 3.9% — FB Rate: 22.7% — HR/FB: 15.7%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 2.77 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 3.9% — FB Rate: 19.4% — HR/FB: 10.5%

Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 18.6% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.267 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 15)

Analysis: Garcia is coming off of his best outing of the season, striking out six Royals’ batters in eight scoreless innings of work. He has some tremendous numbers since the start of last season with a 2.84 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 20.7%. It’s time to start trusting the numbers as the sample size continues to get bigger. While the Twins have made it tough on a few left-handed pitchers this season, they are still ranked 18th in wOBA (.309) against southpaws on the season. Garcia has a good chance to pick up another win today, as run support shouldn’t be an issue with Mike Pelfrey pitching opposite him.

Pitcher Rating:72.8


Mike Pelfrey : FD: $6,900 — DK: $5,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 94.1 — SIERA: 5.08 — K%: 10.6% — BB%: 9.6% — FB Rate: 28.5% — HR/FB: 10.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.2 — SIERA: 4.05 — K%: 13.5% — BB%: 5.6% — FB Rate: 24.5% — HR/FB: 4.2%

St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 22.5% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 23)

Analysis: Pelfrey has pitched better recently, but he is still doesn’t fit the mold of an appealing pitcher in daily fantasy baseball. He has an average SIERA with a below-average strikeout rate. Even though the Cardinals’ offense is short-handed at the moment, they are still a very capable offense against right-handed pitching. Pelfrey can safely be avoided in the early slate of games.

Pitcher Rating:33.3

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

Mark Reynolds : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 449 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 101
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 127

Analysis: Reynolds has never been known for his ability to hit right-handed pitching, but with all of the injuries, he remains the Cardinals’ clean-up hitter. He has performed admirably thus far, posting a .355 wOBA and a .190 ISO over the last 14 days. He draws a favorable matchup against Mike Pelfrey, who has given up a .378 wOBA to right-handed hitters in the last two seasons.

Jhonny Peralta

Salaries: FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 691 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 122

Matt Carpenter

Salaries: FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 676 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 133


Minnesota

The Twins are a much better offense against southpaws than they are against right-handed pitching, but the matchup against Jaime Garcia is less than ideal. He is a reverses-splits pitcher, which hurts the fantasy appeal of the Twins’ right-handed hitters. For that reason, they are secondary fantasy plays in the early slate.

Brian Dozier

Salaries: FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 293 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.233 — wRC+: 136

Trevor Plouffe

Salaries: FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 254 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.166 — wRC+: 123


Houston at Colorado – 3:10 PM EST

Houston Colorado
houstonmlb Collin McHugh coloradomlb David Hale
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
HOU (-114) 10.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.227 0.643 0.285 20.9% SP vs. Left 0.291 0.804 0.349 11.00%
SP vs. Right 0.240 0.693 0.307 25.2% SP vs. Right 0.232 0.659 0.287 14.70%
Batter Splits HOU BvP HOU vs R Batter Splits COL BvP COL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Collin McHugh : FD: $7,900 — DK: $6,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 234.1 — SIERA: 3.37 — K%: 22.8% — BB%: 5.9% — FB Rate: 34.4% — HR/FB: 11.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.0 — SIERA: 4.15 — K%: 16.3% — BB%: 4.4% — FB Rate: 40.2% — HR/FB: 14.9%

Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 15)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 22)

Analysis: McHugh’s ERA took a big hit after his last start against the Mariners. It will likely take another hit today against the Rockies in Coors Field. As usual, we should avoid all pitchers in Coors Field.

Pitcher Rating:52.8


David Hale : FD: $5,800 — DK: $5,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 113.0 — SIERA: 4.36 — K%: 13.0% — BB%: 8.6% — FB Rate: 28.1% — HR/FB: 10.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 3.62 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 2.9% — FB Rate: 38.0% — HR/FB: 20.0%

Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 25.4% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 25.6% (Rank: 30)
Pitchers per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 11)

Analysis: Hale has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.62 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.5%. Coors Field overrules though. Expect another high scoring game today in Denver.

Pitcher Rating:39.4

Batter Grind Down

Houston

George Springer : FD: $4,700 — DK: $5,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 418 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 129
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.483 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 220

Analysis: Springer had a big game last night in the series opener in Coors and he’ll look to continue his excellent play today. He has been red-hot with a .483 wOBA and a .255 ISO in the last two weeks. He sees a huge ballpark boost playing in Coors Field. Load up on Astros today, as they lead the majors in home runs and get to play in the best hitter’s venue in all of baseball.

Carlos Correa

Salaries: FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 14 — wOBA: 0.253 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 58

Luis Valbuena

Salaries: FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 619 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 123

Preston Tucker

Salaries: FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 69 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 115

Jake Marisnick

Salaries: FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 299 — wOBA: 0.281 — ISO: 0.104 — wRC+: 77


Colorado

Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 375 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 100
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 132

Analysis: Don’t let Collin McHugh splits scare you off of the Rockies today. While he has held left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons, this is Coors Field that we are talking about. Gonzalez has really played well at home over the last few weeks and he has feasted on Astros’ pitching in this series. With no aces on the mound in the early slate, it’s fairly easy to load up on Coors bats.

Troy Tulowitzki

Salaries: FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 451 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 120

Nolan Arenado

Salaries: FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 539 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 108

Charlie Blackmon

Salaries: FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 687 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 111

Ben Paulsen

Salaries: FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 136 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 127


San Diego at Oakland – 3:35 PM EST

San Diego Oakland
sandiegomlb Ian Kennedy oaklandmlb Kendall Graveman
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
OAK (-142) 8.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.247 0.754 0.329 23.8% SP vs. Left 0.279 0.772 0.344 12.70%
SP vs. Right 0.256 0.723 0.320 24.2% SP vs. Right 0.279 0.738 0.323 17.00%
Batter Splits SDP BvP SD vs R Batter Splits OAK BvP OAK vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Ian Kennedy : FD: $7,200 — DK: $9,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 258.0 — SIERA: 3.51 — K%: 24.0% — BB%: 8.0% — FB Rate: 37.1% — HR/FB: 11.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 3.28 — K%: 25.2% — BB%: 6.5% — FB Rate: 36.3% — HR/FB: 18.2%

Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 10)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)

Analysis: Kennedy is slowly rounding into form. He has pitched well over the last month, posting a 3.28 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.2%. The issue with Kennedy today is his matchup. The A’s are one of the toughest offenses for a pitcher to face, as they rarely strike out and they tend to drive up pitch counts. The A’s are ranked 8th in wOBA (.321) and 5th in strikeout rate (17.6%) against right-handed pitching this season. I’d much rather take my chances with Jaime Garcia in the early slate.

Pitcher Rating:58.9


Kendall Graveman : FD: $5,400 — DK: $6,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 53.2 — SIERA: 4.15 — K%: 14.8% — BB%: 7.2% — FB Rate: 24.9% — HR/FB: 13.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 3.62 — K%: 17.8% — BB%: 5.9% — FB Rate: 25.3% — HR/FB: 12.0%

San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 23.6% (Rank: 28)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 12)

Analysis: It appears that Graveman has his confidence back after being sent back down to the minors. In his last two starts, he has struck out 13 batters while only giving up two earned runs in 15 innings of work. He is an interesting play today against the Padres and he’ll likely fly under the radar. On the season, the Padres are ranked 26th in wOBA (.293) and 25th in strikeout rate (21.9%) against right-handed pitching. Graveman is a sizable favorite and I wouldn’t blame you for using him in cash games and/or tournaments.

Pitcher Rating:65.0

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

Kendall Graveman has struggled against left-handed hitters this season, but he has been sharp in his last two starts. The Padres are also one of the worst offenses against right-handed pitching. I see the left-handed hitters in this lineup as secondary options in the early slate.

Yonder Alonso : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 356 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 109

Will Venable

Salaries: FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 534 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.126 — wRC+: 94

Cory Spangenberg

Salaries: FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 199 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 95


Oakland

Ben Zobrist : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 576 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.131 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 103

Analysis: Zobrist has been swinging a hot bat with eight hits (four went for extra bases) in his last four games. His numbers against right-handed pitching may not jump off the page, but he’s a streaky player that is seeing the ball well right now. He draws a favorable matchup against Ian Kennedy, who has struggled against left-handed hitters throughout his career.

Billy Burns

Salaries: FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 127 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.109 — wRC+: 123

Josh Reddick

Salaries: FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 474 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 161

Stephen Vogt

Salaries: FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 422 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 138


LA Angels at Arizona – 3:40 PM EST

LA Angels Arizona
laangelsmlb C.J. Wilson arizonamlb Allen Webster
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAA (-125) 9.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.193 0.572 0.262 24.1% SP vs. Left 0.231 0.671 0.310 11.00%
SP vs. Right 0.259 0.735 0.327 18.8% SP vs. Right 0.265 0.000 0.337 16.50%
Batter Splits LAA BvP ANA vs R Batter Splits ARI BvP ARI vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

C.J. Wilson : FD: $7,700 — DK: $8,700

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 260.2 — SIERA: 4.12 — K%: 20.1% — BB%: 10.1% — FB Rate: 31.2% — HR/FB: 10.7%
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 3.63 — K%: 25.2% — BB%: 10.3% — FB Rate: 27.8% — HR/FB: 22.2%

Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 19)
Pitchers per PA: 3.65 (Rank: 30)

Analysis: Wilson has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.63 SIERA with a high strikeout rate of 25.2%. If this game was being played in Los Angeles, he would deserve consideration, but I’m not thrilled with his matchup against the Diamonbacks in the hitter-friendly Chase Field.

Pitcher Rating:59.7


Allen Webster : FD: $5,400 — DK: $7,200

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 64.2 — SIERA: 5.05 — K%: 13.5% — BB%: 11.0% — FB Rate: 33.0% — HR/FB: 4.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.2 — SIERA: 6.14 — K%: 9.1% — BB%: 13.6% — FB Rate: 37.5% — HR/FB: 0.0%

LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 19)

Analysis: Webster will draw the start for the Diamondbacks today. Since the start of 2014, he has a 5.05 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 13.5%. While the Angels’ offense has struggled against right-handed pitching this season, they have been much better in recent weeks. The low strikeout rate is more than enough reason to avoid Webster in the hitter-friendly Chase Field.

Pitcher Rating:39.8

Batter Grind Down

LA Angels

Mike Trout : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 748 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 170
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.449 — ISO: 0.378 — wRC+: 201

Analysis: Since the start of 2014, Allen Webster has given up a .337 wOBA to right-handed hitters. In that same time period, Trout has a .405 wOBA and a .286 ISO against right-handed pitching. Trout has been swinging a hot bat recently and he sees a favorable ballpark shift today playing in the hitter-friendly Chase Field.

Albert Pujols

Salaries: FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 732 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.228 — wRC+: 140

Kole Calhoun

Salaries: FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 611 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 121

Erick Aybar

Salaries: FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 678 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.086 — wRC+: 97


Arizona

Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $5,700 — DK: $5,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 158 — wOBA: 0.482 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 208
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.528 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 238

Analysis: I learned my lesson yesterday. I faded Goldschmidt because his price was a little too expensive. It was the wrong decision, as he hit another home run. In the last two seasons, he has an impressive .482 wOBA with a .248 ISO against southpaws. Target all of the right-handed hitters in this lineup.

A.J. Pollock

Salaries: FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.420 — ISO: 0.257 — wRC+: 166

Yasmany Tomas

Salaries: FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 115

Aaron Hill

Salaries: FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 180 — wOBA: 0.289 — ISO: 0.107 — wRC+: 77


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious